Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort 25 Aug 05.

Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP

Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort

25 Aug 05

AFSPC/XPXP 204/18/23

Overview

• Purpose• Planning Process Overview• FY06 Planning Results • FY08 Analysis Results• Summary/What We Need from

Industry


Purpose

Provide information and insights into AFSPC’s Integrated Planning Effort

• Identify previous planning results• Provide insight and trends from current

analysis• Let you know where we need help


Why We Can’t Share Everything

• There are many unknowns• Fiscal Year 2007 Out-of-Cycle Program Objective

Memorandum (FY07 APOM)

• Base Re-alignment And Closure (BRAC)

• Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)

• Higher level direction in development• National Security Space Plan (NSSP)


Overview


Industry

6

Functional Concepts

AF CONOPs

Defense AcquisitionSystem

CC Strategic Planning Guidance

National Guidance

DoD/JointGuidanceAir Force

Guidance

MissionSolutionsAnalysis

Concepts &Enabling

Technologies

MissionNeeds

Analysis

PrioritizedNeeds

MissionArea

Assessment

Operational & Support

Tasks

IntegratedInvestment

Analysis

20-YearInvestmentRoadmap

Strategic Master Plan

MAPs/MSP/CSP

S&T Community

Capabilities Planning Process

Joint Capability Integration & Development System

CRRA

AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (1 of 2)


AFSPC Integrated Planning Process (2 of 2)

• Define AFSPC capabilities (MAA)• Identify all AFSPC capabilities

• Rate our ability to do the missions (MNA)• Identify shortfalls to meet capabilities

• Ask for options and solutions to fix shortfalls (MSA)• Identify options for current systems and future

programs

• Identify investment options (IIA)• Create a force mix that provides the best value

capability coverage for the resources available

Ultimate Goal: Best “Bang for the Buck” Investment Strategy


Mission Area Teams

• AFSPC planning is supported through five mission area teams• Space Force Enhancement - provides combat support operations to improve the

effectiveness of land, sea, space, air, and special operations forces • Military Satellite Communications (MILSATCOM), Terrestrial and Space Weather,

Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Positioning / Navigation / Timing (PNT), Command and Control (C2) for NORAD and USSTRATCOM missions, supporting all combatant commanders

• Space Force Application - provides deterrence and prompt global strike to the warfighter from/through space

• Nuclear and Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike• Space Support - is comprised of Spacelift and Satellite Operations

• Spacelift Vehicles and Spacelift Ranges

• Counterspace - operations consist of those operations conducted to attain and maintain a desired degree of space superiority by allowing friendly forces to exploit space capabilities while negating an adversary’s ability to do the same

• Space Situation Awareness, Defensive Counterspace and Offensive Counterspace

• Mission Support - provides the basic infrastructure and support spanning all areas


Overview

• Purpose• Planning Process Overview• FY06 Planning Results• FY08 Analysis Results• Summary/What We Need from

Industry


FY06 IIA Results – First Case

$ B

$2 B

$4 B

$6 B

$8 B

$10 B

$12 B

$14 B

$16 B

$18 B

$20 B

$22 B

$24 B

20

06

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07

20

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20

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20

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20

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20

26

20

27

20

28

20

29

20

30

Launch Total Land Based Strategic Deterrent SOV SFA Total

SFE Total SS Total MS + SFA/SFE/SS MISC TOA MS TOA

CS launch CS TOA AFSPC system total AFSPC TOA

Maximum capability - What the Command Wants & When We Want it


FY06 IIA Results – Second Case

Optimize Coverage, Stay within TOA, & FYDP Untouched

$ B

$2 B

$4 B

$6 B

$8 B

$10 B

$12 B

$14 B

$16 B

$18 B

$20 B

$22 B

$24 B

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

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20

11

20

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20

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20

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20

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SFE Total SS Total MS + SFA/SFE/SS MISC MS TOA

CS launch CS TOA AFSPC system total AFSPC TOA


FY06 IIA Results – Third Case

Maximize capabilities; limited overspending; & satisfy more timing objectives

$ B

$2 B

$4 B

$6 B

$8 B

$10 B

$12 B

$14 B

$16 B

$18 B

$20 B

$22 B

$24 B

$26 B

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

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20

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20

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20

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FE futures SFE Total SS Total MS + SFA/SFE/SS MISC

MS TOA CS launch CS TOA AFSPC TOA


Overview


Industry


1. Provide Global Satellite Communications

2. Provide PNT

3. Conduct Responsive Launch

4. Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike

5. Conduct Space S&R

6. Provide Defensive Counterspace

7. Conduct Missile Warning S&R

8. Space Command and Control

9. Nuclear Deterrence/Strike

10. Conduct Conventional S&R

11. Provide Space Traffic Control

12. Negate Space Targets/Threats

13. Intelligence

14. Conduct Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and High Explosive S&R

15. Collect and Disseminate Environmental Monitoring Data

16. Conduct Routine Launch

17. Blue Force Situation Awareness

18. Operate Space Assets

19. Counterair/Missile Defense

20. Perform On-Orbit Support

21. Conduct Space Launch Warning S&R

22. Conduct Science and Technology S&R

23. Conduct Geospatial Information and Services S&R


2. Provide PNT



5. Non-nuclear Deterrence/Strike









14. Intelligence







21. Conduct Science & Technology S&R



1. Provide PNT











12. Intelligence




16. Non-Nuclear Deterrence/Strike



19. Conduct Science and Technology S&R





Near-term (FY08 – 13) Mid-term (FY14 – 19) Far-term (FY20 - 27)

FY08 Command Focus Capabilities Priorities


FY08 Investment Vignettes

• Warfighter Requirements• Maximizes performance

• Planning Force• Allows for moderate growth over a constrained Total Obligation

Authority


FY08 IIA ResultsWarfighter Requirements

Warfighter Requirements

Mission Support

Force Application

Space Support

Counterspace

Force Enhancement

0

5

10

15

20

25

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Bil

lio

ns


Warfighter RequirementsCapability Assessment

• Space Radar (SR) 10-satellite constellation• Transformational Satellite 7-satellite constellation

Communications (TSAT)• Space-Based Infra-Red System (SBIRS) Geosynchronous Orbit & Highly Elliptical Orbit

constellation• Global Positioning System (GPSIII) 24-satellite constellation• National Environmental Monitoring 3-satellite constellation

Satellite System (NEMSS)• Space Environmental Effects Monitoring Block 1, Block 2, Block 3

System (SEEMS) • Land-Based Strategic Deterrence (LBSD) 4 increments/500 Sorties• Common Aero-Vehicle (CAV) 32 CAVs• Common Vertical Lift Support 28 Helicopters

Platform (CVLSP)• Affordable REsponsive Spacelift (ARES) Medium and Heavy Launchers• Responsive Satellites Hyper-Spectral Imager, Communications,

Global Positioning System-Augmentation,

Environmental Monitoring, andBlue Force Situational Awareness


FY08 IIA ResultsPlanning Force

Planning Force

Mission Support

CounterspaceForce Application

Space Support

Force Enhancement

0

5

10

15

20

25

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Bil

lio

ns


Planning Force Capability Assessment

• To contain cost under this option, tremendous pressure is placed on our transformational capabilities since they are resource intensive programs • Transformational Satellite Communications, Land-Based

Strategic Deterrence, and Space Radar

• Continue to provide sustainment and some improvement for critical capabilities• Space-Based Infra-Red Satellite, Global Positioning System,

National Polar-Orbiting Environmental Satellite System

• Other programs are pursued to provide additional capabilities; however, some later than expected• Space Environmental Effects Monitoring System, Common Aero

Vehicle, Common Vertical Lift Support Platform, Affordable Responsive Spacelift, and some responsive satellites


Overview


Industry


Help from Industry

• AFSPC Planning Force is the Optimized Force mix based on a limited top line

• Success of the process is dependant on having viable affordable concepts to run through the investment models

• What we need from Industry:

• Concepts that allow viable tradeoffs within each capability • Full spectrum of capability/cost options• Cost estimates that provide realistic cost projections for capability

received


Areas For Industry Focus

• The following Capabilities do not have viable (reasonable cost/performance) concepts

• Detect chemical/biological agents from space (Priority 14 of 23)

• Conduct Air/Missile Defense (Priority 19 of 23)

• On orbit support (Priority 20 of 23)

• Details on these capabilities are published in the AFSPC Strategic Master Plan


Additional Forums

Space Science and Technology forums strengthen our tie to industry

• Allows industry to understand the challenges faced by AFSPC and identify areas needing investment

• SPACE IRAD Conference • Run by AFRL/XPS, Mr Al Livada, Phone: (656)-255-0741

• Industry Days• Run by SMC/TD, Lt Col Casipit, Phone: (310)-363-2584

Lt Col Myland Pride AFSPC/XPXP Insights from the FY08 Strategic Planning Effort 25 Aug 05.

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