Mainstreet Technologies - Ontario Issues May

The poll surveyed a random sample of 2,553 Ontario residents by Smart IVR on May 25th, 2015.

Mainstreet surveyed a mix of landlines and cell phones. Margin of error +/- 1.94%, 19/20.

ONTARIO ISSUES[MAY 2015]

ONTARIANS GRADE PUBLIC EDUCATION A B; SUPPORT TEACHERS

May 27th, 2015. A new Mainstreet Technologies poll of 2,553 Ontarians finds support for back to work legislation - though Ontarians side with teachers over the provincial government. When Ontarians were asked to grade Ontarios education system most awarded a B. The poll carries a margin of error of +/- 1.94%, 19/20.

"A majority of Ontarians support the back to work legislation being debated in the legislature but that support is lower in the three areas aected by current strikes, said Quito Maggi, president of Mainstreet Technologies. Though the strikes have now been ruled illegal, there are far ranging consequences for the upcoming school year if a new contract cant be signed over the summer.

There is good news for both sides from our findings. The good news for the government is that a majority of Ontarians support back to work legislation and think teachers are compensated fairly. The good news for teachers is that a majority support the union in the dispute, especially in the areas most aected by the strikes. Ontarians are also opposed to lifting the cap on class sizes.

"Most Ontarians are content with the public education system, awarding a B grade - though one in four Ontarians grade the system a C. Ontarians are sending the message there is room for improvement," he finished.

Highlights:- 56% approve of back to work legislation; 53% oppose lifting caps on class sizes- Most Ontarians, 51%, side with teachers in the ongoing labour dispute- In areas aected by the strike (905 and North) support for teachers is higher (66%)- Ontarians grade the public education system a B at 38% with C at 25%- 51% say teachers are being paid the right amount

-30-For more information:David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - [email protected] Available for interview from Toronto:Quito Maggi, [email protected]

DetailsThe poll surveyed a random sample of 2,553 Ontario residents by Smart IVR on May 25th, 2015. Mainstreet polled a mixture of home phones and cell phones.

About Mainstreet TechnologiesMainstreet Technologies is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

High School Teachers in Durham region, Peel Region and Sudbury are currently on strike as teachers unions negotiate a new labour agreement with the province. How closely have you been following this story?

BREAKDOWNS18-3438%34%11%5%11%253

35-4945%31%20%2%1%

538

50-6422%43%20%11%5%868

65+22%44%15%16%3%894

Female33%36%18%7%5%

1292

Male33%38%15%8%5%1261

VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARESAMPLE

VERY CLOSELYSOMEWHAT CLOSELYNOT TOO CLOSELYNOT AT ALL CLOSELYNOT AWARESAMPLE

41631%36%19%9%6%653

90541%41%8%6%3%479

SC29%35%22%8%6%416

SW27%34%23%9%7%274

East30%35%21%8%6%489

North36%45%9%8%2%242

33%

37%

17%

8%

5%

Very CloselySomewhat CloselyNot Too Closely

Not At All CloselyNot Aware

Ontario is introducing back to work legislation to end the ongoing strikes. The government says this is necessary to save the school year while teachers charge the government would rather legislate than negotiate. Do you approve or disapprove of back to work legislation to end the teachers strike?

BREAKDOWNS18-3445%11%12%38%5%253

35-4945%23%13%32%3%538

50-6439%11%8%

26%7%868

65+56%9%14%11%2%894

Female48%11%11%27%3%

1292

Male43%11%12%31%4%1261

STRONGLY APPROVESOMEWHAT APPROVESOMEWHAT DISAPPROVESTRONGLY DISAPPROVENOT SURESAMPLE


41648%11%12%25%4%653

90532%10%13%42%3%479

SC54%11%10%21%3%416

SW57%12%9%19%3%274

East51%11%11%23%4%489

North29%11%14%43%4%242

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

45%

11%

11%

29%

3%

One issue in the negotiations is class size caps. School boards want to lift class size caps to allow larger classes which they say is necessary for flexibility, teachers are opposed and say larger classes threaten the education of students. Do you approve or disapprove of lifting class size caps?

BREAKDOWNS18-34

5%20%18%29%29%253

35-4914%16%10%52%8%538

50-6417%18%22%35%7%868

65+20%23%15%28%14%894

Female13%19%16%37%15%1292

Male14%18%16%38%14%1261



41614%19%18%36%13%653

90511%19%14%40%16%479

SC16%18%17%35%15%416

SW15%18%17%35%14%274

East15%18%16%37%13%489

North11%22%14%36%17%242

13%

19%

16%

37%

15%

Strongly ApproveSomewhat Approve

Somewhat DisapproveStrongly Disapprove

Not Sure

From everything you have seen, heard or read, whose side do you favor: the teachers, or the provincial government?

BREAKDOWNS18-3461%11%11%12%5%253

35-4958%23%8%7%4%538

50-6442%36%10%3%10%868

65+38%31%13%8%10%894

Female49%26%11%7%7%

1292

Male53%23%10%7%7%

1261

THE TEACHERSTHE PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENTBOTH EQUALLYNEITHERNOT SURESAMPLE

THE TEACHERSTHE PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENTBOTH EQUALLYNEITHERNOT SURESAMPLE

41647%26%11%8%7%653

90566%16%9%4%6%479

SC42%30%10%10%7%416

SW41%31%12%9%7%274

East44%28%10%11%7%489

North66%17%9%3%5%242

24%

10%

7%

7%

The Teachers

The Provincial Government

Both Equally

Neither

Not Sure

And, from everything you have seen, heard or read do you think, on average, public school teachers in Ontario are paid too much, too little, or about the right amount?

BREAKDOWNS18-3414%20%54%13%253

35-4924%26%46%4%538

50-6421%15%55%9%868

65+26%12%48%14%894

Female21%19%52%9%

1292

Male20%19%50%10%1261

TOO MUCHTOO LITTLERIGHT AMOUNTNOT SURESAMPLE

TOO MUCHTOO LITTLERIGHT AMOUNTNOT SURESAMPLE

41621%17%52%10%653

90518%23%50%9%479

SC23%16%50%10%416

SW23%15%52%10%274

East21%18%51%10%489

North19%23%47%10%242

19%

10%

Too Much

Too Little

Right Amount

Not Sure

BREAKDOWNS18-3414%51%10%20%5%8%253

35-4914%35%28%11%5%6%538

50-645%

30%37%17%6%16%868

65+7%

36%25%9%7%4%894

Female10%38%23%15%6%7%

1292

Male10%38%26%14%5%6%1261

ABCDFNOT SURESAMPLE

ABCDFNOT SURESAMPLE

41610%37%25%14%6%7%653

90512%43%20%14%3%8%479

SC9%35%29%15%8%4%416

SW9%

34%28%16%9%5%274

East9%35%26%17%7%6%489

North11%

44%21%12%2%10%242

And if you had to assign a grade of A, B, C, D or F, where A is excellent and F is very poor, how would you grade the quality of the public school system in Ontario?

10% 38% 25% 15% 6% 7%

SCRIPT

Q1. High School Teachers in Durham region, Peel Region and Sudbury are currently on strike as teachers unions negotiate a new labour agreement with the province. How closely have you been following this story?

Very closely Somewhat closely Not too closely Not at all closely Not aware of this story

Q2. Ontario is introducing back to work legislation to end the ongoing strikes. The government says this is necessary to save the school year while teachers charge the government would rather legislate than negotiate. Do you approve or disapprove of back to work legislation to end the teachers strike?

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Not sure

Q3. One issue in the negotiations is class size caps. School boards want to lift class size caps to allow larger classes which they say is necessary for flexibility, teachers are opposed and say larger classes threaten the education of students. Do you approve or disapprove of lifting class size caps?


Q4. From everything you have seen, heard or read; whose side do you favor: the teachers, or the provincial government?

Teachers The provincial government Both equally Neither Not sure

Q5. And, from everything you have seen, heard or read do you think, on average, public school teachers in Ontario are paid too much, too little, or about the right amount?

Too much Too little About the right amount Not sure

Q6. And if you had to assign a grade of A, B, C, D or F, where A is excellent and F is very poor, how would you grade the quality of the public school system in Ontario?

A B C D F Not sure

Q1. High School Teachers in Durham region, Peel Region and Sudbury are currently on strike as teachers unions negotiate a new labour agreement with the province. How closely have you been following this story?

Very closely Somewhat closely Not too closely Not at all closely Not aware of this story

Q2. Ontario is introducing back to work legislation to end the ongoing strikes. The government says this is necessary to save the school year while teachers charge the government would rather legislate than negotiate. Do you approve or disapprove of back to work legislation to end the teachers strike?


Q3. One issue in the negotiations is class size caps. School boards want to lift class size caps to allow larger classes which they say is necessary for flexibility, teachers are opposed and say larger classes threaten the education of students. Do you approve or disapprove of lifting class size caps?


Q4. From everything you have seen, heard or read; whose side do you favor: the teachers, or the provincial government?

Teachers The provincial government Both equally Neither Not sure

SCRIPT (CONT.)

Q5. And, from everything you have seen, heard or read do you think, on average, public school teachers in Ontario are paid too much, too little, or about the right amount?

Too much Too little About the right amount Not sure

Q6. And if you had to assign a grade of A, B, C, D or F, where A is excellent and F is very poor, how would you grade the quality of the public school system in Ontario?

A B C D F Not sure

Mainstreet Technologies - Ontario Issues May

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