Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

17
Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Germain Lamonde Chairman, President & CEO October 10, 2013

description

Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

Transcript of Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

Page 1: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

Marketing with BMO Capital Markets

Germain Lamonde Chairman, President & CEO October 10, 2013

Page 2: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

2 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Certain statements in this presentation, or given in response to your questions, may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1934. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides “safe-harbors” for such forward-looking statements and we intend that any forward-looking statements made today be subject to the safe harbors. We caution you that any forward-looking statements are just predictions. They are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements and we invite you to review the company’s most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission or Canadian securities commissions for a discussion of the factors at risk. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and, unless required by law or applicable regulations, we will not be reviewing or updating the material that is contained herein.

Annual financial data in this presentation is prepared in accordance with international financial reporting standards (IFRS) and Canadian generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Quarterly financial data is prepared in accordance with IFRS. For a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA to net earnings (loss), refer to the Q4 2013 press release or the “Non-IFRS Measures” section on EXFO’s website.

Forward-Looking Statements

Page 3: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

3 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

EXFO at a Glance

Who We Are › No.2 supplier in portable

telecom testing and innovation leader in IP service assurance

› Enabling network operators and equipment manufacturers to design, deploy and monitor IP fixed and mobile networks

What We’ve Done › Gained market share year-in

and year-out for past 28 years

› Ten-year sales CAGR of 17.4%

› Difficult markets in FY 2012-13 › Sales down 3% in FY’13 › Cost savings of $9 M in FY’13 › Adjusted EBITDA1 margin flat

year-over-year at 7.2%

Where We’re Going › Increase wireless presence

› Enable network operators to reduce operating expenses

› Expand share of wallet with Tier-1 operators

› Accelerate profitability through execution

1Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, restructuring charges, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain.

Page 4: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

4 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.. 4 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Global Organization

› No.1 in portable optical testing

› No.2 in portable telecom testing

>2000 CUSTOMERS IN 100 COUNTRIES >1600 EMPLOYEES IN 25 COUNTRIES

Americas

› FY 2013 Sales: $128.1 M › Growth YoY: -2.3% › Sales Split: 53%

EMEA

› FY 2013 Sales: $67.0 M › Growth YoY: -6.0% › Sales Split: 28%

Asia-Pacific

› FY 2013 Sales: $47.0 M › Growth YoY: -1.0% › Sales Split: 19%

Page 5: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

5 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved. 5 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Global IP traffic Up 3X from 2012-2017

Mobile IP traffic

Up 13X from 2012-2017 (Cisco)

Bandwidth Demand

STRONG FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERS, MARKED BY INCREASED MOBILE TRAFFIC AND VIDEO

Page 6: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

6 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Headwinds & Tailwinds

Tailwinds

›3G, 4G/LTE deployments ›Mobile backhaul upgrades ›Network density initiatives (Small cells, DAS, RRH)

›100G network rollouts ›Pair bonding and vectoring on copper links (100 Mbit/s)

Headwinds

›Uncertain economic conditions ›Challenging markets in EMEA

Page 7: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

7 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Global Mobile Devices Forecast

4G/LTE: 10% OF CONNECTIONS BUT 45% OF TRAFFIC IN 2017

4G

2G

3G

7,000

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

Mill

ions

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Sour

ce: C

isco

VNI M

obile

For

ecas

t, 20

13

Page 8: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

8 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Growth Strategy

Sales to wireless customers on the rise

(~28% of sales in FY’13)

Increase Wireless Presence

Expand Share of Wallet with Tier-1

Operators

Doing business with ~80 of top-100 operators worldwide

Accelerate Profitability

Combining revenue growth with a tight

control on expenses

Enable Operators to Reduce OPEX

Key productivity differentiator:

FTB Ecosystem

STAY THE COURSE AND EXECUTE FLAWLESSLY

Page 9: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

9 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Focus on Execution

Innovation

Operational Excellence

Profitable Growth

• First-to-market with game-changing solutions

• Leveraging higher-margin SW solutions

•Cost savings of $9 M in FY 2013

• Focus on gross margin improvement

•Balance between sales growth & profitability

•Targeting 15% adjusted EBITDA1 margin

1Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain or loss.

Page 10: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

10 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Telecom Market

TAM*

SAM*

Major competitors

Sales growth ― FY ’13/’12

Five-year sales CAGR

Annual growth rate

Sales ― FY 2013

Gross margin profile

$820 M

$685 M

JDSU, Anritsu

4.3%

2.7%

0-5%

$140.9 M

55-60%

$3.8 B

$1.8 B

JDSU, IXIA, Tektronix

-11.3%

24.5%

10-15%

$100.8 M

70-75%

PHYS

ICAL

(O

ptic

al &

Acc

ess)

PROTOCOL TO DRIVE REVENUE & EARNINGS GROWTH

PRO

TOCO

L (W

irele

ss, S

erv.

Ass

uran

ce,

Tran

spor

t & D

atac

om)

*Total available market (TAM) and serviceable available market (SAM) were raised in 2013 due to more accurate market intelligence, not necessarily because these markets increased in size.

Page 11: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

11 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Physical-Layer Business

COPPER ACCESS › Most advanced product portfolio for

high-speed copper links › New MaxTester secured contract

wins with several tier-1 operators › Supports pair bonding & vectoring

(100 Mb/s)

PORTABLE OPTICAL › No. 1 player with >35% market share › Market dominance in OTDR testing › Key differentiator: iOLM software › Market leader in dispersion testing › Unmatched product breadth & depth

Page 12: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

12 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Protocol-Layer Business

WIRELESS › Protocol analyzers: 4G/LTE and

3G test solutions for deployment and troubleshooting applications

› Network simulators: Large-scale emulation of subscriber sessions to test routers, gateways and session border controllers

SERVICE ASSURANCE › Probe-based systems targeted at

medium to large network operators › Primary focus on active testing to

validate service-level agreements › Monitoring multi-play services with

a single platform is key differentiator

TRANSPORT AND DATACOM › Multi-service analyzers for

SONET/SDH, OTN and Ethernet rates from 10M to 100G

› Comprehensive portfolio for wireless backhaul

› Pioneered new standard for Ethernet testing (EtherSam)

Page 13: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

13 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Innovation That Makes A Difference

TravelHawk Pro FTB-88100NGE EXFO Connect

Portable, multiservice test solution supports

transmission rates from 100M to 100G

4G/LTE troubleshooting tool selected by three of

top-5 LTE operators

Cloud-based software suite leverages FTB

platform connectivity to enhance productivity

ENABLING OPERATORS TO INCREASE EFFICIENCY & REDUCE OPEX

Page 14: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

14 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.. Revenue Adjusted EBITDA Margin

In US

$ Milli

ons 0%

20%

50%

10%

30%

40%

70%

60%

-10%

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

Gross Margin

Financial Snapshot

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

36% 34% 21% 24% -6% 32% 33% -7% -3%

Sales CAGR of 17.4% over last 10 Years

Revenue

› $242.2 M in FY’13 › Operators delayed

spending in FY’12-13 › FY’14: Targeting growth

Gross Margin

› 61.8% in FY’13 › Up 9X in last 11 years › FY’14-15: Expected to rise

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

› 7.2% in FY’13 (flat YoY) › Cost savings of $9 M YoY › Targeting 15% Pe

rcenta

ge of

Sale

s

Page 15: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

15 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Annual Financial Results1 (in US$ millions, except gross margin)

1 All financial results from continuing operations, except net earnings/loss and adjusted EBITDA. 2 Fiscal 2011-2013 financial results according to IFRS; prior years according to Canadian GAAP. 3 Gross margin is a non-IFRS financial measure and represents sales less cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization. 4 Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings (loss) before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, restructuring charges, R&D tax credits recovery, changes in the fair value of the cash contingent consideration,

impairment of goodwill, stock-based compensation costs, gain from the disposal of discontinued operations and foreign exchange gain or loss.

Sales

Gross Margin3 Net R&D Expenses Adjusted EBITDA4

Net Earnings/Loss2 SG&A Expenses

Page 16: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

16 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved..

Q4 2013 Highlights

› Sales totaled $60.9 M, up 6.5% YoY and 3.4% sequentially

› Bookings attained $54.0 M (book-to-bill ratio of 0.89)

› Gross margin1 reached 62.9%, highest level in last 6 quarters

› IFRS net earnings amounted to $3.8 M, $0.06 per diluted share

› Adjusted EBITDA2 totaled $7.1 M, 11.6% of sales

1Gross margin is a non-IFRS financial measure and represents sales less cost of sales, excluding depreciation and amortization. 2Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain.

Page 17: Marketing with BMO Capital Markets Oct 2013

17 © 2013 EXFO Inc. All rights reserved.

Strong Value Proposition 5 Good Reasons to Invest in EXFO

1. Proven track record of sales growth Sales CAGR of 17.4% in last 10 years

2. Well positioned for key growth drivers 3G, 4G/LTE, wireless backhaul, small cells, DAS, RRH, FTTx, 100G

3. Balancing sales growth and profitability Targeting adjusted EBITDA1 margin of 15% on revenue of $350 to $400 M

4. Solid balance sheet Cash position of $50.3 M and no debt — as at August 31, 2013

5. Experienced and disciplined management team Deep knowledge of managing business in growth and downward markets

1Adjusted EBITDA represents net earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation costs and foreign exchange gain or loss.