Labour Market Outlook forMid-Sized British Columbia

Communities with Christian Saint Cyr

Publisher | BC Labour Market Report

Meeting of the Union of British Columbia Municipalities

Tuesday September 23, 2014

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

British Columbia is about to embark on a period of nearly unprecedented growth.

CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATIONS JOBS

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Excluding LNG, we’re still factoring

in $60 billion in major projects .

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Demographic Challenges

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

BC’s population:

20-29

Slow growth of new labour force entrants expected

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Demographic Challenges

BC’s population:

55-64

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Retirement-aged population to experience significant growth

Expected to peak in 2021

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Demographic Challenges

BC’s aging population

In 2016, number of retirement-aged British Columbians (55-64 years) will surpass those aged 20-29 (potential new labour force entrants)

19901993

19961999

20022005

20082011

20142017

20202023

20262029

20322035

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000Population aged 20-29 Population aged 55-64

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Demographic Challenges

How many job openings are expected?

• 1,027,400 job openings are expected for B.C. over the next ten-year period

• Close to two-thirds of job openings (676,400) will be due to replacement demand as a result of retiring workers and deaths

• The other one-third of job openings (351,000) will be due to the new jobs that result from economic growth

• Demand for workers in B.C. is expected to grow by an annual average rate of 1.4% over the ten-year period

Future Job Growth

Retirements Econ Growth

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Which sectors will create the greatest numbers of new jobs by 2020?

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

With the pressure of growing business with fewer workers, what actions will many employers utilize?

• Contracting out low-skill or specialized activities internationally or to independent contractors

• Introduce new types of technology

• Seek out organizational efficiencies

• Increase wages and other employment benefits

• Develop recruiting strategies for under-represented members of the labour market

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Groups which can be better utilized in the labour market include:

•Aboriginals

•Those with Disabilities

•Youth

•Older Workers

•Immigrants

•Individuals with Multiple Barriers to Employment

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

The challenge of our labour market is not a labour shortage but a skills

shortage

Over 77% of All JobsWill Require

Post-Secondary Education

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Occupations experiencing or expected to experience shortages:• Managers in Health, Education, Social and Community Services, Construction and

Transportation

• Auditors, Accountants and Investment Professionals

• Human Resources and Business Service Professionals

• Professional Occupations in Natural and Applied Sciences

• Physical Science Professionals / Life Science Professionals

• Civil, Mechanical, Electrical and Chemical Engineers

• Pharmacists, Dietitians, Nutritionists, Nurse Supervisors and Registered Nurses

• Medical Technologists and Technicians

• Psychologists, Social Workers, Counsellors, Clergy and Probation Officers

• Underground Miners, Oil and Gas Drillers and Related Workers

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Occupations experiencing an over-supply of labour:• Clerical Supervisors and clerical Occupations

• Office Equipment Operators

• Finance and Insurance Clerks

• Mail and Message Distribution Occupations

• Sales and Service Supervisors / Cashiers

• Secondary & Elementary Teachers and Counsellors

• Sales and Service Supervisors, Cashiers

• Butchers & Bakers

• Upholsterers, Tailors, Shoe Repairers, Jewellers and Related Occupations

• Fishing Vessel Masters and Skippers and Fishermen/Fisherwomen

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

BC Skills for Growth

Labour Market Strategy

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

• Aboriginal Business Entrepreneurship Skills Training (BEST)

• Aboriginal Training and Employment Program (ATEP)

• BladeRunners

• Employment Skills Access Initiative

• Immigrants in Trades Training

• Job Options BC

• Job Options BC - Urban Older Workers

• Labour Market Sector Solutions

• Skilled Trades Employment Program (STEP)

• Skilled Trades Employment Program (STEP) – Job Match Services

• Skills Connect for Immigrants

• Targeted Initiative for Older Workers (TIOW)

• Targeted Skills Shortage Pilot Program

• Trades Training for Aboriginal People

• Women in Trades Training

• Women’s Mentorship Program

• Youth Skills BC - Workplace Program

Employment Programs such as the Employment Program of B.C. and ASETS-funded Employment Programming for Aboriginals

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Employment Program of B.C.

Launched April 2, 2012 after over 2 years of consultations

85 WorkBC Employment Services Centres (ESCs) throughout BC

100+ satellite offices with outreach and itinerant services

ESCs provide a range of services to any unemployed British Columbian

Assist clients to become employment ready and find & sustain a job

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Employment Program of B.C.

The EPBC has served 160,449 people, with over 80% receiving case management

38,776 employment outcomes achieved

Program has achieved an overall employment rate of about 42%

Employment outcome rate is nearly 80% for clients who have completed case management

EI clients account for 36% and BCEA clients account for nearly a third of all clients

91,076 self identified as being from one or more specialized populations

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Employment Program of B.C. | Specialized Populations

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Persons with adisability

Youth Multi-barriered Rural andremote

populations

Aboriginalpeople

Immigrants Survivors ofviolence and/or

abuse

Francophone

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Planning for a Skills Shortage: Critical Next Steps

• Work with secondary school educators and public and private post-secondary instructions to ensure training programs reflect labour market demand.

• Encourage local employers to recruit individuals from under-represented populations such as Aboriginals, immigrants and those with disabilities.

• Adopt inclusive community policies to encourage immigrants to settle in the area.

• Support local employers with informing job seekers and youth about the employment opportunities in their own community.

• Encourage local businesses to adopt ‘employer of choice’ policies.

• Foster mentorship and co-op educational opportunities.

Labour Market Outlookfor Mid-Sized British Columbia Communities

Planning for a Skills Shortage: Critical Next Steps

• Develop economic development policies that take into consideration factors such as:

• Economic Shifts to a Knowledge and Service-based Economy

• Globalization

• Health and the Environment

• Technology and Education

• Self Employment

• Changing Age Demographics