J.4769%20The%20Sunday%20Times%20Report%20June%202013

Sunday Times /Behaviour & Attitudes June, 2013 Opinion Poll 11th – 24th June, 2013

Prepared for

Prepared by Ian McShane

J.4769

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Technical Appendix

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Technical Appendix

● The results of this opinion poll are based upon a representative sample of 898 eligible Irish voters aged 18 years +.

● As such, the results can be deemed to be accurate to within plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

● Fieldwork was conducted over the period 11th – 24th June with interviewing carried out at the Behaviour & Attitudes Computer Aided Telephone Interviewing (CATI) Unit at Milltown House in Dublin.

● Interviewing was conducted across all 43 constituencies in the country with households selected for interview by way of Random Digit Dialling (RDD).

● The sample is split across RDD landline numbers and RDD mobile telephone numbers, so as to ensure that individuals living in landline only households, mobile only households, and households with both a landline and mobile telephone are represented in their correct proportions.

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Technical Appendix

● The subsequent survey results are weighted to reflect the known demographic profile of Irish adults, utilising the most recently published census population estimates from the Central Statistics Office (CSO).

● Party support levels are subsequently realigned in accordance with a technical adjustment factor, designed to smooth the effects of extreme highs and lows in support levels for individual parties as measured at a single point in time, and taking variable election day turnout levels into account.

● All aspects of the survey, including the Party Support adjustment factor, are implemented in accordance with the technical and ethical guidelines set down by the Association of Irish Market Research Organisations (AIMRO) and the European Society of Opinion & Market Research (ESOMAR).

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Charted Summary

6

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Government and Party Leader Satisfaction Levels

12th Feb

2011 (f/w: 31st Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w : 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w : 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w : 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w : 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb

2012 (f/w : 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w : 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th Sept

2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th Nov

2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th –

21st Jan.

2013)

26th Mar 2013 (f/w:

11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun 2013 (f/w: 11th –

24th June 2013)

The Government

5% 42% 34% 36% 26% 26% 29% 31% 24% 26% 22% 25% 24%

Micheál Martin

43% 40% 31% 36% 40% 33% 34% 41% 34% 42% 48% 44% 43%

Enda Kenny 40% 62% 51% 58% 44% 41% 47% 42% 38% 41% 39% 39% 37%

Eamon Gilmore

55% 52% 43% 46% 35% 34% 37% 32% 34% 29% 26% 29% 26%

Gerry Adams

40% 48% 50% 50% 48% 46% 43% 42% 39% 40% 43% 45% 43%

Eamon Ryan - 34% 30% 30% 30% 25% 29% 29% 27% 27% 30% 29% 30%

Q.2 Q.3

Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country? Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way (…..) is doing his job as (…….)?

7

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Core Party Support Levels

12th Feb. 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct, 2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w :

7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb. 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21st

Jan. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

Fianna Fáil 11% 12% 11% 11% 15% 11% 12% 12% 12% 16% 19% 19% 19%

Fine Gael 26% 35% 26% 27% 22% 23% 22% 24% 23% 23% 17% 19% 19%

Labour 17% 9% 10% 11% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 4% 5%

Sinn Féin 10% 10% 12% 14% 15% 18% 14% 17% 13% 12% 13% 13% 13%

Green Party

1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2%

Independents/Others

10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 11% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 15% 12%

Undecided 25% 22% 28% 27% 27% 30% 30% 28% 30% 29% 33% 27% 29%

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

8

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Party Support Levels (Excluding Undecideds - Unadjusted)

12th Feb, 2011 (f/w: 31st

Jan – 12th Feb,

2011)

General

Election

Result 25th Feb

24th Aug, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 24th Aug,

2011)

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)

9th Sept. 2012 (f/w: 4th -9th

Sept 2012)

13th Nov 2012 (f/w: 1st- 13th

Nov2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21stJa

n. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

Fianna Fáil 15% 17% 15% 15% 15% 20% 16% 17% 17% 18% 23% 28% 27% 27%

Fine Gael 34% 36% 44% 36% 37% 30% 32% 32% 33% 33% 32% 26% 26% 26%

Labour 23% 19% 12% 14% 15% 11% 10% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 6% 7%

Sinn Féin 14% 10% 13% 17% 19% 21% 25% 20% 23% 19% 17% 20% 17% 19%

Green Party 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%

Independent/ Others

14% 16% 12% 13% 13% 15% 15% 17% 14% 17% 16% 14% 21% 17%


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Party Support Adjustment Factor: Technical Note

● Predicting election results on the basis of poll data is not an exact science. All the evidence shows that support for individual parties can swing dramatically in the period between elections- very often outside the bounds of historic election results.

● What to do in these circumstances? Most polling companies in Britain and Ireland publish their raw survey results as an index of fluctuations in the emotional mood of voters. They also build in an adjustment based on a number of factors. Where we have reports of how people voted in the last general election as well as how they intend to vote in the next one we can use these data to model the likely level of swing from the last election results.

● We then add back in the forecasts of voters who have not voted last time or do not answer that particular question.

● Finally we take into account each individuals stated likelihood of voting in a forthcoming General Election.

● This is the basis of the adjusted voting forecast in Behaviour & Attitudes polls.

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Party Support Levels

(Excluding Undecided - Adjusted)

● Adjusted figures based on:

All who state they would definitely vote

Weighting of those respondents who give a definite answer as to who they would vote for in a general election and who they voted for in the last election, in line with the result of the last election.

Making no adjustment to stated voting intention of those who do not indicate how they voted in last election.

2nd Oct, 2011 (f/w: 20th

Sept – 2nd Oct,

2011)

18th Oct, 2011 (f/w: 16th – 18th Oct,

2011)

12th Dec. 2011 (f/w: 7th-12th Dec,

2011)

20th Feb, 2012 (f/w: 15th – 20th Feb.

2012)

17th Apr, 2012 (f/w: 11th – 17th Apr.

2012)

23rd May 2012 (f/w: 18th – 23rd May,

2012)


2012)


2012)

21st Jan

2013 (f/w: 15th – 21stJa

n. 2013)

26th Mar

2013 (f/w: 11th -26th Mar.

2013)

24th Jun

2013 (f/w: 11th – 24th June

2013)

Fianna Fáil 16% 14% 18% 16% 15% 16% 16% 22% 24% 23% 24%

Fine Gael 34% 35% 29% 33% 33% 33% 31% 30% 26% 27% 27%

Labour 16% 16% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14% 12% 11% 7% 7%

Sinn Féin 14% 17% 19% 20% 16% 17% 18% 14% 19% 15% 16%

Green Party 3% 1% 3% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3%

Independents/Others

17% 16% 18% 16% 18% 18% 19% 19% 18% 25% 23%


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Spontaneous Awareness of Institutions in Ireland’s bailout Troika All eligible voters - 898

Q.8a Please name as many of the three institutions in Ireland’s bailout troika as you can

20

16

9

9

8

8

7

4

3

59

25

5

15

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

European Central Bank / ECB

European Union / EU

Other Bank

NAMA

AIB

Bank of Ireland

Anglo Irish Bank

Other

Don't Know

Aware Any Troika Member

Aware All Troika Members

Any Domestic Bank

%

Just one quarter of the electorate can spontaneously name even one of the Troika members

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Spontaneous Identification All eligible voters - 898

Q.8b What is the name of the Irish member of boyband One Direction?

38%

10%

52%

Correct answer (Niall Horan)

Incorrect

Don’t know

Irish member of One Direction

Significantly more voters can name Niall Horan as the Irish member of One Direction than can identify the current Minister of Public Expenditure and Reform.

Current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform

23%

10% 67%

Correct answer (Brendan Howlin)

Incorrect Don’t know

Q.8e Who is the current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform?

13

Spontaneous Identification of Year of Easter Rising All eligible voters - 898

Q.8c In what year did the Easter Rising in Ireland take place?

87%

4% 9%

Correct answer (1916)

Incorrect answer

Don’t know

The vast majority of people are aware that the Easter Rising took place in 1916

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What is 15% of €10? All eligible voters - 898

Q.8d What is 15% of €10?

52%

26%

22%

Correct answer (€1.50)

Incorrect answer

Don’t know

Just half of all adults can calculate 15% of €10 when asked to do so ‘on the spot’

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Spelling – How are the following words spelt? All eligible voters - 898

Q.8g How are the following words spelt?

19%

72%

8%

Correct spelling

Incorrect spelling

Don’t know

EMBARRASS

22%

70%

9%

Correct spelling

Incorrect spelling

Don’t know

SATELLITE

77%

21%

2%

THEIR

Correct spelling

Incorrect spelling

Don’t know

(As in the sentence the children were really looking forward to their summer

holidays)

While most of us could improve upon our basic spelling proficiency!

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Summary Table Correct Identification x Demographics All eligible voters - 898

Base: All Eligible Voters

Total

Gender Age Class Region Area

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Leins ter

Muns ter

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %

Spontaneous Awareness of Institutions in Ireland’s bailout Troika


25 30 20 20 28 25 34 19 9 25 23 24 26 24 26


5 7 3 5 7 3 9 3 - 6 3 6 5 6 4

Spontaneous Awareness of Irish member of One Direction


38 30 45 55 40 17 43 33 47 35 36 38 46 35 43

Spontaneous Identification – Current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform


23 32 15 16 27 25 29 17 32 22 19 23 30 20 28

Spontaneous Identification of Year of Easter Rising


87 88 86 78 90 93 92 82 95 86 82 90 91 87 88

What is 15% of €10?


52 60 44 64 55 35 62 42 65 55 48 55 48 54 48

Correct Spelling

Embarrass 19 17 22 21 20 17 24 16 23 21 21 16 20 22 16

Satellite 22 25 19 23 23 20 29 16 25 20 20 24 25 21 23

Their 77 72 81 81 77 74 86 69 86 73 72 83 81 76 79

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Summary Table Correct Identification x Party Support All eligible voters - 898


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail

Fine Gael Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein Indep endent/ Others

Base: 898 159 162 55 20 124 114

% % % % % % %

Spontaneous Awareness of Institutions in Ireland’s bailout Troika


25 20 35 42 28 18 38


5 1 7 14 4 5 14

Spontaneous Awareness of Irish member of One Direction


38 31 42 36 31 43 37

Spontaneous Identification – Current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform


23 19 26 30 21 18 35

Spontaneous Identification of Year of Easter Rising


87 89 90 87 64 89 98

What is 15% of €10?


52 52 66 51 64 43 57

Correct Spelling

Embarrass 19 17 19 27 23 12 34

Satellite 22 17 28 33 20 19 25

Their 77 73 87 81 80 79 89

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Spontaneous Awareness of Institutions in Ireland’s bailout Troika x Demographics All eligible voters - 898


Total

Gender Age Class Region Area

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin Leins ter

Munster

Conn/ Ulster

Urban Rural

Base: 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272

% % % % % % % % % % % % % % %


20 23 17 18 24 17 30 15 3 23 15 22 21 20 20


16 23 9 12 18 17 22 13 - 17 13 16 18 17 14

European Union / EU

9 11 7 8 12 6 15 5 6 10 9 9 7 9 9

Other Bank 9 11 7 6 9 13 9 9 7 10 11 8 6 9 9

NAMA 8 9 7 7 8 10 5 8 19 6 8 10 9 6 11

AIB 8 10 6 9 8 7 7 7 19 9 9 9 3 6 10

Bank of Ireland 7 9 6 8 7 7 7 6 12 9 6 9 3 6 8

Anglo Irish Bank 4 5 3 3 4 5 3 4 12 2 6 4 2 3 5

Other 3 4 3 1 5 4 4 3 - 2 5 2 4 3 4

Don't Know 59 51 66 64 54 58 50 65 61 60 58 56 62 61 55


25 30 20 20 28 25 34 19 9 25 23 24 26 24 26


5 7 3 5 7 3 9 3 - 6 3 6 5 6 4

Any Domestic Bank

15 17 12 11 15 18 15 13 22 14 17 17 9 13 17


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Spontaneous Awareness of Institutions in Ireland’s bailout Troika x Party Support All eligible voters - 898


Total

Party Support

Fianna Fail Fine Gael Labour Green Party

Sinn Fein Indep endent/ Others

Base: 898 159 162 55 20 124 114

% % % % % % %


20 15 25 36 28 18 32

European Central Bank / ECB 16 8 24 34 11 10 29

European Union / EU 9 5 14 19 13 6 18

Other Bank 9 12 12 6 3 5 12

NAMA 8 10 9 7 3 6 5

AIB 8 16 6 7 - 6 9

Bank of Ireland 7 13 7 7 - 5 8

Anglo Irish Bank 4 4 5 3 - 3 5

Other 3 2 2 3 - 2 5

Don't Know 59 61 45 45 65 69 44

Aware Any Troika Member 25 20 35 42 28 18 38

Aware All Troika Member 5 1 7 14 4 5 14

Any Domestic Bank 15 23 20 7 3 10 17


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Commentary

21

Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll Series

Background

Fieldwork for today’s poll was conducted over the period Tuesday, 11th – Monday, 24th June. The last poll in the Sunday Times Behaviour & Attitudes series was conducted exactly three months before today’s, with a lot happening in the socio-political sphere since then.

From a public sector worker perspective, we have witnessed the negotiation and eventual rejection of Croke Park II, and the subsequent publication of the Haddington Road agreement on May 23rd.

While the indications are that the Haddington Road agreement may well be accepted by public sector union members, there is no doubt that its effect on workers’ opinion will be felt for a long time to come. The general sentiment amongst the public sector appears to be that the Government has reneged on the commitments given in Croke Park I, and that any semblance of trust in the Government Parties has all but evaporated.

It is safe to say that the fall-out from these negotiations is likely to have been greater for the Labour Party than it will have been for Fine Gael. To compound matters, the broader view of Labour will not have been helped by the resignation of a number of senior party members over the last few months, from Dublin West by-election victor Patrick Nulty to Ireland East MEP Nessa Childers.

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Background

The bulk of fieldwork for the Poll will also have been conducted after the publication of the Protection of Life during Pregnancy Bill on June 13th. The Fine Gael Party appears to have borne the brunt of pro life activists’ ire in relation to this proposed abortion legislation. Notwithstanding this, we should remind ourselves that a majority of the general populace have indicated in previous Sunday Times Polls that they are in favour of the introduction of abortion in limited circumstances, including cases where the mother’s life is at risk.

On balance, it is my view that the Government’s stance on this issue will do them more good than harm in terms of long term public sentiment.

This month (and prior to fieldwork for this poll) also saw the publication of the legislation required to hold a referendum on the abolition of the Seanad. While Fine Gael, and particularly Enda Kenny’s position on this issue is clear – we have too many politicians as it is, and the Seanad will never be reformed to the extent that it needs to be – anecdotal evidence would suggest that the public are not necessarily ‘buying’ this narrative.

Indeed, the cynics might say that Fine Gael has backed itself into a corner on this initiaitive and could well end up flowing against the tide of public opinion as real debate around the forthcoming referendum begins to gain traction.

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Background

Meanwhile, employment levels have actually stabilised and the fall in house prices has bottomed out. The Behaviour & Attitudes quarterly business confidence monitor confirms that these trends have been picked up by Ireland’s business community, with companies now more positive about their future prospects than at any time over the last two years.

From the average citizen’s perspective however, the outlook remains bleak. Average household disposable income is still in decline, the local property tax deadline arrived at the end of last month, and water charges are looming on the horizon.

To say that the last three months have been eventful would therefore be an understatement, with no reason to believe that the fortunes of the Government or Government Parties could have improved in terms of public opinion to any significant extent.

Within this context, it is no surprise that Government satisfaction levels have dropped a percentage point since March and, at 24%, is little changed from the administration’s all time low of 22% registered in the immediate aftermath of the 2013 budget. The individual Government Parties have fared no better in today’s Poll with the opposition retaining the upper hand as the 2014 local and Euro elections draw ever closer.

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Party Support and Leader Satisfaction Levels

While, on the surface, Government satisfaction levels have dropped just one percentage point as mentioned, it is interesting to note that this decline is considerably more pronounced amongst those aged 55 years+ (from 31% down to 24%), rural dwellers (down four points to 22%), and Fine Gael supporters (down eleven points from 67% to 56%).

These figures would suggest that Ireland’s older, rural and presumably more conservative section of society has become considerably more disgruntled with the Government in recent months, suggesting that Fine Gael’s stance on social issues such as the proposed abortion legislation has had some, albeit minor, impact on that party’s overall standing in the short term.

Satisfaction levels with both Eamon Gilmore as Tánaiste and Enda Kenny as Taoiseach have declined by three and two percentage points respectively, with Gilmore’s decline significantly more pronounced amongst males and rural dwellers. Significantly, the proportion of Fine Gael supporters satisfied with the Tánaiste ‘s performance has dropped significantly from 66% in March to just 48% today.

Similarly, the Taoiseach’s satisfaction rating has dropped moreso amongst men and those living in rural areas. It has also declined by nine percentage points amongst Fine Gael supporters, while it is actually reasonably consistent (at 50%) within the Labour grassroots cohort, compared to our last poll.

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As was the case three months ago, the highest party leader satisfaction scores are registered for Micheál Martin and Gerry Adams, both of whom are sitting on a 43% personal rating.

Micheál Martin is particularly popular within the 55 years+ age bracket and in the Munster region (where his standing had actually declined in the last poll).

Adam’s strongest personal rating scores register in urban areas and within the blue collar worker and male constituencies. Interestingly, quite a sizeable proportion (47%) of Fianna Fáil supporters are also satisfied with Adam’s leadership of Sinn Féin – perhaps an early indicator of a growing acknowledgement that the two ‘Republican’ parties may at least have to consider forming an administration together after the 2016 General Election?

Party support figures remain practically identical to those recorded in last March’s Opinion Poll, with Fianna Fáil increasing by a statistically insignificant one percentage point and Sinn Féin and Independents dropping by a similarly insignificant degree.

The combined Fine Gael (27%) and Labour (7%) level of support is identical poll-on-poll and, at 34% would not be enough to form a majority administration in the event of an immediate General Election.

26



Conversely, Fianna Fáil support has increased by a remarkable eight points since May 2012, and is now well established as the leading opposition party, almost on a par with Fine Gael in terms of popular support.

At a combined support level of 40%, Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin are now approaching the levels of support required to gain a collective majority of seats in the Dáil.

This is not to under-estimate the power of the independent bloc which, at 23%, could yet emerge as kingpins in the post General Election negotiations.

27


Voter General Knowledge

When asked to name as many members of Ireland’s bailout Troika as they could, just one in twenty of all Irish citizens could identify all three.

In fact, only one quarter of the electorate can name any of the Troika members, a percentage which remains low across all demographic sub-groupings. Interestingly, by far the highest level of awareness of the institutions comprising the Troika exists amongst Labour Party and Independent candidates’ supporters, with the lowest level of understanding emerging amongst Sinn Féin voters.

It will probably come as no surprise to the average political commentator that significantly more people (38%) can spontaneously name Niall Horan as the Irish member of One Direction than can identify Brendan Howlin as Minister of Public Expenditure and Reform (23%), with both Sinn Féin and Fine Gael supporters particularly attuned to the One Direction line up.

Respondents were also asked a number of questions to do with simple arithmetic and spelling. The results would suggest that males are somewhat more comfortable with numbers, while females are more proficient in terms of more challenging spelling tasks.

Perhaps more interestingly, however, are the differences between different party supporters with regard to verbal and numeric competence. The results of this survey would suggest that when it comes to mathematical skills, Fine Gael and Green Party supporters are the class swots, with Labour Party and Independent candidate voters significantly more comfortable when it comes to the written word!

Tabular Data

June TeleBar 2012 Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes Opinion Poll

J4769

Page 1Table 1

Q1 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

All Irish Adults 18+ Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood

Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ ABC1 C2DE F Dublin

Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 995 873 952 620 2,104 1,336 637 634 165 69 466 401 1,067 2,541 2,018 523 217 645

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,440 1,685 1,755 1,171 1,269 999 1,380 1,805 256 995 873 952 620 2,104 1,336 637 634 165 69 466 401 1,067 2,541 2,018 523 217 645

UNWTD 947 458 489 311 356 280 448 468 31 274 250 257 166 666 280 162 169 55 21 131 116 293 706 564 142 65 165

Yes, eligible 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

95% 93% 98% 90% 97% 99% 96% 94% 100% 94% 98% 97% 92% 94% 97% 99% 96% 100% 96% 94% 99% 91% 98% 99% 96% 99% 84%

No – not eligible 147 114 33 104 35 7 52 94 - 58 10 30 48 113 34 6 20 - 3 20 4 95 42 22 20 3 88

4% 7% 2% 9% 3% 1% 4% 5% - 6% 1% 3% 8% 5% 3% 1% 3% - 4% 4% 1% 9% 2% 1% 4% 1% 14%

Don’t know (DO NOT READ OUT)

15 8 8 8 8 - - 15 - 5 10 - - 15 - - 5 - - 8 - 2 - - - - 15

0% 0% 0% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% - - 1% - - 2% - 0% - - - - 2%


J4769

Page 2Table 2

Q2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the Government is running the country?

All Irish Voters Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 779 462 317 308 232 238 341 391 47 252 204 183 141 499 280 129 340 60 29 58 46 116 660 547 114 54 57

24% 30% 18% 29% 19% 24% 26% 23% 18% 27% 24% 20% 25% 25% 22% 20% 56% 36% 44% 13% 12% 12% 26% 27% 23% 25% 11%

Dissatisfied 2,334 1,042 1,292 703 958 673 928 1,209 197 618 622 670 424 1,371 963 456 222 101 32 366 345 812 1,744 1,376 368 149 425

71% 67% 75% 66% 78% 68% 70% 71% 77% 66% 73% 73% 74% 69% 74% 72% 36% 61% 49% 84% 87% 84% 70% 69% 73% 70% 78%

No opinion 165 59 106 47 36 81 58 95 12 62 27 69 7 106 59 46 47 4 5 14 6 42 94 73 21 11 60

5% 4% 6% 4% 3% 8% 4% 6% 5% 7% 3% 8% 1% 5% 5% 7% 8% 3% 7% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 11%


J4769

Page 3Table 3

Q3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job as Taoiseach?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 1,216 601 615 424 361 430 534 582 100 413 276 327 200 775 441 206 469 87 29 80 107 239 1,014 788 226 62 124

37% 38% 36% 40% 29% 43% 40% 34% 39% 44% 32% 35% 35% 39% 34% 33% 77% 53% 44% 18% 27% 25% 41% 40% 45% 29% 23%

Dissatisfied 1,964 919 1,045 580 832 553 751 1,058 156 492 558 559 355 1,120 845 420 130 76 32 334 286 686 1,426 1,167 259 142 393

60% 59% 61% 55% 68% 56% 57% 62% 61% 53% 65% 61% 62% 57% 65% 67% 21% 46% 48% 76% 72% 71% 57% 58% 51% 66% 73%

No opinion 98 42 55 55 33 9 42 56 - 26 19 35 17 81 17 6 10 2 5 24 5 45 58 40 18 11 25

3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% - 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 7% 6% 1% 5% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5%


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Page 4Table 4

Q4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his job as Tanaiste?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 843 448 396 321 253 270 336 430 77 280 223 201 140 529 314 122 293 78 24 69 89 169 688 563 125 55 95

26% 29% 23% 30% 21% 27% 25% 25% 30% 30% 26% 22% 24% 27% 24% 19% 48% 47% 36% 16% 22% 17% 28% 28% 25% 26% 17%

Dissatisfied 2,192 1,014 1,179 623 897 673 928 1,125 140 548 587 663 394 1,277 915 447 270 85 31 349 307 703 1,682 1,372 310 132 361

67% 65% 69% 59% 73% 68% 70% 66% 55% 59% 69% 72% 69% 65% 70% 71% 44% 52% 47% 80% 77% 73% 67% 69% 62% 62% 67%

No opinion 242 102 141 116 77 50 64 140 39 104 43 58 38 170 73 62 46 2 11 20 2 98 129 61 68 27 87

7% 7% 8% 11% 6% 5% 5% 8% 15% 11% 5% 6% 7% 9% 6% 10% 8% 2% 17% 5% 0% 10% 5% 3% 14% 13% 16%


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Page 5Table 5

Q5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job as leader of Fianna Fail?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 1,396 709 687 427 432 537 568 709 119 347 358 461 230 818 578 444 275 90 21 134 143 289 1,146 947 200 100 139

43% 45% 40% 40% 35% 54% 43% 42% 47% 37% 42% 50% 40% 41% 44% 70% 45% 55% 31% 31% 36% 30% 46% 47% 40% 47% 26%

Dissatisfied 1,483 686 797 501 638 344 636 759 89 418 404 373 288 883 600 89 274 64 35 260 223 537 1,089 864 225 82 302

45% 44% 46% 47% 52% 35% 48% 45% 35% 45% 47% 40% 50% 45% 46% 14% 45% 39% 53% 59% 56% 55% 44% 43% 45% 38% 56%

No opinion 399 168 231 131 156 112 124 228 48 167 90 89 53 275 124 99 60 11 10 44 31 144 263 185 78 32 101

12% 11% 13% 12% 13% 11% 9% 13% 19% 18% 11% 10% 9% 14% 10% 16% 10% 7% 15% 10% 8% 15% 11% 9% 16% 15% 19%


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Page 6Table 6

Q6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job as leader of Sinn Fein?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 1,410 723 687 487 535 388 534 784 92 386 360 397 267 884 527 294 216 68 34 381 154 263 1,150 939 211 86 161

43% 46% 40% 46% 44% 39% 40% 46% 36% 41% 42% 43% 47% 45% 40% 47% 35% 41% 50% 87% 39% 27% 46% 47% 42% 40% 30%

Dissatisfied 1,486 698 788 477 540 469 651 714 122 387 405 429 265 861 625 233 340 81 25 52 207 549 1,113 881 232 93 272

45% 45% 46% 45% 44% 47% 49% 42% 48% 42% 47% 47% 46% 44% 48% 37% 56% 49% 38% 12% 52% 57% 45% 44% 46% 43% 50%

No opinion 382 142 239 95 151 135 143 197 42 158 88 95 40 231 151 104 53 16 8 5 37 158 236 175 60 35 109

12% 9% 14% 9% 12% 14% 11% 12% 16% 17% 10% 10% 7% 12% 12% 16% 9% 10% 12% 1% 9% 16% 9% 9% 12% 16% 20%


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Page 7Table 7

Q7 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job as leader of The Green Party?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Satisfied 1,000 494 505 385 317 297 390 533 77 306 234 274 186 603 397 279 207 73 45 120 69 206 797 621 176 63 131

30% 32% 29% 36% 26% 30% 29% 31% 30% 33% 27% 30% 33% 31% 30% 44% 34% 44% 68% 27% 17% 21% 32% 31% 35% 29% 24%

Dissatisfied 1,539 745 794 478 642 418 616 784 138 405 454 433 246 885 653 193 301 46 8 242 273 476 1,184 975 209 104 238

47% 48% 46% 45% 52% 42% 46% 46% 54% 44% 53% 47% 43% 45% 50% 31% 49% 28% 12% 55% 69% 49% 47% 49% 42% 49% 44%

No opinion 740 324 416 196 267 276 322 378 40 220 165 215 139 488 252 159 102 46 13 76 56 287 518 400 118 47 172

23% 21% 24% 19% 22% 28% 24% 22% 16% 24% 19% 23% 24% 25% 19% 25% 17% 28% 20% 17% 14% 30% 21% 20% 23% 22% 32%


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Page 8Table 8

Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Fianna Fail 632 302 329 191 156 285 228 342 62 166 125 236 105 329 303 632 - - - - - - 499 399 100 55 78

19% 19% 19% 18% 13% 29% 17% 20% 24% 18% 15% 26% 18% 17% 23% 100% - - - - - - 20% 20% 20% 25% 14%

Fine Gael 609 337 272 204 232 173 296 253 60 152 164 162 131 353 256 - 609 - - - - - 543 444 100 18 44

19% 22% 16% 19% 19% 17% 22% 15% 23% 16% 19% 18% 23% 18% 20% - 100% - - - - - 22% 22% 20% 8% 8%

Labour 165 95 70 65 38 62 93 69 3 113 11 34 8 155 11 - - 165 - - - - 127 106 21 6 32

5% 6% 4% 6% 3% 6% 7% 4% 1% 12% 1% 4% 1% 8% 1% - - 100% - - - - 5% 5% 4% 3% 6%

Green Party 66 33 34 32 34 - 31 36 - 21 20 16 9 52 14 - - - 66 - - - 42 39 2 11 13

2% 2% 2% 3% 3% - 2% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% - - - 100% - - - 2% 2% 0% 5% 2%

Sinn Fein 438 240 199 173 206 59 157 270 11 116 105 113 104 299 139 - - - - 438 - - 381 287 94 13 44

13% 15% 12% 16% 17% 6% 12% 16% 4% 12% 12% 12% 18% 15% 11% - - - - 100% - - 15% 14% 19% 6% 8%

Independent/Other 398 185 213 86 175 137 188 171 38 151 96 81 69 262 136 - - - - - 398 - 356 332 24 21 17

12% 12% 12% 8% 14% 14% 14% 10% 15% 16% 11% 9% 12% 13% 10% - - - - - 100% - 14% 17% 5% 10% 3%

Don’t know 632 220 412 217 239 175 229 323 80 113 195 194 129 330 301 - - - - - - 632 514 379 135 53 48

19% 14% 24% 20% 20% 18% 17% 19% 31% 12% 23% 21% 23% 17% 23% - - - - - - 65% 21% 19% 27% 25% 9%

Would not vote 338 152 186 91 146 100 105 230 3 99 137 86 16 196 142 - - - - - - 338 36 10 27 37 265

10% 10% 11% 9% 12% 10% 8% 14% 1% 11% 16% 9% 3% 10% 11% - - - - - - 35% 1% 0% 5% 17% 49%


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Page 9Table 9

Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All Irish VotersAll voters excluding undecided

Total Gender Age Class Region Area Party Support Likelihood


Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 2,308 1,191 1,117 751 841 716 993 1,142 173 719 521 641 426 1,450 859 632 609 165 66 438 398 1,948 1,607 341 124 229

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,308 1,191 1,117 751 841 716 993 1,142 173 719 521 641 426 1,450 859 632 609 165 66 438 398 1,948 1,607 341 124 229

UNWTD 634 329 305 199 237 198 314 298 22 196 156 172 110 453 181 159 162 55 20 124 114 537 447 90 36 59

Fianna Fail 632 302 329 191 156 285 228 342 62 166 125 236 105 329 303 632 - - - - - 499 399 100 55 78

27% 25% 29% 25% 19% 40% 23% 30% 36% 23% 24% 37% 25% 23% 35% 100% - - - - - 26% 25% 29% 44% 34%

Fine Gael 609 337 272 204 232 173 296 253 60 152 164 162 131 353 256 - 609 - - - - 543 444 100 18 44

26% 28% 24% 27% 28% 24% 30% 22% 34% 21% 32% 25% 31% 24% 30% - 100% - - - - 28% 28% 29% 14% 19%

Labour 165 95 70 65 38 62 93 69 3 113 11 34 8 155 11 - - 165 - - - 127 106 21 6 32

7% 8% 6% 9% 5% 9% 9% 6% 1% 16% 2% 5% 2% 11% 1% - - 100% - - - 7% 7% 6% 5% 14%

Green Party 66 33 34 32 34 - 31 36 - 21 20 16 9 52 14 - - - 66 - - 42 39 2 11 13

3% 3% 3% 4% 4% - 3% 3% - 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% - - - 100% - - 2% 2% 1% 9% 6%

Sinn Fein 438 240 199 173 206 59 157 270 11 116 105 113 104 299 139 - - - - 438 - 381 287 94 13 44

19% 20% 18% 23% 24% 8% 16% 24% 6% 16% 20% 18% 24% 21% 16% - - - - 100% - 20% 18% 28% 10% 19%

Independent/Other 398 185 213 86 175 137 188 171 38 151 96 81 69 262 136 - - - - - 398 356 332 24 21 17

17% 15% 19% 11% 21% 19% 19% 15% 22% 21% 18% 13% 16% 18% 16% - - - - - 100% 18% 21% 7% 17% 8%


J4769

Page 10Table 10

Adjusted Party Support : Q8 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote?

All voters excluding undecidedWill definitely vote



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Total 1,631 887 744 451 664 517 807 710 115 514 339 454 325 1,017 615 397 439 119 44 262 370 1,631 1,631

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 1,631 887 744 451 664 517 807 710 115 514 339 454 325 1,017 615 397 439 119 44 262 370 1,631 1,631

UNWTD 447 237 210 104 184 159 236 197 14 140 98 125 84 318 129 108 121 41 12 76 89 447 447

Fianna Fail 397 238 160 111 104 183 173 182 43 66 80 186 65 181 216 397 - - - - - 397 397

24% 27% 21% 25% 16% 35% 21% 26% 37% 13% 24% 41% 20% 18% 35% 100% - - - - - 24% 24%

Fine Gael 439 232 207 120 189 130 226 180 33 108 88 135 109 244 195 - 439 - - - - 439 439

27% 26% 28% 27% 28% 25% 28% 25% 29% 21% 26% 30% 34% 24% 32% - 100% - - - - 27% 27%

Labour 119 65 55 38 38 43 93 26 - 85 12 15 7 107 12 - - 119 - - - 119 119

7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 12% 4% - 17% 4% 3% 2% 11% 2% - - 100% - - - 7% 7%

Green Party 44 23 21 18 26 - 24 19 - 16 14 5 8 37 7 - - - 44 - - 44 44

3% 3% 3% 4% 4% - 3% 3% - 3% 4% 1% 3% 4% 1% - - - 100% - - 3% 3%

Sinn Fein 262 149 112 83 137 42 105 147 10 79 62 50 72 184 78 - - - - 262 - 262 262

16% 17% 15% 18% 21% 8% 13% 21% 8% 15% 18% 11% 22% 18% 13% - - - - 100% - 16% 16%

Independent/Other 370 180 190 81 170 119 186 155 29 159 83 63 64 264 106 - - - - - 370 370 370

23% 20% 25% 18% 26% 23% 23% 22% 26% 31% 25% 14% 20% 26% 17% - - - - - 100% 23% 23%


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Page 11Table 11

GK8A Please name as many of the three institutions in Ireland’s bailout troika as you can.



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Aware Any Member 806 469 336 217 339 249 454 328 24 232 199 226 149 470 336 125 212 70 18 81 152 149 748 640 108 28 30

25% 30% 20% 20% 28% 25% 34% 19% 9% 25% 23% 24% 26% 24% 26% 20% 35% 42% 28% 18% 38% 15% 30% 32% 21% 13% 6%

Aware All Member 170 116 54 55 86 29 118 52 - 59 29 54 28 123 47 4 40 24 3 21 56 23 164 149 16 - 6

5% 7% 3% 5% 7% 3% 9% 3% - 6% 3% 6% 5% 6% 4% 1% 7% 14% 4% 5% 14% 2% 7% 7% 3% - 1%


654 366 288 192 294 168 394 252 8 210 125 200 119 397 256 93 152 60 18 77 127 127 619 540 79 15 19

20% 23% 17% 18% 24% 17% 30% 15% 3% 23% 15% 22% 21% 20% 20% 15% 25% 36% 28% 18% 32% 13% 25% 27% 16% 7% 4%


516 354 163 131 217 169 290 227 - 154 114 145 103 332 184 53 144 57 8 46 114 95 479 412 67 24 14

16% 23% 9% 12% 18% 17% 22% 13% - 17% 13% 16% 18% 17% 14% 8% 24% 34% 11% 10% 29% 10% 19% 21% 13% 11% 3%

Any Domestic Bank 478 268 210 113 186 180 194 228 56 129 142 153 53 254 224 143 120 11 2 46 69 88 411 351 61 38 27

15% 17% 12% 11% 15% 18% 15% 13% 22% 14% 17% 17% 9% 13% 17% 23% 20% 7% 3% 10% 17% 9% 16% 18% 12% 18% 5%

European Union / EU 292 175 117 87 146 59 193 83 16 94 75 81 43 169 123 29 85 32 8 25 73 39 274 251 23 1 17

9% 11% 7% 8% 12% 6% 15% 5% 6% 10% 9% 9% 7% 9% 9% 5% 14% 19% 13% 6% 18% 4% 11% 13% 5% 1% 3%

Other Bank 289 167 121 60 105 125 113 158 17 91 93 71 34 176 113 74 71 9 2 23 48 61 241 189 52 25 21

9% 11% 7% 6% 9% 13% 9% 9% 7% 10% 11% 8% 6% 9% 9% 12% 12% 6% 3% 5% 12% 6% 10% 9% 10% 12% 4%

NAMA 263 137 126 74 93 96 72 143 48 51 69 90 52 115 148 62 54 11 2 28 21 84 223 173 50 13 27

8% 9% 7% 7% 8% 10% 5% 8% 19% 6% 8% 10% 9% 6% 11% 10% 9% 7% 3% 6% 5% 9% 9% 9% 10% 6% 5%


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Page 12Table 11

GK8A Please name as many of the three institutions in Ireland’s bailout troika as you can.



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

AIB 259 156 103 92 97 71 87 125 47 80 80 83 16 128 131 101 38 11 - 26 35 48 210 193 16 36 13

8% 10% 6% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 19% 9% 9% 9% 3% 6% 10% 16% 6% 7% - 6% 9% 5% 8% 10% 3% 17% 2%

Bank of Ireland 229 134 95 82 81 66 93 105 31 83 48 83 14 127 102 85 45 11 - 24 30 34 196 179 16 31 2

7% 9% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 12% 9% 6% 9% 3% 6% 8% 13% 7% 7% - 5% 8% 3% 8% 9% 3% 14% 0%

Anglo Irish Bank 126 75 51 27 51 48 34 61 32 23 53 38 12 61 65 25 28 5 - 15 21 31 110 90 20 6 10

4% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 12% 2% 6% 4% 2% 3% 5% 4% 5% 3% - 3% 5% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2%

Other 110 59 51 10 56 44 58 51 - 19 47 19 25 53 56 15 13 5 - 9 18 49 85 72 13 6 18

3% 4% 3% 1% 5% 4% 4% 3% - 2% 5% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% - 2% 5% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%

Don't Know 1,925 794 1,131 682 666 577 662 1,106 157 555 499 519 352 1,210 715 387 277 75 44 300 174 668 1,302 975 327 142 459

59% 51% 66% 64% 54% 58% 50% 65% 61% 60% 58% 56% 62% 61% 55% 61% 45% 45% 65% 69% 44% 69% 52% 49% 65% 66% 85%


J4769

Page 13Table 12

GK8B What is the name of the Irish member of boyband One Direction?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135


1,241 463 778 578 496 168 565 557 120 325 304 352 260 688 553 196 254 59 21 188 147 377 970 741 229 104 159

38% 30% 45% 55% 40% 17% 43% 33% 47% 35% 36% 38% 46% 35% 43% 31% 42% 36% 31% 43% 37% 39% 39% 37% 46% 49% 29%

Incorrect answer 319 120 199 124 119 77 134 168 18 88 78 110 43 217 102 56 58 21 5 46 25 107 231 197 34 35 53

10% 8% 12% 12% 10% 8% 10% 10% 7% 9% 9% 12% 8% 11% 8% 9% 10% 13% 8% 10% 6% 11% 9% 10% 7% 16% 10%


1,717 980 738 358 612 747 629 970 118 518 471 460 268 1,071 646 380 297 85 40 205 225 486 1,297 1,058 239 75 330

52% 63% 43% 34% 50% 75% 47% 57% 46% 56% 55% 50% 47% 54% 50% 60% 49% 51% 61% 47% 57% 50% 52% 53% 48% 35% 61%


J4769

Page 14Table 13

GK8C In what year did the Easter Rising in Ireland take place?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135


2,852 1,372 1,479 823 1,110 919 1,223 1,385 244 803 699 832 518 1,709 1,142 565 546 144 42 392 388 775 2,328 1,885 443 170 341

87% 88% 86% 78% 90% 93% 92% 82% 95% 86% 82% 90% 91% 87% 88% 89% 90% 87% 64% 89% 98% 80% 93% 94% 88% 79% 63%

Incorrect answer 128 57 71 78 22 28 20 108 - 53 18 44 13 95 33 20 19 12 - 22 - 54 69 49 20 3 54

4% 4% 4% 7% 2% 3% 1% 6% - 6% 2% 5% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 8% - 5% - 6% 3% 2% 4% 1% 10%


299 134 165 159 95 45 84 203 12 76 136 46 41 171 127 47 45 9 24 24 9 140 101 62 39 41 147

9% 9% 10% 15% 8% 5% 6% 12% 5% 8% 16% 5% 7% 9% 10% 7% 7% 5% 36% 6% 2% 14% 4% 3% 8% 19% 27%


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Page 15Table 14

GK8D What is 15% of €10?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135


1,701 942 759 673 679 349 819 717 165 515 410 502 273 1,070 631 327 401 84 42 188 228 431 1,395 1,161 234 124 175

52% 60% 44% 64% 55% 35% 62% 42% 65% 55% 48% 55% 48% 54% 48% 52% 66% 51% 64% 43% 57% 44% 56% 58% 47% 58% 32%


26% 19% 32% 24% 23% 32% 17% 33% 21% 21% 31% 27% 25% 23% 30% 20% 20% 29% 21% 32% 27% 29% 26% 25% 28% 24% 26%


731 332 399 135 272 324 283 411 37 220 183 175 153 448 282 176 84 33 10 110 63 255 461 335 126 40 224

22% 21% 23% 13% 22% 33% 21% 24% 15% 24% 21% 19% 27% 23% 22% 28% 14% 20% 15% 25% 16% 26% 18% 17% 25% 19% 41%


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Page 16Table 15

GK8E Who is the current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135


755 494 262 171 337 248 389 283 83 207 163 216 170 394 362 121 157 49 14 77 138 199 688 612 76 28 31

23% 32% 15% 16% 27% 25% 29% 17% 32% 22% 19% 23% 30% 20% 28% 19% 26% 30% 21% 18% 35% 21% 28% 31% 15% 13% 6%


10% 9% 12% 10% 10% 11% 12% 9% 5% 7% 15% 12% 6% 10% 10% 15% 9% 7% 10% 4% 13% 10% 11% 12% 5% 4% 9%


2,189 936 1,253 788 771 630 777 1,252 160 660 564 600 365 1,385 804 419 396 104 46 345 206 673 1,541 1,138 402 177 462

67% 60% 73% 74% 63% 64% 59% 74% 62% 71% 66% 65% 64% 70% 62% 66% 65% 63% 69% 79% 52% 69% 62% 57% 80% 83% 85%


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Page 17Table 16

GK8G As far as you know, how are the following words spelled? EMBARRASS



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Correct Spelling 635 264 371 226 244 165 312 264 59 191 183 149 112 432 204 109 115 45 15 52 135 166 513 409 104 79 40

19% 17% 22% 21% 20% 17% 24% 16% 23% 21% 21% 16% 20% 22% 16% 17% 19% 27% 23% 12% 34% 17% 21% 20% 21% 37% 7%

Incorrect Spelling 2,365 1,145 1,220 775 863 727 898 1,285 183 651 588 723 402 1,360 1,005 446 463 110 49 324 251 722 1,787 1,449 338 122 441

72% 73% 71% 73% 70% 73% 68% 76% 71% 70% 69% 78% 70% 69% 77% 71% 76% 67% 74% 74% 63% 74% 72% 73% 67% 57% 81%

Don't Know (DO NOT READ OUT)

277 154 123 57 119 101 117 146 14 89 82 50 57 184 94 77 31 10 2 63 12 82 199 138 61 13 61

8% 10% 7% 5% 10% 10% 9% 9% 5% 10% 10% 5% 10% 9% 7% 12% 5% 6% 4% 14% 3% 8% 8% 7% 12% 6% 11%


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Page 18Table 17

GK8G As far as you know, how are the following words spelled? SATELLITE



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Correct Spelling 720 394 326 240 287 194 379 277 64 187 168 222 144 424 296 108 173 55 13 83 101 187 584 454 129 47 90

22% 25% 19% 23% 23% 20% 29% 16% 25% 20% 20% 24% 25% 21% 23% 17% 28% 33% 20% 19% 25% 19% 23% 23% 26% 22% 17%

Incorrect Spelling 2,279 1,021 1,257 754 842 683 836 1,265 178 643 597 639 400 1,373 906 488 395 100 53 317 260 666 1,743 1,402 340 157 363

70% 65% 73% 71% 69% 69% 63% 75% 70% 69% 70% 69% 70% 69% 70% 77% 65% 61% 80% 72% 65% 69% 70% 70% 68% 73% 67%

Don't Know (DO NOT READ OUT)

279 148 131 65 98 116 112 153 14 102 89 61 28 179 100 35 42 10 - 38 37 117 172 139 33 11 89

9% 9% 8% 6% 8% 12% 8% 9% 6% 11% 10% 7% 5% 9% 8% 6% 7% 6% - 9% 9% 12% 7% 7% 7% 5% 16%


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Page 19Table 18

GK8H How do you spell the word “THEIR”, as in the sentence “The children were really looking forward to their summer holidays”.



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Correct spelling (THEIR)

2,527 1,133 1,394 854 943 730 1,138 1,169 220 685 612 765 465 1,501 1,026 458 531 133 53 347 352 652 2,071 1,672 399 177 275

77% 72% 81% 81% 77% 74% 86% 69% 86% 73% 72% 83% 81% 76% 79% 73% 87% 81% 80% 79% 89% 67% 83% 84% 79% 83% 51%

Incorrect spelling 677 370 307 169 273 236 169 478 30 220 200 154 103 422 255 159 76 24 13 91 38 277 388 293 95 21 249

21% 24% 18% 16% 22% 24% 13% 28% 12% 24% 23% 17% 18% 21% 20% 25% 12% 15% 20% 21% 10% 29% 16% 15% 19% 10% 46%


73 60 13 36 10 26 20 48 6 26 41 3 3 53 21 14 3 8 - - 8 41 39 31 9 16 18

2% 4% 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 3% 5% 0% 0% 3% 2% 2% 0% 5% - - 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 8% 3%


J4769

Page 20Table 19

Q11 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Would definitely vote 1,996 1,004 992 542 799 656 949 898 149 555 447 602 392 1,185 811 399 444 106 39 287 332 388 1,996 1,996 - - -

61% 64% 58% 51% 65% 66% 71% 53% 58% 60% 52% 65% 69% 60% 62% 63% 73% 64% 59% 65% 84% 40% 80% 100% - - -

Would probably vote 503 224 279 199 178 126 140 310 52 131 152 121 98 310 192 100 100 21 2 94 24 162 503 - 503 - -

15% 14% 16% 19% 14% 13% 11% 18% 20% 14% 18% 13% 17% 16% 15% 16% 16% 13% 3% 21% 6% 17% 20% - 100% - -

Might/might not vote 214 75 139 115 59 41 82 106 27 52 75 57 30 112 102 55 18 6 11 13 21 90 - - - 214 -

7% 5% 8% 11% 5% 4% 6% 6% 10% 6% 9% 6% 5% 6% 8% 9% 3% 4% 17% 3% 5% 9% - - - 100% -

Would probably not vote

207 93 114 104 66 37 69 118 20 44 57 69 36 122 85 35 36 5 8 34 13 76 - - - - 207

6% 6% 7% 10% 5% 4% 5% 7% 8% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 3% 13% 8% 3% 8% - - - - 38%

Would definitely not vote

335 157 177 92 118 125 83 251 - 142 115 71 6 233 101 43 8 27 5 10 5 237 - - - - 335

10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 13% 6% 15% - 15% 14% 8% 1% 12% 8% 7% 1% 17% 7% 2% 1% 24% - - - - 62%

Don’t know 23 10 13 8 8 7 4 11 8 6 7 2 9 13 10 - 4 - - - 3 16 - - - - -

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% - 1% - - - 1% 2% - - - - -

Mean 4.11 4.17 4.05 3.95 4.21 4.17 4.36 3.88 4.33 3.99 3.89 4.21 4.48 4.07 4.18 4.23 4.54 4.05 3.94 4.40 4.69 3.41 4.80 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.38

Minimum 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 1.00

Maximum 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00


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Page 21Table 20

Q12 And finally, to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in last February’s General Election?



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 3,278 1,563 1,715 1,059 1,227 992 1,327 1,695 256 931 853 922 571 1,976 1,302 632 609 165 66 438 398 970 2,498 1,996 503 214 542

UNWTD 898 424 474 279 342 277 429 438 31 255 241 247 155 626 272 159 162 55 20 124 114 264 692 555 137 64 135

Fianna Fail 408 159 249 105 133 170 164 200 44 121 128 101 59 264 144 265 18 16 - 29 17 64 336 274 62 47 26

12% 10% 15% 10% 11% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 15% 11% 10% 13% 11% 42% 3% 9% - 7% 4% 7% 13% 14% 12% 22% 5%

Fine Gael 968 479 490 229 354 385 393 467 108 180 204 348 235 484 484 138 453 17 - 32 79 250 865 736 130 39 55

30% 31% 29% 22% 29% 39% 30% 28% 42% 19% 24% 38% 41% 24% 37% 22% 74% 10% - 7% 20% 26% 35% 37% 26% 18% 10%

Labour 397 196 201 120 173 103 207 184 6 139 88 138 32 292 105 23 42 105 14 46 77 89 322 270 53 18 56

12% 13% 12% 11% 14% 10% 16% 11% 2% 15% 10% 15% 6% 15% 8% 4% 7% 63% 21% 11% 19% 9% 13% 14% 10% 8% 10%

Green Party 36 12 23 9 21 5 19 17 - 19 9 7 - 31 4 4 - 5 24 - - 2 31 27 4 - 4

1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% - 2% 0% 1% - 3% 37% - - 0% 1% 1% 1% - 1%

Sinn Fein 299 166 134 109 146 45 78 205 17 83 64 76 77 206 93 18 3 2 5 198 15 59 226 207 19 6 67

9% 11% 8% 10% 12% 4% 6% 12% 7% 9% 7% 8% 13% 10% 7% 3% 0% 1% 8% 45% 4% 6% 9% 10% 4% 3% 12%

Independent/Other 304 169 135 94 148 61 136 131 37 118 88 55 43 173 131 38 12 - 2 32 161 59 277 229 47 12 12

9% 11% 8% 9% 12% 6% 10% 8% 15% 13% 10% 6% 7% 9% 10% 6% 2% - 3% 7% 40% 6% 11% 11% 9% 5% 2%

Don’t know 328 85 243 81 115 132 142 167 20 106 81 92 50 190 139 62 26 2 4 26 28 180 220 150 70 34 70

10% 5% 14% 8% 9% 13% 11% 10% 8% 11% 9% 10% 9% 10% 11% 10% 4% 1% 6% 6% 7% 19% 9% 7% 14% 16% 13%

Did not vote 538 298 240 313 135 90 189 324 24 165 192 105 76 336 202 85 56 18 16 75 22 266 221 103 118 59 250

16% 19% 14% 30% 11% 9% 14% 19% 9% 18% 22% 11% 13% 17% 15% 13% 9% 11% 25% 17% 5% 27% 9% 5% 23% 27% 46%


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Page 22Table 21

Q13 And finally, to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in last February’s General Election?

All Irish VotersAll Voters Excluding did not vote (Last Gen Election)



Lein-ster

Mun-ster

Conn/

Ulster

Urban

Rural Fianna Fail

Fine Gael

Lab-our

Green

Party

Sinn Fein

Indep/

Others

Would not/DK

Would vote

Would

definitely vote

Would

probably vote

Might/

mightnot

Would not Vote

Total 2,412 1,180 1,231 666 976 770 996 1,203 212 661 581 725 445 1,450 962 485 528 145 46 336 348 524 2,057 1,743 315 122 221

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

WTD Base: 2,412 1,180 1,231 666 976 770 996 1,203 212 661 581 725 445 1,450 962 485 528 145 46 336 348 524 2,057 1,743 315 122 221

UNWTD 647 316 331 152 274 221 324 299 24 181 166 183 117 447 200 122 137 49 14 87 97 141 554 478 76 32 58

Fianna Fail 408 159 249 105 133 170 164 200 44 121 128 101 59 264 144 265 18 16 - 29 17 64 336 274 62 47 26

17% 13% 20% 16% 14% 22% 16% 17% 21% 18% 22% 14% 13% 18% 15% 55% 3% 11% - 9% 5% 12% 16% 16% 20% 39% 12%

Fine Gael 968 479 490 229 354 385 393 467 108 180 204 348 235 484 484 138 453 17 - 32 79 250 865 736 130 39 55

40% 41% 40% 34% 36% 50% 39% 39% 51% 27% 35% 48% 53% 33% 50% 28% 86% 12% - 9% 23% 48% 42% 42% 41% 32% 25%

Labour 397 196 201 120 173 103 207 184 6 139 88 138 32 292 105 23 42 105 14 46 77 89 322 270 53 18 56

16% 17% 16% 18% 18% 13% 21% 15% 3% 21% 15% 19% 7% 20% 11% 5% 8% 72% 31% 14% 22% 17% 16% 15% 17% 15% 26%

Green Party 36 12 23 9 21 5 19 17 - 19 9 7 - 31 4 4 - 5 24 - - 2 31 27 4 - 4

1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 3% 2% 1% - 2% 0% 1% - 4% 53% - - 0% 2% 2% 1% - 2%

Sinn Fein 299 166 134 109 146 45 78 205 17 83 64 76 77 206 93 18 3 2 5 198 15 59 226 207 19 6 67

12% 14% 11% 16% 15% 6% 8% 17% 8% 12% 11% 10% 17% 14% 10% 4% 1% 2% 11% 59% 4% 11% 11% 12% 6% 5% 30%

Independent/Other 304 169 135 94 148 61 136 131 37 118 88 55 43 173 131 38 12 - 2 32 161 59 277 229 47 12 12

13% 14% 11% 14% 15% 8% 14% 11% 18% 18% 15% 8% 10% 12% 14% 8% 2% - 5% 10% 46% 11% 13% 13% 15% 10% 6%

1

The Questionnaire

BEHAVIOUR & ATTITUDES POLL QUESTIONNAIRE – June 2013

Good Morning/afternoon/evening my name is ………………… (Name) and I am calling from

Behaviour and Attitudes, the independent market research company based in Dublin.

We are currently conducting a study on a number of issues. The study will take less than 10

minutes to complete.

The interview will be conducted in accordance with Market Research Society guidelines - all

results will be shown in aggregate form and for quality control purposes this call may be

monitored by a supervisor.

ASK ALL ADULTS 18YRS+

Q.1 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the manner in which the

Government is running the country?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.2 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Kenny is doing his job

as Taoiseach?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.3 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Gilmore is doing his

job as Tanaiste?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.4 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Martin is doing his job

as leader of Fianna Fail?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

J.4769

Q.5 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Adams is doing his job

as leader of Sinn Fein?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.6 Would you say you are satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr. Ryan is doing his job

as leader of The Green Party?

Satisfied 1

Dissatisfied 2

No opinion 3

Q.7 If there was a General Election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate

would you give your first preference vote? DO NOT READ OUT

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour Party 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Would not vote 10

ASK ALL RESPONDENTS. I WOULD NOW LIKE TO ASK YOU SOME GENERAL KNOWLEDGE

QUESTIONS. ROTATE ORDER

Q.8a Please name as many of the three institutions in Ireland’s bailout troika as you can.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) 1 European Union / EU 2 European Central Bank / ECB Other Don’t know

3 4 5

Q.8b What is the name of the Irish member of boyband One Direction?

Correct answer (Niall Horan) 1 Incorrect answer 2 Don’t know 3

Q.8c In what year did the Easter Rising in Ireland take place?

Correct answer (1916) 1 Incorrect answer 2 Don’t know 3

Q.8d What is 15% of €10?

Correct answer (€1.50) 1 Incorrect answer 2 Don’t know 3

Q.8e Who is the current Minister of Public Expenditure & Reform?

Correct answer (Brendan Howlin) 1 Incorrect answer 2 Don’t know 3

Q.8f As far as you know, how are the following words spelled? READ OUT

Correct Spelling

Incorrect spelling

Don’t know

Embarrass 1 2 3 Satellite 1 2 3

Q.8g And finally, how do you spell the word “THEIR”, as in the sentence “The children were

really looking forward to their summer holidays”.

Correct spelling (THEIR) 1 Incorrect spelling 2 Don’t know 3

Q.9 How likely would you be to vote if there was a General Election tomorrow? PROBE TO APPROPRIATE CODE

Would definitely vote 1

Would probably vote 2

Might/might not vote 3

Would probably not vote 4

Would definitely not vote 5

Don’t know 6

Q.10 And to which party or independent candidate did you give your first preference vote in the last General Election? DO NOT READ OUT

Fianna Fail 1

Fine Gael 2

Labour 3

Green Party 4

Workers Party 5

Sinn Fein 6

Independent 7

Other specify _________________ 8

Don’t know 9

Did not vote 10

Q.11 Are you eligible to vote in Irish General Elections, or not?

Yes, eligible 1

No – not eligible 2

Don’t know 3

Q.12 And are you an Irish citizen, or not?

Yes 1

No 2

Don’t know 3

J.4769%20The%20Sunday%20Times%20Report%20June%202013

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