INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Finning...Forward Looking Information Page 2 This report contains statements...
Transcript of INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Finning...Forward Looking Information Page 2 This report contains statements...
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
CIBC Whistler Institutional Investor ConferenceJanuary 26, 2017
Scott Thomson, President and CEO
Forward Looking Information
Page 2
This report contains statements about the Company’s business outlook, objectives, plans, strategic priorities and other statements that are not historical facts. A statement Finning makes is forward-looking when it uses what the Company knows and expects today to make a statement about the future. Forward-looking statements may include words such as aim, anticipate, assumption, believe, could, expect, goal, guidance, intend, may, objective, outlook, plan, project, seek, should, strategy, strive, target, and will. Forward-looking statements in this report include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to: delivery of improved results when demand normalizes; free cash flow; order backlog; results of operational improvements and restructuring actions; product support activity for the balance of the year; expectations that the Canadian operation will achieve its targeted cost savings by the end of the year and EBIT margin range; the Canadian operation’s improvement in profitability from alignment of the cost structure and operational excellence agenda; product support activity in mining in South America; cost savings from restructuring initiatives in the UK and Ireland operations; and transformation of the business model in the UK and Ireland operations to deliver a sustainable improvement in operating performance. All such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the ‘safe harbour’ provisions of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Unless otherwise indicated by us, forward-looking statements in this report reflect Finning’s expectations at January 26, 2017. Except as may be required by Canadian securities laws, Finning does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Forward-looking statements, by their very nature, are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties and are based on several assumptions which give rise to the possibility that actual results could differ materially from the expectations expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements and that Finning’s business outlook, objectives, plans, strategic priorities and other statements that are not historical facts may not be achieved. As a result, Finning cannot guarantee that any forward-looking statement will materialize. Factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements include: general economic and market conditions; foreign exchange rates; commodity prices; the level of customer confidence and spending, and the demand for, and prices of, Finning’s products and services; Finning’s dependence on the continued market acceptance of its products and timely supply of parts and equipment; Finning’s ability to continue to improve productivity and operational efficiencies while continuing to maintain customer service; Finning’s ability to manage cost pressures as growth in revenue occurs; Finning’s ability to reduce costs in response to slowing activity levels; Finning’s ability to attract sufficient skilled labour resources as market conditions, business strategy or technologies change; Finning’s ability to negotiate and renew collective bargaining agreements with satisfactory terms for Finning’s employees and the Company; the intensity of competitive activity; Finning’s ability to raise the capital needed to implement its business plan; regulatory initiatives or proceedings, litigation and changes in laws or regulations; stock market volatility; changes in political and economic environments for operations; the integrity, reliability and availability of, and benefits from, information technology and the data processed by that technology. Forward-looking statements are provided in this report for the purpose of giving information about management’s current expectations and plans and allowing investors and others to get a better understanding of Finning’s operating environment. However, readers are cautioned that it may not be appropriate to use such forward-looking statements for any other purpose.
Forward-looking statements made in this report are based on a number of assumptions that Finning believed were reasonable on the day the Company made the forward-looking statements. Some of the assumptions, risks, and other factors which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements contained in this report are discussed in Section 4 of the Company’s current AIF and in the annual MD&A for the financial risks.
Finning cautions readers that the risks described in the MD&A and the AIF are not the only ones that could impact the Company. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to the Company or that are currently deemed to be immaterial may also have a material adverse effect on Finning’s business, financial condition, or results of operations.
Except as otherwise indicated, forward-looking statements do not reflect the potential impact of any non-recurring or other unusual items or of any dispositions, mergers, acquisitions, other business combinations or other transactions that may be announced or that may occur after the date of this report. The financial impact of these transactions and non-recurring and other unusual items can be complex and depends on the facts particular to each of them. Finning therefore cannot describe the expected impact in a meaningful way or in the same way Finning presents known risks affecting its business.
Monetary amounts are in Canadian dollars and from continuing operations unless noted otherwise
Largest Caterpillar dealer
Unrivalled service for nearly 85 years
Diversified customer base
11,900 employees
Finning Overview
Page 3
Santiago
Bolivia
ArgentinaChile
Cannock
United Kingdom
IrelandBC AB
YT
Edmonton
Vancouverhead office
NWT
SK
NU
(1) At Jan 23, 2017
(4) See description of significant items in Q3/16 MD&A
(3) See description of non-GAAP financial measures in Q3/16 MD&A
(2) YTD Ended Sep 30, 2016
Financial Statistics - YTD 2016(2)
Revenue 4.1BEBITDA(3) 292MAdjusted EBITDA(3)(4) 348MEBIT(3) 147MAdjusted EBIT(3)(4) 203MEPS 0.33Adjusted EPS(3)(4) 0.60Free cash flow(3) 257MInvested capital(3) 2.9B
Product support
57%New
equipment32%
Used equipment
7%
Rental4%
Revenue by line of business(5)
Construction43%
Mining23%
Power Systems
18%
Government5%
Forestry3%
Other8%
New equipment sales by
industry(5)(6)
Canada51%
South America
32%
UK & Ireland17%
Revenue by region(5)
(5) YTD Ended Sep 30, 2016 (6) Other includes industrial and agriculture markets
Market Statistics(1) - FTT (TSX)Share price 26.15Market Cap 4.4BS&P/DBRS rating BBB(+/high)Annual dividend / share 0.73Dividend yield 2.8%
Strategic Direction
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PURPOSE
We believe in partnering and innovating to build and power a better world
VISION
Leveraging our global expertise and insight, we are a trusted partner in transforming our customers’ performance
Profitable and Capital Efficient Growth
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Safety
Talent
Community
Equipment supply chain
Product support
Rental strategy
Profitable market share
Digital strategy
E-commerce
Connected assets
Performance solutions
Processes and systems
2017 PrioritiesGROWTH
Foundational Priorities
ROIC
EBITInvestedCapital
Develop
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SAFETY - Prevention of Significant Incidents
TRIF
Total Recordable Injury
Frequency
TIF
Total Incident Frequency
TALENT - Inclusiveness & Diversity
Working with non-profit strategic partners
Advancing youth-focused STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) education
Helping prepare children for knowledge-based jobs of the future
COMMUNITY - STEM↓ 33 %
TRIF2013 vs 2016
35%
80%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2014 2016
Leadership Roles with Successors (%) Women in Leadership Roles (%)
Global standards for critical operations
20% 19%
7%
27%
22%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Canada UK & Ireland South America
2014 2016
(1) Canadian data excludes corporate head office, OEM Remanufacturing, and The Cat Rental Store
(1)
Perform: 3-Year Commitments Scorecard
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Operational Priorities 2013 CommitmentsAssuming no industry change
2016 Outcome
Inventory turns Parts turns
Equipment turns
EBIT Service EBIT
Canada labour recovery
Footprint optimization
Facility utilization
Canada footprint
UK footprint
Core market share
Parts market share
Canada PS(2) revenue
Core market share
Parts market share
Canada PS revenue
Service Excellence
Supply Chain
Asset Utilization
Market Leadership
0.5 - 0.9 times
0.7 times
0.6 times
$40 - 60 M
$60M
4 points
~25%
~40%
2 - 4 points
2 - 4 points
10 - 15%
5 points
31%
above target
Equipment sales 36%(1)
(1) New equipment sales: 2013 to LTM ended Sep 30, 2016
Market share ↑ 5 points despite industry decline
(2) Power systems
Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet
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23% 24%
38%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2013 2014 2015
Dividend as % of FCF
1.7
1.3
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2013 2014 2015
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA(1)Free Cash Flow by Quarter ($ millions)
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
Q1/
13
Q2/
13
Q3/
13
Q4/
13
Q1/
14
Q2/
14
Q3/
14
Q4/
14
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
2013$441
2014$483
2016E>$300
2015$325
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
4.18% due Apr 2022
3.98% due Jan 2022
3.232% due Jul 2020
6.02% due Jun 2018
Long-Term Debt ProfileMaturity within 5 years, $C millions
Options Considered
Working capital efficiencies: smoothing inventory investment and monetization
Targeted investment in maintenance capex and innovation agenda
Rental investment flexible to market demand
(1) See description of non-GAAP financial measures in Q3/16 MD&A
UpcycleValue Proposition
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Stable product support business
Successful execution of operational priorities
Strong free cash flow generation
~$1.6 Billion Free Cash Flow 2013 - 2016E
~35%Inventory reduction~65%
Driven by EBITDA
(2) LTM ended Sep 30, 2016
Reduced cost structure
Working capital improvements
Product support opportunities
Profitable service business
Innovative customer solutions
Resilient Business Model Upcycle Growth Drivers
2,908
1,850
3,144 3,207
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2013 LTM 2016
Stable Product Support(1)
New Equipment Sales Product Support Revenue
(2)
(1) In functional currency, product support revenue was flat in Canada, down 20% in South America, and down 9% in the UK & Ireland (LTM 2016 vs 2013)
(4) Fixed SG&A costs, adjusted for significant items, excluding Saskatchewan operations
Reduced Cost StructureCanada (2014 – 2016E)
SG&A(4)
Workforce(3)
22%
25%
$m
(3) Excluding Saskatchewan operations acquired in 2015
Parts Supply Chain Improvement
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2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2013 2014 2015 2016 E500
550
600
650
700
750
2013 2014 2015 Q3 2016
Parts Turns (times)Part Inventory ($ millions)
Centralized inventory management
Simplified and optimized network
Reduced network routes and touches
Increased direct shipments to customers
Key Improvement Drivers
Customer Loyalty
From 2013 to 2016
Parts Turns
13 points
0.7 times
Equipment Supply Chain Transformation
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Forecast Sales NEP(1) Invoice
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
2013 2014 2015 Q32016
New Equipment Inventory ($m)
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2013 2014 2015 2016 E
New Equipment Turns (times)
(1) New equipment preparation
Reduce invoice to cash cycle
Improve execution
Simplify quoting, sales, and attachment processes
Improve accuracy and planning
Equipment Turns
↑ 0.1 times
Free Cash Flow
$30 million=
Days of Inventory
Product Support – Canada Mining Opportunities
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Population(1) 316 788
Customers 6 15+
1st replacement of large components
~2 years/18,000 hours
~1.5 years/12,000 hours
Component exchange during life span 6-7 times 2-4 times
Expected life span before rebuild
~12 years/80,000 hours
~8 years/48,000 hours
Average annual product support
C$ 1.0-1.2M C$ 0.3-0.5M
Average age ofpopulation(1) ~12 years ~7 years
Purchase price US$ 5-7M US$ 1.2-2.4M
Rebuild as % of purchase price 60-70% 60-70%
Mining Truck797
Large DozerD11 & D10
(1) Includes rebuilt machines (2) 2016 Estimate
797 Age Profile
Popu
latio
n
Estimated age in 2016
At Dec 2016
Product Support Sweet Spot
Population average age
Expected life span≥
Oil sands50%
Other mining10%
Non-mining40%
Canada Product Support
Revenue(2)
Product Support – South America Mining Opportunities
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Population(1) 211 394
Customers 5 25+
1st replacement of large components
~2.5 years/15,000 hours
~4 years/18,000 hours
Component exchange during life span 5-6 times 2-3 times
Expected life span before rebuild
~12 years/80,000 hours
~8 years/40,000 hours
Average annual product support
~US$ 1.1M ~US$ 0.33M
Average age ofpopulation(1) ~7 years ~6 years
Purchase price US$ 5-7M US$ 1.2-2.4M
Rebuild as % of purchase price 60-70% 60-70%
Mining Truck797
Large DozerD11 & D10
(1) Includes rebuilt machines (2) YTD ended Sep 30, 2016
797 Age Profile
Popu
latio
n
Estimated age in 2016
At Dec 2016
Mining80%
Non-mining20%
South America Product Support
Revenue(2)
Innovate: Digital Strategy
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Customer Benefits
Valuable insights and visibility
Increased fleet uptime
Lower owning and operating costs
Improved equipment performance
Omni-channel choice
Finning Opportunities
Deeper customer and market insights
Additional revenue growth opportunities
Lower cost to serve
Deeper customer relationship and loyalty
Competitive advantage
E-Commerce: Omni-Channel Choice
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(2) Parts purchases from Finning as a percentage of total parts opportunity
(1) Caterpillar study covering 11,700 e-commerce and integratedprocurement customers between 2010-2014
Customer Parts Share(2)
Transaction Cost
11 points
E-COMMERCE - Parts(1)
Online Parts Revenue (% of total)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2013 2014 2015 2016
CASE STUDYCanada - Top 10 Construction Customer
Online Parts Revenue Projections% of total
0%
10%
20%
30%
2016 2019 E
Benefits
Cost savings - customer and Finning
Analytics - improved visibility into customer needs
Customer loyalty
up 10points
Connected Assets
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(1) Parts purchases from Finning as a percentage of total parts opportunity(2) Caterpillar study covering >37,000 connected customers vs 174,000
non-connected between 2010 and 2013
Drive Parts Share(1)
~10 points(2)
Enable Performance
Solutions
14%
40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2013 2016
Connected Machines (%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2013 2016
Parts Market Share
Connected
Customer Parts Share(1)
CAT machines (2013 vs 2016)
Connected + service contract
17 points
24 points
CASE STUDYBolivia - Connected Assets
Insights drive improved equipment performance, market visibility, and lower costs
Connected Assets Projections% of total population(3)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E
(3) Assumes constant numbers of active equipment population
Performance Solutions
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Performance Metrics Customer Benefits
Operator events ↓ 23%
Fuel burn ↓ 13%
Carbon impact ↓ 575,000 CO2
Saleable product output ↑ 9.5%
Tonnes per hour ↑ 22%
Cost per tonne ↓ 31%
Mixed Fleet 100% Caterpillar
CASE STUDYUK - Large Quarrying Customer
Technology to maximize machine productivity on job sites
~15 %
Revenue GrowthCAGR (2013 – 2016E)Predictive analytics drive improved
maintenance and increased productivity
Key Data & Services Customer Benefits
Hours and location Tracking by job site and fleet; security Invoice automation
Utilization, fuel and production
Idle time and fuel consumption Asset optimization and fleet production
Machine health Preventative maintenance Lower operating costs
Training and site development
Operator training Haul road analysis
Data analytics Optimization recommendations Site & management performance reporting
Fatigue management Improved safety performance
Financial Projections
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0
50
100
150
2017 2019
Digital Revenue Projections ($m)
E-commerce60%
Performance Solutions
25%
Connected Assets15%
Digital Revenue Drivers
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2017 2019
Digital Spend Projections~80% SG&A / ~20% Capitalized ($m)
EPS Accretive
EPS $(0.02)
Success Based Funding
Resilient business model
Successful execution Reduced cost structure Improved capital discipline Strong free cash flow
2017 priorities Global equipment supply chain Product support growth Rental transformation Profitable market share
Positioned for profitable and capital efficient growth
Strategic focus on digital agenda
Key Takeaways
Page 19