Janet Hyde, President, Academic Strategic Directions · predicting future skills academic strategic...

Academic Strategic Directions1

Janet Hyde, President, Academic Strategic Directions

PRESENTATION OVERVIEW


• THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION AND THE COMPLEX NEW WORLD

• SKILLS SHIFT

• PREDICTING FUTURE SKILLS

• IMPACT ON ACADEMIA

• PREPARING POST-SECONDARIES FOR THE FUTURE

THE FOURTH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION


AND THE COMPLEX NEW WORLD


• SKILLS SHIFT




A fusion of technologies that is blurring the lines between physical,

digital and biological spheres

Used electric power to create mass production

World Economic Forum: Four Industrial Revolutions

Used electronic and information technology to automate production

Source: The Fourth Industrial Revolution: What it means, how to respond, Klaus Schwab, January 2016


First Industrial

Revolution

Fourth Industrial

Revolution

Third Industrial

Revolution

Second Industrial

Revolution

Industry 4.0

Industry 3.0

Industry 2.0

Industry 1.0

1780

1870

1970

NOW

Used water and steam power to mechanize production

The Complex New World

Source: Skills of the Future: How to thrive in the complex new world, E. Loshkareva, P. Luksha, I. Ninenko, I. Smagin, D. Sudakov, 2017

Academic Strategic Directions 5

Meta-Trend: Accelerating rate of change

• Globalization (economic, technological and cultural)• Environmentalization: attention to collective well-being

Techno-social

Technological

• Digitalization of all areas of life

• Automation and Robotization

• Demographic Changes• Formation of a Network Society

Social

Trends Impacting Post-Secondary Education


Operating Environment

Source: Conference Board of Canada 2018

Resources

Goals

Processes

Metrics

SKILLS SHIFT



• SKILLS SHIFT




US Bureau of Labour Statistics Projections Top Growth and Top Decline Jobs to 2026

Source: US Bureau of Labour Statistics, April 2018

Top Growth Most Decline

1 Solar Photovoltaic Installers Locomotive Firers

2Wind Turbine Service Technicians

Respiratory Therapy Technicians

3Home Health Aides Parking Enforcement

Workers

4Personal Care Aides Word Processors and

Typists

5 Physician Assistants Watch Repairers



Skills ShiftTotals for the United States and

14 Western European Countries

Source: McKinsey and Company, Skills Shift, May 2018

Billions of

Hours spent in

2030

Physical and

Manual

BasicCognitive

Higher Cognitive

Social and Emotional

Techno-logical

-14 -15 +8 +24 +55

can be universally applied

throughout the life time in

different living contexts of the

individual.


Skills Shift


Context Specific Skills

are developed and applied

in a specific context

Cross-Context Skills

can be applied in a larger

domain of social or personal

activities

Existential Skills

Modern Theory of Management

• “Hard” eg

• “Soft” eg

o assembly, machineso specific work

o time managemento Effective

communication

The New Model

Basic Skills the “core” competencies


The “Four Cs of 21st

century learning”

have also been

gaining popularity:

Knowledge Shift

Adapted from: “The Future of Me”, KPMG India, 2018

• critical thinking,

• communication,

• collaboration,

and

• creativity


What Got Us Here,

Won’t Get Us There

Source: Adapted from Marshall Goldsmith, 2007

PREDICTING FUTURE SKILLS



• SKILLS SHIFT




Adapted from: The New Work Mindset, Foundation for Young Australians, 2017

Academic Strategic Directions

14

Communication

Planning

Detail-oriented

Train, Teach

Time Management

Problem Solving

Customer Service

Teamwork

Building Relationships

Research

Digital Literacy

Quality Assurance

Written Communication

Creativity

Project Management

The Technologists

The Informers

The Designers

The Coordinators

The Carers

The Artisans

The Generators

Skill RelationshipsSkillsJob Clusters

ocean-based industries:fisheries, oil and gas and clean

energy

Canada’s Economic Growth Superclusters And Focus For Future Skills Identification

Source: Canada Innovation and Skills Plan, 2017


Digital Technology

big data and digital technologies: unlock new potential in

important sectors

health care, forestry, and manufacturing

Protein Industries

Canada a leading source plant proteins

Advanced Manufacturing

connect technology strengths

manufacturing industry +

prepare for the economy of tomorrow

Scale AI building intelligent supply chains artificial intelligence and

robotics

Ocean innovation to improve competitiveness

FOCUSINTENTIONSUPERCLUSTER

IMPACT ON ACADEMIA



• SKILLS SHIFT




“The pedagogic pendulum

will swing back towards the

lecture as the importance

of an analytical mind

becomes appreciated once

more.”

“In 15 years we will have no

one to teach ….. the

professional jobs for which

we prepare students will be

done by intelligent

machines.”

“Technology has

found a place in

universities, but

nothing significant

has changed”

Source: Future Perfect: what will universities look like in 2030, Times Higher Education Contributors, December 2015

Some Opinions About The Future Of The Academy


“Devices will replace academic faculty by

2030. The concept of individual campuses

will slowly disappear. The two semester

pattern will be replaced by year-round

learning”

“Exams that

emphasise mastery of

taught knowledge will

no longer be the

primary tool for

judging student

performance”


Components of Scenarios

Provides decision-makers with o a range of strategies to consider

ando ability to stress-test the

resilience of the organization and its relationships, regardless of the future.

Based on traditional literature and information sources as well as trends from digital and social media sources.

To stimulate discussion and strategic thinking, not provide solutions.

Value of scenario

thinking and development

Data

Purpose


Scenario Development

Scenario development is

about “alternative futures”

Scenario development is fundamentally a “high-low”

matrix of critical uncertainties, creating four “worlds”, each equally plausible

HI LO

HI

LO

• the “three scenario” approach: “pick the middle”tendency

• the “two scenario” approach: “one or the other” thinking

• the “one scenario” approach: essentially“bet the business”

VS


Scenario Development Example

Source: “Four Scenarios for Asian Student Recruitment”, ICEF Monitor, 2014

A Plausible Scenario: An Education Ecosystem



• Educational hubs as the centre of the ecosystem

• Open to a wider range of students of any age and at multiple

career stages

• Educational experiences of different durations, from minutes

to years

• Wide range of educational styles

• Many independent suppliers providing educational experiences

A Plausible Scenario: Demand Driven Education

Source: Demand Driven Education, Joe Deegan (JFF) and Nathan Martin (Pearson), June 12, 2018

Alignment between desired

qualifications and available training


Outcome

Work ready graduates with

access to rewarding careers over the course of their

lifetimes

Learner and employerIntegration

Programming

New intersections and new pathways

Focused on the convergence of education and

work

Adaptation to the needs of the

learner and the employer

Develop and measure the specific skills that will be most in demand, especially interpersonal and complex thinking

Source: Demand Driven Education, Joe Deegan (JFF) and Nathan Martin (Pearson), June 12, 2018

Steps Toward Demand Driven Education


Support changes that make the entire education landscape function better, enabling traditional and alternative providers to participating in education alongside industry

5SUPPORT CHANGES

4CREATE

PATHWAYS

Create flexible and adaptive pathways to allow learners to convert learning to earning

3RESPOND TO

NEEDS Respond to the needs of labor markets and ensure continuous alignment

2UTILIZE

PEDAGOGY

Utilize dynamic and work-based pedagogy to grow learners competencies while also preparing educators to embrace new forms of teaching and learning

1 DEVELOP SKILLS

PREPARING POST-SECONDARIES


FOR THE FUTURE


• SKILLS SHIFT




Our Conclusions


25

Campuses will

continue as

hubs for

meeting and

administration

open market

transferable

credit

Much closer

links with

industry

including more

involvement of

industry in the

education

process

Enhanced

collaboration

between PSEs …

POSSIBLESAME VERY LIKELYLIKELY

Regarding The Future For Post-secondary Organizations

…potentially contributing toward one individual degree or diploma that can be built through badges and/or other component based programming

Very much faster

program development

Specialization

A wide array of online

programming

The term “content-

laden model” will give

way to more flexible

and applied “learning

models”

The Requirement for Change


John Kenneth Galbraith

“Faced with the choice between changing one’s mind and proving that there is no need to do so, almost everybody gets busy on the proof.”

Nimble Organizations

Source: Daryl Connor, various


27

Executing change quickly to

address challenges and

continue moving forward

Developing specific

goals to become more

nimble

Focusing on emerging

opportunities

Developing ability to

address uncertainty

Developing strong

collaborations and teamwork

across the organization

NIMBLE = a sustained ability to quickly and effectively respond to change

STEPS

TO

BECOMING

MORE

NIMBLE

Engages every level

and creates

opportunities for

front line to endorse

change

Successful Change


Adapted from: McKinsey and Company

Map the

organizational

network and

address change

blockers

Requires defining

the end state in

detail and providing

an early road map

Engagement DefinitionMapping

Communication, especially senior management communication

about progress, is the highest contributor to success.

Communications

Involves the whole

organization in more

rather than fewer

actions

Adapted from: McKinsey and Company


Collaboration: What Is It?

Skills that enhance collaboration include:

communication and teamwork,

stakeholder engagement and relationship management, and

social and cultural awareness.

The developing process of creating a shared visionCollaboration

Co-operation Reciprocity in the absence of rules

Co-ordination Synchronization of activity


Collaboration: Beyond Co-operation

Source: “Collaborating for Our Future: Multistakeholder Partnerships for Solving Complex Problems”, Gray and Purdy, 2018

• each stakeholder brings a unique perspective of the problemkaleidoscoping: same set of glass pieces (facts),

but multiple interpretations

• building a common understanding from individual points of view

• creating the basis for choosing a collective course of action.

The constructive management of differences:

• collaboration is a process; co-operation is relationship based


Collaboration: Benefits

Comprehensive analysis increases quality of solution

Stakeholder interests are considered as part of outcome

Participation enhances solution acceptance and implementation

Co-ordination of future actions can be established, especially through multistakeholder partnerships.

Source: “Collaborating for Our Future: Multistakeholder Partnerships for Solving Complex Problems”, Gray and Purdy, 2018


The Complexity of the Future Requires Collaboration


Define, Map and

Establish Future Vision

• Future Focused• Nimble• Collaborative

An Action Focus

Current State

• Unbundle

• Badge

• Partner

Desired StateChange Activities

• Industry• Academic• Alternative Service Providers

Partnerships

Credentials• Interdisciplinary

• Online

• Faster time to market

Programs

• Streamline

• Reduce

steps

Processes• Less siloed

• Enabling interdisciplinary

• Enabling multi-level partnerships

Structure


Janet Hyde MBAPresidentAcademic Strategic Directions+1 403 278 [email protected]

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