LQAS: Pitfalls, Controvery & Addressing Concerns_Luna, Nitkin, Yaggy_5.10.11
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Transcript of LQAS: Pitfalls, Controvery & Addressing Concerns_Luna, Nitkin, Yaggy_5.10.11
LQAS: Pitfalls, Controversies, and Addressing Concerns
CORE Spring Meeting
Jennifer Luna; Todd Nitkin; Bill Yaggy
May 10, 2011
LQAS is useful
However, common mistakes can lead to problems including:
Not collecting adequate information
Incorrectly interpreting findings
Improperly describing actions taken as a result of findings
LQAS session
Purpose: Discuss common mistakes and practical ways to avoid them
Agenda:
Overview of LQAS, resources and discussion of current controversies
Experience, advice from AMREF
Practical advice from MTI
• Small group work
• Brief plenary on results of small group work
LQAS
Origin in quality control for industry light bulbs
Promoted for use in small population based health surveys
Useful for monitoring because it provides information used to identify sub-divisions (supervision areas) of project area that are sub-standard More attention can be given to these areas.
Does not provide coverage levels for supervision areas
Steps
Divide project area into supervision areas (SAs)
Decide on level below which a supervision area is identified as priority for special attention; e.g. <85%
Randomly select sample of 19 per SA
Use a decision rule table to determine what number of correct responses is the cut-off for identifying SAs that need priority attention
<20%, <1 correct response out of 19
<50%, <7 correct responses out of 19
85%, <14 correct responses out of 19
Steps
Indicators must be dichotomous (yes/no)
Was child exclusively breastfed?
Not for how many months was the child exclusively breastfed?
Supervision Area (SA)
“Lots” that you divide project area into
Should have meaning:
• i.e. health facility catchment areas, sub-districts or other MOH administrative areas
A B
C D
E
Optimal LQAS Decision Rules for Sample Sizes of 12-40 for Targets of 10-95%
Targets (for Monitoring and Evaluation)
Sample Size 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95%
12 na na 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 11
13 na na 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11
14 na na 1 1 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 12
15 na na 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 12 13
16 na na 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 14
17 na na 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
18 na na 1 2 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 12 13 14 16
19 na na 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
20 na na 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
21 na na 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18
22 na na 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 18 19
23 na na 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 20
24 na na 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 10 11 13 14 15 16 18 19 21
25 na 1 2 2 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 13 14 16 17 18 20 21
26 na 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 11 12 14 15 16 18 19 21 22
27 na 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 13 14 15 17 18 20 21 23
28 na 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 10 12 13 15 16 18 19 21 22 24
29 na 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 10 12 13 15 17 18 20 21 23 25
30 na 1 2 3 4 5 7 9 11 12 14 16 17 19 20 22 24 26
31 na 1 2 3 4 6 8 9 11 13 14 16 18 19 21 23 24 26
32 na 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 11 13 15 17 18 20 22 23 25 27
33 na 1 2 3 5 6 8 10 12 13 15 17 19 21 22 24 26 28
34 na 1 2 4 5 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 19 21 23 25 27 29
35 na 1 3 4 5 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
36 na 1 3 4 5 6 9 11 13 15 17 19 20 22 24 26 28 31
37 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
38 1 2 3 4 6 7 9 11 13 15 17 20 22 24 26 28 30 32
39 1 2 3 5 6 7 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 31 33
40 1 2 3 5 6 7 10 12 14 16 18 21 23 25 27 29 32 34
na: not applicable, meaning LQAS cannot be used in this assessment because the target is either too low or too high to assess a lot.
Notes: α and β errors < 10% for all decision rules except where noted. Lightly shaded cells indicate where α or β errors are ≥10%.
Darker cells indicate where α or β errors are ≥15%.
Parallel Sampling
Conducting multiple surveys at the same time using the same logistic system
Necessary for surveys that collect information on indicators with different age groups as denominators: i.e. IYCF (denominator children 6-23 months); use of ORS for diarrhea treatment (denominator
children 0-23 months with diarrhea in the last two weeks)
Parallel sampling ensures that: Each indicator will have 19 responses/supervision
area
LQAS – Coverage estimates
Information from supervision areas combined to obtain coverage for entire project area
LQAS with information combined from multiple SAs is a form of stratified sampling where supervision areas are strata
Requires a weighted average of all supervision areas; confidence intervals
Total of 95 responses (5x19 = 95)
Remember parallel sampling
Controversy - Example
Concern raised that use of LQAS to identify SAs as having reached the target, might result in mistakenly identifying an SA as one in for which resources can be reduced.
If this is a mistaken classification, then the population will not receive needed resources
American Statistical Association (ASA) Recommendation
Report to the American Statistical Association Board of Directors on Lot Quality Assurance Sampling, August 19, 2010
“We believe that LQAS conclusions should be carefully stated to ensure that the user will never mistakenly draw a conclusion about the performance of the SA. We propose the following as a better interpretation of the conclusions that can be drawn from LQAS:
Based on considerations related to the power of the test employed, given the sample size used:
ASA recommendation continued
If 13 or more of the 19 samples of men in a supervision area (SA) can correctly name the ways to prevent sexual transmission of HIV, then we classify the SA as not requiring priority intervention at this time or
If 12 or fewer of the 19 sampled men in the SA can correctly name the ways to prevent sexual transmission of HIV, then we classify the SA as substandard requiring immediate intervention.
Articles
Rhoda, Dale A., Soledad A. Fernandez, David J. Fitch, and Stanley Lemeshow (2010), LQAS: User Beware. International Journal of Epidemiology, 39:60-68
Olives, C., M. Pagano, and J.J. Valadez (2010), Commentary: Understanding practical lot quality assurance sampling. International Journal of Epidemiology, 39: 69-71.
Resources:
MCHIP NGO/PVO support website: www.mchipngo.net
Rapid Health Surveys Handbook (Public Health Institute)
CORE website: (www.coregroup.org)
KPC Trainer of Survey Trainers (TOAST)
LQAS trainers guides
LQAS protocol for parallel sampling
LQAS FAQs