LÍNEA TÍTULO # 1 Conference_FINAL.pdf · BMO Metals & Mining Conference 28 February –2 March...
Transcript of LÍNEA TÍTULO # 1 Conference_FINAL.pdf · BMO Metals & Mining Conference 28 February –2 March...
HOCHSCHILD MINING
BMO Metals & Mining Conference 28 February –2 March 2016
Achieving Transformational Growth
DISCLAIMER
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Some statements contained in this presentation or in documents referred to in it are or may be forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking information contained in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. Accordingly, actual results may vary or differ from those expressed in such statements, depending on a variety of factors. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. Hochschild Mining plc undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Past performance of the Company or its shares cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. Nothing in this presentation is to be construed as a profit forecast.
This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and does not constitute, or form part of or contain any invitation or offer to any person to underwrite, subscribe for, otherwise acquire, or dispose of any securities issued by Hochschild Mining plc (or any subsidiary thereof) or advise persons to do so in any jurisdiction, nor shall it, or any part of it, form the basis of or be relied on in any connection with or act as an inducement to enter into any contract or commitment therefore. The information herein is only a summary, does not purport to be complete and has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance may be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information or opinions contained in this document or on its accuracy or completeness and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents otherwise in connection therewith.
This presentation has been prepared in compliance with English law and English courts will have exclusive jurisdiction over any disputes arising from or connected with this presentation.
Low cost growth enhancing competitive position
Operations Arcata Ares Inmaculada Pallancata Selene
Top 5 primary silver producer
HOCHSCHILD AT A GLANCE
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Strong portfolio, operational experience, financial stability, exciting growth
Who are we?
50+ years’ operating experience in the Americas
Four underground assets in Peru & Argentina
World class Inmaculada mine now in full production
Strong brownfield potential at all operations
Peru Argentina Chile
Projects Azuca Crespo
Operations San Jose (51%)
Projects Volcan
Southern Peru Cluster
Location
STRATEGIC RESPONSE TO DOWNTURN
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DRIVING COST
REDUCTION
STRENGTHENING FINANCIAL POSITION
DELIVERING BROWNFIELD
POTENTIAL
ACHIEVING TRANSFORMATIONAL
GROWTH
2015 MILESTONES & 2016 TARGETS
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Completed & ramped-up low cost Inmaculada mine
Company produced 27.0m oz – exceeding target
Reduced AISC by over 20% to $13-14/oz Ag Eq
Discovered new Pablo vein at Pallancata
Completed $100m rights issue
Reduced net debt to $366m
2016 2015
Inmaculada set to produce 14m oz Ag Eq
Company target of 32m oz Ag Eq
Further reduction in AISC to $12-13/oz Ag Eq
Production at Pablo by year end
Further debt refinancing
Targeting Net debt/EBITDA of <2x by year end
MILESTONES TARGETS
PRODUCTION AND COST PROFILE
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Moz (Ag Eq)
Att production*
$/Ag Eq oz (Main operation)
AISC
18.6
17.4
12-13
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
10
15
20
25
30
35
2013 2014 2015e 2016e 2017e
20.5
22.2
Silver/gold production AISC
32.0
Targeting 5 consecutive years of increasing production & lowering costs
*2015-2017e using average gold/silver ratio for 2015 of 74x to covert gold to silver equivalent. Historic ratio of 60x used for 2013-2014.
13-14
35.0
11-12
27.0
2016 SPLIT BY OPERATION
AISC forecast by mine Production forecast*
32 Moz Ag Eq
Attrib
Pallancata
3.5-4.0m
Arcata
7.0-7.5m
San Jose (51%)
7.0m
Inmaculada
14.0m
9-10
13.0 14.5 14.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Pallancata Arcata San Jose Inmaculada
Spot silver
*Using average gold/silver ratio for 2015 of 74x to covert gold to silver equivalent
Cashflow underpinned by rapidly improving cost/production dynamics
Pablo
10.6
Post Argentina changes
12.5
$35m Sustaining & develop capex $30m $30m $10m
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INMACULADA: FLAGSHIP LOW COST OPERATION
*Assuming current gold/silver ratio
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New world class gold/silver operation
14m Ag Eq ounces to be produced in 2016
INMACULADA: FIRST QUARTILE COSTS
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On track for LOM AISC of $759/oz
-$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
20
15
E A
ISC
(U
S$/o
z)
Cumulative Production
2015e Global gold AISC cost curve ($/oz Au)
Source: RBC Capital Market estimates, GFMS
Inmaculada
Spot gold
Long life 1st quartile costs
• 70% gold
• 1st quartile costs
• Smooth ramp-up achieved
• Tonnage, grades, recoveries in line with
expectations
• Strong geological potential
INMACULADA UPSIDE
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Quellopata system
Potential upside outside current Angela resource base
6m average vein width
Selected key intercepts
[email protected] g/t Au & 1,851 g/t Ag [email protected] g/t Au & 531 g/t Ag
[email protected] g/t Au & 188 g/t Ag
[email protected] g/t Au & 81 g/t Ag [email protected] g/t Au & 81 g/t Ag
3.50m@ 7.12g/t Au & 369g/t Ag 1.50m@ 6.34g/t Au & 180g/t Ag
3.12m@ 31.55g/t Au & 199g/t Ag
[email protected] g/t Au & 153 g/t Ag
[email protected] g/t Au & 214 g/t Ag
Inmaculada area
SAN JOSE
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Significant cashflow improvement expected in 2016
High grade deposit in a rapidly improving economic environment
• 2015: Record 13.9m oz production (Ag Eq)
• AISC forecast of $13.0/oz 2016; expected to fall further to $12.5/oz
• Significant exploration potential in high grade district
• Increased number of known structures open to SW
• 2016: Drilling 3,000 metres to increase potential resources
PALLANCATA
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Brownfield programme delivering high value additions
Significant discovery of Pablo vein
• Wide, high grade vein discovered at 100% owned mine
• Impressive width of 12.6m - low cost production
• Sufficient plant capacity available ―Pablo increases throughput to 2,000-2,200 tpd
• Low capex requirements: <1km from existing developments
• Adjusted mine plan to transition to Pablo later in 2016
• $40m NAV at spot prices
• 2016: 5,500m drilling programme on Pablo/Yurika veins
Pablo key metrics
Inferred resources (kt) (unaudited) 1,251
Ag grade (g/t) 344
Au grade (g/t) 1.3
LOM production (M oz Ag Eq) 12.6
LOM AISC ($/oz Ag Eq) 10.6
NAV @5% (spot metal prices)* 40.5
*Spot prices: $15.5/oz Ag; $1,230/oz Au
Historic flagship mine renewed through successful exploration
ARCATA
• 2015: 6.8m oz (Ag Eq) produced despite capacity reductions
• Discovering new vein structures
• Continuing the extension of the Tunel 4 vein system
• Higher production grades underpinned with newly discovered higher grade resources
• Reserves: higher grade & stable tonnage
• Resources: stable grade & higher tonnage
Strong brownfield results improving margins
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
300
350
400
2012 2013 2014
Reserves
Grade (Ag Eq g/t) Tonnage (mt)
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
400
500
600
2012 2013 2014
Resources
Grade (Ag Eq g/t) Tonnage (mt)
0.0
0.5
1.0
300
400
500
600
2012 2013 2014 2015
Mined production
Grade (Ag Eq g/t)
Mined tonnage (mt)
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REGIONAL UPSIDE: HOCHSCHILD’S “CLUSTER” ADVANTAGE
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Low cost, low risk, high reward
• 65km mineralised belt with new veins being discovered
• Mining concession & superficial rights secured
• Targets within 20km of existing permitted plants
• Drill targets identified in 2015
• 2016: budget assigned for drilling programme
• Pablo discovery evidence of low cost, low risk, high value strategy
• Company believes there is strong potential to: ― Increase resource base at Inmaculada & Pallancata ―Discover a new mine
Substantial land package in Hochschild’s Southern Peru cluster
65km mineralised
belt
FINANCIAL POSITION: SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS MADE
Liquidity position
Debt ($m) Size Maturity Rate
(pre tax) Rate
(post tax)
Senior notes 295 2021 7.75% 5.58%
Medium term loan 50 2019 Libor +2.6% 1.87%
Short term funding 75* July-Dec 2016 0.92% 0.66%
GyM settlement 20 2017/2018 5.00% 3.60%
Debt amortisation profile
15
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Short Term Debt Peru
GyM
Bond
$50m Credit Facility
75
35 25
295
$m
• Debt already substantially reduced
• $105m paid down by end Dec 2015
• Cash balance at $83m as at 31 Dec 2015
• Net debt of $366m as at 31 Dec 2015
Targeting Net debt/EBITDA of below 2x by end 2016
10
5.8x
2.6x <2x
Jun-15 Dec-15 Dec 2016e
Net debt/EBITDA progression**
*Does not include approximately $9m of short term debt in Argentina **Assumes analyst consensus EBITDA estimates for Dec 2015/2016
NEAR TERM CASH FLOW PRESERVATION
*Assuming current gold/silver ratio
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• Hedging strategy approved by Board and reviewed
regularly
• 44% of 2015 and 41% of 2016 production hedged
in order to:
―Improve cash flow certainty
―Allow ongoing debt reduction
―Preserve capital from gold and silver price risks
Hedge position 2016 2015
$/oz oz $/oz oz
Silver 15.93 6.0m 17.75 6.0m
Gold 1,154 1,145
71k 29k
1,300 1,158
38k 38k
Hedge strategy
LONG EXPERIENCE IN KEY MINING JURISDICTIONS IN THE AMERICAS
Argentina: transforming cashflow potential
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• One of the key mining jurisdictions in Americas
• Positive effects from ongoing Sol devaluation on operating costs
• Strong Peruvian government support for mining
• National elections in April – all candidates expected to be pro-business
Positive Peruvian environment
• Peso devaluation ― Approximately 40% in Dec 2015 ― 70% of operating costs incurred in pesos ― Material impact on cost position
• Port rebate ― Rebate from exports thru Patagonian ports restored Nov
2015 ― ≈ 9% FOB value of exports: ≈ $15 million p.a. for HOC
• Tax Elimination ― 10% export taxes on conc sales eliminated as of 12 Feb
≈$8-10m p.a. benefit (50% production) ― 5% export taxes on dore sales also eliminated ≈$4-5m p.a.
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9
11
13
15
Jan 15 Mar 15 May 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov 15 Jan 16
Peso
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
Jan 15 Mar 15 May 15 Jul 15 Sep 15 Nov 15 Jan 16
Sol
Significant cashflow improvement expected in 2016
2.6 3.7 5.3
7.5 10.7 10.9 11.0 14.9 15.4
30.0
0
10
20
30
HOC Fortuna Hecla Endeavour Silver Standard First Majestic Coeur Silver Wheaton Fresnillo Pan Am
(x)
EV/EBITDA (2016e)
18
Significantly undervalued
VALUATION VS SILVER PEERS
0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8
1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0
2.8
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
First Majestic Silver Standard HOC Coeur Fortuna Pan Am Fresnillo Silver Wheaton Hecla Endeavour
(x)
P/NPV (2016e )
Free Cashflow Yield (2016e)
-15.2 -5.2 -3.0 -3.0 -2.9 -0.2
7.3 7.6 7.9 12.5
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
Pan Am First Majestic Coeur Fresnillo Silver Standard Hecla Silver Wheaton Fortuna Endeavour HOC
(%)
Source: BMO “The Silver Pages” (Week Ended February 12, 2016). P/NPV at 5% discount using BMO forecasts assumptions
SUMMARY
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Delivering profitable growth
• Less than 6 years from discovery to commercial production
• Targeting 60% production increase & 40% AISC reduction since 2013
• New gold/silver production balance improving cash flow stability
• Attractive brownfield potential at all operations: growth with high financial returns
• Long LOM, strong geological potential and 1st quartile AISC costs
• Aggressive process of deleveraging already initiated: targeting below 2.0x Net Debt/EBITDA by end 2016
Flagship Inmaculada asset
Margins
Stability
Debt reduction
Brownfield
23 Hanover Square, London, W1S 1JB, Tel: +44 (0) 20 3714 9040 www.hochschildmining.com
Charlie Gordon +44 (0)20 3714 9040 [email protected]