KCM CatalogueTitle: KCM Catalogue Author: DILIP Created Date: 2/15/2017 5:14:49 PM
Kcm 03 12 Buyers
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Transcript of Kcm 03 12 Buyers
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Existing Home Sales
12,521 HomesSell Every Day
and 8,715 BuyersReceive a Mortgage
NAR 2/2012
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Pending Home Sales
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
Apr May Jun Ju l Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Ju l Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
NAR 2/2012
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Months Inventory of Homes for Sale
NAR 2/2012
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
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Return on Investment
MSN Money.com, Case Shiller
18.4
-1
-24.4
36.7
-50
-30
-10
10
30
50
Dow S&P NASDAQ Real Estate
January 1, 2000
March 1, 2012
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IHS Global Insights 2/13/2012
Projections for 2012
For 2012, we are expecting betterhousing numbers than in 2011, anda better second half than first.
IHS Global Insights
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Projections for 2012
A lot of housing andmacroeconomic data came inhigher than expected so far in
2012while jobless claims
have fallen steadily this yearand indications on consumersentiment show Americans
may be ready to begin buyingproperties again.
Jason Philyaw, Editor, Housing Wire
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Freddie Mac 2/22/2012
Projections for 2012
The US economy continues to build on the momentum
from the end of last year. Our outlook anticipates gradual,but steady, improvement in the economy and the housingmarket, supported by low interest rates and brightening
job market prospects.
Frank Nothaft. Freddie Mac VP and chief economist
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Moodys Analytics 2/27/2012
Projections for 2012
The improved tone of housing databuoys hopes that the market may be onthe verge of its long-awaited recovery...Increases in new- and existing-home
sales over the last three months followstronger job creation and improvedaffordability, including the overall droplast month in conventional mortgage
rates to below 4%.
Moodys Analytics
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CNBC 2/13/2012
Warren Buffett Speaks Out
Is it time to buy real estate?
IfI had a way of buying a couple hundred thousand single-family homes Iwould load up on them.
Why invest in real estate now?
Its a way, in effect, to short the dollar because you can take a 30-yearmortgage and if it turns out your interest rates too high, next week you
refinance lower. And if it turns out its too low, the other guys stuck with it for30 years. So its a very attractive asset class now.
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Source: CNBC 2/13/2012
Warren Buffett Speaks Out
Is buying your own home better than investing instocks right now?
If I knew where I was going to want to live the next five or 10 years I wouldbuy a home and Id finance it with a 30-year mortgage Its a terrific deal.
Should we buy multiple houses?
If I was an investor that was a handy type and I could buy a couple of them
at distressed prices and find renters, I think its a leveraged way of owning avery cheap asset now and I think thats probably as an attractive an
investment as you can make now.
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3.75
4
4.25
4.5
4.75
5
5.25
Mortgage Rates 30 Year Fixed
Federal Reserve
1/01/2011 Today
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Comparison 5 Years Later Current Home Move-up Home
Current Price $400,000 $600,000
Future Price (+20%) $480,000 $720,000Future Gain $80,000 $120,000
Future difference $40,000
Current Gain $50,000
Total Gain $90,000
The Move-Up Buyer
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The Move-Up Buyer
Price Rate P&ITODAY 600,000 4.40 3,044.57
2016 720,000 6.00 4,316.76
Monthly Savings 1,272.19
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MSNBC.com 2/6/2012
Home Rents Will Keep Rising
Paying rent is gettingmore painful for rentersacross the country in theface of rising demandand tight supply $1,000
$1,025
$1,050
$1,075
$1,100
$1,125
$1,150
$1,175
$1,200
2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013* 2014*
Its bad timing for people who have been spooked
by, or pushed out of, the residential housing marketand have decided to rent instead of buy. Homeownership in the United States is at historic lows,but at the same time rental prices are on the rise.
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Forbes.com 10/13/2011
$400K
$0Owners Renters
Retirement FundCreated from
Homeowner EquityAfter 30 Years*
RentBuy
* Assuming $300,000 current value with a 1% annual appreciation
rate for residential property.
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Resources
KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
Slide Slide Title Link
2,3,4
Existing Home Sales, Pending Home
Sales, Monthly Inventory of Homes forSaleshttp://www.realtor.org
5 Return on Investment www.msnmoney.com
6 Projections for 2012 http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304
7 Projections for 2012 http://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-tap
8 Projections for 2012 http://freddiemac.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=12329&item=122345
9 Projections for 2012 http://www.economy.com
10 Warren Buffet Speaks Out http://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258
11 Warren Buffet Speaks Out http://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258
12 Mortgage Rates http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
16 House Rents Will Keep Risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-
keep-rising-and-rising
17, 18Housing Cost Over Next 30 Years,Retirement Fund Created fromHomeowner Equity After 30 Years
http://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-
prices-fall-further
19 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices http://www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdf
http://www.realtor.org/http://www.msnmoney.com/http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://freddiemac.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=12329&item=122345http://www.economy.com/http://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258http://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258http://www.freddiemac.com/pmmshttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdfhttp://www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdfhttp://www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdfhttp://www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdfhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2011/10/12/buy-that-dream-house-now-or-wait-until-prices-fall-furtherhttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://bottomline.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/06/10332224-office-and-home-rent-will-keep-rising-and-risinghttp://www.freddiemac.com/pmmshttp://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258http://www.cnbc.com/id/46541258http://www.economy.com/http://freddiemac.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=12329&item=122345http://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.housingwire.com/article/monday-morning-cup-coffee-more-good-housing-news-taphttp://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.ihs.com/products/Global-Insight/industry-economic-report.aspx?ID=1065932304http://www.msnmoney.com/http://www.realtor.org/ 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Resources
KEEPINGCURRENTMATTERS.COM
Slide Slide Title Link
21 Months Supply of Shadow Inventory http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/02/17/881581/the-decline-of-us-housing-inventory
22 Months Supply of Shadow Inventoryhttp://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/0556a600491cbf9b813bcd2e39654e23/Shadow_Inventory_Annual_2011_for_website.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=0556a600491cbf9b813bcd
2e39654e23
21 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices www.housingviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/CSHomePrice_Release1.pdf
25 Impact of Settlementhttp://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report/january-2012-us-foreclosure-
market-report-7022
26 Impact of Settlementhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/business/source-holdout-states-to-sign-mortgage-
settlement-with-banks-over-foreclosure-abuses/2012/02/08/gIQA7uIvzQ_story.html
27 Impact of Settlementhttp://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-02-14/foreclosure-deal-to-spur-u-s-home-seizures-
help-heal-market.html
28 Price Depreciation http://www.economy.com/dismal
30 Foreclosures in Process by State http://www.corelogic.com/about-us/researchtrends/asset_upload_file693_14120.pdf
33 Percentage of Distressed Property Sales http://www.realtor.org
34 Short Sale Surging http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/02/lawler-short-sales-increased.html
35 Short Sale Surginghttp://www.realtytrac.com/content/foreclosure-market-report/q4-and-year-end-2011-us-
foreclosure-sales-report-7060
37 Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Acthttp://www.dsnews.com/articles/obama-proposes-extending-tax-waiver-on-mortgage-debt-
forgiveness-2012-02-15
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