Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and...

Katarzyna Rybka-IwańskaVistula University, Warsaw

Jan 23rd 2018

� US-China and US-North Korea relations

� US-Russia relations

� Brexit, the future of the EU and the eurozone

� The war in Syria, Daesh

� Economic expansion and global activity of China ChRL

Today we will reach beyond newspaper and TV

headlines, beyond flashy titles of internet articles, and

even beyond twitter and hashtags.

Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska http://rybkaiwanska.com 2

� Are we all going to lose our jobs soon due to robotics

and automatisation?

� Are migrating millennials changing the world for the

better?

� In what kind of cities will our children and

grandchildren (if we decide to have them) grow up and

will we develop and age?

� Will Singapur, Miami and Amsterdam sink?

� Will the world in 10, 20, 50 years be more equal and

more just?


2012:- Individual empowerment- Diffusion of power- Demographic patterns- Food, water, energy nexus2017:- How people live- How people create and innovate- How people prosper- How people think- How people govern- How people fight


Human-centred; individual

empowerment in fullbloom

� Growth of the global middle class

� Wider access to lethal and disruptive technologies

� Definitive shift of economic power to the East and

South

� Unprecedented and Widespread Aging

� Urbanisation

� Food and water pressures

� US energy independence


� National Intelligence Council: Global Trends (2012 and 2017 editions)

� EY – The upside of disruption� PwC: Megatrends – 5 global shifts changing the way we live

and do business� World Economic Forum: Global Risk Report and other

materials� AT Kearney Year-Ahead Predictions 2018� Pew Research Center� International Migration Organisation: Migration in 2030

Agenda� Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”� Time: The Optimists



Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdf

� Disruption (more important than „black swans”)

� Resilience

� Agility � technology and business dominate

� Innovation

� Startups


Source: http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-disruption.pdf

The number of media articles mentioning „disruptive innovation” is rising

� Is the global middle class growing?

� Where will the centres of innovation be located?

� Which economies will grow fastest?

� Will people continue to get out of poverty? If so – will

this process be even and sustainable?



Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdf


Source: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/12/14/americas-middle-class-is-shrinking-so-whos-leaving-it/


Source: https://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/employment-and-growth/poorer-than-their-parents-a-new-perspective-on-income-inequality

� Where is the number of people growing, where is it

shrinking?

� Where do and will people migrate?

� Will the world, in foreseeable future, become equal for

men and women?



median 2010



Forecastedmedian 2030



Source: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/Migration_Impact_Cities_report_2017_HR.pdf

The biggest and the

most regular boom is

happening in Africa


Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”


Source: http://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/migration_in_the_2030_agenda.pdf


Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”


Source: https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/world-2050/assets/pwc-the-world-in-2050-full-report-feb-2017.pdf


� Why and what for do people migrate to cities?

� What are megacities?

� What are global cities?

� Are the cities of the future the centres of opportunities or

threats?


Source: https://info.publicintelligence.net/GlobalTrends2030.pdfRichard C. Longworth, „On Global Cities”


Source: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/nic/GT-Full-Report.pdfhttp://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-disruption.pdf


Source: Richard C. Longworth, „On

Global Cities”;

https://www.atkearney.com/docu

ments/10192/12610750/Global+Ci

ties+2017+-

+Leaders+in+a+World+of+Disruptiv

e+Innovation.pdf/c00b71dd-18ab-

4d6b-8ae6-526e380d6cc4


� Will we all lose jobs? If so – why?

� Why do humans need robots?

� What are the most demanded talents?

� Will women empowerment succeed in global labour markets?


Source:

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_F

uture_of_Jobs.pdf


Source:

http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WE

F_Future_of_Jobs.pdf


Source: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2018/01/the-four-superpowers-shaping-our-world/

The biggestdynamics


Source:

http://www.ey.com/Publication/vw

LUAssets/EY-the-upside-of-

disruption/$FILE/EY-the-upside-of-

disruption.pdf


Source:




Źródło: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf


Source:

http://www.pewsocialtrends.o

rg/2016/10/06/the-state-of-

american-jobs/


Source:

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org

/2016/10/06/the-state-of-

american-jobs/


Source: https://www.atkearney.com/web/global-

business-policy-council/article?/a/year-ahead-

predictions-2018

http://rybkaiwanska.com

https://www.linkedin.com/in/katarzyna-rybka-iwanska/

@rybkaiwanska


Katarzyna Rybka-Iwańska Vistula University, Warsaw Jan ......Jan 23rd 2018 US-China and...

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