MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre...

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MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006, Bergen, NERSC, ARCTIC GOOS meeting

Transcript of MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre...

Page 1: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

MERCATOR OCEAN

French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting

Contribution to Arctic GOOS

Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC

MERCATOR OCEAN

12 September 2006, Bergen, NERSC, ARCTIC GOOS meeting

Page 2: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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MERCATOR OCEAN devoted to Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting

SATELLITE

In SITU

MODELFORECAST

Ocean observations 3D modelling Real-time Data Assimilation

A progressive implementation

From Research to Operations

A 10-year project 19952001 2003

2005

Operational forecasting since 2001 A public company since 2002, entirely

devoted to ocean forecasting

Kick-off First bulletin1/3° N.Atlantic

High res.1/15° N.Atlantic

and Med Sea

Global ocean Coverage ¼°

Page 3: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

www.mercator.eu.orgMercator Ocean forecasts online

Page 4: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Example : the Sept 6 Bulletin (Forecast for Sept 19)

Page 5: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Example : the Sept 6 Bulletin (Forecast for Sept 19)

Page 6: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

www.mercator.eu.orgMercator Ocean and the Arctic

The Global Ocean ¼° forecasting system

– Version 1• ¼° Global Ocean NEMO model ; • assimilation of sea surface height (altimetry) ; • operational since october 2005

– Version 2• ¼° Global Ocean NEMO model + Louvain Ice Model • assimilation of sea surface height + in situ T/S + SST; • Under development ; operational in 2007

Page 7: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Multi-data (SST, SLA and in situ T/S profiles) and multivariate assimilation (SEEK filter analysis method)

+Global Coupled Ocean-Ice Model (NEMO/LIM2)¼° ORCA grid resolution(Arctic and Nordic Seas : 8-18 km) ; 50 oceanic vertical levels (1m at the surface); 3 levels in viscous-plastic sea ice model.Runoffs (Iennissei, McKenzie, Ob, Lena, …)

+ECMWF atmospheric forecasts and analysis

+Monitoring and ForecastingReal-time operations

Mercator Grid. Horizontal resolution in km

Global Ocean Prediction system Version 2 with ice model (2007)

Page 8: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Arctic and Nordic seas circulation

Ability to reproduce the complex circulation in the semi-enclosed Arctic basin.

Mercator Ocean ¼° Global ocean output

Surface current (m/s)

Page 9: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Arctic and Nordic seasSea ice

Observations Cersat/Ifremer(12.5km)

Sea ice concentration – Mean March 2001

Model (Ocean+LIM2)MERCATOR (1/4°)

Page 10: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Arctic and Nordic seasSea ice, concentration and thickness

Mercator ¼° Global ocean model in the Arctic – Mean March 2001

Sea ice concentration Sea ice thickness

Page 11: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

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Arctic and Nordic seasSurface energy and Freshwater budgets

Exchanges between the upper ocean and atmosphere through the sea-ice cover and through open water (leads/polynyas)

An example from Mercator/Antarctica coastal polynias

Katabatic winds

Sea ice concentration

Sea ice production

Realistic representation of the Prydz Bay polynia lifecyle.

Page 12: MERCATOR OCEAN French Global Ocean Monitoring and Forecasting Contribution to Arctic GOOS Pierre BAHUREL & Gilles GARRIC MERCATOR OCEAN 12 September 2006,

www.mercator.eu.orgConclusion & Related activities

A global operational forecasting system available– MERCATOR OCEAN will upgrade in 2007 its operational ¼° global ocean system, to

extend its real-time monitoring and forecasting capacity to sea ice. – First outputs in the Arctic region are very encouraging.

Science– Investment on ocean/ice modelling (G.Garric)– Systematic comparison with observations (coll. IFREMER) and error analysis

Assimilation in sea ice– Implementation of sea ice-related metrics in the operational system (coll. NERSC)

IPY– Collaboration with Canada (IPY ; inter-comparison of sea ice models – Canadian

Archipelago)– Connected to DAMOCLES IP

MERSEA, GMES and MCS– MERCATOR OCEAN, active partner of the MERSEA IP, deeply involved in the

transition to an operational Marine Core Service– MERCATOR OCEAN is operating the European global ocean system– Contribution to the Arctic is build through NERCS coordination. Strong collaboration

Mercator Ocean / NERSC to set up the relevant operational service.

MERCATOR OCEAN is ready and willing to contribute to the Arctic GOOS initiative

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ContactsLook at our products on the website

www.mercator.eu.org

Ask for products

[email protected]

Contact our ice model expert

[email protected]

Contact me

[email protected]