Investor Day – Bologna, 13 th June 2003 CORPORATE DIVISION 2003-2006 STRATEGIC PLAN Pietro Modiano...
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Transcript of Investor Day – Bologna, 13 th June 2003 CORPORATE DIVISION 2003-2006 STRATEGIC PLAN Pietro Modiano...
Investor Day – Bologna, 13th June 2003
CORPORATE DIVISION
2003-2006 STRATEGIC PLAN
Pietro Modiano Head of Corporate Division
2
Executive summary
The Corporate Division
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa (UBI)
UniCredit Banca Mobiliare (UBM)
Conclusions
AGENDA
3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Considerablegrowthpotential forthe CorporateDivision
The Corporate Division: a network of specialised banks
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa (UBI): fully dedicated to Corporates, Small and Medium Enterprises
UBI: high potential for low cost and low risk growth thanks to large client coverage, but low share of wallet
A new organisational structure to take advantage of the interaction between lending and commission revenues
Risk control systems based on the full implementation of the Basel II guidelines
UBM’s new challenge: to extend Corporate Finance value added products and services to Small and Medium Enterprises
4
Executive Summary
The Corporate Division
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa (UBI)
UniCredit Banca Mobiliare (UBM)
Conclusions
AGENDA
5
THE CORPORATE DIVISION’S IDENTITY CARD: KEY PLAYERS…
The Investment Bank: derivatives, investment banking, relationship with large groups
The Corporate Bank:the focal point of the system
Project financing and acquisition finance expertise.
Specialised in mid-term lending
The leader in the leasing market in Italy
Corporate Division
6
…AND KEY FIGURES
(Euro mln) C/I
Other companies
Number of employees 5,866
Revenues Net Income
Loans
1,723 585 40,954 29.1%
586 239 - 28.1%
175 41 8,576 30.4%
162 7 1,995 -
88 15 5,322 50.6%
TOTAL
Divisional ROE 19.4%
Divisional RARORAC 11.1%
2,734 887 56,846 32.6%
2002 data
Foreign Branches’ loans (Euro mln) 4,081
7
Executive Summary
The Corporate Division
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa (UBI)
UniCredit Banca Mobiliare (UBM)
Conclusions
AGENDA
8
UBI: THE FOCAL POINT OF THE CORPORATE DIVISION
(Euro mln) RevenuesLoans
4,990 92Largest 42 groups
Other Corporates: turnover > 50 mln Euro
SMEs
Public sector and others
Total
21,489
210
1,119
5,174
39,103 (*)
168
1,589(**)
7,450
UBI is the bank dedicated to Corporates, Small and Medium Enterprises
UBI has relationships with all the Division’s customers
72% of the Corporate Division lending is concentrated in UBI. Of this, 55% goes to SMEs
2002 data
Source: UBI calculations on internal data, using Italian Credit Bureau definitions
(*) To ensure comparability with the banking system data, the data reported are from the Credit Bureau(**) Excluding free capital and other income
9
A SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH
Low share of wallet(*): the high degree of client coverage
is counterbalanced by a limited share of wallet
High degree of client coverage(*): almost full client
coverage in historical areas. Room for the acquisition of
new clients in selected, rich, areas
Room for rationalisation of the client base: large number of
clients, with unexploited potential, high concentration of revenues,
low risk profile
(*) Client coverage refers to the number of UBI clients with outstanding loans, according to Italian Credit Bureau, relative to an estimate of the total number of corporate enterprises. Share of wallet refers to the ratio between the amount of UBI outstanding loans and the banking system outstanding loans on the same customers.
10
UBI core customers (non financial enterprises with a turnover of at least 1.5 mln Euro) are around 55,000 and represent 46,6% of the total corporate market
Out of these: around 40,000 have outstanding loans
As regards non financial enterprises:
Room for rationalisation: a) client base
A BANK WITH A VERY LARGE NUMBER OF CLIENTS (COVERING ALMOST 50% OF THE TOTAL NON-FINANCIAL ENTERPRISE SECTOR )…
Source: UBI calculations on internal data
(*) UBI active clients are those who have generated, as of December 2002, total revenues of at least 500 Euro.
UBI total client base: 54.657
(75,6% of system total loans)
UBI active clients (*): 45.433
(83,1% UBI total client base)
UBI clients with outstanding loans:
40.095
(88,3% UBI active clients)
Good customer mix: the bank’s clients have larger loan exposure than the system’s average
11
The top 10% of UBI core customers generates:
over 60% of total outstanding loans
over 50% of UBI’s total revenues
over 50% of commission margins (net of derivatives)
The top 10% is fairly well distributed among large, medium and small enterprises
I Decile 52.4%
Total revenues (%)
Outstanding loans (%)
63.7%
Number of clients
5,466
II Quartile
I Quartile
III Quartile
Total
IV Quartile
75.1%
17.7%
6.7%
0.6%
100%
81.9%
12.9%
4.3%
0.9%
100%
13,664
54,657
13,664
13,664
13,664
Source: UBI calculations on internal data
Room for rationalisation: b) revenues concentration
…A HIGHLY CONCENTRATED REVENUE STREAM
12
The total amount of loans of UBI customers, either with UBI or with other banks, represents 75% of total loans
In historical areas the lending coverage increases to around 90%
Room for further growth in coverage remains in some rich areas, such as Lombardy, and in some provinces in the North East
UBICore
Clients
Totalmarket
Client coverage
Lending coverage
(*)
Lombardy
Southern Italy
10,020
5,641
…except in Lombardy…
…except in the South
34,688 28.9%
Total 54,657 117,321 46.6% 75.6%
66.4%
15,772 35.8% 57.7%
(*) Lending coverage refers to the amount of total outstanding loans of UBI customers (both towards UBI and other banks) relative to the total stock of outstanding loans on the corporate market.
Source: UBI calculations on internal data and Credit Bureau data
High degree of client coverage
UBI’S CORE CUSTOMER BASE REPRESENTS OVER 75% OF THE BANKING SYSTEM’S TOTAL OUSTANDING LOANS…
13
UBI’s share of wallet is 5.5% in large groups and 11.2% in Corporates and SMEs
This is a reflection of Italy’s well-known phenomenon of multiple banking counterparties, especially among large enterprises
Largest 42 groups
Total non-financial enterprises
(with largest 42 groups)
Other Corporates: turnover > 50 mln Euro
Share of wallet
10.2%
5.5%
8.4%
Total non-financial enterprises (without largest 42 groups)
11.2%
Source: UBI calculations on internal data, using Italian Credit Bureau definitions
Share of wallet
…WITH A 10.2% SHARE OF WALLET IN LENDING…
14
The weighted average of ratings (weighted by total loans), computed on Italy’s Centrale dei Bilanci rating scale, is 4.9 for UBI versus 5.1 estimated for the system
UBI appears to be under-represented in the higher-risk classes
Source: UBI estimates on Centrale dei Bilanci data
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Banking system (weightedaverage of ratings: 5.1)
UBI (weighted average ofratings: 4.9)
…AND A BETTER RISK PROFILE THAN THE SYSTEM
15
GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR LOW COST AND LOW RISK GROWTH
UBI has a unique opportunity to increase its market share at low costs, maintaining a low risk profile for its portfolio
This can be achieved through an increase in the share of wallet of a selection of existing customers and through a limited increase in the number of clients in selected areas
Source: UBI calculations on internal data and Credit Bureau data
10.2% avg. share of wallet on core non-financial customers
HIGH SHARE OF WALLET
(>11%)
MEDIUM SHARE OF WALLET
(9-11%)
LOW SHARE OF WALLET
(<9%)
LOW CLIENT COVERAGE
(<30%)
MEDIUM CLIENT COVERAGE
(30-55%)
HIGH CLIENT COVERAGE
(>55%)
TRENTINO AA FRIULI VG VENETO
EMILIA R
TOSCANA
PUGLIA
SARDEGNA
PIEMONTE
V. AOSTA
MARCHE
MOLISE
LOMBARDIA
UMBRIA
CAMPANIA
BASILICATA
SICILIA
LIGURIA LAZIO
ABRUZZO
CALABRIA
16
A new organisational structure designed to:
provide relationship managers with standardised products for all customers
for a growing number of selected clients, develop a full range of high-value added products and services, to acquire the role of main relationship bank, so as to maximise the interaction between interest and commission revenues and maintain a premium price in loans…
… under the constraint of unchanged risk exposure. Risk control will be based on full implementation of Basel II guidelines
Significant expansion in lending to SMEs through:
increased share of wallet in existing customer base
increased client coverage in selected regions/provinces
Stability in lending to large groups, exploiting selected opportunities
MAIN OBJECTIVES: LENDING VOLUME EXPANSION THROUGH AN INCREASE IN THE SHARE OF WALLET IN EXISTING CUSTOMERS TO LEVERAGE THE INTERACTION BETWEEN LENDING AND COMMISSION REVENUES
17Source: UBI calculations on internal data and Italian Credit Bureau
47.7% 30.0% 10.7%
A STATISTICAL RELATION BETWEEN UBI SHARE OF WALLET IN LENDING AND UBI TOTAL REVENUES
UBI Total Revenues/System Lending
UBI customers % in each share of wallet range
Share of wallet in lending
The share of wallet which maximises the revenues is around 14% (relative to today’s 10%)
18
Light, localised, specialised
The local relationship manager maintains a central role
Based on the interaction between relationship manager and product specialist
The product specialists are part of four ‘product factories’
Client needs are analysed through a complex ‘Corporate Financial Planning’ system, highly quantitative, currently being piloted on a number of branches
Source: UBI internal data
A NEW ORGANISATIONAL STRUCTURE: EFFECTIVE INTERACTION BETWEEN RELATIONSHIP MANAGERS AND PRODUCT SPECIALISTS…
Corporate Finance
Derivatives
Foreign services
Transaction services
Total
Relationship managers
14
64
22
108
208
887
Product specialists
19
Derivatives
Acquisition of new customers through the development of new financial risk management solutions
Consolidation of current customer base
Customers’ increase: from 13,600 to around
20,000
Foreign services
Share of wallet increase in enterprises with significant foreign business relations
Synergies with the New Europe Banks
Commissions’ CAGR: 16.6%
Corporate finance
Market share growth in an area where global houses are currently in a leading position
Delivery of value-added products, traditionally reserved to large corporates, to SMEs
Generation of 4 bn loans
Transaction services
Increase in product range, customer base and transaction flows
Customers: up 14%
Transaction flows: up 39%
ActionsProduct Factories
Three-year plan target
…LEADING TO EXCELLENCE IN VALUE-ADDED PRODUCTS DESIGNED BY UBI ‘PRODUCT FACTORIES’…
20
The Centre of the DivisionProject Financing
Corporate Finance The Retail Bank
The Leasing Co. of the Group
New Europe Banks
and
International Network
...AND BY A NUMBER OF SPECIALISED COMPANIES, FULLY EXPLOITING THE DIVISION AND GROUP SYNERGIES
21
UBI intends to strengthen the existing methodologies for credit risk analysis – including the introduction of the main features of the Basel II model - by the end of 2003
The risk analysis models will become an essential evaluation system also at the commercial level in order to optimise, for each counterparty, the interaction between the amount of lending, the interest rate applied and the commission margins generated
Loan loss provisions will be computed on a forward looking basis through the analysis of each single counterparty evaluated according to the Group’s internal rating model
Calculation of loan loss provisions are based on a probability of default which, after a slight deterioration for cyclical reasons in 2003, is expected to improve to 1.32%, by the end of the period. The LGD is assumed to be around 45%
RISK CONTROL BASED ON FULL IMPLEMENTATION OF BASEL II GUIDELINES
System PD data (estimated on the basis of the decaying rates – tassi di decadimento Banca d’Italia –) are adjusted by a scale factor to ensure comparability with UBI internal data, which include all doubtful loans and not just NPLs.
Source: UBI preliminary estimations on internal data and Bank of Italy data
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2002 2006
System average PD UBI average PD
1,94
1,58
1,93
1,32
22
In 2003 the successful interaction between relationship managers and product specialists will lead to an increase in :
Derivatives revenues: +31% Foreign Transactions revenues: +12%
Progress in credit risk modelling
UBI TARGETS
(Euro mln) 2002
Net interest income
Net non interest income
Total revenues
Operating income
Cost Income RATIO, %
Loans
Cagr02-06
39,103(*) 9.7%
1,160
562
8.7%
10.7%
1,723 9.4%
1,222 10.8%
29.1% 25.2%(**)
3 yrs targets
Longer-term
targets
Lending coverage
Share of wallet
Net non interest income/ net interest income
Average rating (CeBi) stable
15%
~80%
stable
From 11% to 13%
From 76% to 81%
From 49% to 53%
~60%
Source: UBI estimates on internal data (*) To ensure comparability with the banking system data, the data reported are from the Credit Bureau(**) End of period figure
23
Executive Summary
The Corporate Division
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa (UBI)
UniCredit Banca Mobiliare (UBM)
Conclusions
AGENDA
24
UBM: THE INVESTMENT BANK OF THE GROUP
The Risk Average daily VaR (99% confidence level, 1-day holding period) below €4 mln over the
last two years
The Role in the Division UBM is the product factory and risk
taking unit for corporate derivatives sold by UBI network
UBM brings skills and expertise in investment banking to UBI clients
Total Revenues
Cost / Income
Net Income
2002
586
28.1%
239
The History Conceived in 1997 A Division of Credito Italiano Finance in 1998 Born officially as a bank on 1 January 2000 Appointed in 2001 to manage the relationship with large corporate customers
%ch.
02/01
44%
-600 bp
66%
(Euro mln)
25
FOCUS ON RISK CONTROL
- 6
- 4
- 2
0
2
4
6
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
UBM Daily VAR and P&L (Jan. 2002 - Apr. 2003)
Market Risk:
Development of proprietary pricing models with increasing degree of complexity and sophistication
Deployment of an enterprise-wide parallel computing and skew/smile pricing
Daily back-testing, stress tests and crash tests
Daily monitoring of VaR figures at all relevant levels (single position, portfolio, desk, area, firm)
Counterparty Risk:
Exposure to large, institutional players
Daily Risk Measurement through Counterparty’s Portfolio Analysis
Measurement methods take full advantage of market risk techniques
Use of credit risk mitigation tools (netting and collateral agreements)
26
ORGANIZATIONAL CHART: THE TWO MAIN LINES OF BUSINESS
UBM
Financial Products Sales and Trading Investment Banking
Derivative Products
FX and Treasury
Bond Trading and
Sales
Equity Brokerage
Structured Finance and Syndication
Debt Orig. and
SecuritizationM&A
Equity Capital Markets
Successful business model:
innovative, complex and sophisticated offer of financial products (i. e.: derivatives) to mid-sized clients
core skills in hedging and trading
excellence in managing financial and operational risks
industrial approach: high volumes, “slim” structures
UBM’s direct relationship with Italy’s 42 largest industrial groups, providing advisory and services in the area of Corporate Finance
Joint activity of UBM and UBI to offer the same services to mid-sized corporate clients
Loans are always booked in UBI
27
THE BUSINESS SYSTEM IN FINANCIAL PRODUCT SALES AND TRADING
Understand potential customer needs (market intelligence)
Transform needs and ideas into products, check compliance and systems (New Product Committee)
Implement the operational processes (software modules for pricing, hedging and risk management, accounting and regulatory reporting)
Train UBI and the Group’s sales force
Design phase
Roll out of business and operational processes
Apply risk management
Refine and improve the process
Deployment
Daily quality control
Systematic portfolio measurement and assessment
Pro-active management of customer portfolio liabilities
After sales support
28
UBI AND UBM WORKING TOGETHER ON CORPORATE FINANCE
UBI:
understanding of needs, day to day relationship management
source of market intelligence, scouting and prospecting on the large scale
lending and other financing services when needed
UBM:
core skills, specialized teams, experience coming from its activity for Large Corporate clients
structuring and executing
agent bank for the more complex structures
THE MECHANICS OF COOPERATION
29
STRATEGIC PLAN IS A MIX OF CONSOLIDATION, GROWTH AND EXPORT OF THE BUSINESS MODEL TO OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
Investment Banking
Large Corporate:
Growth based on products and services with higher added value: M&A, Structured Finance, Advisory
Slight increase of market share in debt origination, especially through securitization
Medium Corporate:
Significant increase in Corporate Finance products and services, originally tailored to large corporate clients, mainly due to UBM/UBI synergies
Build focused products: analyse customers by size, sector and location
Financial Products Sales and Trading Consolidation of UBM position on domestic primary
and secondary markets
International growth: export UBM business model to other European countries, building JV companies with local partners
IKB-UBM already established (German market) two more start-ups likely to come in the next
three years
Total Revenues
2002
586 12.6%
Cost / Income 27.9%*28.1%
Operating Income 422 12.7%
Cagr02-06
(*) End of period figure
(Euro mln)
30
Executive Summary
The Corporate Division
UniCredit Banca d’Impresa - UBI
UniCredit Banca Mobiliare - UBM
Conclusions
AGENDA
31
THE CORPORATE DIVISION: TARGETS
(*) End of period figure
(Euro mln)2002 Cagr
02-06
Loans
Total Revenues
Operating Income
Cost Income RATIO, %
RARORAC, %
Economic Capital
Expansion through share of wallet increase
Leveraging on cross-selling opportunities and
synergies within the Division
High returns, low costs relative to sector peers
56,846
2,734
1,842
32.6%
11.1%
4,567
9.0%
9.9%
11.5%
28.7%(*)
11.6%(*)
9.0%