MAPPING THE CHRISTIAN POPULATION A Report on the Size and Distribution of the North Africa, Middle...
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MAPPING THE CHRISTIAN POPULATION
A Report on the Size andA Report on the Size and
Distribution of the North Africa, Distribution of the North Africa, Middle East, Arab Gulf and Central Middle East, Arab Gulf and Central Asia Christian PopulationAsia Christian Population
December 2009December 2009
One Challenge International
P.O. Box 4475
Worthing, West Sussex
BN11 3YH
UK
CHRISTIANS AROUND THE WORLD
227 million
20 million
427 million
350 million
300 million
123 million
410 million
Source: Joshua Project.
Recent Progress in the World
Evangelical Christianity is growing 2x faster than Islam and 3x faster than Buddhism and Hinduism.
Source: Joshua Project.
Major Religions Annual Growth Rates
1.40% 1.44%
2.17%
4.70%
2.20%
1.21%
Buddhism Christian Hinduism Islam Denominations Evangelicals
Conversion rates: 1990-2000
Source: Joshua Project.
0.080% 0.045%
0.580%
0.420%
0.135%
-0.087%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
MuslimBuddhist
HinduPentecostal
Evangelical
Christian
Conversion growth is the annual increase (or decrease) in followers of a particular faith that is attributable to a shift of faith allegiance. These figure is an annual average measured and forecasted from the years 1990-2000.
“An Overview of the World by Religious Adherents”, from the Mission Frontiers June 2000.
The World in 2000 by Religious Adherence
Evangelicals are defined as the broad stream of Christians who are affiliated with a Christian denomination or movement that actively evangelizes or sends missionaries.Pentecostals/Charismatics and evangelicals are overlapping subsets of the larger total of all Christians.The total growth rate is the sum of growth that occurs by births minus deaths and by a shift of faith allegiance (conversion growth).
All Christians 1,999.6 Million 1.45% 0.14% 33%Evangelicals 647.8 Million 1.47% 0.42% 10.70%Pentecostals/ Charismatics 523.7 Million 2.33% 0.59% 8.70%Muslims 1,188.2 Million 2.15% 0.08% 19.60%Hindus 811.3 Million 1.84% -0.09% 13.40%Nonreligious 768.2 Million 0.86% -7.20% 12.70%Chinese Folk Religionists 384.8 Million 1.21% -0.02% 6.40%Buddhists 360 Million 1.13% 0.05% 5.90%Ethnoreligionists 228.4 Million 1.37% -0.58% 3.80%Atheists 150.1 Million 0.35% -60% 2.50%New-Religionists/ Neo-Religionists 102.4 Million 1.12% -3.80% 1.70%Sikhs 23.3 Million 1.90% 0.13% 0.40%Jews 14.4 Million 1 -50% 0.20%Others 24.3 Million N/A N/A 0.40%World Population 6,055 Million 1.47% N/A 100%
Religion: # of Adherents Total Growth
Rate Convertion
Growth Rate% of World Population
Unevangelized Population(in millions)
Majority of the Unevangelized World
1 India 344,000,000
2 China 262,000,000
3 Pakistan 144,000,000
4 Indonesia 68,600,000
5 Iran 48,700,000
6 Thailand 34,100,000
7 Algeria 32,900,000
8 Morocco 30,900,000
9 Bangladesh 30,000,000
10 Afghanistan 26,000,000
Source: Joshua Project.
Mapping the Christians in North Africa, Middle East, Arab Gulf and Central Asia
• There are about xxx billion Christian living in the world today.
• Although in numbers there are more Christian people over the world, in this region the Muslim population predominates.
• In average, Central Asia has the major percentage in the considered sample, about 7.1%, followed by Middle East.
Central Asia 92.9% 7.1%Middle East 93.2% 6.8%Arab Gulf 93.5% 6.5%North Africa 97.3% 2.7%Other 98.0% 2.0%On average by region. Others: Turkey, Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan.
% Muslim % ChristianCountry
Source: OW.
DISTRIBUTION PER REGION: NORTH AFRICA
Morocco 0.10% 0.00% 99.00%Mauritania 0.16% 0.00% 99.10%Tunisia 0.22% 0.00% 99.50%Algeria 0.29% 0.20% 98.00%Libya 2.54% 0.30% 96.60%Egypt 12.98% 2.50% 94.60%
CountryPercentage of
Population that is Christian
Percentage of Population that is Evangelical
Percentage of Population that is
Muslim
Egypt dominates with about 12.98% of its population that is Christian.
Of this percentage, 2.50% are evangelical.
Source: OW.
Percentage of Population that is Christian in North Africa
0.10%
0.16%
0.22%
0.29%
2.54%
12.98%
Morocco
Mauritania
Tunisia
Algeria
Libya
Egypt
DISTRIBUTION PER REGION: MIDDLE EAST
In the Middle East, Lebanon counts with approximately 32% Christians, above the average of the region, that is 6.8%.
Source: OW.
Iraq 1.55% 0.10% 98.45%Palestine 1.94% 0.10% 98.06%Israel 2.25% 0.20% 97.75%Jordan 2.75% 0.20% 97.25%Syria 5.12% 0.10% 94.88%Lebanon 31.93% 0.60% 68.07%
CountryPercentage of
Population that is Muslim
Percentage of Population that is Evangelical
Percentage of Population that is
Christian
Percentage of Population that is Christian in Middle East
1.94%
2.25%
2.75%
5.12%
31.93%
1.55%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Iraq
Palestine
Israel
Jordan
Syria
Lebanon
DISTRIBUTION PER REGION: ARAB GOLF
In the Arab Golf both Bahrain and Qatar have approximately 10% of Christians, followed by United Arabic Emirates with 9.25%, much above than the average of the region, of 6.5%.
Yemen 0.05% 0.00% 99.95%Oman 2.54% 0.30% 97.46%Saudi Arabia 4.54% 0.90% 95.46%Kuwait 8.17% 0.60% 91.83%UAE 9.25% 0.80% 90.75%Bahrain 10.36% 3.10% 89.64%Qatar 10.47% 2.50% 89.53%
Percentage of Population that is
Muslim
Percentage of Population that is Evangelical
Percentage of Population that is
ChristianCountry
Source: OW.
Percentage of Population that is Christian in Arab Golf
2.54%
4.54%
8.17%
9.25%
10.36%
10.47%
0.05%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
Yemen
Oman
Saudi Arabia
Kuwait
UAE
Bahrain
Qatar
DISTRIBUTION PER REGION: CENTRAL ASIAIn the Central Asia
Region, on average 7.1% of the population is Christian. Just Kazakhstan and Kyrgyz Republic are above the average, with 24.66% and 7.83%, respectively.
Source: OW.
Uzbekistan 1.28% 0.30% 98.72%Tajikistan 1.38% 0.10% 98.62%Turkmenistan 2.66% 0.00% 97.34%Azerbaijan 4.64% 0.10% 95.36%Kyrgyzstan 7.83% 0.60% 92.17%Kazakhstan 24.66% 0.60% 75.34%
CountryPercentage of
Population that is Christian
Percentage of Population that is Evangelical
Percentage of Population that is
Muslim
Percentage of Population that is Christian Central Asia
1.38%
2.66%
4.64%
24.66%
7.83%
1.28%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Uzbekistan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Azerbaijan
Kyrgyzstan
Kazakhstan
DISTRIBUTION PER REGION: OTHERS
Considering in the analysis Afghanistan, Turkey, Iran and Pakistan, we can observe that these countries are in the majority Muslim countries.
Afghanistan 0.03% n.a. 99.97%Turkey 0.32% 0.03% 99.68%Iran 0.33% 0.00% 99.67%Pakistan 2.31% 0.40% 97.69%
Percentage of Population that is
MuslimCountry
Percentage of Population that is
Christian
Percentage of Population that is Evangelical
Source: OW.
Percentage of Population that is Christian
0.32%
0.33%
2.31%
0.03%
0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Afghanistan
Turkey
Iran
Pakistan
Unreached People Groups
Source: Joshua Project.
Others5.77%Buddhist
9.62%
Tribal19.23% Hindu
25.96%
Muslim39.42%(4,100)(2,000)
(1,000) (600)
(2,700)
Countries with the Most Unreached Peoples
India
China
PakistanBangladesh
Nepal
India 2332 2082
China 499 406
Pakistan 401 386
Bangladesh 370 336
Nepal 315 292
Country # Peoples # UnreachedPeoples
Source: Joshua Project.
Here we note a distinct need for churches in the North Africa, Middle East and Central Asia regions, the part of the world with the highest percentage of Muslims.
Putting together unreached people groups and population to church ratios, we see that the greatest needs for Church Planting Movements are in the band
stretching from Northwest Africa to Southeast Asia.
UNREACHED PEOPLE GROUP IN THE CONSIDERED REGIONS
Unreached people groups
7811
141516172122232424252526272728
3537384041
94374
6
14
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
BahrainQatar
LebanonKuwait
MauritaniaJordanTunisia
Syrian ArabYemen
IraqTurkmenistan
EgyptMorocco
Saudi ArabiaOman
AzerbaijanUAE
KyrgyzTajikistan
LibyaAlgeria
UzbekistanTurkeyIsrael
KazakhstanIran
Pakistan
Source: OW.
CROSS-CULTURAL MISSIONARIESWHERE DO THEY COME FROM?
Source: Joshua Project.
Africa7%
Asia36%
Pacific3%
North America
37%
Europe12%
Latin America5%
Data from:
Operation World
Joshua Project
One Challenge International
P.O. Box 4475
Worthing, West Sussex
BN11 3YH
UK
THANK YOU!