Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS...
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Transcript of Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS...
![Page 1: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOPBuenos Aires, Argentina
August, 2004
BUILDING FLOOD RISK MAPS,ASSESING SALINITY FRONT
DISPLACEMENT
Angel Menéndez, Mariano Re, Martín Kind INA (Laboratorio de Hidráulica)
UBA (Facultad de Ingeniería)
![Page 2: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
PRESENTATION
• Floods in the future
• Model for salinity front
THE END
• Model for flood maps
• Salinity front in the future
![Page 3: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FORCINGS
Tributaries
Tide
Winds
![Page 4: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
![Page 5: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
![Page 6: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MODEL RPP-2D
MontevideoPunta del
Este
Colonia
Martín
García
Buenos Aires
La Plata
Mar del Plata
Monte Hermoso
San Clemente
40° 30' S61° 30' W 51° 30' W
32° 24' S
(Re & Menéndez 2003)
![Page 7: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
BOTTOM TOPOGRAPHY
![Page 8: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
HYDRODYNAMIC MODELRPP-2D
• Spatial domain = 1018 x 953 km• Spatial step = 2,5 km • Grid : 408 x 382• Temporal step = 60 s (720 steps/cycle)• Bound. Cond. South : Astronomical tidal
wave• Bound. Cond. Tributaries : Discharge• Wind : Field distribution
MontevideoPunta del
Este
Colonia
Martín
García
Buenos Aires
La Plata
Mar del Plata
Monte Hermoso
San Clemente
40° 30' S61° 30' W 51° 30' W
32° 24' S
![Page 9: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
PURELY ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
Oyarvide Station
-1.40
-1.20
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
120 168 216 264 312 360 408 456 504 552 600 648 696 744 792
Tiempo (hrs)
Nivel (m)
Modelo Tabla
-25.00
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-7.50
-5.00
-2.50
0.00
SEGMENTACION DEL RÍO DE LA PLATA
República Oriental del Uruguay
RepúblicaArgentina
Río Uruguay
Paraná delas Palmas
6350000.006400000.006450000.006500000.006550000.006600000.006650000.00
6000000.00
6050000.00
6100000.00
6150000.00
6200000.00
6250000.00
![Page 10: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
CURRENT VELOCITIES
Records by Hidrovía S.A.
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
25-Jul-96 28-Jul-96 31-Jul-96 03-Ago-96 06-Ago-96 09-Ago-96 12-Ago-96
Velocidad N-S (m/s)
Observada Simulada
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
25-Jul-96 28-Jul-96 31-Jul-96 03-Ago-96 06-Ago-96 09-Ago-96 12-Ago-96
Velocidad W-E (m/s)
-25.00
-20.00
-15.00
-10.00
-7.50
-5.00
-2.50
0.00
SEGMENTACION DEL RÍO DE LA PLATA
República Oriental del Uruguay
RepúblicaArgentina
Río Uruguay
Paraná delas Palmas
6350000.006400000.006450000.006500000.006550000.006600000.006650000.00
6000000.00
6050000.00
6100000.00
6150000.00
6200000.00
6250000.00
![Page 11: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
STORM SURGE
Oyarvide station, astronomical tide filtered out(November, 1989)
![Page 12: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
STORM SURGEBuenos Aires station, including astronomical tide
(May, 2000)
![Page 13: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
COMPARISON OF MEAN WATER LEVEL
Buenos Aires, decade 1990 (present)
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
VERANO OTOÑO INVIERNO PRIMAVERA NMEDIO
nivel (m)
Observación Simulación
![Page 14: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL
Buenos Aires
1990 1991
1993 1994
![Page 15: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
COMPARISON WITH TOPEX DATA
Mean Summer conditions
![Page 16: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
COMPARISON WITH TOPEX DATA
Mean Winter conditions
![Page 17: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
WATER LEVEL FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION CURVE
Buenos Aires, decade 1990 (present)
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.10
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
Nivel (m)
Frecuencia de Niveles (%)
Observación Simulación
![Page 18: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
Buenos Aires
1990 1991
1993 1994
![Page 19: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RECURRENCE OF EXTREME WATER LEVELS
Buenos Aires
2.00
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
3.40
3.60
3.80
4.00
1 10 100
Recurrencia (años)
Nivel (m IGM)
Total Presente
![Page 20: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FLOOD RISK MAPS
![Page 21: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FLOOD RISK MAPS
![Page 22: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FLOOD RISK MAPS(Re, Menéndez &
Ludueña 2004)
![Page 23: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
FUTURE SCENARIOS OF SEA LEVEL RISE
![Page 24: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
PREDICTION OF MEAN WATER LEVEL
Buenos Aires
1.06
0.780.71
1.02
0.89
1.17
0.880.94
1.15
1.03
1.39
1.111.08
1.41
1.24
0.11 0.10
0.23
0.14 0.14
0.33 0.330.36
0.390.36
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
verano otoño invierno primavera nmedio
nivel (m)
1997 2037 2077 dif 2037-1997 dif 2077-1997
![Page 25: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
2030
![Page 26: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
2070
![Page 27: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
Summer 2070
![Page 28: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
Fall 2070
![Page 29: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
Winter 2070
![Page 30: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MEAN WATER LEVEL INCREASE
Spring 2070
![Page 31: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
PREDICTION OF WATER LEVEL FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
Buenos Aires
-0.10
-0.05
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
-3.00 -2.00 -1.00 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00
1997 2037 2077 dif 2037 - 1997 dif 2077 - 1997
![Page 32: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RECURRENCE OF EXTREME WATER LEVELS Buenos Aires
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
1 10 100
Recurrencia (años)
Nivel pico (m MOP)
1990s 2030s 2070s
![Page 33: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS2030
![Page 34: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS2030
![Page 35: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS2070
![Page 36: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 37: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 38: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 39: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 40: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 41: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 42: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 43: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 44: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 45: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 46: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 47: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
RISK MAPS
![Page 48: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SALINITY DISTRIBUTION
(Guerrero et al. 1997)
![Page 49: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/49.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
DOMAIN MODEL RPP-3D
(Kind & Menéndez 2004)
![Page 50: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/50.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
HYDRODYNAMIC MODELRPP-3D
• Spatial domain = 575 x 487.5 km• Spatial step = 2,5 km • Grid : 230 x 195 x 8• Temporal step = 4 s (2D) and 320 s (3D)• Bound. Cond. Ocean : Tidal wave from
RPP-2D• Bound. Cond. Tributaries : Discharge• Wind : Field distribution
![Page 51: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/51.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
WIND FIELD
Mean conditions
Summer Winter
![Page 52: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/52.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
COMPARISON RPP-3D vs. RPP-2D
![Page 53: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/53.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MODEL RPP-3D
Comparison measurement-simulation (Winter)
Surface Bottom
![Page 54: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/54.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MODEL RPP-3D
Comparison measurement-simulation (Summer)
Surface Bottom
![Page 55: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/55.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MODEL RPP-3D
Longitudinal cut
Comparison measurement-simulation (Winter)
![Page 56: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/56.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
MODEL RPP-3D
Longitudinal cut
Comparison measurement-simulation (Summer)
![Page 57: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/57.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SCENARIO WITH 1 m INCREASE(maximum proyection for 2100)
(Winter)
Surface Bottom
![Page 58: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/58.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
COMPARISON
Bottom, present Bottom, +1m
(Winter)
![Page 59: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/59.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SCENARIO WITH 1 m INCREASE
Difference with present (Winter)
Surface Bottom
![Page 60: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/60.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SCENARIO WITH 1 m INCREASE
Difference with present (Summer)
Surface Bottom
![Page 61: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/61.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SCENARIO WITH 4 m INCREASE(stabilization year 3000)
(Winter)
Surface Bottom
![Page 62: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/62.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
SCENARIO WITH 4 m INCREASE
Difference with present (Winter)
Surface Bottom
![Page 63: Menéndez, Re & Kind Flood risk maps & salinity front FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍA UNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES REGIONAL AIACC WORKSHOP Buenos Aires, Argentina.](https://reader038.fdocuments.in/reader038/viewer/2022103015/551517185503465e608b4f13/html5/thumbnails/63.jpg)
Menéndez, Re & Kind
Flood risk maps & salinity front
FACULTAD DE INGENIERÍAUNIVERSIDAD DE BUENOS AIRES
Thank you...