Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and...

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Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service Arctic GOOS meeting Bergen 12 & 13 September 2006 GMES P.Bahurel, MERCATOR OCEAN, on behalf of the MERSEA IP group

Transcript of Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and...

Page 1: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions

Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to

the Marine Core Service

Arctic GOOS meeting

Bergen 12 & 13 September 2006

GMES

P.Bahurel, MERCATOR OCEAN,on behalf of the MERSEA IP group

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www.mersea.eu.orgOutlines

A project, MERSEA IP

A service, the Marine Core Service (MCS)

Link with Arctic GOOS

Page 3: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

www.mersea.eu.orgBackground

The ocean & ice modelling community An integrated approach : data (space & in situ), modelling

and assimilation

GOOS and EuroGOOS European projects and national initiatives

The GODAE international experiment: 1997-2008 …

The European GMES program : 2001-2008++

The MERSEA Projects (EC) : – MERSEA Strand 1 : 2002-2003– MERSEA Integrated Project : 2004-2008

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R&DMonitoring & Forecasting

The MERSEA Integrated

Project

A GMES/EC project

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www.mersea.eu.org

MERSEA Integrated ProjectKey messages

MERSEA IP has developed the first European Integrated System for ocean global & regional ocean monitoring & forecasting– One single integrated system, with different components– Version 1 is running

MERSEA IP priority is a « European (inter-national) added-value » for ocean applications and users

The Arctic region is a key area of implementation

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www.mersea.eu.orgThe MERSEA Integrated Project

R&D project funded under 6th FP

of the European Commission

4-year project (2004 –2008)

38 contractors, 16 countries (or Int.

Org.)

Coordination : IFREMER, France ;

Y.Desaubies

Development of a European system for operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean physics, biogeochemistry, and ecosystems, on global and regional scales

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MERSEA IP scope

Ocean physics (ice incl.), biogeochemistry and ecosystems

A global system, with regional enhancements in European seas

To elaborate reference datasets based on observations and/or model

Useful to a wide range of applications– Coastal to Climate

– Research to Operational

– Institutional and commercial

A group of experienced teams connected to– Operational centres

– Observation (sapce & in situ) agencies

– Downstream applications

– Research community

– International networks (GOOS, EuroGOOS, …)

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www.mersea.eu.org

Seeking for European Integration

Topaz, NoFoam, UK

DMI, Dk

MFS, It

Mercator, Fr

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www.mersea.eu.org One single « Integrated System »

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www.mersea.eu.org A « system of systems »

3 Observation Data Components

5 Model Data Components

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www.mersea.eu.org

Area I : Global OceanArea II : North East AtlanticArea III : ArcticArea IV : Baltic SeaArea V : Mediterranean Sea

1

2

3

4

5

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viewing … Surface Temperature (Global Ocean, model forecast)

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www.mersea.eu.org

viewing … Ocean Color (Global Ocean, observation)

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www.mersea.eu.org

viewing … In Situ Observation Locations (Global Ocean, Observations)

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www.mersea.eu.org

viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (Global Ocean, model forecast)

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viewing … 100 m Depth Salinity (zooms in the Global Ocean, model forecast)

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Area 1Global Area 2

North East Atlantic

Area 3Arctic

Area 4Baltic

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Observations

Model

viewing … North East Atlantic (different fields, model & observations)

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1

2

3

4

5

www.mersea.eu.org

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Operational Monitoring & Forecasting

The Marine Core Service

The GMES Ocean Fast-track service

GMES

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www.mersea.eu.org

Marine Core Service (MCS)Key messages

Transition to a European “Marine Core Service” is now doable, requested by users, and decided by GMES stakeholders.

The focus is – the delivery on an operational basis, – at global and regional scales, – of the reference ocean & ice information – requested by marine and ocean-linked applications to develop their

activities

The GMES target is 2008. The MERSEA team is committed to turn towards this objective.

The first version of the MCS is available on a demonstration basis.

Connections with Arctic providers, experts, service providers, and users have now to be reinforced. NERSC is the coordinator.

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Satelliteand in situnetworks

Marine Core

Service

Marine Core

Service

Marine Downstream

Services

Marine Downstream

Services

GMES Marine

OperationalUsers

GMESService outputs(others)

Core information

(ocean state)

User customizedinformation

(user products)

GMES input information (raw data)

MCSThe GMES stakeholders definition

From : Workshop on GMES Marine Core Service ; Brussels – October 27-28, 2005

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Downstream areas of benefit

“The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services.”

Climate Marine Environment Seasonal and weather

forecasting Offshore Maritime transport and

safety Fisheries Research General Public

Page 24: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

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Downstream: areas of benefit

“The MCS will provide the common denominator data for all users in the marine sector, in other words the information for existing & new downstream services.”

Climate Marine Environment Seasonal and weather

forecasting Offshore Maritime transport and

safety Fisheries Research General Public A downstream application (oil spill drift, during

Prestige accident) run by Met.No (courtesy B.Hackett)

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Core Service: Service Lines

“The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas.”.

Operational Production of Ocean Core Data– T,S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a

Dissemination of Products– Standard and easy access to users

Assessment and expertise– Quality and human expertise

Tools dev. & maintenance– Model, assimilation, data handling

Coordination with research– Ensure links operational/research

Page 26: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

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Core Service: Service Lines

“The MCS should deliver regular and systematic reference information (processed data, elaborated model products) on the state of the oceans and regional seas: at the resolution required by intermediate users & downstream service providers, of known quality and accuracy, for the global and European regional seas.”.

Operational Production of Ocean Core Data– T,S, UV, SSH, ice, Chl-a

Dissemination of Products– Standard and easy access to users

Assessment and expertise– Quality and human expertise

Tools dev. & maintenance– Model, assimilation, data handling

Coordination with research– Ensure links operational/research

Page 27: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

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Core Service: Service Lines

Assessment, a range of international metrics

XBT linesMOORINGS

GLOSS TAO PIRATA

Model/Tide gauge SLA time series comparison

SOOP

MFS MODEL T XBT Observed T

MODEL/OBS comparison

WOCE CLIVAR CANADIAN SECTIONS

MODEL/WOCE-CLIVAR SECTION

VOLUME TRANSPORT across FLORIDA Strait :MODEL/CABLE Comparison

SECTIONS and TRANSPORT

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Core Service: Service Lines

Assessment, a range of international metrics

Class 1Arctic sea ice extent

Class 2Arctic MooringsClass 2

Arctic SectionsColl. NERSC/Mercator

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Conclusion

The MCS and Arctic GOOS

GMES

Page 30: Main components of monitoring and forecasting in Arctic and sub-Arctic regions Modelling and Forecasting capacity From MERSEA IP to the Marine Core Service.

www.mersea.eu.orgThe MCS and Arctic GOOS

The Arctic GOOS and the GMES Marine Core Service are complementary inititiatives

– MCS is focussed on the operational delivery of a reference and “core” information, for the benefit of all Arctic GOOS partners to develop their expertise and activities

– Arctic GOOS provides a unique network of experts, scientists and data/service providers in the Arctic region, to contribute to and add value to the MCS.

MCS and Arctic GOOS (IPY) timescales fit perfectly. We have an excellent opportunity to build an exemplary

situation, for the benefit of all international users.

The precise definition of the MCS service for the Arctic region is our priority.– See S.Sandven and J.Johannessen talks.