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    Inside

    Collaborate to Innovate

    Global Power Shift

    Innovating with IT

    Project Managers: Lessons Learned?

    Releasing Time to Manage

    Working through the ZOUD

    Issue 30 // Spring 2011 www.som.cranfield.ac.uk/s

    ManagingthePriceof

    Food

    FocusManagement

    The Magazine of Cranfield School of Management

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    Media Relations

    Cranfeld School o ManagementCranfeld, Bedordshire, MK43 0AL, UK

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    t: +44 (0) 1234 754348w: www.som.cranfeld.ac.uk

    ISSN 1474-1199

    No part o this publication may be reproduced orstored in any orm whatsoever without the prior

    written consent o Cranfeld School o Management.

    The views expressed herein are not necessarily theopinion o Cranfeld School o Management. Whilst

    every care has been taken in the production o this

    magazine, the publisher cannot be held responsibleor the accuracy o the inormation contained herein.

    2011 Cranfeld University.All rights reserved.

    04

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    22

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    News

    Global PowerShit

    Innovating

    with IT

    ProjectManagers:

    Lessons

    Learned?

    Releasing Time

    to Manage

    Collaborateto Innovate

    Working

    through theZOUD

    Alumni interview:Howard Dickel

    (MSc PPM 2010)

    16 Managing the Price o Food

    The world continue

    a remarkable pace a

    the worlds leading m

    schools, it is our aim

    individuals and organ

    stay ahead with the

    and research.

    Our faculty, which is

    largest and most div

    business school in E

    actively engaged in c

    and business relevant research and are closely in touch with the

    business and government. Their commitment to our mission of t

    knowledge into action and management practice means they are

    current and topical in their teaching. They bring not only experie

    to their programmes. They understand your challenges. They hav

    themselves and they can help you to do the same.

    A combination of rigorous research and inspirational teaching is

    of everything we do. We are dedicated to making a difference - c

    responsible management practice, improving business performan

    inspiring the next generation of leaders. We work to change the

    students and executives by encouraging innovation and creative t

    as the drive to succeed and make a real impact on their organisat

    This edition of Management Focus tackles some of the many issu

    managers today, from knowing when and how to innovate to ma

    effective top team. San Rickard discusses what needs to happen

    manage the spiralling cost of food and Professor David Buchanan

    Dr Emma Parry share the early ndings from their three-year re

    investigating the realities of front-line managers in the NHS.

    I do hope you enjoy the read.

    Proessor Frank M HorwitzDirector, Craneld School of Management

    You can download the magazine at

    som.cranfeld.ac.uk/som/m

    If you would prefer to receive the next

    issue (due out Autumn 2011) electronically,

    or have any suggestions for future topics,

    please contact Media Relations

    on +44 (0)1234 754348 or email

    [email protected]

    Contents Edit

    "We are dedicated to

    making a difference

    - creating responsible

    management practice,

    improving business

    performance and

    inspiring the next

    generation of leaders."

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    Professor Frank Horwitz, Director

    of School hosted the Schools

    annual awards evening at the Royal

    Institutions Faraday Theatre in London

    in January. The awards recognise

    the very considerable achievements

    of alumni and students. Guest

    speaker, Warren East (EMBA 1990)

    CEO of ARM Holdings, who was

    announced at the event as the 2011

    Distinguished Alumnus,

    Congratulations to Professor Richard

    Wilding who received the prestigious

    Individual Contribution Award at

    the recent European Supply Chain

    Excellence Awards. Richard is pictured

    with the host of the evening, comedian

    Rufus Hound and Mark Judge who

    presented him with the award.

    Professor Wilding has been

    described as one of Europes leadinggurus for supply chain excellence,

    The Craneld Knowledge

    Interchange (KI) Online has

    recently been redesigned and now

    offers an even easier route to

    the latest relevant and respected

    management information from

    Craneld. The site gives subscribers

    access to a unique blend of

    resources, new concepts, latest

    publications and presentations. This

    exclusive service enables managers

    to use the resources for personal

    development and business.

    In January, Harry Clarke was

    presented with the 2011Craneld

    Entrepreneur Alumnus of the Year

    award. Harry, Commercial Director

    at Cobalt Telephone Technologies

    completed his Craneld MBA

    in 1992. The award is presented

    annually to the alumnus who has

    made an outstanding entrepreneurial

    achievement and promotes the strong

    entrepreneurial spirit present withinthe School alumni body.

    Distinguished Alumnus Knowledge Online

    Entrepreneur AwardSupply Chain Award

    News

    gave a presentation titled The

    future is in our hands. Warren

    talked about how we, as consumers,

    can exercise intelligent choices

    about how and where we spend

    our money and that these choices

    impact directly on global issues.

    His company ARM Holdings is the

    major European designer of silicon

    chips that provide the brains behind

    countless digital devices.

    promoting supply chain innovation

    in an easily accessible way for nearly

    20 years.

    Richard has helped develop Cranelds

    Centre for Logistics and Supply Chain

    Management into a leading centre of

    excellence. The Centre provides an

    international focal point for advanced

    teaching and research in the eld of

    logistics, supply chain management andtransportation management.

    The uture o ood

    Cranelds Executive Doctorate (D

    programme has been awarded the

    5 year accreditation by the Associa

    of MBAs (AMBA). It is one of onl

    AMBA accredited DBA programm

    UK (and only seven worldwide), w

    testimony to the high standard and

    quality assurance of its programme

    international scale.

    Senior Business Economist, San R

    was commissioned to write a repo

    value of crop protection which wa

    by the Crop Protection Associatio

    report was launched at the annual

    House Food Security Conference

    attended by some of the most inu

    speakers in agricultural developme

    a leading commentator on food, fa

    rural policy issues and is often calle

    advise the government.

    International accre

    VentureDay 2011

    The Schools Bettany Centre will h

    2011VentureDay on 12 May. The o

    conference and networking event

    at entrepreneurs and those interes

    cutting-edge entrepreneurial perfoKeynote addresses will be given by

    entrepreneurs including Harry Cla

    former media tycoon Eddy Shah.

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    News

    Research

    The 2010 Female FTSE report from

    the Schools International Centre for

    Women Leaders revealed another

    year of barely noticeable change in

    the number of women in

    leadership positions of the UKs

    top 100 companies.

    The report, complied by Professor

    Susan Vinnicombe OBE, Dr Ruth

    Sealy, Jacey Graham and Elena Doldor,

    detailed that there are just 135 female-

    held directorships out of1,076 on the

    FTSE100 boards. The latest gure of

    12.5% highlights a three year plateau

    (12.2% in 2009 and 12% in 2008)

    signifying a situation of stagnation

    when it comes to diversity in

    British boardrooms.

    Equalities Minister Lynne

    Featherstone said: It is worrying

    that women who make up more

    than 50% of the population still

    account for just one-eighth of

    FTSE 100 directors. Making boards

    more diverse is not about political

    correctness - its about making sure

    companies draw senior staff from the

    widest possible pool of talent, whichis good for business, good for staff

    and good for customers.

    Diversity report has huge impact

    A study into public sector innovation

    carried out by Professor Keith Gofn

    and Dr David Baxter showed that public

    sector managers need more guidance on

    commercial partnerships in order

    to make them work effectively.

    A survey revealed that only a minority of

    respondents were able to give examples

    of successful service innovations in theUK public sector, and very few of these

    examples were commercial partnerships.

    Public sectorinnovation

    Change at any age

    A new study led by Dr Emma Parry,

    has revealed that there is considerable

    stagnation in the careers of many over

    50s. The research conducted for the

    Employers Forum on Age (EFA) found

    that many employers are not currently

    doing enough to prevent this and the

    loss of skills and attitudinal problems

    that result.

    Mobile savvshopper

    A new report co-autho

    Dr Silvia Rossi and Prof

    Wilding raises serious q

    the ability of Britains cu

    infrastructure to suppor

    development of mobile

    that provide shoppers w

    product information. Th

    partnership with GS1 U

    quality of product descr

    data available in three of

    downloaded third-party

    scanning apps. Only 9%the correct product des

    compared with the app

    Ineective salesbehavioursThe Harvard Business Review (HBR)

    recently published an article discussing

    Cranelds research project wit h sales

    consultancy Silent Edge. The article by

    Professor Lynette Ryals highlights the

    key ndings from the project. Craneld

    worked with data, provided by Silent

    Edge, analysing the performance of 800

    sales professionals observed in live sales

    interactions. The results identify eight

    sets of behaviours in sales meetings. By

    understanding these behaviours, managers

    can effect changes in their current sales

    force and recruit better team members in

    the future.

    Key ndings of a signicant new

    piece of research from Professor

    Michael Dickmann and Dr Emma

    Parry have revealed International

    NGOs widely agree that they must

    improve the speed, quality and

    effectiveness of their humanitarian

    leadership response to overcome

    the challenges that arise from climate

    change, global insecurity, scarce

    resources and increasing scrutiny

    from a wide range of stakeholders.

    The research is the result of a joint

    initiative by Craneld and People In

    Aid. Funded by ELRHA, the research

    aims to help agencies understand the

    nature and scope of internationalleadership competencies required

    over the next decade.

    Leadershipchallenges

    Lord Davies of Abersoch, former

    Labour trade minister was asked by

    Business Secretary Vince Cable and

    Minister for Women Theresa May

    in August last year to carry out a

    review to increase the representation

    of women on the boards of UK

    companies. Professor Susan

    Vinnicombe, Director of Cranelds

    International Centre for Women

    Leaders was a member of Lord Davies

    steering committee. The report

    Women on Boards was published on

    24 February. Cranelds Female FTSEreport was referenced extensively in

    articles about the review.

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    IT

    by Joe PeppardProessor o Inormation Systems

    Innovatingwith

    A ramework developed by Cranfeld can help

    organisations to consider and assess their

    current approaches to business innovation with IT.

    nformation technology is

    now part of the very fabric

    of almost all organisations.

    Indeed, few could survive for very long

    without their IT systems. While IT

    provides tremendous opportunities

    for innovation, most non-technology

    organisations struggle to take advantage

    of these opportunities. A global survey

    that we conducted as part of our

    research to help such organisations be

    more proactive in their approach to

    business innovation with IT, revealed that

    only 14% of large companies believe that

    they are maximising the potential of IT.

    This is an astounding statistic given the

    potential that technology offers.

    Opportunities for IT innovation

    come from one of two sources. ITmay respond to requirements that

    come from the business, what is known

    as business-pull. Alternat ively, IT-push

    Isees emerging technology or new

    combinations of existing technology

    provide the motivating force for

    business innovation.

    If the IT innovation agenda is going

    to have any real chance of success,

    there must be an acute awareness of

    the trade-off between push and pull

    factors. While our data revealed that

    over 80% of innovation is instigated

    by demand-pull factors, this results in

    more incremental innovation. A good

    way to describe the limitations of such

    pull is to think of the famous Henry

    Ford quote: If I had asked people

    what they wanted, they would have

    said faster horses.

    IT-push innovation tends to lead to farmore radical innova tion. Yet, because

    of the uncertainty in outcomes,

    it is often more difcult to obtain

    funding for technology-push projects

    and therefore many IT executives simply

    ignore or minimise such efforts and

    focus on supporting and aligning with

    demand-pull requirements.

    Our research led us to develop a

    framework that maps IT push against

    business-pull, highlighting the specic

    issues and challenges that must be

    grappled with when considering

    business innovation with IT (see

    Figure 1). This has proved to be a

    powerful framework in our work

    with executive teams; giving IT a more

    innovative mandate and helping them

    to understand the trade-offs that they

    unknowingly make. The framework

    also highlights four specic traps

    that executives can fall into thathave profound implications for any

    organisation seeking to promote an IT

    innovation agenda.

    On the push side are technologies

    that are either known to the

    organisation, or exist in the

    market, but are as yet unknown

    to it. On the pull side are

    problems and opportunities

    that are either dened or exist

    but have not yet been identied

    and thus remain undened.

    Problems tend to be grounded

    in the existing organisation and

    its strategy. Opportunities mean

    doing something different and new.

    In the known-dened quadrant

    are problems and opportunities

    but with known solutions. The

    known-undened quadrant

    captures the situation where a new

    technology is identied that may

    have potential for the organisation.

    This potential has yet to be

    identied and dened and requires

    investigation to seek out what

    these might be.

    The dened-unknown quadrant is

    where a problem is highlighted and

    a search is conducted to identify

    potential technology solutions.

    The bottom-right undened-unknown

    quadrant represents the fact that there

    are problems and opportunities that

    have yet to be dened and that there

    are technologies the organisation is

    currently unaware of.

    This simple framework can be used

    by organisations to consider and

    assess their current approaches to

    business innovation with IT. A key

    question to be addressed is whether

    you have initiatives in all quadrants. The

    framework also highlights a number

    of traps that organisations can fall into

    when looking to innovate with IT.

    The complacency trap occurs

    when organisations believe they

    are innovating when in fact they are

    applying a known technology to a

    dened problem or opportunity.

    The innovation might be new to

    them but it is certainly not providing

    any competitive differentiation. The

    credibility trap occurs when a

    technology with potential application

    is identied and due to the poor

    credibility of the IT department or lack

    of appropriate business relationships,

    it fails to gain any traction in the

    business. The imitation trap arises

    when the organisation simply

    copies what others have done in

    applying technology to a business

    problem or opportunity. Finally,

    organisations fall into the ignoranc

    trap when they fail to acknowledg

    that there are problems and

    opportunities still to be dened an

    technologies to be identied.

    An organisation needs to operate

    in all four quad rants, recognising

    that not all their actions will

    lead to competitive advantage.

    Ultimately, all innovations end up

    in the known-dened quadrant

    as it is difcult to keep any

    innovation secret for very long.

    Your competitors are continually

    watching your strategic moves, jus

    as you are theirs. The challenge is

    to ensure that your organisation

    is operating in the other three

    quadrants while simultaneously

    avoiding the traps.

    For further information contact the

    author at [email protected]

    MF

    InformationTechnology

    Push

    Technologysearch

    Solution to a knownbusiness problem

    Defined

    Known

    Unknown

    Undefined

    Business Problem / Opportunity

    Pull

    Opportunities search

    Missed opportunities

    Complacency Trap

    Imitation Trap

    Credibility Trap

    Ignorance Trap

    Figure 1

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    by Dr Emma ParryPrincipal Research Fellow

    Organization Studies

    and David BuchananProessor o Organizational Behaviour

    he constant ow of g

    policy initiatives, pres

    targets and high pro

    about patient safety and ward

    have combined to make the N

    Service (NHS) a complicated a

    environment in which to work

    Although they are responsible job of managing the delivery of

    and often get the blame when

    wrong, surprisingly little is know

    the work and experiences of fr

    middle managers in the NHS.

    T

    ReleasingTime toManage

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    Despite the myriad o waysthat they can contribute toorganizational outcomes, weknow that NHS managers areundervalued, overstretched andoten underutilized.

    It is against this backdrop that a team

    of researchers at Craneld School of

    Management have embarked on an

    extensive project to investigate the

    roles, contributions and realities of

    front-line and middle NHS managers.

    Funded by the Service Delivery and

    Organization (SDO) programme,

    the project is using a combination of

    interviews, focus groups, and a survey of

    managers in six NHS Trusts to explore

    what front line and middle managers

    contribute to patient outcomes, what

    motivates them and the barriers they

    experience when trying to perform

    their jobs. This article looks at some of

    the early ndings from the project.

    We know that middle and front line

    managers in acute settings within the

    NHS are highly motivated, particularly

    when it comes to making a difference

    for patients. We asked midd le and

    front line managers what motivates

    them to do their job and found a lot of

    commonality in their answers.

    Managers said they were motivated

    by the desire to make a difference for

    patients and to provide a high quality

    service. However, they want to feel valued

    and receive recognition and feedback

    for the work they do. Some managers

    enjoy developing others, supporting their

    colleagues and working in a team, while

    others emphasize self-development.

    There was also evidence of public

    sector values. Some of our participants

    mentioned factors such as pay, job security

    and terms and conditions; but these were

    not the primary motivations for working

    within the NHS. The managers that we

    spoke to were enthusiastic about the buzz

    of innovation and trying new things.

    The popular stereotype of NHS

    managers is as costly administrators and

    bureaucrats who block change. Yet our

    research shows that middle and front line

    managers in the NHS are fundamental to

    implementing service improvements and

    other organizational changes that make a

    real difference to patients.

    Third, managers told us that the

    demands relating to compliance make

    their jobs difcult as they constantly

    have to service the regulators and

    are under pressure to avoid breaches.

    Fourth, managers reported that they

    have a number of issues relating to the

    systems and processes, such as dated

    IT, information gaps, and are constantly

    ghting systems that dont work. Fifth,

    our interviewees spoke about difculties

    with external relationships particularly

    with primary care trusts. Sixth,

    difculties are caused by the constant

    demands for change coupled with the

    slow rate of change. Finally, managers

    experienced other issues around staff

    shortages, recruitment problems and

    learning from serious incidents.

    This paints a picture of a problematic

    environment with potentially more

    barriers and blockages than facilitators

    for middle and front line managers

    trying to make a difference for patients

    and to their organizations.

    Managers told us that they felt like

    hamsters on a wheel, that middle

    and front line managers only ever get

    beaten up and that it doesnt matter

    what we do, it is never good e nough.

    We can see then that the organizational

    environment surrounding middle and

    front line managers doesnt necessarily

    support their contributions and that

    they often lack the resources, authority,

    external support and, in particular, the

    time to be able to drive and implement

    new ideas.

    Middle and front line managers are not

    always allowed to punch their weight

    in terms of contributing to service

    improvement and clinical outcomes.

    Some simple cost-neutral steps would

    enable them to make a greater impact.For instance, middle and frontline

    managers should be empowered to

    decide, within their budgets, how their

    areas are run and be provided with

    timely and understandable nancial

    information. At a divisional level,

    the clinical director and

    manager make a powerfu

    they collaborate effective

    improvement events give

    to reect, and to develop

    approaches. More ofce

    fewer meetings would als

    Finally, at a personal level

    front line managers shou

    walk the oor and talk to

    and not be driven by ema

    should be allowed to cre

    reection and for exchan

    with colleagues.

    For further information con

    authors at emma.parry@c

    or david.buchanan@cranf

    MF

    Our research revealed that they contribute

    to clinical and organizational outcomes in

    seven main ways (see Figure 1).

    Despite the myriad of ways that they

    can contribute to organizational

    outcomes, we know that NHS managers

    are undervalued, overstretched and

    often underutilized. This experience

    seems to be true across the Service

    and is shared by middle and front line

    managers regardless of their place in the

    organizational hierarchy from ward

    sisters to directorate managers.

    Our research has identied seven

    sets of barriers to middle and front

    line managers performing their roles

    effectively. The rst is money as the

    pressure to cut costs and the increasingly

    complex funding model often make it

    difcult for managers to be effective.

    Second is the work itself as issues

    related to nding the time and headspace

    to manage effectively and the need for

    broad shoulders and a thick skin.

    Figure 1:Seven ways in which NHS managers contribute to clinical and organizational outcomes

    1. Identifying, selling and implementing

    service improvement ideas and

    opportunities.

    2. Translating and implementing

    ideas from colleagues and external

    sources.

    3. Facilitating change, taking risks,

    working with clinicians, organizing

    rapid improvement events.

    4. Process and pathway redesign

    such as the productive ward and

    lean methods.

    5. Developing infrastructure such

    as new IT systems and physical

    facilities.

    6. Developing skills in others and

    getting people on board.

    7. Leveraging targets to improve

    performance, through the

    use of techniques such as

    dashboards and benchmarking.

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    The ability to work effectively in the Zone

    of Uncomfortable Debate is a capability that

    distinguishes effective management teams

    from the rest. It may even be rare enough to

    make such teams very special.

    by Dr Catherine Bailey

    Director

    Cranfeld Business Leaders' Programme

    ost senior managers nd

    their executive team difcult.

    Dysfunctional is a favourite

    word. Testing dynamics, political

    agendas, big personalities, strong

    opinions (and voices to match), too

    much or too little control is the reality

    for many. Not surprisi ngly, they nd the

    real work of the management team -

    tackling the big strategic and business

    performance issues - challenging at the

    best of times.

    But times have changed. The

    unprecedented business challenges of

    the recession have tested teams with

    tough choices and urgent decisions.

    Difcult decisions about what, where,

    how, and how deep to cut for efciency

    whilst sustaining capability in a radically

    changed nancial environment.

    M

    Never has it been more necessary or management teams to be able to

    work through the Zone o Uncomortable Debate (ZOUD) that unspoken

    process that prevents us rom questioning too closely the things that are

    held dear in business.

    These issues now give way to even more

    demanding questions about positioning in

    the dynamic landscape of new and changing

    customer preferences, dwindling markets

    and outdated practices; but at the same

    time booming opportunities and the high

    gain, high risk potential of growth strategies.

    At no time in the recent past have business

    teams needed to be more able to address

    the basics, to challenge themselves to

    identify their business core capability, yet

    at the same time take swift and decisive

    action. Never has it been more necessary

    for management teams to be able to work

    through the Zone of Uncomfortable

    Debate (ZOUD) - that unspoken process

    that prevents us from questioning too

    closely the things that are held dear in

    business. Such discussions all too easily

    dissolve into hostility, power plays, ridicule,

    escape mechanisms or delay tactics.

    Seventy senior managers from fteen

    executive teams attending Cranelds

    High Performance Business Team

    programme shared their experiences of

    the ZOUD. What prevents productive

    discussion on difcult issues and how

    can managers handle vital but tricky

    business decisions? Here are some of

    their collective insights on what gets in

    the way:

    Insufcient knowledge of others

    agendas and views

    Others inability to discuss difcult issues

    Fear of uncontrolled emotions

    Assuming you need the answer to ask

    the question

    Prejudging the answer

    Fear of surprises

    Lacking condence in a productive

    outcome.

    ZOUDWorkingthrough

    the

    How to work through the ZOUD

    1. Prepare people, process and place

    Give people the opportunity to prepare; rotate

    the Chair; legitimise and spread the responsibility

    for asking challenging questions by taking turns

    to be devils advocate; ensure sufcient agenda

    time; choose a comfortable or different location

    for ZOUD discussions.

    2. Make ZOUD discussions an executive

    team competence

    Be clear why it is important for the team to

    talk about ZOUD issues; recognise the natural

    difculties that everyone experiences; agree

    rules of engagement.

    3. Find the right starting point and pace

    or too difcult issues by taking a

    stepwise approachIs there agreement there is an issue to discuss?

    What is the issue? What are the decisions to be

    taken? What needs to be understood better to

    make those decisions? What are the decision-

    making options? What are the pros and cons

    of each? What factors should guide choice and

    what weight should they have?

    4. Maintain a productive perspective

    Keep a business (not personal) focus; and keep a

    long term and bigger picture perspective.

    Focus on issues (not personalities) and ensure

    everyone gets heard.

    5. Act with emotional intelligence and

    political awareness

    Manage your own emotions; dont leave others

    to guess your worthy intentions. Strive to

    understand what is driving others' views. Ask

    questions to gain understanding (rather than

    trade dogmatic statements); facilitate progress

    (e.g. how can we move on? What would help

    us to clarify this? What are we trying to work

    towards here?)

    6. Leave the ZOUD beore leaving the room

    Put the discussion and its value in perspective:why

    it was important;the natural difculty felt;what s

    been achieved by all and agree the next steps.

    For urther inormation contact the author

    at [email protected]

    MF

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    by SanSenio

    Business E

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    Managing

    the Price FoodRising ood prices are a direct consequence o the global ood supply

    keep pace with demand. The world needs a new green revolution wit

    advances that can deliver higher yields and improved management pra

    run large-scale hi-tech arms eectively.

    of

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    Issues Concerns Challenges

    Demand drivers

    1. Substantial rise in the

    worlds population

    Annual global per capita grain

    production has declined

    Many developing countries

    are struggling to meet their

    populations demand for food

    2. Nutrition transition as

    per capita incomes rise

    Global demand for meat and

    dairy products rapidly rising

    Continue upward pressure on

    world food and grain prices

    Supply challenges

    3.The dependency of foodproduction on energy

    Energy prices have risen andare expected to rise further

    Rising production costs plusincreasing diversion of arable

    land from food to biofuels

    4. Severe limits on the area

    of agricultural land

    The per capita area of

    cultivated agricultural land has

    declined

    Underlying productivity

    growth particularly for grains

    is slowing

    5. Global supply of water

    failing to match demand

    Agriculture production heavily

    dependent on fresh water

    Agricultural trade to

    compensate limited by failure

    to reach WTO agreement

    6. Stress of climate

    change on agriculturalproduction

    Identied as a cause of crop

    losses in recent years

    Will contribute to the more

    rapid spread of crop andanimal disease

    7. Rural populations

    are declining as a

    proportion

    Global harvests already

    dependent on migrant labour

    Rising urban populations will

    become reliant on a reduced

    rural population for their food

    As per capita incomes rise above

    $2 a day, diets include more meat and

    dairy products. The FAO expects

    demand for meat in developing countries

    to more than double by 2050 and this

    will require a complementary increase in

    the production of grain for animal feeds.

    The situation outlined in Figure 2

    is echoed in a 2009 study from the

    Royal Society which argued that only

    solutions underpinned by science and

    technology are feasible. In essence,

    the challenge is to greatly increase total

    factor product ivity. That is, not only will

    farmers have to signicantly increase the

    output they get from each hectare of

    land; but they will also have to achieve

    this by using less water and energy per

    unit of output.

    The world needs a new greenrevolution with scientic advances that

    can deliver higher yielding plant and

    animal varieties while reducing demands

    on the worlds resources. However

    reliance on technology and in particular

    biotechnology will not be sufcient.

    Figure 3 shows how the value

    inherent in new scientic knowledge

    can only be captured if managerial

    ability keeps pace.

    Never has an industry cried out

    more loudly for creative destruction;

    namely, the replacement of large

    numbers of small scale, badly managed

    enterprises with fewer, larger scale

    skilfully managed farms. That there

    are enormous economies of scale in

    farming is beyond dispute and the wide

    range of yields, quality and unit costs in

    all agricultural sectors testies to the

    scope for improved efciency. Large

    scale enterprises can afford and justify

    higher levels of investment; they can

    more easily spread risk; and deliver the

    lowest unit production costs.

    With so much dependent onmanagement, it is pertinent to ask why

    farming is a neglected area in business

    schools? Three reasons come to

    mind. F irstly, in developed nations

    agricultural policy is implicitly viewed

    as a social policy.

    High levels of support ha

    of overriding market forc

    protecting inefcient ent

    critics soon nd they are

    with politics rather than

    Secondly, in the worlds

    countries there are very

    for farmers who would n

    the land to make way fo

    farms. Anyone advancing

    structural change is at be

    viewed as heartless. Thir

    lacks the glamour of tran

    organisations and higher

    diversied products.

    This neglect is a serious

    Feeding the world is the

    priority and the growing

    for food will require muc

    management skills in agr

    is where business schoolimportant rol e to play. W

    to offer in helping the wo

    system adapt to this new

    For urther inormation co

    at [email protected]

    1990

    1992

    1994

    1996

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    2010

    200

    180

    160

    140

    120

    220

    100

    NewScientific

    Knowledge

    TechnologyCaptured

    investment incapital, new prosystems and re

    managerial c

    Added value larger scale ophigher produc

    superior sta

    Delivering a wide choice of low cost food andnon-food products via sustainable production

    systems and supply chain collaborations

    Biotechnology

    Management

    Figure 1: FAO Food Price Index

    Figure 2: Seven challenges to global ood production

    Source: UNs Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO)

    Source: Authors summary based on Chatham House report Food Futures:Rethinking UK Strategy

    ood price ination in the

    UK is currently 5%, just two

    years on from peaking at

    12.8%. The UNs Food and Agriculture

    Organisations (FAO) benchmark

    food price index (see Figure 1)

    suggests 2007 was an indication of an

    upward shift in global food prices and

    the UNs Millennium Development

    Goal to halve the proportion of

    hungry people in the worlds poorest

    countries by 2015 has suffered the

    embarrassment of numbers continuing

    to rise. These are not random events

    - they reect a fundamental change

    in global food markets. After a

    generation in which the affordability of

    food steadily improved, the trend has

    now been reversed.

    A recent report by Chatham House

    (the Royal Institution of International

    Affairs) on the future of food, opens

    with the words: What we had

    thought of as abundant food supply

    is anything but the global system

    as currently operated will reach

    breaking point unless action is taken.

    Higher food prices are a direct

    consequence of global food supply

    failing to keep pace with demand.

    In developed countries this puts

    stress on disposable incomes with

    adverse effects for other sectors of

    the economy. In developing countries

    it threatens the pace of development

    and in the worlds poorest countries

    it results in hunger and malnutrition.

    The challenges faced by the worlds

    food system are summarised in

    Figure 2. Many food experts believe

    that the global demand for food willdouble over the next 40 years due

    partly to the worlds population

    rising to 9.2 billion; but primarily

    because of rapid economic

    development and its associated

    reduction in poverty.

    F The index weights the averagewholesale price of wheat, corn, rice,

    oilseeds, dairy products and meat.

    Figure 3: The importance o management

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    consumption levels

    in these countries will

    rise, causing a decline in

    savings. This is likely to

    cause further reductionin the availability of capital.

    Finally, higher nancing costs will

    reduce stock market valuations

    thereby adversely affecting stock market

    performance. These developments will

    create serious managerial challenges in

    the developed world. Businesses will

    have to become smarter and more

    innovative. The likely shortages in

    availability of capital would mean that

    managers will have to invest scarce

    capital a lot more judiciously. Good

    banking relationships will be a critical

    success factor for gaining competitive

    advantage as access to nance will

    become increasingly difcult.

    Technological innova tions

    which have provided

    competitive advantage in

    the past will be another

    key factor to remaining

    competitive in the wake of

    increased competition

    from the emerging

    economies.

    For further information

    contact the author at

    [email protected]

    s we enter a new decade, there

    are a number of uncertainties

    about the current status and

    long term prospects of the global economy.

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF)

    estimates that the rate of growth in Europe

    has been sluggish and the outlook for the

    worlds largest economy, the US, remains

    uncertain. The current and future state of

    the global economy is largely attributed to

    the credit crisis that ensued following the

    sub-prime mortgage debacle in the US.

    The toxic credit crisis then spread across

    the Atlantic and now threatens the future

    of the Euro. Europe, Greece and Ireland

    are being helped through nancial packages

    and there is concern that the market

    pressure may also create a liquidity crisis

    for Portugal and Spain. However, one must

    question whether it is right to treat the

    nancial crisis which has affected the

    major developed western economies as

    a global crisis.

    MF

    Although the nancial markets in the

    emerging economies of China and India did

    react to the adverse developments in the

    US and Europe, these reactions were short-

    lived. Both economies continue to grow at

    their long term growth projections.

    It is estimated that whilst Chinas GDP

    will continue to grow by around 9%,

    India will not be far behind with around

    7.5% annual rate of growth for the

    foreseeable future. In a recent study,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers suggests that

    the global nancial crisis has accelerated

    the shift in economic power from the

    developed to the developing economies.

    If they continue to grow, the economic

    output of the emerging markets of China,

    India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia and

    Turkey, the so-called E7, would overtake

    that of the established G7 nations: US,

    Japan, Germany, UK, France, Italy and

    Canada by 2032.

    These developments have major

    implications for developed economies like

    the UK. It is estimated that the UK exports

    around 7% of its total exports to developing

    economies. As the economic power shifts

    to the emerging economies, unless the UK

    increases its share of exports to developing

    countries it will miss the opportunity

    to be part of the growth. On the other

    hand there are serious challenges for the

    government and policy makers in emerging

    economies. The higher rates of growth

    coupled with higher rates of interest in

    emerging economies, are already attracting

    hot capital ows. This is putting upward

    pressure on their currencies. Over the last

    two years or so, most of the currencies of

    developing countries have increased in value

    signicantly against the US dollar. Brazil

    provides a good case, where the Brazilian

    Real has risen by nearly 40% against the

    US dollar prompting the government to

    actively intervene in the currency markets.

    The Brazilian banks have been directed

    to hold higher reserves against their

    foreign exchange positions and

    the tax rate on income earned

    by foreign investors from Real

    denominated bonds has been

    doubled to 4%. Excessive liquidity

    created by quantitative easing

    pursued by developed economies

    including the US and the UK has led

    to spiralling commodity prices. Ination

    rates in emerging economies have

    increased and a steep increase in food

    prices is posing a serious threat to policy

    challenges and economic gains.

    The nancial crisis has exposed the

    hazards of excessive dependence on debt.

    The credit crisis has provided signicant

    insights into the short-sighted businesspractices of the nancial services industry

    in general and the banking sector in

    particular. Banks which generously

    offered credit to nancial markets

    and the corporate sector, have now

    become highly risk averse. Furthermore,

    the emerging economies of India and

    China require huge investments in

    water systems, transport, infrastructure,

    housing and power generation. These

    economies do not have high levels of

    capital accumulation and therefore to

    nance the growth, capital from other

    parts of the world must ow to emerging

    economies. These developments bring

    signicant implications for businesses

    in the developed economies. First

    and foremost, availability of capital in

    developed economies will be scarcer

    as it will be directed to the growing

    emerging economies. Consequently,

    less supply of capital will lead to higher

    costs and access to credit will be

    increasingly challenging. Secondly, high

    saving developing economies have been

    an important source of capital for the

    developed world for many decades.

    However as these economies grow

    and the standard of living improves,

    GlobalPower

    ShiftThe global fnancial crisis has accelerated theshit in economic power rom the developed

    to the developing economies.

    by Sunil PoshakwaleProessor o International Finance

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    by Dr Liz Lee-KelleySenior Lecturer

    Programme and Project Management

    ProjectManagers:

    Lessons Learned?

    roject management has shifted

    from its traditional base in

    industries such as aerospace,

    engineering and construction to

    become a core process across a variety

    of sectors such as transport, IT and

    pharmaceuticals. Companies that are

    struggling to stay competitive, especially

    in these difcult times, are turning

    to project managements task-based

    approach of getting things done

    on-time and on budget. For many,

    projects are now part of everyday

    business life and most people will nd

    themselves managing a project or

    being part of a project team at some

    point in their working life. The terms

    project and programme have become

    associated with company initiatives

    of varying complexities ranging from

    moving ofce to marketing the launch of

    a new generation of products.

    In the public sector, policy

    implementation and the acquisition

    and management of equipment and

    services are managed as projects and

    programmes. Yet year after year, the

    National Audit Ofce (NAO) and Public

    Accounts Committee, report huge

    overruns in time and cost, bringing into

    question not only project governance

    but the governments ability to deliver

    value for money. The media have

    been quick to publicise the failure of

    high prole projects such as the NHS

    programme to digitise patient records.

    Reported as one of the largest IT

    programmes in the world at 6.2bn,

    it was criticised for the lack of

    stakeholder involvement and for being

    severely delayed and overspent.

    The failure of the Child Support

    Agencys (CSA) new IT system, CS2,

    was another highly publicised asco. It

    launched in 2006 despite having known

    critical defects. Three years later, the

    NAO found more than 1,000 reported

    problems, 400 of which appeared

    insoluble. Vertex Data Science

    Limited was recruited to try and

    reduce the ba cklog of case s. The Work

    and Pensions Committee estimated

    the cost of managing the clerical cases

    alone to be around 3.7m per month.

    In both these cases, failure can be

    attributed to a lack of transparency

    and accountability, poor planning,

    inadequate management information

    and a breakdown in communication

    with key contractors.

    Projects and programmes are now

    commonplace in both the private and

    public sector. Large, more established

    project-based organisations will

    adopt methodologies that are aligned

    with one of the professional bodies.

    For government projects, specic

    procedures or frameworks are

    provided by the relevant government

    agency or the Ofce of Government

    Commerce. Many will also operate

    their own centre of excellence

    or academy to deliver project

    management training and develop

    their project staff.

    The processes used in a

    only one of a host of inte

    external stresses and dem

    project managers and the

    to cope with. Closer exa

    the problems that the N

    CSA faced, reveals that p

    context, structure, techn

    stakeholder relational dy

    economics, politics and e

    all have a role in the proj

    seems 21st century proje

    is about the capacity for

    performance in a messy,

    uncertain world.

    An observation from our

    with professional institut

    and public sector sponso

    appreciation of the need

    holistic approach to proje

    and soft sides of project

    are essentially two-sides

    has been a notable shift i

    accept that project mana

    capability encompasses m

    how to do projects. Effec

    will have developed the c

    ability to fathom and pro

    the unintended conseque

    accompany every decisio

    new generation of manag

    trained and supported, n

    with people and processe

    management may nally b

    a profession.

    For urther inormation con

    at [email protected]

    P

    MF

    S P R I N G 2 0 11 MF2 MF

    Companies that are struggling to stay competitive, especially

    in these difcult times, are turning to project managements

    task-based approach o getting things done on-time and

    on budget.

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    he nancial crisis has

    left many countries with

    signicant national debt and

    consequently public sector budgets are

    under pressure. This is having a major

    impact on the ability of governments

    to deliver public services and so

    governments are facing the question:

    how can the availability and quality of

    public services be maintained at the

    same time as saving costs? Innovation

    can play a key role in addressing this

    question and this article focuses on

    a particular form of innovation - new

    partnerships between the public sectorand commercial organisations, which

    we term commercialisation.

    This article discusses how such

    partnerships can be stimulated, and

    the barriers that must be overcome to

    achieve commercialisation.

    T

    Innovation is something that many governments strive to

    support, in both the private and public sectors. By bridging

    the two sectors and creating novel partnerships, public

    sector expenditure can be reduced.

    An important issue is the nature of

    innovation in public sector organisations,

    as this is often misunderstood. The

    denition of innovation most frequently

    used by the UK government is the

    successful exploitation of new ideas,

    but this is too generic to support

    public sector organisations that want

    to innovate. More clarity is needed.

    There are of course different levels

    of innovation, from incremental

    (changes to existing services) to radical

    (creating new services or completely

    new ways of delivering services), and

    transformational (innovation whichcompletely changes the way the system

    works). Much of the innovation in the

    UK public sector is incremental, for

    example the improvement of service

    delivery, or the reduction of costs

    through outsourcing.

    However, although incremental innovation

    is important, it will be more radical

    innovations that are needed to ease the

    pressure on public sector budgets. Until

    now, partnerships with the private sector

    have mainly been based on nancial

    initiatives but commercialisation opens up

    new opportunities.

    Commercialisation is different in that

    it looks to combine the capabilities of

    public and private partners in a unique

    way that enables the generation of new

    services (which neither partner could

    develop alone), and in a way that therevenues are shared (allowing a nancial

    advantage for the public sector). In our

    research we have looked in detail at

    how such successful partnerships arose

    and the new services that resulted

    (see Figure 1).

    InnovateCollaborateto

    In 2001 the Met Ofce started developing

    a method to predict the level of demand

    for healthcare, based on weather

    conditions (for example, cold weather

    makes certain respiratory conditions

    much worse). A free-of-charge service

    for hospital emergency departments was

    launched that helped them predict the

    changes in demand for their services.

    However, when government funding ran

    out and hospitals were asked to pay for the

    service, the vast majority stopped using it.

    A chance meeting at a 2006 conference

    led to the Met Ofce starting discussions

    with Medixine, a small Finnish tele-health

    company. Working together, they created

    an automated telephone system that

    alerts at-risk patients of upcoming adverse

    weather conditions, asks if they have

    adequate medication, and advises them to

    wrap up warm and stay indoors.

    This service has proved a big success,

    with around 40,000 patients now signed

    up. Medixine market the service and

    gain revenue for every patient they sign

    up, which is shared with the Met Ofce.

    In addition, the NHS benets from a

    signicant reduction in costly hospital

    admissions. The service demonstrates

    that both public sector and

    commercial partners can benet

    from commercialisation.

    Figure 1 - Met Ofce case studyby Keith Gofn

    Professor of Innovation and New Product Development

    Dr David BaxterSenior Research Fellow in Innovation

    Dr Magnus SchoemanVisiting Fellow

    Commercialisation holds

    a number of projects, like

    Ofce example, have sho

    relationships with comm

    can lead to signicant and

    revenues. However, there

    barriers to successful imp

    To investigate these we c

    a survey of UK civil serva

    results showed that com

    partnerships are perceive

    servants to be of growing

    However, the respondent

    survey also perceived tha

    conicts of interest, low

    and a lack of experience

    such relationships were h

    public sector. In particular

    that there was not enoug

    available to public sector

    how to make commercia

    Innovation is something t

    governments strive to su

    both the private and publ

    bridging the two sectors

    novel partnerships, public

    expenditure can be reduc

    offers a real alternative to

    public assets. It will rema

    whether the government

    most of this opportunity.

    For urther inormation co

    authors at k.gofn@cran

    [email protected]

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    Howard Dickel, BTs Delivery Programme Director or London 2012, who

    completed the Executive MSc in Programme and Project Management

    at Cranfeld talks about how BT will deliver the world's largest sporting

    event around the globe.

    Alumni interview:Howard Dickel (MSc PPM 2010)

    by Stephen Hoare

    OlympicChallenge

    icture the scene. It is the 2012 Olympic Games, a British athlete

    is leading the feld in the mens 100 metre sprint. It is a dramaticmoment. Suddenly your TV screen goes blank as broadcasts around

    the world lose sound and pictures. By the time normal service is

    restored the race is over and you and millions o others will have

    missed a historic moment when a world record has been smashed.

    The scenario is BTs Delivery Programme Director or London

    2012, Howard Dickels worst nightmare. He stresses: There is no

    project more important to BT. In terms o the sheer visibility, political

    importance and reputational damage to the brand i we get it wrong.

    PAn

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    Combining internet protocol

    telephony, with high speed bre

    optic packet switching and wireless

    networks, BTs communications

    services are not necessarily

    state-of-the-art, but use tried and

    tried technology where reliability is

    key. BTs remit is to provide xed and

    mobile phone communications and

    sound and pictures to and from the

    main Olympic Park in London and 94

    related venues across the UK.

    Responsibility for ensuring

    communications is aligned to clients

    needs rests on Howards shoulders.

    He and his team consult fully with

    client representatives and with

    technology partners like Atos

    Origin, Omega, Cisco, Panasonic

    and Acer before the technicalspecications are drawn up and

    commissioning begins.

    From April 2011until the start of the

    Games in 2012,BT will be conducting

    a series of dry runs to check systems.

    In charge of stakeholder

    relationships for BTs London 2012

    delivery programme, Howard must

    liaise closely with the London

    Organising Committee of the

    Olympic Games and Paralympic

    Games (LOCOG), its chairman

    Lord Coe, all venues for the Games,

    international sports bodies and

    the worlds press and broadcast

    media. BT is tasked with installing

    and operating the broadband and

    wireless communications needed

    to bring the Games to an estimated

    5 billion viewers and listeners

    around the world.

    Well before London was chosen

    to host the 2012 Games, BT was a

    partner in the bidding process. BTs

    technical capability was a crucial

    factor underpinning Londons

    bid and is a source of national

    pride for BT and its staff. It was

    unthinkable we would have the

    Games without BT being involved.

    As the Games ofcial

    communications services partner,

    BTs involvement has clearly dened

    stages. Howard explains: We

    will move through the design to

    delivery phase to the operational

    phase and then a close-down phase.

    As BT gears up for the opening of

    the Games on 27 July 2012, 800 BT

    staff who Howard refers to as the

    Squad will be temporarily assigned

    to manage communications services

    for the1

    7 days of Olympic and12

    days of Paralympic sporting events.

    This includes the appointment of

    112 venue telecoms managers.

    The high visibility role is expected

    to propel peoples careers like

    athletes from the starting blocks.

    The test events, some held in private,

    some high prole, like the three

    day gymnastics contest at which 15

    countries will participate at the O2

    Arena in January 2012, may expose

    technical glitches which can then

    be xed ahead of time. The 100

    metre race takes just over nine

    seconds. A three second outage right

    in the middle of the race would be

    unthinkable. Our operation is mission

    critical in every respect, says Howard.

    Following an exhaustive risk

    assessment, BT has installed resilient

    high speed broadband cables to

    serve the Olympic Park, each routed

    independently around London. There

    is also back-up services within the

    venues themselves.

    Appointed in 2008 specically to play

    a key role in the Olympic delivery

    programme, Howard was sent by his

    employers to study the behind-the-

    scenes technology at the Beijing Games

    and the Vancouver Winter Olympics.

    BT has tried hard to draw on the

    accumulated wisdom from companies

    involved in previous Games. They

    sponsored Howard through

    Cranelds part-time executive

    MSc in programme and project

    management. He says: Theres a

    huge amount of pride within BT and

    a determination to get things right. I

    thoroughly enjoyed the three years I

    spent at Craneld and I did my thesis

    on the transfer of knowledge from

    one Olympic Games to the next.

    From his ofce on the 37th oor of

    a Canary Wharf ofce block, Howard

    points out of the window at an

    adjacent high rise building: Thats

    Lord Coes ofce. LOCOG have

    got three sets of ofces all within

    a few minutes walk. Face to facemeetings are the best way of getting

    things done.

    Howard takes the pressures of the

    job in his stride and says half jokingly:

    I have everyone from the CEO

    downwards marking my homework

    on a regular basis. Performance

    management involves quarterly

    review meetings with BTs chief

    nance ofcer, regular meetings with

    operational management as well as six

    monthly audits.

    So what management lessons can be

    learned from Howards leadership

    experience? In charge of a business

    unit focusing on client delivery, he

    manages a current team of150

    with a dozen direct reports. It is a

    level of leadership akin to running a

    medium sized company and it is the

    entrepreneurial nature of the job that

    Howard loves the most:

    There are few roles where you

    have such a connection with the

    customer. It keeps you focused onthe real world.

    Howard is at heart a programme

    manager whose skill is in delivering

    many intertwined projects all coming

    together at once.

    He does not profess t

    technical or technolog

    He makes his expecta

    clear: Ive hand picked

    my team especially the

    management roles. I h

    deliberately avoided a

    structure. If there is so

    the relevant knowledg

    below me, I let them l

    particular situation.

    Howard says he can app

    at times: Its not such a

    show a bit of passion. H

    never been involved in a

    there has been such a d

    emotional connection w

    Many of them tell me th

    interesting project theyv

    on. You just cant put a pkind of commitment.

    Ive never been involved in a project where there

    has been such a direct and emotional connection with t

    people. Many of them tell me this is the most interesting

    project theyve ever worked on. You just cant put a pric

    that kind of commitment.

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    When you have nished with this magazine, please recycle it

    For more than 40 years, Craneld School of Management, a world leader in management education and

    research, has been helping individuals and businesses learn and succeed by transforming knowledge into action.

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