Luca Brocca seminario trento
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Transcript of Luca Brocca seminario trento
[email protected] http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it
Luca Broccaand many others
Research Institute for Geo-Hydrological Protection, National Research Council, Perugia, Italy
Floods
Landslides
RainfallIn situ validation
USE OF SATELLITE SOIL MOISTURE DATA FOR HYDROLOGICAL
APPLICATIONS
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Importance of soil moisture
Campo et al. (2006, HYP)
Casentino basincentral Italy
30% increase of soil moisture produces a 8-fold increase of peak discharge!
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Importance of soil moisture
Campo et al. (2006, HYP)
Casentino basincentral Italy
30% increase of soil moisture produces a 8-fold increase of peak discharge!
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Importance of soil moisture
Campo et al. (2006, HYP)
Casentino basincentral Italy
30% increase of soil moisture produces a 8-fold increase of peak discharge!
Runoff generationBrocca et al. (2010, HESS)
Landslide triggeringBrocca et al. (2012, RS)
Numerical Weather PredictionDharssi et al. (2011, HESS)
Erosion modelling
Nearing et al. (2005, CAT)
Plant productionBolten et al. (2010, JSTARS)
Water quality modellingHan et al. (2012, HYP)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil moisture is needed by all GEO Social Benefit Areas and was ranked the second top priority parameter (behind precipitation) in a year 2010 GEO report on "Critical Earth Observation Priorities".
http://sbageotask.larc.nasa.gov/US-09-01a_SummaryBrochure.pdf
Need for soil moisture
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil moisture monitoring
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
IN SITU(TDR, FDR, Gravimetric, Geophysical methods)
REMOTE SENSING (AMSR-E, SAR, Scatterometer,
ASCAT, SMOS, SMAP...)
HYDROLOGICAL MODELLING
Soil moisture monitoring
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Experimental Catchment
Soil moisture monitoring
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
LaboratoryExperimental Catchment
TDR and FDR continuous monitoring probes
TDR spot measurements
Soil moisture monitoring
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil moisture monitoring
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil moisture monitoring
International Soil Moisture
Networkhttp://www.ipf.tuwien.ac.at/insitu/
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Coarse-resolution soil moisture product
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Typical catchment size for hydrological studies.
Coarse-resolution soil moisture product
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
~25 kmsatellitepixels
Typical catchment size for hydrological studies.
HYDROLOGIST
too coarse for hydrological applications !
Coarse-resolution soil moisture product
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
PLOT SCALE 400-9000 m2
CEN
TRA
L IT
ALY
Brocca et al., 2009 (GEOD)
Soil moisture temporal stability
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
PLOT SCALE 400-9000 m2
CEN
TRA
L IT
ALY
Brocca et al., 2009 (GEOD)
SMALL CATCHMENT SCALE ~50 km2
Brocca et al., 2010 (WRR)
CATCHMENT SCALE~250 km2
Brocca et al., 2012 (JoH)
Soil moisture temporal stability
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
PLOT SCALE 400-9000 m2
CEN
TRA
L IT
ALY
Brocca et al., 2009 (GEOD)
SMALL CATCHMENT SCALE ~50 km2
Brocca et al., 2010 (WRR)
CATCHMENT SCALE~250 km2
Brocca et al., 2012 (JoH)
USA
Cosh et al., 2006 (JoH)
AFRICA
de Rosnay et al., 2009 (JoH)
ASIA
Zhao et al., 2010 (HYP)
Soil moisture temporal stability
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
1990 2000 20101980
Remote sensing of soil moisture
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
1990 2000 20101980
SSM/I
Nimbus-7 Aqua
AMSR-E
TMI
TRMM
Coriolis
Windsat
METOP-A
ASCAT
SCAT
ERS-1&2
SMOS
SMAP
SMMR DMSP; F8-F16
AMSU
Remote sensing of soil moisture
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
PURPOSE
VALIDATION OF SATELLITE SOIL MOISTURE PRODUCTS WITH IN SITU OBSERVATIONS ACROSS EUROPE
USE OF SATELLITE SOIL MOISTURE PRODUCT FOR:
1. RAINFALL ESTIMATION
2. FLOOD PREDICTION AND FORECASTING
3. LANDSLIDE MOVEMENT PREDICTION
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Validation of remote sensing
soil moisture products
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Wagner et al., 1999 (RSE)
Satellite soil moisture product
• scatterometer (active microwave)• C-band (5.7 GHz)• VV polarization• resolution 50/25 km• daily coverage• 2007 - ongoing
ASCAT2007- …
Change detection algorithm takes account indirectly for surface roughness and land cover variability.
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Owe et al., 2008 (JGR)
AMSR-E2002-2011
LPRM algorithm three-parameter retrieval model (soil moisture, vegetation water content, and soil/canopy temperature) for passive microwave data based on a
• radiometer (passive microwave)• 6.9 - 10.7 - 18.7 - 36.5 GHz• HH and VV polarization• 74x43 km (6.9 GHz), 14x8 (36.5 GHz), resampled at ~25 km• daily coverage• 2002 - 2011
Satellite soil moisture product
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
“Consistent validation of H-SAF soil moisture satellite and model products against ground measurements for selected sites in Europe”
http://hsaf.meteoam.it/
In situ soil moisture network
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
In-situ soil moisture data at different depths (5, 10, 15, 30, ...) for a total of 17 sites across four different countries (Italy, France, Spain and Luxembourg).
Considering both observed and modelled data:
29 DATA SETS
In situ soil moisture network
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
ItalyVallaccia
5 cm
ASCAT
In situ validation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
ItalyVallaccia
5 cm
AMSRE-LPRMAMSRE-NASA
AMSRE-PRIASCAT
In situ validation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
ItalyVallaccia
5 cm
AMSRE-LPRMAMSRE-NASA
AMSRE-PRIASCAT
Regression matching CDF matching
In situ validation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Correlation coefficient between
all satellite products and ground data sets
Brocca et al., 2011 (RSE)
In situ validation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Correlation coefficient between
all satellite products and ground data sets
Brocca et al., 2011 (RSE)
Average R-values ~0.80
In situ validation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
In situ validation (mountain regions)
Brocca et al., 2013 (VZJ)
ITALIAN ALPS
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
In situ validation (Africa)
MOROCCO
Tramblay et al., 2012 (HESS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
In situ validation (USA)
… and in very interesting places !!!
HAWAII
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
SM2RAIN
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
R-metric
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL
Doing Hydrology Backward
Brocca et al., 2013 (GRL)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL SOIL MOISTUREInfiltration
evapotranspiration
Doing Hydrology Backward
Brocca et al., 2013 (GRL)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL SOIL MOISTUREInfiltration
evapotranspiration
Doing Hydrology Backward
Brocca et al., 2013 (GRL)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL SOIL MOISTUREInfiltration
evapotranspiration
Doing Hydrology Backward
Brocca et al., 2013 (GRL)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil water balance equation
precipitation runoffEvapo-
transpiration drainage
soil depth
relative saturation
SM2RAIN
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil water balance equation
precipitation runoffEvapo-
transpiration drainage
soil depth
relative saturation
Inverting for p(t):
SM2RAIN
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil water balance equation
precipitation runoffEvapo-
transpiration drainage
soil depth
relative saturation
Assuming: + +
Inverting for p(t):
SM2RAIN
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil water balance equation
precipitation runoffEvapo-
transpiration drainage
soil depth
relative saturation
Assuming: + +
Inverting for p(t):
SM2RAIN
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Three sites in Italy, Spain and France with hourly rainfall and soil moisture observations are
selected
SM2RAIN testing: in-situ data
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Three sites in Italy, Spain and France with hourly rainfall and soil moisture observations are
selected
Estimation of daily rainfall for 1-year data
SM2RAIN testing: in-situ data
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Three sites in Italy, Spain and France with hourly rainfall and soil moisture observations are
selected
Estimation of daily rainfall for 1-year data
Italy
Spain
France
NS=0.82
NS=0.89
NS=0.81
SM2RAIN testing: in-situ data
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Results – ASCAT SWI
Estimation of 4-day rainfall
for 4-year data
Italy
Spain
NS=0.57
NS=0.62
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
1) ASCAT TU-Wien (FTP)
2) AMSR-E LPRM - asc, desc, asc+desc (VUA)
3) ESA – CCI SM product
4) ERA-Land (ECMWF)
and
1) TRMM 3B42v7 (standard satellite rainfall product)
ASCAT GRID ~ 12.5 km
SM2RAIN testing: Italy
Brocca et al., 2013 (EGU poster)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Correlation MAPS
AMSR-E ASCAT
ESA-CCI
ERA-Land
TRMM
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Europe … Africa
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Europe … Africa
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Global scale
Brocca et al. (in preparation, NGS)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Global scale
Brocca et al. (in preparation, NGS)
SM2RAIN(ASCAT) vs TRMM
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
Brocca et al. 2009 (JoH) 2009 (JHE)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
P
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
Brocca et al. 2009 (JoH) 2009 (JHE)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
P
Rd
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
Brocca et al. 2009 (JoH) 2009 (JHE)Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
P
Rd
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
SOIL CONSERVATION
SERVICE METHOD (SCS-CN)Brocca et al. 2009 (JoH) 2009 (JHE)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
P
Rd
θ
Antecedent Wetness Conditions
SOIL CONSERVATION
SERVICE METHOD (SCS-CN)Brocca et al. 2009 (JoH) 2009 (JHE)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Tevere - PN
Cerfone
Timia
Assino
Genna
Topino
Niccone
Caina
Nestore
11 catchments100-5000 km2
ItalyTiber River
ERS SCATTEROMETER SOIL MOISTURE DATA
S vs θ relation: ERS SCAT
Brocca et al.,2009 (JoH); 2009 (JHE)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Tevere - PN
Cerfone
Timia
Assino
Genna
Topino
Niccone
Caina
Nestore
11 catchments100-5000 km2
ItalyTiber River
ERS SCATTEROMETER SOIL MOISTURE DATA
S vs θ relation: ERS SCAT
Brocca et al.,2009 (JoH); 2009 (JHE)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Tevere - PN
Cerfone
Timia
Assino
Genna
Topino
Niccone
Caina
Nestore
11 catchments100-5000 km2
ItalyTiber River
ERS SCATTEROMETER SOIL MOISTURE DATA
S vs θ relation: ERS SCAT
Brocca et al.,2009 (JoH); 2009 (JHE)
Beck et al., 2010 (JSTARS)Tramblay et al., 2010 (JoH), 2011 (NHESS)
AustraliaFrance
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
ALZETTE RIVER
Average T~17 days
S vs θ relation: ASCAT vs AMSR-E
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
TIBER RIVER ALZETTE RIVER
S vs θ relation: ASCAT vs AMSR-E
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
+0.04+0.14
TIBER RIVER ALZETTE RIVER
S vs θ relation: ASCAT vs AMSR-E
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
S vs θ relation: whole ITALY
Analysis for 50 river basins across the
whole Italian territory
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
S vs θ relation: whole ITALYTanaro River – Masio (4500 km²)
API5 ASCAT SWI
Analysis for 50 river basins across the
whole Italian territory
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
S vs θ relation: whole ITALYTanaro River – Masio (4500 km²)
API5 ASCAT SWI
Analysis for 50 river basins across the
whole Italian territory
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Tramblay et al., 2012 (HESS)
S vs θ relation: Morocco
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Tramblay et al., 2012 (HESS)
S vs θ relation: Morocco
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Simplified
SOIL MOISTURE
θ
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Continuous RR
modelling
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Simplified
SOIL MOISTURE
θ
S = a(1 - θ)
S
SOIL CONSERVATION SERVICE METHOD (SCS-
CN)
θ
S
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Continuous RR
modelling
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Simplified
SOIL MOISTURE
θ
S = a(1 - θ)
S
SOIL CONSERVATION SERVICE METHOD (SCS-
CN)
θ
S
EVENT-BASED RAINFALL-RUNOFF
MODEL
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Continuous RR
modelling
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
DIS
CH
AR
GE
Simplified
SOIL MOISTURE
θ
S = a(1 - θ)
S
SOIL CONSERVATION SERVICE METHOD (SCS-
CN)
θ
S
EVENT-BASED RAINFALL-RUNOFF
MODEL
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Continuous RR
modelling
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
SCRRM: Greece
Early Warning System for
Flood and Fire forecasting
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
SCRRM: Greece
Early Warning System for
Flood and Fire forecasting
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
SCRRM: Greece
Early Warning System for
Flood and Fire forecasting
Massari et al., 2013 (HESSD)
ASCAT
AMSR-E
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Soil moistureassimilation into rainfall-runoff
modelling
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
MISDc: "Modello Idrologico Semi-Distribuito in continuo"
W(t) S(t)
outlet discharge
upstream discharge
directly draining areaslinear reservoir IUH
EVENT-BASED RAINFALL-RUNOFF
MODEL (MISD)
subcatchmentsgeomorphological IUH
channel routingdiffusive linear approach
rainfall excessSCS-CN
e(t):evapotranspiration
f(t):infiltration
g(t):percolation
WmaxW(t)
s(t):saturationexcess
SOIL WATER BALANCE MODEL
S: soil potential maximum retentionW(t)/Wmax: saturation degree
r(t):rainfall
Brocca et al., 2011 (HYP)
Rainfall-runoff model: MISDc
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
MISDc: "Modello Idrologico Semi-Distribuito in continuo"
W(t) S(t)
outlet discharge
upstream discharge
directly draining areaslinear reservoir IUH
EVENT-BASED RAINFALL-RUNOFF
MODEL (MISD)
subcatchmentsgeomorphological IUH
channel routingdiffusive linear approach
rainfall excessSCS-CN
e(t):evapotranspiration
f(t):infiltration
g(t):percolation
WmaxW(t)
s(t):saturationexcess
SOIL WATER BALANCE MODEL
S: soil potential maximum retentionW(t)/Wmax: saturation degree
FREELY AVAILABLE !!!http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it/tools-and-files/misdc
r(t):rainfall
Brocca et al., 2011 (HYP)
Rainfall-runoff model: MISDc
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Model implemented for real time application for the
Umbria Region Civil Protection Warning
System:UPPER TIBER RIVER
Flood event of January 2010
Jan-2010
http://www.cfumbria.it/
Real time flood forecasting
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Model implemented for real time application for the
Umbria Region Civil Protection Warning
System:UPPER TIBER RIVER
Flood event of January 2010
Jan-2010
http://www.cfumbria.it/
Real time flood forecasting
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Model implemented for real time application for the
Umbria Region Civil Protection Warning
System:UPPER TIBER RIVER
Flood event of January 2010
Jan-2010
http://www.cfumbria.it/
Real time flood forecasting
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Wagner et al., 1999 (RSE)
SWI: Soil Water Indext: timeti: acquisition time of SSMtiSSMti : relative surface soil moisture [0,1]T: characteristic time length
Soil Water Index (SWI)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Wagner et al., 1999 (RSE)
SWI: Soil Water Indext: timeti: acquisition time of SSMtiSSMti : relative surface soil moisture [0,1]T: characteristic time length
SSM
SWI
Soil Water Index (SWI)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
1981
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Many studies performed synthetic experiments and tested different techniques and approaches for soil moisture assimilation into rainfall-runoff modelling.
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Many studies performed synthetic experiments and tested different techniques and approaches for soil moisture assimilation into rainfall-runoff modelling.
Aubert et al., 2003 (JoH)Francois et al., 2003 (JHM)Chen et al., 2011 (AWR)
Matgen et al., 2012 (AWR)Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS)Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
However, very few studies employed REAL-DATA ... and the improvement in runoff prediction obtained by the assimilation of soil moisture data is usually very limited.
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Many studies performed synthetic experiments and tested different techniques and approaches for soil moisture assimilation into rainfall-runoff modelling.
1. Spatial Mismatch: i.e. point ("in-situ") or coarse (satellite) measurements are compared with model predicted average quantities in space REPRESENTATIVENESS
2. Time Resolution: only recently soil moisture estimates from satellite data are available with a daily (or less) temporal resolution (even if with a coarse spatial resolution) which is required for RR applications DATA AVAILABILITY
3. Layer Depth: only the first 2-5 cm are investigated by remote sensing whereas in RR models a "bucket" layer of 1-2 m is usually simulated ONLY SURFACE LAYER
4. Accuracy: the reliability at the catchment scale of soil moisture estimates obtained through both in-situ measurements and satellite data is frequently poor TOO LOW QUALITY
Aubert et al., 2003 (JoH)Francois et al., 2003 (JHM)Chen et al., 2011 (AWR)
Matgen et al., 2012 (AWR)Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS)Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
However, very few studies employed REAL-DATA ... and the improvement in runoff prediction obtained by the assimilation of soil moisture data is usually very limited.
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
time
rela
tive
soil
moi
stur
e
observations
modeled soil moisture
updated soil moisture
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS), 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
observations
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
time
rela
tive
soil
moi
stur
e
observations
modeled soil moisture
updated soil moisture
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS), 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
observations
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
time
rela
tive
soil
moi
stur
e
observations
modeled soil moisture
updated soil moisture
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS), 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
observations
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
G is a constantG=0 "perfect" modelG=1 direct insertion
time
rela
tive
soil
moi
stur
e
observations
modeled soil moisture
updated soil moisture
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS), 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Kalman GAINmodel error
obs error
observations
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL
COMPONENTS
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL
DATA ASSIMILATION
COMPONENTS
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL
DATA ASSIMILATION
COMPONENTS
OBSERVATIONS
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL
SUB-COMPONENTS
Input/output data
Model parameter values
Model structure
DATA ASSIMILATION
COMPONENTS
Technique (EKF, EnKF, PF, ...)
BIAS handling (CDF match, ...)
Error modelling (OBS, MOD)
OBSERVATIONS
Accuracy
Spatial/temporal resolution
Layer depth
Soil moisture data assimilation
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
NicconeMigianella137 km2
Central Italy
Migianella experimental basin
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
improving
Runoff prediction
Brocca et al., 2012 (IEEE TGRS)
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Runoff prediction
STRONG IMPROVEMENT
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
without assimilation
with assimilation
without assimilation
with assimilation
model starts one months before the first events
Unknown initial conditions
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS) – Open access
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
without assimilation
with assimilation
without assimilation
with assimilation
model starts one months before the first events
SIM. ASS.NS 36 83|εQp| 43 18|εRd| 59 24Eff 62
Unknown initial conditions
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS) – Open access
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
without assimilation
with assimilation
without assimilation
with assimilation
model starts one months before the first events
SIM. ASS.NS 36 83|εQp| 43 18|εRd| 59 24Eff 62
Unknown initial conditions
Brocca et al., 2010 (HESS) – Open access
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Further applications …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
South Italy - Fiumarella(33 km²)
USA - Lucky Hills(0.04 km²)
Luxembourg - Bibesbach(10.7 km²)
France - Valescure(3.9 km²)
Central Italy - Assino(165 km²)
Central Italy - Niccone(137 km²)
Further applications …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
for central Italy basins the assimilation of ASCAT and AMSR-E provide a significant improvement in model performance
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
for central Italy basins the assimilation of ASCAT and AMSR-E provide a significant improvement in model performance
in south Italy a slight improvement can be yet seen
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
for central Italy basins the assimilation of ASCAT and AMSR-E provide a significant improvement in model performance
in south Italy a slight improvement can be yet seen
in France no improvement can be obtained due to the difficulties of satellite data to retrieve soil moisture over mountain areas
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
for central Italy basins the assimilation of ASCAT and AMSR-E provide a significant improvement in model performance
in south Italy a slight improvement can be yet seen
in France no improvement can be obtained due to the difficulties of satellite data to retrieve soil moisture over mountain areas
in Luxembourg the impact is limited due to the presence of snow
Summarizing …
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
the assimilation of the ECMWF product has a slight impact due to the limited time period (2009-2010)
for central Italy basins the assimilation of ASCAT and AMSR-E provide a significant improvement in model performance
in south Italy a slight improvement can be yet seen
in France no improvement can be obtained due to the difficulties of satellite data to retrieve soil moisture over mountain areas
in Luxembourg the impact is limited due to the presence of snow
in USA (arid catchment) soil moisture temporal variability is limited thus the assimilation do not have a significant impact
Summarizing …
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25 September 2013Trento
Landslide prediction
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25 September 2013Trento
Torgiovannetto landslide
Near Assisi
Rock slope (abandoned stone quarry)
First slide in 2003
Landslide monitoring (extensometer, inclinometer)
Meteorological monitoring (rainfall and temperature)
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25 September 2013Trento
Rainfall versus displacements rate
Graziani et al., 2009
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Data set
Soil moisture is estimated through ASCAT and
considering an Antecedent Precipitation Index
October 2007 – July 2009
Brocca et al., 2012 (RS) – Open access
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Rainfall events extraction
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................
Rainfall events extraction
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Multiple regression
1h max rainfall
Total rainfallDisplacements
Antecedent Precipitation Index (N=20 g)
Soil Water Index (T=75 g)
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25 September 2013Trento
Multiple regression
1h max rainfall
Total rainfallDisplacements
Antecedent Precipitation Index (N=20 g)
Soil Water Index (T=75 g)
1) only rainfall (Pmax-1h e Ptot)
2) rainfall + API20
3) rainfall + SWI75
4) rainfall + API20 + SWI75
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25 September 2013Trento
OBSERVED
ESTIMATED
1) only rainfall (Pmax-1h e Ptot)
Prediction of landslide movements
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25 September 2013Trento
2) rainfall + API20
OBSERVED
ESTIMATED
Prediction of landslide movements
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25 September 2013Trento
3) rainfall + SWI75
OBSERVED
ESTIMATED
Prediction of landslide movements
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25 September 2013Trento
Prediction of landslide movements
4) rainfall + API20 + SWI75
OBSERVED
ESTIMATED
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25 September 2013Trento
Prediction of landslide movements
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25 September 2013Trento
Landslide forecasting Operational system
TORGIOVANNETTO
soil moisture
rain
fall
LANDWARNrainfall + soil moisture thresholds
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25 September 2013Trento
MALARIA OUTBREAKSNUMERICAL WEATHERPREDICTION
Capecchi, Albergel, De Rosnay, …
FLOOD DETECTION
Lacava, Temimi, ...
Montanari, Montosi, ...
Further soil moisture applications
EROSION
Todisco, Mannocchi, Bagarello, Ferro, ...Soil moisture*Rainfall intensity
Soil
loss
es
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25 September 2013Trento
Conclusions
(finally )
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25 September 2013Trento
Remote sensing soil moisture products are found accurate for soil moisture estimation across Europe (and worldwide)
Conclusions
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Remote sensing soil moisture products are found accurate for soil moisture estimation across Europe (and worldwide)
The use of soil moisture products might improve flood and landslide prediction
Conclusions
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Remote sensing soil moisture products are found accurate for soil moisture estimation across Europe (and worldwide)
The use of soil moisture products might improve flood and landslide prediction
Satellite soil moisture product can be also employed as additional tool for rainfall estimation
Soil moisture data obtained from coarse-resolution sensors can provide useful information for many applications, new important challenges and opportunities for the use of these new sources of data are opened
Conclusions
Monday, September 23, 13
25 September 2013Trento
Remote sensing soil moisture products are found accurate for soil moisture estimation across Europe (and worldwide)
The use of soil moisture products might improve flood and landslide prediction
Satellite soil moisture product can be also employed as additional tool for rainfall estimation
Soil moisture data obtained from coarse-resolution sensors can provide useful information for many applications, new important challenges and opportunities for the use of these new sources of data are opened
Conclusions
Who is interested to obtain satellite soil moisture data can contact me for getting information. Please do not hesitate.
Monday, September 23, 13
References cited Aubert, D. et al. (2003). Sequential assimilation of soil moisture and
streamflow data ... JoH., 280,145-161. Bolten, J.D. et al. (2010). Evaluating the utility of remotely-sensed
soil moisture for agricultural monitoring. JSTARS, 3, 57-66. Brocca, L., et al. (2009). Soil moisture temporal stability over
experimental areas of central Italy. GEOD, 148 (3-4), 364-374. Brocca, L., et al. (2009). Assimilation of observed soil moisture data
in storm rainfall-runoff modelling. JHE 14, 153-165. Brocca, L., et al. (2010). Improving runoff prediction through the
assimilation of the ASCAT soil moisture... HESS, 14, 1881-1893. Brocca, L., et al. (2010). Spatial-temporal variability of soil moisture
and its estimation across scales. WRR, 46,W02516. Brocca, L., et al. (2011). Distributed rainfall-runoff modelling for …
flood forecasting. HYP, 25, 2801-2813.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATIONURL: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it/people/l.brocca
URL IRPI: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it
This presentation is available for download at: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it/repository/public/presentations/2013/seminatio-trento-l.-brocca
Brocca, L. et al. (2011). Soil moisture estimation through ASCAT and AMSR-E sensors ... across Europe. RSE, 115, 3390-3408. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Soil moisture spatial-temporal variability at catchment scale. JoH, 422-423, 63-75. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Assimilation of surface and root-zone ASCAT soil moisture products into rainfall-runoff ... IEEE TGRS, 50(7), 1-14. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Improving Landslide Forecasting Using ASCAT-Derived Soil Moisture Data: A Case Study ... RS, 4, 1232-1244. Brocca, L., et al. (…). Soil moisture estimation in alpine catchments through modelling and satellite observations. submitted to VZJ. Brocca, L., et al. (...). A new method for rainfall estimation through soil moisture observations. submitted to GRL Chen, F. et al. (2011). Improving hydrologic predictions of catchment model via assimilation of surface soil moisture. AWR, 34 526-535. Cosh, M.H. et al. (2006). Temporal stability of surface soil moisture in the Little Washita River and its applications... validation. JoH, 323, 168-177. de Rosnay, P. et al. (2009). Multi-scale soil moisture measurements at the Gourma meso-scale site in Mali. JoH, 375, 241-252. Dharssi, I. et al. (2011). Operational assimilation of ASCAT surface soil wetness at the Met Office, HESS, 15, 2729-2746. Francois, C. et al. (2003). Sequential assimilation of ERS-1 SAR data into a coupled land surface-hydrological model using EKF.JHM 4(2), 473–487. Han, E., et al. (2012). Application of data assimilation with the RZQM for soil moisture profile estimation. HYP, 26, 1707–1719. Jackson, T. et al. (1981). Soil moisture updating and microwave remote sensing for hydrological simulation. HSJ, 26, 3, 305-319. Koster, R.D. et al. (2011). Skill in streamflow forecasts derived from large-scale estimates of soil moisture and snow. Nature Geo, 3 613-616. Matgen, P. et al. (2012). Can ASCAT-derived soil wetness indices reduce predictive uncertainty in well-gauged areas? A comparison with in situ
observed soil moisture in an assimilation application. AWR, 44, 49-65. Nearing, M. et al. (2005). Modeling response of soil erosion and runoff to changes in precipitation and cover. CAT, 61, 131-154. Owe M., et al. (2008). Multi-sensor historical climatology of satellite-derived global land surface moisture. JGR, 113, F01002. Tramblay, Y., et al. (2012). Estimation of antecedent wetness conditions for flood modelling in Northern Morocco. submitted to HESS. Wagner, W., et al. (1999). A Method for Estimating Soil Moisture from ERS Scatterometer and Soil Data, RSE 70, 191-207. Zhao, Y. et al. (2010). Controls of surface soil moisture spatial patterns and their temporal stability in a semi-arid steppe. HYP, 24, 2507-2519.
Monday, September 23, 13
References cited Aubert, D. et al. (2003). Sequential assimilation of soil moisture and
streamflow data ... JoH., 280,145-161. Bolten, J.D. et al. (2010). Evaluating the utility of remotely-sensed
soil moisture for agricultural monitoring. JSTARS, 3, 57-66. Brocca, L., et al. (2009). Soil moisture temporal stability over
experimental areas of central Italy. GEOD, 148 (3-4), 364-374. Brocca, L., et al. (2009). Assimilation of observed soil moisture data
in storm rainfall-runoff modelling. JHE 14, 153-165. Brocca, L., et al. (2010). Improving runoff prediction through the
assimilation of the ASCAT soil moisture... HESS, 14, 1881-1893. Brocca, L., et al. (2010). Spatial-temporal variability of soil moisture
and its estimation across scales. WRR, 46,W02516. Brocca, L., et al. (2011). Distributed rainfall-runoff modelling for …
flood forecasting. HYP, 25, 2801-2813.
Thanks for your attention FOR FURTHER INFORMATIONURL: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it/people/l.brocca
URL IRPI: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it
This presentation is available for download at: http://hydrology.irpi.cnr.it/repository/public/presentations/2013/seminatio-trento-l.-brocca
Brocca, L. et al. (2011). Soil moisture estimation through ASCAT and AMSR-E sensors ... across Europe. RSE, 115, 3390-3408. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Soil moisture spatial-temporal variability at catchment scale. JoH, 422-423, 63-75. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Assimilation of surface and root-zone ASCAT soil moisture products into rainfall-runoff ... IEEE TGRS, 50(7), 1-14. Brocca, L., et al. (2012). Improving Landslide Forecasting Using ASCAT-Derived Soil Moisture Data: A Case Study ... RS, 4, 1232-1244. Brocca, L., et al. (…). Soil moisture estimation in alpine catchments through modelling and satellite observations. submitted to VZJ. Brocca, L., et al. (...). A new method for rainfall estimation through soil moisture observations. submitted to GRL Chen, F. et al. (2011). Improving hydrologic predictions of catchment model via assimilation of surface soil moisture. AWR, 34 526-535. Cosh, M.H. et al. (2006). Temporal stability of surface soil moisture in the Little Washita River and its applications... validation. JoH, 323, 168-177. de Rosnay, P. et al. (2009). Multi-scale soil moisture measurements at the Gourma meso-scale site in Mali. JoH, 375, 241-252. Dharssi, I. et al. (2011). Operational assimilation of ASCAT surface soil wetness at the Met Office, HESS, 15, 2729-2746. Francois, C. et al. (2003). Sequential assimilation of ERS-1 SAR data into a coupled land surface-hydrological model using EKF.JHM 4(2), 473–487. Han, E., et al. (2012). Application of data assimilation with the RZQM for soil moisture profile estimation. HYP, 26, 1707–1719. Jackson, T. et al. (1981). Soil moisture updating and microwave remote sensing for hydrological simulation. HSJ, 26, 3, 305-319. Koster, R.D. et al. (2011). Skill in streamflow forecasts derived from large-scale estimates of soil moisture and snow. Nature Geo, 3 613-616. Matgen, P. et al. (2012). Can ASCAT-derived soil wetness indices reduce predictive uncertainty in well-gauged areas? A comparison with in situ
observed soil moisture in an assimilation application. AWR, 44, 49-65. Nearing, M. et al. (2005). Modeling response of soil erosion and runoff to changes in precipitation and cover. CAT, 61, 131-154. Owe M., et al. (2008). Multi-sensor historical climatology of satellite-derived global land surface moisture. JGR, 113, F01002. Tramblay, Y., et al. (2012). Estimation of antecedent wetness conditions for flood modelling in Northern Morocco. submitted to HESS. Wagner, W., et al. (1999). A Method for Estimating Soil Moisture from ERS Scatterometer and Soil Data, RSE 70, 191-207. Zhao, Y. et al. (2010). Controls of surface soil moisture spatial patterns and their temporal stability in a semi-arid steppe. HYP, 24, 2507-2519.
Questions?
Monday, September 23, 13