Scientists for Cycling - 17 November 2016

www.VehicleForaSmallPlanet.com

Kevin J. Krizek

Bicycling to Change Urban Transport

Transport is quickly changing

1 2 3Bicycling’s

future is uncertain

Address ‘knowledge gaps’ while

setting policy

PREMISES

1. Transport varies by culture & context 2. Development densities will increase 3. Robots are coming 4. Humans prefer to travel (& not cloister-up at home) 5. Streets can supply a “third space”

1. Transport varies by culture & context 2. Development densities will increase 3. Robots are coming 4. Humans prefer to travel (& not cloister-up at home) 5. Streets can supply a “third space” 6. Human flows will be accurately monitored 7. Energy efficiency will help guide policies

1

10

100

1000

Value Axis

0 0 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000

Body Weight (kg)

Energy Cost of Transport

(kcal/kg km)

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 1 10 102 103 104 105

0.1

1

10

100

Salmon

Pedestrian Auto

Aeroplane

Rat

Hummingbird

Bee

Dog

Pigeon

Horse

Forms of transport have big differences in energy efficiency

Bicyclist

Traffic, Technology, & getting around

town?

Things are behaving

differently

+autonomous vehicles & new vehicle types

continued advances, information tech

shared services

big changes in how roads will be used

changing demographics/preferences

++

& iBooks $8.99

Graphic from The NewYorker; Cars vs. Bikes vs. Pedestrians (November 5, 2015)

BICYCLING depends on… 1. lowering its ‘generalized’ cost (relative to other modes) 2. providing intrinsic pleasure

KEY CHALLENGES KNOWLEDGE GAPS

0 km/h

Adapted from: Urban Mobility: A New Design Approach for Urban Public Space. AWNB by Ben Immers, Bart Egeter, Johan Diepens, Paul Weststrate, 2016.

50 km/h

Tram-like

Truck-like

Car-like

Light motor vehicle

Bicycle-like

Pedestrian walking, running

human bicycle

pedelec, moped, quad-bike

25 km/h

forms of rail-based

trucks, buses, delivery vans

car, micro-car, van

Vehicle class

messy middle

0 km/h

Adapted from: Urban Mobility: A New Design Approach for Urban Public Space. AWNB by Ben Immers, Bart Egeter, Johan Diepens, Paul Weststrate, 2016.

50 km/h

Tram-like

Truck-like

Car-like

Light motor vehicle

Bicycle-like

Pedestrian walking, running

human bicycle

pedelec, moped, quad-bike

25 km/h

forms of rail-based

trucks, buses, delivery vans

car, micro-car, van

Vehicle class

Bicycling positive infrastructure feedback loop

REDUCE the relative &

generalized “cost” of bicycling

IMPROVE CONDITIONS for bicycling

(reduce conflict w/ fast moving cars,, provide higher quality

infrastructure)

ENHANCE bicycling

accessibility

INCREASE demand for

bicycling

Adapted from: “Diamond of Assembly” (Chapter 12, Planning for Place and Plexus: Metropolitan Land Use and Transport) & prompted by David Levinson

ASSESS degree to which “latent demand” for

bicycling is realized on city streets

Technology does not change geometric human facts

leverage accessibility coalesce vehicle types & speeds

capitalize on intermodality drill down into ‘human’ element

Scientists for Cycling - 17 November 2016

www.VehicleForaSmallPlanet.com

Kevin J. Krizek

Bicycling to Change Urban Transport