Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149...

19
1H-08 Conference Call 1 Investor Presentation 1H 2008

Transcript of Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149...

Page 1: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 1

Investor Presentation1H 2008

Page 2: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 2

Key Messages in 1H 2008

Competition and Our Responses

Results of Our Responses

Indosat in Full Year 2008: Guidance and Policy

1

2

3

4

Page 3: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

Key Messages in 1H 20081

Page 4: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 4

Key Messages in H1-08

We gain around 8 mio net add subs by adopted marketing strategy through IM3 aggressive promotions (IM3 sejuta nol) to respond the competition in 2Q 2008. With this response we see that our traffic is elastics

Sustainable growth of three lines of business (cellular, fixed data and fixed voice) in revenue and profits

We increased subs market share to be 30% but we realize it takes time to translate into revenue shares

Margin growth is slowing down due aggressive competition leading to higher cost of subs acquisitions and retention

Network roll out is still in line with full year target but to succeed in this intensifying competition, we faced challenged in network capacity.

Page 5: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

Competition and Our Responses2

Page 6: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 6Company’s data and estimates

Wireless market (subscriber market shares)

TSEL48.7%

ISAT30.1%

EXCL21.2%

Hutch & NTS

TLKM

BTELFREN

ISAT

111,5 MioSubs(84%)

GSM

17,8 Mio Subs(16%)

CDMA

Rp.1 on-net and Rp.10 off netXL introduced Rp0.1

TSEL Introduced Rp.0.5 on-net (Simpati PeDe)

41.4%

32.9%21.2%

4.5%

IM3 Sejuta NolMentari Sakti

Page 7: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

Results of Our Responses3

Page 8: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 8

Group: sustainable growth in revenue and margin

Consolidated Revenue

Cellular

Fixed voice

Fixed data

1H2008Rp.bn

YoY Highlight

14.9%8,834.1

EBITDA

6,610.8

1,370.2

853.2

4,413.9

12.1%

34.5%

10.2%

8.9%

higher mobile customer adds offset the decline in ARPM

supported by the growth in three lines of business

growing in wholesale and IPVPN

growing in outgoing traffics and staronesubscriber number

growing but slower due to higher competition. pressure from competition leads to lower EBITDA margin

Net Income 1,055.8 24.9%

EBITDA margin (over gross) 50.0% -2.7%

1H2007Rp.bn

7,690.2

5,897.1

1,018.7

774.4

4,053.0

845.1

52.7%

Page 9: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 9

Cellular: driving revenue with strong subs net adds

cellular revenue growth strong net add In 2008 (000)12% 7,882

•2008 prepaid net add

•2008 postpaid net add

7,668

214

5,897.1

6,610.8

1H 2007 1H 2008

+12.1%

Rp. billion

•prepaid end subs

•postpaid end subs

31,614

813

•total end subs 32,427

•YoY

•YoY

•YoY

65%

-7%

62%

Page 10: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 10

Cellular: strong subs net adds but ARPU and MOU are challenge

cellular revenue growth blended ARPUs12%

•prepaid •postpaid

total data % of ARPU•non sms data % of ARPU 5%

•blended MOU

Rp.37k Rp.202k

Rp.41k

30%

98.1 mnt

5,897.1

6,610.8

1H 2007 1H 2008

+12.1%

Rp. billion

Page 11: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 11

Fixed data: IPVPN and leased circuit are the driver

fixed data revenue growth driver are wholesale leased circuit and IPVPN

35%

wholesale leased circuit growth

•Int’l •domestic137.5% 96%

1,018.7

1,370.2

1H 2007 1H 2008

+34.5%

Rp. billion

IPVPN growth

•LA•IM2 38.3%63.3%

90%

Page 12: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 12

Others, 5%

IPVPN, 20%

Satelite & TV link, 4%

Leased Line, 24%

Internet & VOIP, 30%

Close User Group, 17%

67.5%

6.2%

23.8%

62.7%

0.1%22.8%

Fixed data: Revenue Contribution and Growth

Page 13: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 13

Fixed voice: defend not to decline

fixed voice revenue growth IDD traffics is still growing (million minutes)10%

total traffics

•outgoing

•incoming

216

670774.4

853.2

1H 2007 1H 2008

+10.2%

Rp. billion

26%

885

73%

16%

•YoY

•YoY

Page 14: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 14

Fixed voice: starone is growing steadily

starone subs growth starone blended ARPU65%

•postpaid •prepaid Rp.23kRp.107k

Rp.27k

•prepaid end subs

•postpaid end subs

750k

45k

•total end subs 795k

•YoY

•YoY

•YoY

65%

65%

62%

•fighting brand with costs are already sunks

Page 15: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 15

QTEL

Indosat new shareholding structure

• Indonesian Government owns 14.29%, including Series A share• Indosat’s shares are majority owned by public investors (44.90%). They have been listed in

IDX and NYSE for more than 10 years.• QTEL has Purchased 100% shares of ICLM & ICLS from AMH, since June 22, 2008 where

ICLM and ICLS are owner of 40.81% of Indosat Shares.

ICLM

44.90% 14.29%

39.96%

ICLS

0.85%

Public Government of Indonesia

100%

Page 16: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 16

3 , 0 0 0

4 , 0 0 0

5 , 0 0 0

6 , 0 0 0

7 , 0 0 0

8 , 0 0 0

9 , 0 0 0

10 ,000

11,000

12 ,000

JAN 07 Feb-07Mar-07 Apr-07 May-

07

Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07Oct-07 Nov-07Dec-07 Dec-07 Feb-08Mar-08 Apr-08 May-

08

Jun-08

5 0 0

1 0 0 0

1500

2 0 0 0

2 5 0 0

3 0 0 0

ISAT IHSG

Market performance

IDX

IND

EX

SH

AR

E P

RIC

E

Page 17: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

Indosat in Full Year 2008: Guidance and Policy4

Page 18: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

1H-08 Conference Call 18

New 2008 guidance adjusted in line with industry momentum

grow total revenue grow cellular revenue

target subscriber (net add )

target EBITDA margin (over gross)

13%-15% ; 10%-12%

around 12 million subs

48%-52%

ARPU decline 20%-25%

Fixed Voice Telecom Revenue 8%-12%

Fixed Data Revenue 30%-35%

At least 18% ; At least 20%

around 8 million subs

52%-54%

15%-20%

10%-15%

15%-20%

Capex Plan(85% will be dedicated for cellular expansion)

US$ 1.4 billionUS$ 1.2 billion

Previous New

Page 19: Investor Presentation 1H 2008 - Indosat...Corporate Presentation 2Q - 2008.ppt Author: 54780149 Created Date: 9/2/2008 2:08:25 PM ...

Thank You