Investor Presentation - GTT · Investor Presentation 28 February 2020 2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS . This...
Transcript of Investor Presentation - GTT · Investor Presentation 28 February 2020 2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS . This...
Investor Presentation
28 February 2020
2019 FULL YEAR RESULTS
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to civil or criminal liability. © GTT, 2010-2020
Disclaimer
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Disclaimer
This presentation does not contain or constitute an offer of securities for sale or an invitation or inducement to invest in securities in France, the
United States or any other jurisdiction.
It includes only summary information and does not purport to be comprehensive. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or
implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained
in this presentation. None of GTT or any of its affiliates, directors, officers and employees shall bear any liability (in negligence or otherwise) for
any loss arising from any use of this presentation or its contents.
The market data and certain industry forecasts included in this presentation were obtained from internal surveys, estimates, reports and studies,
where appropriate, as well as external market research, including Poten & Partners, Wood Mackenzie and Clarkson Research Services Limited,
publicly available information and industry publications. GTT, its affiliates, shareholders, directors, officers, advisors and employees have not
independently verified the accuracy of any such market data and industry forecasts and make no representations or warranties in relation
thereto. Such data and forecasts are included herein for information purposes only. Where referenced, as regards the information and data
contained in this presentation provided by Clarksons Research and taken from Clarksons Research’s database and other sources, Clarksons
Research has advised that: (i) some information in the databases is derived from estimates or subjective judgments; (ii) the information in the
databases of other maritime data collection agencies may differ from the information in Clarksons Research database; (iii) while Clarksons
Research has taken reasonable care in the compilation of the statistical and graphical information and believes it to be accurate and correct,
data compilation is subject to limited audit and validation procedures.
Any forward-looking statements contained herein are based on current GTT’s expectations, beliefs, objectives, assumptions and projections
regarding present and future business strategies and the distribution environment in which GTT operates, and any other matters that are not
historical fact. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performances and are subject to various risks, uncertainties and other
factors, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the control of GTT and its shareholders. Actual results, performance or
achievements, or industry results or other events, could materially differ from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, these forward-
looking statements. For a detailed description of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the section “Risk Factors” of the Document de
Référence (“Registration Document”) registered by GTT with the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (“AMF”) on April 30, 2019 and the half-yearly
financial report released on July 25, 2019, which are available on the AMF’s website at www.amf-france.org and on GTT’s website at www.gtt.fr.
The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as at the date of this presentation, unless another time is specified in
relation to them. GTT disclaims any intent or obligation to update any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
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Agenda
1. Company overview & key highlights
2. Core business: Market & Activity update
3. New businesses: LNG Fuel developments
4. Service activity
5. Strategic roadmap
6. Financials
7. Outlook
Appendices
4
Company overview & Key highlights
5
1
GTT at a glance
Profile
A French technology and engineering
company with more than 50-year track
record
Expert in liquefied gas containment systems
GTT is a public company listed on the
Euronext Stock Exchange (Paris),
compartment A
405 highly qualified people(1)
Activities
Designs and licenses membrane
technologies for containment of liquefied gas
Core business: LNG transportation and storage
New business: LNG as fuel for vessel propulsion
Provides design studies, construction
assistance and innovative services
6 (1) As at December 31, 2019- GTT SA / Excluding interns and apprentices. 456 employees at Group level.
© Engie © GTT
Consolidated key figures
in € million FY 2019
Total Revenues 288
Royalties (newbuild)
Services
273
15
Net Income 143
GTT, a green stock
Core business
Business model: pure technology and engineering company,
no direct emissions
Technology: improved performance of LNG carriers with a reduction
of the level of LNGC CO2 emissions by 43% over the last 10 years
LNG demand: mainly driven by Asian countries, progressively
substituting coal to gas for power generation
LNG as Fuel
CO2 emissions: -25% compared to HFO (currently 3% of global
emissions)
No Sox, low Nox, no particulates
Digital
Solutions / softwares / sensors to improve efficiency of vessels and
contribute to the reduction of vessels global emissions
7
GTT’s activities are mainly driven by environmental aspects
2019 Key Highlights
Strong level of new orders, covering the full value chain
57 LNGC, 6 VLEC and 3 GBS
New commercial successes in LNG Fuel business including:
2 bunker ships, 1 container ship converted to LNG on behalf of Hapag Lloyd,
5 container ships on behalf of a European ship-owner
New TALA with Chinese shipyard WISON Offshore & Marine
Technology "LNG Cargo Ready" rating from American Bureau of Shipping for GTT’s latest VLEC model
Approval in principle from Bureau Veritas for icebreakers using Mark III Flex and N096 L03+ technology
Joint agreement between GTT, Lloyd’s Register and several partners for the design of a VLCC using LNG as fuel
New name of GTT’s latest technology: GTT NEXT1 (formerly NO96 Flex)
February 2020: acquisition of Marorka, an expert in Smart Shipping
Proposed dividend up 4% to €3.25 per share, payout of 84%
Notes: LNGC – Liquefied Natural Gas Carrier, VLEC – Very Large Ethane Carrier, FLNG – Floating Liquefied Natural Gas , GBS – Gravity Based Structures, VLCC – Very large Crude Carrier 8
Core business: Market & activity update
9
2
Core Business as at December 31, 2019 A strong order book
LNGC
VLEC
FSRU
FLNG
Onshore storage / GBS
new orders
10
Order book of 133 units
FY 2019 movements
© Shell
57 LNGC
6 VLEC
3 GBS
27 LNGC
3 FSRU deliveries
© SCF Group Notes: LNGC – Liquefied Natural Gas Carrier, VLEC – Very Large Ethane Carrier,
FSRU – Floating Storage and Regasification Unit, FLNG – Floating Liquefied Natural Gas ,
GBS – Gravity Based Structure
Overall long term outlook bright for gas and LNG
Source: BP Energy outlook 2019
Gas share in the energy mix LNG to lead gas trade growth (bcm)
Gas is the only fossil energy to increase share in
the energy mix
Gas is expected to exceed coal by 2025, and could
become 1st source of energy in the early 2040’s
Gas and renewables will account for 85% of energy
demand growth
Drivers: environmental properties, price
and availability
Gas is increasingly exported thanks to LNG
LNG expected to exceed inter regional
pipeline trade in the late 2020’s
Driver: greater flexibility, availability, price.
Source: Evolving transition scenario, BP 2019 outlook, 11
Renewables
Oil
Gas
Coal
Hydro
Nuclear 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2018 2040
Gas consumed locally Pipe LNG
+1,500 cbm
Trade
31% Trade
36%
11% 17%
BP alternative scenarios all point to a prominent share of gas in the energy mix
BP considers 4 scenarios with common
features, such as ongoing economic growth
and a shift towards a lowercarbon fuel mix,
but differ in terms of policy, technology or
behavioural assumptions.
Whatever the scenario, gas grows and
ranks as one of 2 leading energies
Gas demand grows between 37% (Less
Globalization scenario) and 83% (More Energy)
Gas share in the energy mix is estimated by
BP between 25% and 27% in 2040 in all
scenarios (vs 23% today)
Gas position is central in energy transition Source: BP 2019 outlook, GTT 12
3,2 4,6
5,8
4,3 4,3
4 scenarios considered by BP Gas is central in all 4 scenarios
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Mtp
a
Supply - Operationnal Supply - Under Construction Demand
LNG Supply & Demand: new capacity needed
Sources: Wood Mackenzie Q4 2019 ; GTT Analysis.
NB: NLNG T7 (FID in Dec 19) taken into account
LNG Supply & Demand balance forecast
Supply/Demand balanced until end 2024
More FIDs expected as Supply/Demand gap widens to reach
around 250 Mtpa by 2035
13
NB: Methodology change from Wood Mackenzie: LNG consumed by vessel is now included in supply and demand
250 Mtpa
71 Mtpa sanctioned in 2019, an all time record.
45 Mtpa in 2004 was the previous record (mainly thanks to Qatar FID)
6 FIDS have been taken
3 are equity projects : Golden Pass, Arctic LNG-2, NLNG T7
3 are SPA based projects : Mozambique LNG-1, Calcasieu, Sabine Pass T6
Liquefaction projects: record FIDs in 2019
14
Source: GTT, Wood Mackenzie
Project Country Operator Volume (Mtpa)
Exp Startup
Comments
FID taken in 2019
Golden Pass US Exxon, QP 15.6 2025
Sabine Pass T6 US Cheniere 4.5 2023 Cheniere has now 36 Mtpa capacity at Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi
Mozambique LNG-1 Mozambique Anadarko 12.9 2024 Ownership transfered to Total
Calcasieu Pass US Venture Global 10 2023 18 modularized trains
Arctic LNG-2 Russia Novatek 19.8 2023 3 GBS ordered, at least 15 ice class LNG carriers required
NLNG T7 Nigeria NNPC 7.6 2024 1 new train of 4.2 Mtpa + 3.4 Mtpa debottlenecking
Possible FIDs
Mozambique LNG-4 Mozambique Exxon 15.2 EPC contractor chosen; $500 mln to be spent on initial construction phase
Corpus Christi Stage III US Cheniere 9.5 2 Feedgas contract signed with Apache and EOG
Port Arthur US Sempra 11 SPA of 2Mtpa with PGNiG + HoA of 5 Mtpa signed with Saudi Aramco
Cameron expansion US Sempra 5
Freeport T4 US Freeport 5.1
Lake Charles US Energy Transfer 16 2 SPA totalling 3 Mtpa signed with Shell
Plaquemines US Venture Global 10 2.5 Mtpa signed with PGNiG
Woodfibre Canada Pacific O&G 2.1 SPA signed with BP in June 2019 for 0.75 Mtpa
Tortue Phase 2 Senegal/Mauritania BP 2.4
Pluto expansion Australia Woodside 4.7
Qatar LNG expansion Qatar QP Up to 49 16 Mtpa (2 trains of 8 mtpa) have been added to the 33 Mtpa extension project
85 more LNGCs required for liquefaction projects under construction
15
Market still requires 85 more LNGCs for contracted supply of LNG plants under construction
Expected additional FIDs and fleet replacement could increase that number
Source: GTT
LNGCs supply demand balance of Under Construction liquefaction plants
Project LocationForecasted
Start-Up
Contracted
Capacity
(mtpa)
LNGCs requirement
Cameron T3 US East 2020 4,0
Freeport Train 3 US East 2020 4,6
PFLNG 2 Asia Pacific 2021 1,4
Corpus Christi T3 US East 2022 4,5
Tangguh Phase 2 Asia Pacific 2022 4,5
Calcasieu Pass US East 2023 8,0
Coral FLNG East Africa 2023 3,4
TortueFLNG West Africa 2023 2,4
Arctic LNG-2 Russia 2023 19,8
Sabine Pass T6 US East 2023 4,5
LNG Canada Canada West 2024 14,0
Mozambique LNG (Area 1) East Africa 2024 11,2
NLNG T7+expansion West Africa 2024 8,0
Golden Pass US East 2025 15,6
172
80
- Available vessels in operation 7
85
TOTAL
- Current Orderbook
Expected orders
Contracted LNG price remain steady despite low spot price environment
Sources: Argus, EIA, Wood Mackenzie,
LNG spot & contracted prices
Mild winter and Coronavirus have pushed LNG spot prices to record low
Below $3/Mmbtu in Asia and below $2,5/Mmbtu in mid-February
Henry Hub is also below $2 Mmbtu
Contracted LNG prices are not affected by spot market fluctuations
LNG projects financing is based on contracted price expectations
Contracted US LNG is competitive in Asia (even with 25% tariff)
16
Contracted oil linked Asian LNG price = JCC * 13% + 0,5$
Contracted US LNG price delivered in Asia = Henry Hub * 1,15 + 2,25$ + 1,43$
0
2
4
6
8
10
12$
/Mm
btu
Oil linked Asian Price
Spot price
Contracted price
US LNG price delivered in Asia
European
LNG
Asian
LNG
2019 Global LNG demand increasing
Global LNG demand: +12.5% in 2019
China continues to be among top 3
+14% or 6 Mtpa
South Asia (India, Pakistan, Bengladesh)
+19% in 2019
Japan and Korea decreasing due to nuclear restart
Europe increasing (UK and France, Spain, Netherlands)
17
China expected to remain a dominant region
Efforts continue to improve
urban air quality
Sustained long term growth
expected by 2030
5 importing terminals under
construction + 11 expansions
planned at existing terminals
18
3,2 4,6
5,8
4,3 4,3
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
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40
60
80
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0
LNG demand in China Annual growth
China LNG demand by 2030
33% 46% 41%
Source: Wood Mackenzie
China’s choice to widely consume LNG has significantly reduced its CO2 emissions
19
In 2019, China has consumed 61 million tons of LNG
it consumed less than 10 million tons 10 years ago
By choosing LNG, instead of building new generation
coal plants, China has saved more
than 200 million tons of CO2 during 2019
Equivalent to total Netherlands CO2 emissions in 2019
Source: BP Statistical Review
When China reduces its coal consumption by 1%
and uses LNG instead, it reduces CO2 emissions
by more than 60 million tons
Equivalent to total Austria CO2 emissions in 2019
Main Sources: GTT, Clarksons, Wood Mackenzie, Sims, et al., 2007, Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, BP Statistical Review
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
LNG share in Chinese energy mix
GTT supports CO2 emissions reductions thanks to continuous improvements of its systems
20
The 2010s have seen major evolutions leading to reduction of LNGC CO2 emissions Lower Boil off: GTT new products : Mark III Flex, Mark III Flex+, NO 96GW, NO 96+
Engine improvements : DFDE and then MEGI/XDF
Greater capacities: 145k cbm to today’s 174k cbm standard
The 188 modern vessels delivered since 2010 (58 MEGI/XDF and 130 DFDE) save
more than 5 million tons CO2 every year vs 2010 Steam Turbine vessels
Comparison of 2 typical LNG carriers in 2010 (Steam Turbine) and 2020 (MEGI/XDF)
Engine type LNG tank Boil Off Size Consumption
CO2 saved
per cbm
transported*
Steam Turbine Mark III 0,15% 145k cbm 110t/d -
MEGI / XDF Mark III Flex+ 0,07% 174k cbm 75t/d 43%
* CO2 saved per cbm transported vs 2010 Steam turbine vessel Source: GTT, Clarksons
2030 IMO objective of 40% reduction of CO2 per ton transported vs 2008
is already achieved thanks to continuous improvements since 2010.
Core business long term estimates
GTT order estimates over 2020-2029 GTT FY 2019 Sales
LNGC: between 285 and 315 units(1)
VLEC: between 25 and 40 units
FSRU: between 10 and 20 units
FLNG: Up to 5 units
Onshore and GBS tanks: between 15 and
20 units
Courtesy of Excelerate Energy Courtesy of Shell
21 (1) Including replacement market
LNGC80%
FSRU
9%
FLNG
2%
LNG Fuel
3%
Other1%
Services
5%
New businesses: LNG Fuel developments
3.2
22
3
New Business (LNG as Fuel) as at December 31, 2019 A growing order book
ULCS (Ultra Large Container Ships)
Container vessel (converted to LNG)
Cruise ship
LNG bunker ships
new orders
23
Order book of 19 units FY 2019 movements
© SCF Group
2 LNG Bunker ship
1 Container vessel
5 ULCS
© GTT © GTT
Source : DNV
LNG is the only mature solution allowing comprehensive environmental compliance
0
0,25
0,5
0,75
1
SOX NOX CO2 Particulates
Ba
se 1
Comparison of emissions by fuel type
HFO
HFO+ Scrubber
LSHFO
LNG
LNG is in advance of existing and anticipated environmental regulations
No SOx, no particulates, low NOx, reduced CO2 emissions
Implementation in January 2021 of NOx reduction in North Sea and Baltic sea
will further degrade oil fuel’s and Scrubber’s competitiveness
24
Business case is very favorable to LNG as fuel for large containerships
25
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
2022
(Year
1)
Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Year 15
M$
vs LSHFO vs Scrubber
NPV of LNG fuel vs scrubbers and LSHFO for a 14k TEU containership
Payback c.3 years vs other solutions
Main hypothesis
•Large containership: 14,000 TEU
•Route: Asia <-> Europe
•Avg Consumption.: 150t/d HFO
•Brent price: ~60-65$/b on average over the period
•Over-CapEx (vs. conventionnal vessels):
LNG as fuel : choice of LNG fuel for large containerships saves 30,000 tons of CO2 / year
26
The choice of LNG vs oil to fuel a single 23k TEU containership saves as much as:
CO2: 15,000 cars taken out of the road
Particulates: around 1 million cars taken out of the road
NOx: 2.5 million cars taken out of the road
SOx: 30 million cars taken out of the road
Fuel type Energy content
Engine efficiency
Over-consumption
SOx NOx Particulates
PM CO2
Mmbtu/ton g/kWh %m/m g/kWh g/kg fuel kg/kWh
Oil fuels (Compliant fuels
or HFO+ Scrubber)
40-42 140 2-3% (if
scrubber) 0,5% 7-15 1-1,5 0,27-0,28
LNG fuel 48 180 0% <1,5
(MEGI) 0 0,21
LNG vs oil fuel
15-20% more
energy density
+5-7% more
efficient (excl higher
energy content)
2-3% gain vs
scrubber
No Sox in LNG
Nox: - 80/90%
No particulates
in LNG
CO2: -20/25%
Comparison of emissions for 2 fuel types : oil fueled and LNG fueled
Assumptions : Consumption of a 23k TEU containership : 150tonHFOeq/d/ Emissions of a car: CO2 : 150g/km / Nox:70mg/km and Particulates PM 4,5mg/km (Euro 6d norm) / SOx car fuel content: 0,001%/ Average
annual use of a car in Europe: 15,000 kms, consumption :6L/100kms
Main Sources: GTT,DNV GL, ABS, Sims, et al., 2007, Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, European parliament,
Open loop scrubbers utilization banned areas keep expanding
27
Map of areas where the use of open loop scrubbers is banned
Since October 2019, 4 areas have banned the use of open loop scrubbers
in their waters: Panama canal, Malaysia, Suez Canal, Karachi (Pakistan)
Newbuild & Retrofit
• Ferries
• Ro-Ro
• Tugs
• Small Containers
• Small Tankers
• Small bulkers
• …
300-400 vessels
350-450k cbm
Membrane is consolidating its penetration in LNG fuel market
28
1 2 3+
1,000
5,000
10,000
20,000
LNG tanks total
capacity - cbm
Type B
Type C
Newbuild & Retrofit
• Ultra & Very Large
Container Vessels
• Cruise ships
(expedition)
15-20 vessels
200-300k cbm
Newbuild
• Very Large Container
Vessels
10-15 vessels
100-150k cbm
Number of market segment penetrated
Main sources: Clarksons, DNV GL
LNG as a marine fuel continues its
penetration in shipping market
despite a persisting wait & see
attitude
9% market share in 2019
Most of the c.90 LNG fuelled vessels
ordered in 2019 were small
capacities in Type C
Mainly < 1,000 cbm, and up to 6,000
cbm
In 2019, membrane success was
focused on very large containerships
after penetrating cruise ships in 2018
Breakthrough with first large
conversion ever
Type B technology is penetrating
very large containerships but with
limited track record
LNG fuel tanks competitive landscape
LNG Fuel market potential for GTT
Shipping Markets Relevant Market Segments
for GTT
Historical 10y
annual orders Fleet at end 2019
MAIN TARGETS
Container Ships 3-20+ kTEU
~225 ~5500 Bulkers 100+ kdwt
Oil Tankers 125+ kdwt
Cruise Ships All size ~35 ~1200
Car & Truck Carriers
TOTAL SHIPPING MARKET
All vessels
(excl. LNGC, FSRU…) 100 GT+ 2,400 ~98,000
Source: GTT analysis, Clarksons
Global market represents a pool of ~2,400 ships per year (newbuilds)
GTT is particularly focusing on a segment of ~ 260 ships per year (newbuilds)
With expected recovery of shipping market and LNG fuel penetration rising, LNG fueled
orders should multiply
29
Service activity
3.3
30
4
Services to make LNG easy
Support of GTT’s LNG core activities
Support for the development of LNG as fuel
31
CONSULTING
to get LNG as fuel
projects on track
to raise awareness
about LNG to support operators in the
first LNG operations
to avoid escalation and
minimise impacts
to support the industry’s
digital transformation
to maintain the industry’s
track record
to facilitate LNG tanks
maintenance
to enable projects and
support daily operations
DIGITAL MAINTENANCE TESTS
TRAINING LNG OPERATIONS EMERGENCY
ENGINEERING
Acquisition of Marorka, a new step in GTT’s digital roadmap
A leading global provider of data-driven energy management and operational performance
solutions for the international maritime industry
Marorka focuses on fuel savings, emission reduction compliance and reporting, and performance
optimization
More than 600 vessels installed
Good technical, commercial and geographical complementarity with Ascenz
Products
32
Data Acquisition
Located on-board the vessel, the system allows electronic measurement logging
and collects data for performance monitoring
Onboard Advisory
Based on the operational data collected, Marorka Onboard enables monitoring
and improvement of energy management efficiency and operational performance.
Main advisory modules: machinery operation, fuel consumption, voyage
optimization, optimal trim and report generation
Marorka Online
Marorka Online is a cloud-based fleet performance reporting system. It provides
the shore-based personnel with access to fleet performance data.
Main modules: fleet performance dashboard, performance optimization and
benchmarking, and emissions monitoring reports
Services
Energy management advisory services
Training services for a successful implementation and usage of the Marorka solution
Strategic roadmap
33
5
GTT’s strategic roadmap
34
Towards a lower emission
maritime world
5. Enlargement
4. Advisory and services
2. Enhancement
3. Improvement
Gas handling
technologies
Smart shipping Offshore
Multigas
GBS
Evolution
of NO 96
& Mark
systems
Advisory services
Intervention services
Training
LNG as
fuel
Transfer
operations 1. Intensification
LNG Carriers
6. Transformation
Financials
35
6
Order book by year of delivery (units per year)(1)
In units
Order book overview (core business)
Order book in units
In units
36
Order book in value
In €M
Revenues expected from current order book(2)
In €M
+ 34%
(1) Delivery dates could move according to the shipyards/EPCs’ building timetables.
(2) Royalties from core business, i.e. excluding LNG as Fuel, services activity.
2019 financial performance
Key highlights Summary consolidated accounts
(2)
(1) Defined as EBIT + amortisations and impairments of fixed assets
(2) Defined as EBITDA - capex - change in working capital
In € M 2018 2019 Change
Total Revenues 246.0 288.2 +17.2%
EBITDA(1) 168.7 174.3 +3.3%
Margin (%) 68.6% 60.5%
Operating Income 159.9 170.0 +6.3%
Margin (%) 65.0% 59.0%
Net income 142.8 143.4 +0.4%
Margin (%) 58.1% 49.7%
Free Cash Flow(2) 217.2 154.9 -28.7%
Change in Working
Capital -60.3 +10.4 nm
Capex 11.8 9.0 -23.7%
Dividend paid 98.5 122.0 +23.9%
in € M 31/12/2018 31/12/2019
Cash Position 173.2 169.0
Revenues
Newbuilds (royalties): +18.1%, mainly driven by
LNGCs (+16.2%),FLNGs (+38.3%) and LNG as fuel
Service revenue: +2.7%, mainly due to an increase of
maintenance services and Ascenz activities, and a
decrease of pre-engineering studies
EBITDA: +3.3% / +13.6% excluding 2018 one-off items
Increase of external charges: +31.7% due to
increased number of new orders
Increase of staff costs: +12.7%
2018 one-off items: reversal of provision
Net profit: +0.4% / +12.6% excluding one-off items
2018 one-off: reversal of provision, tax refund and
impairment charge
Capex:
Impact of Ascenz acquisition in 2018
New building at headquarters in 2019
37
2019 Cost base
GTT consolidated operational costs Key highlights
External costs: +32%
Subcontractors +50%, due to strong flow of orders
Other external costs +19% (mainly fees from
external advisors and patent filing)
Staff costs up 13%, mainly due to the increase
in headcount (+10%)
GTT 2019 costs(1) by nature
External costs
48%
in € M 2018 2019 Change (%)
Goods purchased (3.0) (7.1) +136.9%
% sales -1% -2%
Subcontracted Test and
Studies (17.8) (26.7) +50.3%
Rental and Insurance (4.4) (4.8) +10.3%
Travel Expenditures (8.0) (9.6) +19.8%
Other External Costs (10.8) (12.8) +18.5%
Total External Costs (41.0) (53.9) +31.7%
% sales -17% -19%
Salaries and Social
Charges (38.2) (42.1) +10.2%
Share-based payments (0.6) (2.2) nm
Profit Sharing (7.0) (7.3) +4.3%
Total Staff Costs (45.8) (51.6) +12.7%
% sales -19% -18%
Other(1) 0.3 - nm
% sales 0% 0%
Staff costs
46%
Cost of sales
6%
(1) Excluding depreciations, amortisations, provisions and impairment of assets
38
2018 2019Interim Final
Dividend
(1) Dividend payout ratio calculated on profit distributed (and possible distribution of reserves) as % of consolidated net profit for the financial year.
€3.12
€115.6 M
81%
€3.25
€120.5 M
84%
Consolidated net profit (IFRS)
Total dividend
Dividend per share
Total amount paid
Pay out ratio
Dividend
amount
€142.8 M €143.4 M
2018 2019
39
3.25 3.12 +4%
Balance dividend
of €1.75
- Record date:
June 8, 2020
- Payment date:
June 10, 2020
1.79 1.75
1.33 1.50
Outlook
40
7
2020 Outlook
GTT revenue(1) 2020 consolidated revenue estimated in a range of €375M to €405M
Dividend
Payment(2) 2020 and 2021 payout of at least 80%
EBITDA 2020 consolidated EBITDA estimated in a range of €235M to €255M
(1) In the absence of any significant delays or cancellations in orders. Variations in order intake between periods could lead to fluctuations in revenues
(2) Subject to approval of Shareholders' meeting. GTT by-laws provide that dividends may be paid in cash or in shares based on each shareholder’s preference
41
CONFIDENTIAL Masque PowerPoint - January 2020
Image courtesy of STX, Engie, Excelerate, Reliance, SCF Group, Shell, CMA CGM, Conrad
Thank you for your attention
42
Appendix
43
A streamlined group and organisation (December 31, 2019)
* Member of the executive committee
GT
T G
rou
p
Philippe Berterottière* Chairman and Chief Executive
Officer
GT
T S
A o
rgan
isati
on
Lélia Ghilini*
Secretary General
General Counsel
Julien Bec
LNG as fuel
~17 employees
Frédérique
Coeuille*
Innovation
~102 employees
David Colson*
Commercial
~28 employees
Karim Chapot*
Technical
~194 employees
Marc Haestier*
Finance &
Administration
~40 employees
Sandrine Vibert*
Human
Resources
~13 employees
44
GTT exposure to the liquefied gas shipping and storage value chain
Source: Company data
Offshore clients:
shipyards
Onshore
clients:
EPC
contractors Onshore storage
liquefaction plant
Onshore storage re-
gasification terminal
Floating LNG Production,
Storage and Offloading
unit (FLNG)
Liquefied Natural Gas
Carrier
(LNGC)
Floating Storage and
Regasification Unit (FSRU)
LNG fuelled
ship
Gas-to-wire
Power plant
Platform /
Installation
Tank in
industrial plant
Ethane/ multigas
Carriers
Barge
Exploration
& Production Liquefaction Shipping Regasification
Off Take /
Consumption
45
GTT ecosystem
End clients and prescribers
licences its membrane
technology and receives
royalties
provides engineering
studies, on-site technical
and maintenance
assistance
receives new
technology
certification and
approval
provides services
provides services
and maintenance
Oil & Gas
Companies Shipowners
Classification
Societies
Shipyards Direct clients
End clients and prescribers
Regulatory oversight of the industry
46
GTT membrane technologies
General principle:
Two membranes
Two layers of insulations
Containment system
anchored to the inner hull
47
Mark III system NO96 system
Primary
membrane
Secondary
membrane
Hull
Primary insulation
Secondary insulation
56 ageing vessels with charter contract ending by 2023
LNGCs carriers* with charter contract ending by 2023
Source: Wood Mackenzie
100 LNGC chart contract to end by 2023
Of which 56 equipped with steam turbine
propulsion; also smaller vessels (<140k
cbm)
Charterers and ship-owners to prepare the
shift to more modern vessels
Better economics
Some Majors already started selling and
replacing part of their ageing fleet (e.g.
Shell, NWS project) * Above 50k cbm
48
22
9 12 13
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2020 2021 2022 2023
MEGI/XDF
DFDE
Steam Turbine
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
LNG
pri
ce
($
/Mm
btu
)
Oil price ($/bl)
2019 has been very competitive for US LNG vs Asian LNG
High oil prices ($70/bl) vs low Henry Hub prices ($2,6/Mmbtu)
US LNG ≈ $6.8/Mmbtu
Asian LNG ≈ $9,5/Mmbtu
US LNG is competitive in Asia U
S L
NG
Asian LNG Asian oil indexed LNG competitive
US
LN
G c
om
pe
titive
US LNG vs. Asian LNG price depending on Henry Hub and Oil prices
US LNG:
• HH+15%
• Tolling Fee: 2.25$
• Shipping: 1.43$ (US East ->Japan,
174k cbm Me-GI or X-DF)
Hypothesis
Asian LNG:
• Slope: 13% of JCC price
• Constant: 0.5$
Main sources:
GTT analysis, EIA, Wood Mackenzie
Sp
read
HH : $2,5/Mmbtu
HH : $3/Mmbtu
HH : $3,5/Mmbtu
49
2019 avg.
Despite 25% tariff, US LNG remains economic in China (US LNG+tariff =$8,6/Mmbtu)
These economics still favors US FIDs, despite low LNG price on the spot market
LNG short term charter rates
50
LNGCs – Our main business
Vessels equipped for transporting LNG
Existing GTT fleet: 384 units1
In order: 113 units1
26 construction shipyards under license1
Our strengths
Technological leadership, boil-off divided by 2 in the last 5 years
Long term industrial partnerships with major shipyards
A unique position in the LNG ecosystem, nurtured by 50 years of
experience, expertise and customer orientation
51
1 As at 30 December 2019
FSRUs – The game changer for new importing countries
Major competitive advantage vs. land-based terminals:
Quick to build/deploy & mobile
Better local acceptability & easier permitting
Affordable / no upfront CapEx
Adapted to more volatile LNG prices
Quality controlled construction in shipyards with available
and skilled workforce
More than 40 FSRUs
currently in service or
under construction
Worldwide development
Asia (India, China, …)
Europe
(Turkey, Croatia, …)
South & West Africa
LatAm & Carribeans
Courtesy of Excelerate Energy
52
FSRUs market outlook
Source: Poten 2018
FLNGs – the new frontier of the LNG world
Main drivers
Monetisation of stranded
offshore gas reserves
Better acceptability (no NIMBY
syndrom)
Floating units which ensure
treatment of gas, liquefy and store it
Existing GTT fleet: 2 units1
In order: 2 units1
GTT key advantages
Extended amortization
perspectives
Deck space available for
liquefaction equipment
More affordable cost
Courtesy of Shell
53 1 As at 30 December 2019
Arctic LNG-2 recent FID: a great opportunity for GTT to expand in the LNG value chain with 1st GBS ordered
54
From liquefaction
plant
To
Regasification
GBS Ice class
LNG carrier
Conventional
LNG carrier
Trans
shipment Regas
terminal:
Onshore or
FSRU
The Arctic LNG-2 project sanctioned in September 2019 represents a great achievement
for GTT who will equip 3 GBS of 229k cbm each
GTT could be present all along the value chain, by equipping GBS, Ice class LNG
carriers and conventional LNG carriers
GBS is suitable for a very wide range of applications
LNG SUPPLY CHAIN
• Liquefaction or regasification plants
• Peak Shaving
• Satellite Station
• Inland distribution
BUNKERING
• LNG as fuel
POWER
• Industry Company
• Captive Power
GBS range
Markets
5k 200k+
55
50k
@ SemCorp
Storage capacity (cbm)
LOCATION
• Islands, remote costal areas, isolated industrial needs (ex.: mining), …
Concrete or steel, installed in jetty, breakwater dike or nearshore
Location
@ Acciona
Ethane: Order of 6 VLEC in September 2019
Transportation of Liquefied Ethane is an increasing
market, driven by the strong development of shale gas
and shale oil production in the US
Excess supply of ethane (byproduct of shale oil
and shale gas) and interdiction to flare have
pushed the US to start exporting ethane in 2014
Market to further develop and exports to rise
56
An increasing ethane transportation market
Vessels size increase make GTT membrane very competitive
With the 6 VLEC, GTT breaks its own capacity record
for VLECs
98k cbm vs 88k cbm for the 6 Reliance ordered
in 2014
Increasing size of vessels is favorable to GTT
technology
Source: Clarksons
US ethane production, consumptions and exports
Focus on GTT’s competitive advantages on LNGCs
Source: Company data and comment (December 31, 2019), Clarksons
(1) Other technologies are being developed, however are not known to have obtained final orders to date (e.g. DSME’s Solidus). Excludes vessel orders below 50,000 m3
GTT’s technology positioning (1)
GTT Moss SPB KC-1
Technology
▶ Integrated tank
(membrane)
▶ Atmospheric pressure
▶ Self supported spheric tank
▶ Atmospheric pressure
▶ Self supported prismaticl tank
▶ Atmospheric pressure
▶ Integrated tank
(membrane)
▶ Atmospheric pressure
CAPEX
▶ Requires less steel and
aluminum than tanks for
a given LNG capacity
▶ Higher costs ▶ Higher costs ▶ Slightly higher costs
than GTT
OPEX
▶ More efficient use of
space
▶ Limited BOR (0.07%)
▶ Higher fuel / fee costs ▶ Higher fuel / fee costs ▶ Higher opex due to
BOR (0.16%)
LNGCs in
construction ▶ 115 ▶ 0 ▶ 0 ▶ 0
LNGCs in
operation ▶ 384 ▶ 129 ▶ 4 (+2 small) ▶ 2 (on repair)
Other ▶ Value added services ▶ Higher centre of gravity;
harder to navigate
▶ Huge losses and delays on
vessels in orderbook.
No significant experience
▶ Korean technology with
little experience at sea
GTT technologies : cost effective, volume optimisation and high return of experience
57
LNG is cheap and stable vs volatile oil fuels
58
Normalisation of the energy content of the different fuels + engine efficiencies differencies taken into account
LNG fuel prices are contracted prices (oil, HH, NBP/TTF indexation).
NB: LNG prices include $100/ton bunkering
Main sources : Wood Mackenzie, Argus, EIA, Platts, CME, Bunker Index, Delft University, GTT, Win GD
Evolution of marine fuel prices since 2018 (Delivered onboard)
Despite IMO 2020 entering into force, HFO prices remain at similar levels as LNG fuel in Asia
Thanks to diverse indexation , contracted LNG prices are very stable vs oil fuels.
LSHFO prices are currently in the range of MGO.
LNG fuel Asia
LNG fuel Europe
LNG fuel US
HFO
MGO
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
$/t
on
HFO
eq
,eff
GTT’s LNG Fuel solutions offering
GTT has developed solutions for the main applications of LNG Fuel
New LNG Brick®
dedicated to medium-sized merchant vessels
test phase completed
Solutions for Container Vessels new build and retrofit
Lean bunker barge to
standardize the market Cost effective solution for bulk carriers
Cruise Ship – optimizing the space for additional
passengers
59
LNG Fuel: wide network of partnerships
25 shipyards under licensed agreements
Network of membrane tank outfitters
A close relationship with engine makers and FGHS1 providers
(1) Fuel Gas Handling System
60
Commercial successes: container ships…
CMA CGM ULCS – Newbuilds – 18,600 m³
9 ships in November 2017
Shipyards :
5 ships in Hudong-Zhonghua
4 ships in Jiangnan Shipyard
Hapag Lloyd VLCS - LNG Retrofit – 6,700 m³
1 ship in April 2019
Hudong-Zhonghua as membrane outfitter
ULCS: Ultra Large Container Ship
European ship-owner ULCS – Newbuilds –
14,000 m³
5 ships in June 2019
Built at Jiangnan Shipyard
61
… Cruise ships and bunker vessels
62
PONANT Expedition Ship – 4,500 m³
1 ship in July 2018
Built at VARD Norway
GTT acting as EPC for the LNG tank
MOL1 LNG Bunkering Vessel – 12,000 m³
1 ship in March 2019
Built at SembCorp Marine Shipyard
Oct. 2018 MOL1 LNG Bunkering Vessel – 18,600 m³
1 ship in January 2018 and 1 ship in December 2019
Built at Hudong Zhonghua Shipyard
1 Mitsui OSK Lines
Focus on GTT’s competitive advantages on LNG fuel
Source: Company data and comment (December 31, 2019), Clarksons, DNV GL
GTT’s technology positioning on LNG fuel
GTT Membrane Prismatic Type B Type C
Technology
principle
▶ Integrated tank
▶ Atmospheric pressure
▶ Self supported tank
▶ Atmospheric pressure
▶ Self supported Cylindrical tank
▶ Pressurized
▶ Insulation: vaccum (smaller tanks) or
foam (larger tanks)
Space
optimization
▶ High: Integrated tank and
unique design for each vessel
▶ Moderate to high : Inspection space,
restricted filling limits (heel)
▶ Low: Cylindrical design, restricted filling
limits (pressurized)
Boil off ▶ Low ▶ Low to medium ▶ High (foam)
CAPEX
▶ Moderate cost: Requires less
steel and aluminum than other
tanks for a given LNG capacity
▶ Higher cost, as much metal is used
(Aluminum or Nickel) and many
workers required for welding
▶ Lower cost (foam), high cost for vaccum
Sloshing
▶ Reinforced foam for LNG fuel
tanks
▶ Chamfers
▶ Tank shape
▶ Metallic structure
▶ Tank shape
▶ Metallic structure
LNG fueled
vessels in
operation
▶ High experience with >400
vessels in operation (LNGCs,
FSRUs, …)
▶ Limited experience at sea (few
LNGCs, with delays and high cost
overrun during construction)
▶ 175 (mainly with tanks <1k cbm, vaccum)
LNG fueled
vessels in
construction
▶ 19 (18+ 1 conversion) ▶ 11 ▶ 200 (mainly with tanks <1k cbm, vaccum)
Others ▶ High end design
▶ High metal content => high price and
weight, complex welding, thermal
resistance, long cooling down,…
▶ Potential outer tank corrosion
▶ Easy to install for a shipyard
▶ Exposed to salinity, meteorology
▶ Easier for conversion if tank on deck
▶ Generic technology
▶ Esay to install for a shipyard
63
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
0 5 10 15 20 25
Cash collection Revenue IFRS 15
An attractive business model supporting high cash generation
Source: Company
(1) Illustrative cycle for the first LNGC ordered by a particular customer, including engineering studies completed by GTT
Invoicing and revenue recognition Business model supports high cash generation
Months from receipt of order
Revenue is recognized pro-rata
temporis between construction
milestones
Initial payment collected from
shipyards at the effective date of
order of a particular vessel (10%)
Steel cutting (20%)
Keel laying (20%)
Ship launching (20%)
Delivery (30%)
% of contract (1)
Steel cutting
Keel laying
Ship
launching
Delivery c. 9 to12 months
studies c. 18 months
royalties
64
Evolution of new
GTT orders (1)(2)
163
222251
142
75 5689
218 227 226 237 232 246288
57%
65% 64%
42%
31% 33%
44%
55%51% 52% 51% 50%
58%50%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Revenue Net Margin
34
19
4 17
44
26
37
47
35
5
21
51
66
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
LNGC/VLEC FSRU/FLNG Onshore storage / GBS Barge
Source: Company
(1) Orders received by period / Core business
(2) Excl. vessel conversions
(3) Represents order position as at December based on company data, including LNGC, VLEC, FLNG, FSRU and on-shore storage units
(4) Figures presented in IFRS consolidated from 2016 to 2018, IFRS from 2010 to 2015, French GAAP from 2006 to 2009
Evolution of
revenue (in € M)
and net margin (4)
99 120 112 66 30 18 52 77
Backlog (# of orders)
Appendix: track record of high margin and strong backlog
114 118
2008
Economic crisis
US shale gas boom
2011
Fukushima
89
65
96 97 133
Contact: [email protected] / +33 1 30 23 20 87