Lecture1 Introduction to Research - Lingnan University · 2016-11-18 · Reasons and Goals for...
Transcript of Lecture1 Introduction to Research - Lingnan University · 2016-11-18 · Reasons and Goals for...
Geng Cui, Professor
Faculty of Business, Lingnan University
Lecture1 Introduction to Research
Pedagogy
Inter-disciplinary and multi-method
Problem-oriented (from disciplines)
Multiple approaches: lecture, reading, guests, proposal
Self-motivated, active learning (reading, leading, presenting)
Interactive (group discussion, learning from each other)
Experiential (write your own proposal)
Reasons and Goals for Research
What is Research?
Research is a diligent search, studious inquiry, investigation or experimentation aimed at the discovery of new facts and findings.
Research involves the collection of information, interpretation of facts, and revision of existing theories or laws in the light of new facts or evidence.
Reasons and Goals for Research
Types of researchDescriptive research
Describe phenomena and is not particularly concerned with understanding why behaviour is the way it is.
Starting point of a research project into phenomena (known as an exploratory study) of which we know very little(manipulation of online reviews).
Explanatory researchDescribes phenomena and attempts to explain why behaviour is the way it is
(often theory driven).
Enables us to understand the very nature of what we are actually looking at.
Reasons and Goals for Research
Types of researchPredictive researchNot only to explain behaviour but to predict future behaviour given a change
in any of the explanatory variables relevant to a particular phenomenon.If we can understand physical or human phenomena then we will be in a
much better position to predict their future paths and possibly even to change them.
In practice, most research work will include aspects of all three research ‘types’.
Reasons and Goals for Research
In the business arena, research tends to be undertaken in order to achieve one or more of the following objectives:Gain a competitive advantageTest new products and servicesSolve a management/organisational problemProvide information which may help to avoid future business problems Forecast future salesBetter understand shifts in consumer attitudes and tastesEnhance profitabilityReduce costs by optimizing operations and use of resourcesEnable management to prioritise strategic options for the future
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Diversified strategic vs. focused one
Topics of research in business disciplines
Manufactured Opinions: The Effects of Online Review Manipulations on Consumer Suspicion and Product Sales
Posting strategically: The consumer as an online media planner
Analytic Solution for the Nucleolus of a Three-Player Cooperative Game
Option-Implied Volatilities and Stock Returns: Evidence from Industry-Neutral Portfolios
Research Process
Step 1 : Problem Definition
Step 2 : Literature Review and Identifying the research gaps
Step 3 : Research Design Formulation
Step 4 : Fieldwork or Data Collection
Step 5 : Data Preparation and Analysis
Step 6 : Report Preparation and Presentation
Types of Research
Applied Research: business
Basic Research
Scientific Research: Who decides what is scientific? The community ofscientists: Galileo (Thomas Kuhn: Scientific Revolutions): world view,ontology, epistemology, determinism, agnostic
Empirical Research (positivism)
Theoretical Research (OR, game-theoretical)
Qualitative Research
Quantitative Studies
Behavioral science, data mining, artificial intelligence
Accounting: behavioural (survey) vs. market based (secondary data)
Ph.D• Theory-driven• Intellectual contribution, knowledge generation,• Publish! (or Perish)
Professor• Teaching• Career researcher, at research universities• Publishing in peer review journals• Academic leadership and scholarship
MPhil• Applied research, theory driven, empirical study• Taking courses, research proposal, topic defense• Conducting the study, write the thesis, findings seminar, thesis exam
SelectedResearch Career Descriptions
Analyst• Handles details in execution of project• Designs & pretests questionnaires• Conducts preliminary analysis of data
Junior Analyst• Secondary data analysis• Edits and codes questionnaires• Conducts preliminary analysis of data
Director•Handles selection, training, supervision of projects, client relationship
Senior Analyst (Data Scentist)• Participates in the development of projects• Carries out execution of assigned projects• Coordinates the efforts of analyst, junior analyst, & other personnel in the development of research design
and data collection• Prepares final report
Fig. 1.5 cont.
Statistician/Data Processing• Serves as expert on theory and application on
statistical techniques• Oversees experimental design, data processing,
and analysis
SelectedResearch Career Descriptions
Research Proposal
Introduction: identification of problems, rationale, goals, and objectives
(symptoms vs. problems vs. potential causes)Literature review: major research streams, findings, theories, identify the research gaps, or totally new research, Theoretical/Research framework and hypotheses (propositionsResearch design: sample, method, testProposed analyticsExpected results
• Samples of proposals and completed projects
Proper Definition of the Research Problem
Research Problem
Broad Statement
Specific Components
Fig. 2.3
Management Decision Problem Vs. Research Problem
Management Decision Problem Research Problem
Should a new product be To determine consumer preferences
introduced? and purchase intentions for the
proposed new product (BI)
Should the advertising To determine the effectiveness
campaign be changed? of the current advertising
campaign (awareness, liking, recall, comprehension, relation)
Should the price of the To determine the price elasticity
brand be increased? of demand and the impact on sales
and profits of various levels of price changes =(s2-s2)/s1
/(p2-p1)/p1
Department Store Project
Problem DefinitionIn the department store project, the marketing research problem is to determine therelative strengths and weaknesses of Sears, vis-à-vis other major competitors, withrespect to factors that influence store patronage.Specifically, research shouldprovide information on the following questions.
1. What criteria do households use when selecting department stores?2. How do households evaluate Sears and competing stores in terms of the choice criteria identified in question 1?3. Which stores are patronized when shopping for specific product categories?4. What is the market share of Sears and its competitors for specific product categories?5. What is the demographic and psychological profile of the customers of Sears? Does it differ from the profile of customers of competing stores?
Components of an Approach
Objectives/Theoretical Foundations (theories, e.g., price vs. demand previous works)
Analytical Model (graphic model or flow chart, statistical, econometric or mathematical models
Research Questions
Hypotheses: theory driven(relation between 2 or 3 vars)
Or propositions
Specification of the Information Needed
The Role of Theory in Research
Research Task Role of Theory
1. Conceptualizing
and identifying
key variables
Provides a conceptual foundation and understanding of the basic processes
underlying the problem situation. These processes will suggest key dependent
and independent variables.
2. Operationalizing
key variables
Theoretical constructs (variables) can suggest independent and dependent
variables naturally occurring in the real world.
3. Selecting a
research design
Causal or associative relationships suggested by the theory may indicate whether
a causal or descriptive design should be adopted.
4. Selecting a
sample
The theoretical framework may be useful in defining the population and
suggesting variables for qualifying respondents, imposing quotas, or stratifying
the population
5. Analyzing and
interpreting data
The theoretical framework (and the models, research questions and hypotheses
based on it) guide the selection of a data analysis strategy and the interpretation
6. Integrating
findings
The findings obtained in the research project can be interpreted in the light of
previous research and integrated with the existing body of knowledge.
ModelsAn analytical model is a set of variables and theirinterrelationships designed to represent, in whole or in part,some real system or process.
Y = f(x), Y=a1X1+a2X2+….(linear, nonlinear)
In verbal models, the variables and their relationships arestated in prose form. Such models may be mere restatements ofthe main tenets of a theory. (chart & statements)
Graphical ModelsGraphical models are visual. They are used to
isolate variables and to suggest directions of
relationships but are not designed to provide
numerical results (.e.g, AIDA model)
Awareness
Understanding: Evaluation
Preference
Patronage
Mathematical Models
Mathematical models explicitly specify the relationshipsamong variables, usually in equation form.
Where
y = degree of preference
= model parameters to be estimated
statistically
∑=
+=n
iii xaay
10
aa i,0
Development of Research Questions and Hypotheses
Fig. 2.4
Components of the
Research Questions
Hypotheses
Objective/TheoreticalFramework
AnalyticalModel
Research Problem
Research Questions and Hypotheses
Research questions (RQs) are refined statements of
the specific components of the problem.
Propositions
A hypothesis (H) is an unproven statement or
proposition about a factor or phenomenon that is ofinterest to the researcher. Often, a hypothesis is apossible answer to the research question.
Fields and Research Approches
Accounting and Finance:Data – and theory - driven
Management, marketing, IBBehavioral science,experiment
Survey
Data modeling
CDS, logistics, operations researchData –driven, or theory driven
Cross- or inter-disciplinary research
Academic Writing
Simple
Clear
Style
Format guidelines
References
Integrity and learning from others
Other books
Author Kumar, Ranjit
Title Research methodology : a step-by-step guide for beginners /Ranjit Kumar
Imprint London : SAGE, c2011
Author Gomm, Roger
Title Social research methodology : a critical introduction / RogerGomm
Imprint Basingstoke, Hampshire ; New York : Palgrave Macmillan,2004
Chapter 2Research Methodology
Research Method vs. Research Methodology
Research methodology is the science and philosophy behind all research.It goes into the heart of how we know what we know and allows us to understand the very strict constraints placed upon our concept of what knowledge actually is.
A research method is a way of conducting and implementing research.
They are different!
Approaches to Business and Social Research Quantitative Research
Based on the methodological principles of positivism and neopositivism, and adheres to the standards of a strict research design developed prior to the actual research.
Applied for quantitative measurement and hence statistical analysis is used.
Used in almost every sphere of life, such as in clinical, biological, epidemiological, sociological and business research.
Qualitative ResearchUses a number of methodological approaches based on diverse theoretical principles
(Phenomenology, Hermeneutics and Social Interactionism)
Employs methods of data collection and analysis that are non-quantitative, aims towards the exploration of social relations, and describes reality as experienced by the respondents.
Used in the field of social sciences
Approaches to Business and Social Research
Pure (Theoretical) ResearchUsually used to develop new knowledge that advances our understanding of the real
world
Evaluates concepts and theories and thus attempts to expand the limits of existing knowledge
No obvious commercial value to the discoveries that result from pure research
Applied ResearchConducted when a decision must be made about a specific real-life problem
The principal aim is to improve human conditions
Directly related to social and policy issues
Approaches to Business and Social Research
Longitudinal StudiesInvolves the study of a sample (or cohort) on more than one occasion
Cover a long period of time and follow the sample a repeated number of times (time series)
Unique in its ability to answer questions about causes and consequences, and hence provides a basis for substantiated explanatory theory
Panel study: involves collecting data from the same sample (repeated purchase)
Cohort study: sample a cohort in a selected time period and study them at intervals through timeA cohort is a group of individuals who experience the same event or share the same
characteristics (age group, school class)
Justifying the Scientific Method
Styles of ReasoningInduction and Deduction: not opposite but tend to be complementary
Inductivism observes the ‘world’ and comes to a generalization about it
Deductivism has largely replaced the inductivist method and uses as its basis the establishment of universal laws.
Justifying the Scientific Method
Syllogistic Reasoning (Deductive Logic)
A syllogism is a statement of two related parts from which a conclusion is drawn.Categorical Syllogism
1. All objects A have the property B. Major premise2. Object C belongs to the class of A. Minor premise3. Therefore object C has the property B. Conclusion
Hypothetical Syllogism (三段論法,推論法)1. If A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are true (Assumptions), then B is true (Prediction).
Major premise (Universal Law)2. If A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are true . Minor premise (initial conditions) 3. Therefore B is true. Conclusion
Justifying the Scientific Method
Fallacies in Deductive Reasoning Affirming the Consequent:
1. If A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are true, then B is true.2. B is true.3. Therefore A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are true.
The rules of formal logic would require (3) to read as: Therefore A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are not necessarily not-true.
‘After this because of this’: If an event ‘X’ follows an event ‘Y’ then event ‘Y’ caused event ‘X’.
It attempts to presume that an action deliberately taken to achieve an outcome has ‘caused’ that outcome if the outcome actually occurs.
Justifying the Scientific Method
Fallacies in Inductive ReasoningExample:
1. A recession has always followed a ‘boom’ in the business cycle.2. What has happened in the past will continue to happen in the future.3. Therefore there will be a recession after the current ‘boom’ is over.
The minor premise relies on the Principle of Regularity, which is not impossible to know whether it exists.
The material truth of the minor premise can never be demonstrated and therefore a universal statement cannot be logically derived (with certainty).
Justifying the Scientific Method
Falsification and Verification Verification of theory is not possible but falsification is.
1. If A1 and A2, A3, ..., AN are true, then B is true.2. B is false.3. Therefore at least one of A1, ..., AN is false and therefore the theory
encapsulated by them is false.
This means that in arriving at a conclusion which supports a hypothesis we cannot be bullish in our claims of what we have ‘discovered’.
Justifying the Scientific Method
Common fallacies One might make the statement that:1. All unemployment is voluntary.2. Jacky is a member of the unemployed.3. Therefore Jacky is voluntarily unemployed.
Statement 3 is merely an assertion based on the assumption that the major premise is a fact and not a premise! This in fact breaks the formal rules of logic. (Deductive reasoning)
Justifying the Scientific Method
Common fallacies Another example:1. Financial innovations (new products) have always found/created new markets.2. This will always be the case.3. Therefore, more financial innovation will find/create more new markets.
The whole argument rests on a belief that the past is a guide to the future; that there is some principle of regularity or determinism at work. Hence it is the minor premise (statement 2) which is fundamentally flawed in logic. (Inductive reasoning)
Justifying the Scientific Method
Two golden rules
It is not possible to verify a theory, only to falsify it or elements of it. That is, be modestin your claims of what you have found!
Do any of your findings make sense in terms of being logically true (from yourassumptions) but they cannot possibly be materially true?
Research Ethics
If you do not conduct your work in an ethical manner you will fail.
Fraud can come in several forms:Being selective in sampling.Not reporting survey response/participation rates.Deliberately biasing the data collection instruments.Making up data.Falsifying results.Trimming—removing data that does not fit in with your analysis.Biased or inappropriate analysis.Plagiarism