Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

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Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh Overview of Navigational Aids & Precision Agriculture Investment

Transcript of Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Page 1: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh

Overview of Navigational Aids & Precision Agriculture Investment

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LightbarsLosing PopularitySavings of 2-10%Upgradeability

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Auto-Steer

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GPS Classifications

Low-Cost Sub-Meter Decimeter RTK

$50-300 $1k – 4k $5k-10k+$1500/yr >$25k

8-25 ft. <3 ft. <1 ft. < 1 in.

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Auto-Steer AccuracyHardwareGPSMachine qualityCalibrationImplement drift

A-B Line

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Passive: Over-steer tractorActive: Steer implement

Solutions

Page 9: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Less expensiveTractor running over rowLimited response speedDifficult to predict implement performance

Passive Steering

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Implement Steering

Page 11: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Reduces skips and overlapsReduces fatigueAccurate placement of inputsLengthening of operator’s workdayIncrease in machinery field capacity

Reduced machinery costsPermits more land area to be planted during

optimal timeReduce riskLand investment implications

Benefits of Auto-Steer

Page 12: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Is Auto-steer Profitable?Should I Adopt?

Page 13: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

Answers “Should I make a change?”Estimate of changes in income, expenses and

profits associated with a proposed modification in the whole farm plan

Examples of possible changes?

Partial Budgets

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Allows managers to make adjustments“Fine-tuning”Consider interactions consciouslyFocus on marginal - things that actually

change from implementing the new planIf it doesn’t change, don’t include it

Partial Budget Aspects

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Additional RevenueReduced RevenueAdditional CostsReduced Costs

Additional revenue and reduced costs raise profits

Reduced revenue and additional costs lowers profits

Four Things Can Happen as a Part of a Change:

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Simplifies task involving complex decisionsForces consideration of marginal economicsEncourages considering change -simple tool

Advantages of Partial Budgets

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Can still be cumbersome with complex changes

Economic evaluation not always a physically feasible evaluation

Many small changes are possible but not enough time to evaluate them all with partial budgeting

Disadvantages of Partial Budgets

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Partial Budget Framework

Additional Costs (AC): AC – Fixed AC – Variable (per acre)*A

Additional Revenue (AR): AR – Fixed AR – Variable (per acre)*A

Reduced Revenue (RR): RR – Fixed RR – Variable (per acre)*A

Reduced Costs (RC): RC – Fixed RC – Variable (per acre)*A

Total1 = ACF + ACV *A+ RRF + RRV *A

Total2= ARF + ARV *A+ RCF + RCV*A

Net Change In Profit = Total2 - Total1 + or - ???If + , then implement the changeIf - , then don’t implement the change

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Break-Even Acreage

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The amount of acres required for which you would be indifferent to making the change. (i.e. the net change in profit = 0)

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Opportunity cost (e.g. learning curve)Risks (up/down)Feasibility (physically possible, resource

requirements)Desirability (noneconomic goals)

Considerations

Page 21: Jordan Shockley and Tim Stombaugh. Losing Popularity Savings of 2-10% Upgradeability.

800 acres$35,000 investment outlay, $5,000 ownership costIncrease yields from 150 bu/ac to 151 bu/acCorn price = $4.40/bu

Fertilizer = $111 Savings = 3%Seed = $76 Savings = 2%Herbicide = $30 Savings = 7%Fuel = $17 Savings = 10%Labor = $20 Savings = 10%

Auto-Steer Example

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Partial Budget – Auto-Steer ExampleAdditional Costs:Auto-steer Ownership $5,000

Additional Revenue:Corn Sales (151-150 bu/ac)*$4.40/bu*800 ac = $3,520

Reduced Revenue: Reduced Costs:Fertilizer $111*800*.03 = $2,664Seed $76*800*.02 = $1,216Herbicide $30*800*.07 = $1,680Fuel $17*800*.10 = $1,360Labor $20*800*.10 = $1,600

Total: $5,000 Total: $12,040

Net Change In Profit: $7,040

Should you purchase auto-steer to increase profits?

YES – Profits are expected to increase $7,040 for the farm

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Break-Even Acreage: Auto-Steer Example

)1.*20()1.*17()07.*30()02.*76()03.*111(40.400

0500000

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acres 2.332A

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