Investement Opportunity in Power Sector in Bihar and Jharkhand

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    INTROCUCTION:-

    Continued growth of Indian economy will depend on large-scale investments in its energy sector.

    As per the planning commissions estimates, India needs an installed capacity of 1200 GW by

    2020 which is 7 times the existing capacity, to sustain the future economic growth. India has an

    installed capacity of around 163669.80 MW as on 31 July 2010(CEA). The Central PowerSector Utilities and the state utilities have not been able to match up to the requirement. Most of

    the previous plan targets have been missed and the government is now expecting the private

    sector to support in the future generation and transmission capacity additions. Various policy

    level initiatives for facilitating private investments in power sector has been introduced post the

    notification of Electricity Act 2003. There have been significant capacity additions in the past

    few years. While the total transmission line length (220 kV and above) increased at a CAGR of

    6.64% during the past three years, total transmission transformation capacity (220 kV and above)

    grew at a CAGR of 4.87%.

    With over 75% of coal reserves and 45% of countrys hydro-

    electricity potential located in the eastern and north-eastern states of India, these states can

    transform themselves into a power hub for India. To achieve this goal, the state governments of

    these states should initiate and sustain policy measures to attract investments. Considering the

    fact that development of infrastructure, especially in these parts of India, will be always

    associated with socio-political issues e.g. acquisition of land (including forest land) and

    displacement of people (including indigenous tribes), the policy and support measures of the

    Central and State Governments should also address these issues for faster implementation of

    projects. Further, since any development in the generation and transmission sub-transmission

    infrastructure can only be sustained through continuous cash-flow from end consumers, adequate

    focus needs to be given to the strengthening of the distribution sector through administrative and

    management reforms, the Central Government sponsored schemes such as the R-APDRP, and

    development of the human resources through appropriately designed training and development

    programs.

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    ALL INDIA GENERATING INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) (As on 31-07-10)

    POWER SCENERIO OF BIHAR:-

    Following the separation of Jharkhand in the year 2000,

    which saw a majority of the generation assets getting transferred to Jharkhand, Bihar was left

    with only two thermal power stations at Barauni and Muzaffarpur, both in a dilapidated

    condition and generated almost no electricity The state has an installed capacity of 590 MW and

    has a share of 1,379 MW in the Central Sector Generating Stations. In 2008-09 the state

    experienced a 1,726 MU (16.4%) energy shortage and a 509 MW (27.6%) peak demand deficit.

    This energy shortage has lead to wide-scale rationing of power to all categories of consumers.

    Reform and restructuring of the sector has been initiated and independent Regulatory

    Commission BERC has been constituted in May 2005. Bihar has been the second fastest growing

    economy with economy growing more than 11% in 2008-09. However, this growth needs to be

    seen in the context of low base and the State has a long way to go to catch up with other

    developed states. Future, investment and growth in the power sector would be pre-requisite for

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    sustaining the economic growth and also improving the socio-economic conditions of people in

    the state.

    INSTALLED CAPACITY (MG) as on 31 March 2008 of BIHAR

    HYDRO DIESEL NUCLEAR

    THERMAL

    RENEWABLE

    ENERGY

    SOURCE

    TOTAL

    STATE 540.00 540.00 50.40 594.40

    PRIVATE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    CENTRAL 1306.59 1306.59 73.00 0.00 1379.59

    SUB

    TOTAL

    1846.59 1846.59 73.00 50.40 1969.99

    (Source: TERI 2009)

    Installed Capacity (MW)

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    Source: 2001 Census, CEA,

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    POWER SUPPLY POSITION IN BIHAR

    During the year 2006-07, Bihar faced energy and peak

    power shortages of 8.1% and 16.9%, respectively. During April-May, 2007, the state had energy

    shortage of 7.9% and peak deficit of 12.2%. Considering actual capacity addition of 21180 MW

    in the 10th Plan and proposed capacity addition of 78577 MW in the country in the 11th Plan,

    the anticipated power supply position has been worked out. It is expected that at the end of 11th

    Plan though the country by and large will be able to meet its energy requirement and peak

    demand, Bihar may face energy & peak shortage of about 41% and 58%, respectively.

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    THERMALPOWER STATIONS INSTALLED IN BIHAR IN STATE SECTOR:-

    At present, Barauni (2x50 + 2x110 MW) and Muzaffarpur

    (2x110 MW) are two Thermal Power Stations in Bihar in State Sector. A meeting was held under

    chairpersonship of Principal Adviser, in Planning Commission GoI, on 10.05.2005 regarding

    Residual Life Assessment (RLA)/ R&M of all units of Barauni TPS and of Muzaffarpur TPS

    under Rashtriya Sam Vikas Yojna (RSVY). A sum of Rs. 75 crores was released to BHEL by

    Ministry of Power / Planning Commission, as advance payment for the above R&M works,

    during the year 2005-2006 for both the power stations. A sum of Rs. 120 Crores was also

    released to BHEL by MoP/ Planning Commission as advance payment for the R&M works

    during the year 2006-07 for both power stations.

    HYDRO ELECTRIC DEVELOPMENT IN BIHAR

    As per the Reassessment of Hydro Electric Potential of the

    Country, carried out by Central Electricity Authority (CEA) during 1978-87, the Hydro Electric

    potential in Bihar is assessed at 60 MW at 60 % load factor. The corresponding probable

    installed capacity of these schemes is estimated at about 70 MW. As on 1.8.2006, 64.1% of the

    total potential in terms of installed capacity has been developed and 35.9% of the potential

    remains yet to be developed.

    Following six hydro stations with an aggregate installed capacity of 46.1. MW is in operationin Bihar:

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    PENDING HYDRO SCHEMES

    TRANSMISSION SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT:-

    To strengthen the sub transmission and

    distribution system in Bihar a comprehensive scheme for strengthening of sub transmission

    system was formulated under Rashtriya Sam Vikas Yojana for Bihar in consultation with BSEB.

    The scheme is funded through central assistance under the Special Plan for Bihar component of

    Rashtriya Sam Vikas Yojana. The total scheme has been envisaged to be implemented in phases

    as under:

    i)Bihar Sub-transmission Scheme Phase-1

    ii) Bihar Sub-transmission Scheme Phase-2, Part-1

    iii) Bihar Sub-transmission Scheme Phase-2, Part-2

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    BIHAR SUB TRANSMISSION SCHEME PHASE-I

    Bihar sub transmission scheme phase-I (approved

    estimated cost Rs. 526.28 crores) involves construction of 18 no (2 no 220 kV, 15 no 132 kV

    and 1 no 33 kV) new substation, bay extension works at 12 no 220/132 kV existing substations

    of BSEB and construction of 1240 ckt km (220 kV 170 ckm, 132 kV -1030 ckm and 33 kV- 40

    ckm) transmission line. Details are at Annex-III. Implementation of the scheme is being done by

    PGCIL on behalf of BSEB and the same has been completed.

    BIHAR SUB-TRANSMISSION SCHEME PHASE-2, PART-1

    Phase-II, Part-I of the scheme at an estimated cost of

    Rs 629.22 crores was approved by BSEB in May 2006 The scope of works included works to be

    implemented by PGCIL on behalf of BSEB and certain works to be implemented by BSEB.

    Subsequently, BSEB has requested for inclusion of certain additional scope under the scheme to

    be implemented by POWERGRID. Details of the scope of works including additional scope are

    as per Annex-IV. The scheme is under implementation and as per PGCIL some of the contracts

    for major Transmission Lines and Road Map for Development of Power Sector in Bihar A

    Report of the Special Task Force on Bihar 39 Sub-Station packages have already been awarded

    and for balance packages bids have been received/ NIT have been issued. PGCIL have also

    submitted revised cost estimate of Rs 1005.72 crores including cost for additional scope of works

    for approval.

    BIHAR SUB-TRANSMISSION SCHEME PHASE-2, PART-2

    Feasibility cum Detailed project Report at an estimated

    cost of Rs 1240.86 crores has been prepared and submitted by PGCIL for approval. Details of the

    scope of works covered under Phase-2, Part-2 are at Annex-V. Implementation of the scheme is

    proposed to be taken up after completion of Phase-2, part-I of the scheme. 36. After the

    implementation of the above schemes sub-transmission requirements of Bihar would generally

    be adequate for meeting the increased load requirements for the next three to four years.

    However, depending upon areas/pockets of future load growth certain sub-transmission

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    strengthening works and augmentation of transformation capacity at 220/132/66/33 KV may be

    required for which BSEB would need to assess their requirements and take further necessary

    action.

    ELECTRICITY DEMAND FOR BIHAR STATE:-

    Final report of the 17th Electric Power Survey

    Committee includes electricity demand & energy of Bihar for the year 2011-12 as 3607 MW and

    19905 MU, respectively and in the year 2016-17 as 5598 MW and 32857 MU, respectively. This

    gives a CAGR of about 19% in energy consumption which is very high and extremely optimistic.

    ACCELERATED POWER DEVELOPMENT AND REFORMS PROGRAMME

    The Government of India approved during 2000-01

    a scheme called Accelerated Power Development Program (APDP) - now rechristened as

    Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Program (APDRP) to provide systematic finance

    to enable SEBs/Utilities to take up distribution sector reform. APDRP has been formulated to

    finance specific projects for up gradation of sub-transmission and distribution (ST&D) network.

    Under this programme strengthening of distribution system has been taken up to improve the

    quality and reliability of power supply and reduce T&D losses. In Bihar, APDRP schemes

    broadly cover following works:

    i. Establishment of new power sub-stations;

    ii. Installation of consumer and feeder metering;

    iii. Re-conducting of over loaded 33 and 11 kV lines;

    iv. Renovation and modernization (R&M) of power sub-station (33/11 kV) and distribution

    Transformers;

    v. Installation of new distribution transformers (DTs) and augmentation of existing DTs; and

    vi. Computerization of various functions in distribution systems and implementation of DMS,

    Supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system for PESU (Patna).

    STATUS OF RURAL ELECTRIFICATION

    Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojna: Central Govt. has launched a new scheme

    Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) of Rural Electricity Infrastructure and

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    Household Electrification on 4th April, 2005 for providing access to electricity to all

    households in the country in five years. As per the report prepared by CEA on monthly basis, the

    present position of Rural Electrification in Bihar (as on 31 March 2007)is shown below:

    Total number of villages 39,015

    Total no of villages

    electrified

    20,620

    Percentage electrified 52.9%

    (Source: TERI 2009)

    In 2007/08 also there is power deficit in Bihar, required meter unit is 9155, and available meter

    unit is 7933 so there is -13.3 %( TERI 2009)

    SURGING DEMAND IN FUTURE:

    Demand for power in the state is expected to surge with

    accelerated electrification of villages and households under the RGGVY (Rajiv Gandhi Gramin

    Vidyutikaran Yojana) scheme, and peak demand is expected to increase by 500% in 2021-22.

    Governments policies to promote industrial activity will increase industrial consumption. It is

    estimated that at the end of 11th plan (FY 2012), state will have an energy shortage of 8150 MU

    (41%) and peak deficit of 2073 MW (58%). Thus there is an urgent need to look for additionalgeneration capacity to meet this rising demand and an opportunity for potential investors.

    INADEQUATE PRIVATE SECTORPARTICIPATION IN POWER SECTOR:

    Bihars power sector, in the past, remained unattractive for private

    sector participation because of the lack of strong administrative and policy support by the

    Government to create an amicable investment climate, including addressing issues related to law

    & order, acquisition of land, rehabilitation of displaced people etc. The Government of Bihar hastaken few steps, including certain policy measures, to address the concerns of private investors.

    Some of the key initiatives are:

    a) Assistance to developers in obtaining all initial consents/clearances for the development of

    power projects through the State Investment Promotion Board (SIPB).

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    b) Permission to sell up to 50 per cent of the power generated outside the state

    c) Promotion of captive power generation by industries using any of their waste, by-product or

    similar substances like biogases-based cogeneration in the sugarcane industry these measures are

    expected to gradually increase the investment flow. However, the sustainability would depend on

    the implementation success achieved by the early investments.

    INVESTEMENT OPPORTUNITY FORPRIVATE PLAYERS:-

    Government of Bihar is now encouraging private

    player to participate in power generation, transmission and distribution. Also there is huge

    demand of power in Bihar, to fulfill the need of (Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyutikaran Yojana) and

    Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Program (APDRP). Government is also focusing

    on industrial sector. So investment opportunity in the field of power in Bihar is huge.

    POWER SCENERIO OF JHARKHAND:-

    With the reorganization of the state into two smaller

    states, Jharkhand was endowed with mineral and industry rich belt along with the major share of

    installed power capacity. Since then the government of Jharkhand has decided to take quantum

    jumps in generating capacity addition and today the state has total installed capacity of 1394

    MW and MoU for more than 15000 MW (including one UMPP at Tilaiya) has been signed.

    Although the state has performed well in capacity addition front some of the problems it has

    inherited from the parent state like high AT&C losses, low PLF and poor network condition is

    proving to be deterrent for the development of sector. The availability of coal in abundance

    makes Jharkhand an ideal state for setting up thermal power plants. A large number of new steel

    plants are coming up in the region with their own captive generation facility.

    EXISTING POWER SUPPLY AND POSITION

    Presently the load demand of Jharkhand is met by six utilities namely JSEB, TVNL, NTPC,

    DVC, NHPC and Tata Power. JSEB meets the requirement by generating from its power plant

    and bulk purchase of power from DVC, NTPC, TVNL and NHPC. In DVC licensed area JSEB

    has its own Distribution System. The state has also been allocated share of about 134 MW in

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    Central Sector Power Stations. The total installed capacity of the state is 1390 MW. The

    maximum peak load and minimum load under JSEB command are 507 MW and 258 MW

    respectively.

    INSTALLED CAPACITY (MG) as on 31 March 2008 of Jharkhand

    HYDRO DIESEL NUCLEAR

    THERMAL

    RENEWABLE

    ENERGY

    SOURCE

    TOTAL

    STATE 1260.00 1260.00 130.00 4.50 1394.00

    PRIVATE 360.OO 360.00 0.00 0.00 360.00

    CENTRAL 352.00 352.00 46.00 0.00398.52

    SUB

    TOTAL

    1972.52 1972.52 176.00 4.05 2152.57

    (SOURCE: TERI year book 2009)

    Installed Capacity (MW)

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    With 31% village electrification, the State has one of the lowest electricity access levels in thecountry. The progress under RGGVY scheme also has been slow. The socio-economic

    development of the state would be dependent on the pace of household electrification. Large

    investments in augmenting the sub-transmission and distribution network in the state would be

    required in next few years. Distribution reforms and improving the financial viability would be

    essential to attract investments in generation sector. Jharkhand would be looking to take

    advantage of supply deficits in Western and Northern region states to maximize the benefits from

    sale of electricity outside state. Sale to other states would be dependent on the strengthening of

    the transmission corridors and significant investments is expected in both building intra-state and

    inter-state transmission systems to support the evacuation of large generation capacity addition.

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    SWOT Analysis

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    TRANSMISSION NETWORK: The transmission network is divided into two zones. Under

    each transmission zone there are four transmission circles which functions through divisions and

    sub-division.

    Transmission NetworkZone Ranchi Transmission Zone Dumka Transmission Zone

    CircleRanchi Deoghar

    Jamshedpur Dumka

    DISTRIBUTION NETWORK: Distribution network is divided into five supply areas. The

    supply areas in turn are divided into circles, divisions, sub-divisions and sections. There are

    eleven circles in all.

    Distribution NetworkArea Ranchi Jamshedpur Hazaribagh Dhanbad Dumka

    Circle

    RanchiJamshedpur Hazaribagh Dhanbad Dumka

    Gumla

    Chaibasa Giridih Loyabad DheogharDaltonganj

    Position of the transmission and distribution network of JSEB is as under:

    Voltage CKT( Kms) Capacity (MVA)

    220 KVS/C 135 450

    200 KVD/C 145 450

    132KVS/C 609 978.50

    132KVD/C 329 978.50

    33KV 3346 N.A

    11KV 17663 N.A

    LT 20490 N.A

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    KEY CHALLENGES, ISSUES

    Low access to electricity: The state has very only 31% of the villages electrified against the

    target of 100% by 2012. Faster implementation of RGGVY scheme is needed to achieve

    100%village electrification. Huge investments in sub-transmission and distribution network

    would become through in next few years.

    Socio-political issues: Large part of state has witnessed increased socio-political disturbances

    over the past few years and this has posed problems in acquiring land for projects and safety of

    the workers which has delayed many of the projects. This has also affected coal supply from

    time to time by affecting rail transport infrastructure. Improving the Law and Order position

    would be the biggest challenge for State government to retain and attract the investors coming to

    state.

    Rehabilitation and ResettlementProblems: A lot of multi-national companies have shown

    interest in setting up large industries (mainly in metal and mineral sector) in the state to exploit

    abundant of mineral resources. Most of these projects are facing rehabilitation and resettlement

    problems. Policy initiative facilitating land acquisitions with proper R & R measures would be

    required to expedite the project implementation in both metal and power.

    OPPORTUNITIES FORPRIVATE PLAYERS:-

    The availability of Coal in abundance makes

    Jharkhand an ideal state for setting up Thermal Power Plants at the Coal Pits. With the abolition

    of freight-equalization, there is tremendous cost advantage in setting up thermal power plants at

    the Coal pit itself. The Present total installed power capacity is 2590 MW. In view of future

    requirements NTPC, DVC and State PSUs setting up different plants with total capacity of 4736

    MW. Due to several new investments in manufacturing setups coming up, the demand for Power

    both within the state and the nearby states will increase manifold. There is also scope for setting

    up Hydel power plants. 67 Hydel Power generation sites have been identified for this purpose.

    Government of Jharkhand is also formulating

    policies for growth of power sector and it also encourages private players to participate in the

    process of power sector growth in the state. The steps taken by the govt. are as follows:

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    y The State Government has signed Memorandum of Understanding with Government of

    India as a token of Its commit to the reforms in the power sector as formulated by the

    Union Government, Department of power, on 30.04.2001.

    y Decision has been taken to open the state power sector for private Investment and extend

    all due facilitation and incentive to the investors.

    y The distribution system is planned for privatization at appropriate time.

    y Rural electrification has been accorded top priority. All the 32000 villages are to be

    electrified by the year 2007. Present electrification level is hardly 15%. This will Increase

    the power demand and also scope for power generation through small power schemes

    like small hydro, Biomass, etc.y The work on renovation & modernization of existing power generating station as well as

    transmission and distribution system has already commenced in line with the guidelines

    Issued by Government of India under Accelerated Power Development Reform

    Programme (APDRP) and other schemes of national and International Financial

    Institutions.

    Private sector in distribution: A number of private distribution licensees are already operating

    in the State. The limited distribution investment in past provides an opportunity for private sector

    distribution players to enter this segment. The large scale industrialization in future provides a

    good opportunity for investments in distribution sector.

    Keeping in view the future demand of energy, the country requires doubling its generation by

    2012. This requires a massive investment in the sector and to help the sector, Electricity Act

    2003 provides the lead, by making provision for the private investment to play vital role. For

    economising the cost of generation certain steps will help such as:

    1. Cost of transporting coal will reduce the cost of generation to a great extent.

    2. For thermal power, generation plants can be installed where coal, water and transmission line

    are easily available at cheaper rate.

    3. Cheap land and labour will also reduce the cost of generation.

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    With above points in mind, Jharkhand seems to be an obvious choice for setting up generating

    plants. Jharkhand has about 33% of nation's steam coal reserve, it has water, cheap labour and

    the State Government has promised easy availability of land for setting of plants. Transporting

    coal will be costlier than transmitting energy to any part of the country.

    CONCLUSION:-

    After the separation of Jharkhand from Bihar, it is left

    out with a very small no of power generation capacity because major generation capacity fall

    into the lap of Jharkhand. Now the govt. of Bihar is giving importance on industrialization and it

    has to also fulfill the power requirement mentioned in 11th

    five year plan. It has to also electrify

    its villages under Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY). So there is need and

    the government is also encouraging private sector to participate. Hence the opportunity for

    investment in power sector in Bihar is huge.

    Jharkhand is rich with minerals and coal. So large numbers

    of industries are coming up there and they will require energy. Due to availability of coal in

    abundance if thermal power plants will be established there then cost reduction is possible.

    Government of Jharkhand is also inviting private players to participate in power generation,

    transmission and distribution. So investment opportunity in the state of Jharkhand is huge

    because there is a need and also the availability of natural resources.