Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction...

77
Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 1 Monday, February 25, 13

Transcript of Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction...

Page 1: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction

Björn Wallner

Feb. 25, 2013

1Monday, February 25, 13

Page 2: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Todays topics

• Protein Folding

• Intro Protein structure prediction

• How can we predict the structure of a protein

• How can we tell which part of structure that needs to be improved.

• What can bioinformatics do?

• Finally, perhaps the most significant finding in protein structure prediction research the last 10 years! - The rebirth of correlated mutations.

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Page 3: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

From sequence to structure

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Page 4: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Why do we need structure prediction?

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Page 5: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

DNA sequencing is getting cheap

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Page 6: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

From sequence to structure

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Page 7: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Two main routes

EvolutionComparative Modeling

PhysicsDe Novo prediction

EQLTKCEVFQKLKDLKD....

folding

human

baboon

mouse

cow

Homology Modeling

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Page 8: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Requires only the amino acid sequence

• Assumption: The native fold is the structure with the lowest free energy

• Aim: Find the structure with the lowest free energy

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Page 9: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

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Page 10: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 11: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 12: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 13: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 14: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 15: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 16: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 17: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 18: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 19: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 20: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 21: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 22: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

De Novo Prediction

• Energy function - measure how “good” a certain protein structure is.

• A method to sample different structures.

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

reaction coordinate

ener

gy

9Monday, February 25, 13

Page 23: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

What determines how proteins fold?

• Are protein folding pathways designed into sequences by natural selection?

• Make large random libraries, select out those sequences which fold based on function

• Compare their folding and stability to the starting structure

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Page 24: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

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Page 25: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

What determines the rate of folding?

• If not dependent on details of sequence, perhaps topology of native structure?

• Contact Order: average sequence separation between residues in contact in native structure

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Page 26: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Folding rates correlates with contact order

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Page 27: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

What have we learnt from folding studies?

1. Local interactions bias but do not uniquely determine conformations sampled by short segments of the chain.

2. Folding occurs when local structure segments oriented so as to bury hydrophobic residues, pair beta strands, etc.

3. Stability determined by detailed sidechain-sidechain interactions in folded structure.

4. Folding rates are largely determined by contact order of native structure. Short folding times -> low contact order structures.

5. Native interactions on average stronger/ more consistent than non native interactions -> native minima broader than non native minima.

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Page 28: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Assume distribution of conformations sampled by sequence segment during folding similar to distribution of conformations adopted by segment in protein 3D structures.

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Page 29: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

• 1000-100,000 short simulations to generate a population of 'decoys' • Remove very low contact order structures • Select lowest energy structures • Select broadest minima using cluster analysis

Kim Simons, David Shortle ~1998 16Monday, February 25, 13

Page 30: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Lowest energy structures sampled on independent trajectories

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Page 31: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Lowest energy structures sampled on independent trajectories

lowest energy structures

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Page 32: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Lowest energy structures sampled on independent trajectories

lowest energy structuresnative

structures

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Page 33: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Lowest energy structures sampled on independent trajectories

lowest energy structuresnative

structures

Energy gap

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Page 34: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Native free energy gaps recurrent feature of structure prediction

• Soluble proteins, multimeric proteins, heterodimers, RNAs, membrane proteins, etc.

• Reflection of very large free energy gaps required for existence of single unique native state - think about statistical mechanics! exp(-[energy gap]/(kT))

• Prediction possible because (magnitude of actual free energy gap) >> (error in free energy calculation)

• Challenge: how to sample close to native state?

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Page 35: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Rosetta folding video

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Page 36: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

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Page 37: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Two main routes

EvolutionComparative Modeling

PhysicsDe Novo prediction

EQLTKCEVFQKLKDLKD....

folding

human

baboon

mouse

cow

Homology Modeling

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Page 38: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Protein Evolution - In the Lab

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Page 39: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Protein Evolution - In the vivo

Survival?

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Page 40: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Two related proteins (homologs)

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Page 41: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Two related proteins (homologs)

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Page 42: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Homology modeling

• Assumption: Proteins with high sequence similarity have the same overall structure

• Idea: Look in the PDB _if_ there is a structure with a similar sequence that can be used as starting point (template) for modeling.

• Example: If the human protein (red) is not known and we want to create a model, using the fly protein (yellow) as a template is really good starting point

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Page 43: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Homology modeling

• Assumption: Proteins with high sequence similarity have the same overall structure

• Idea: Look in the PDB _if_ there is a structure with a similar sequence that can be used as starting point (template) for modeling.

• Example: If the human protein (red) is not known and we want to create a model, using the fly protein (yellow) as a template is really good starting point

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Page 44: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Does high sequence similarity <-> similar structure?

0

3

6

9

12

15

0 20 40 60 80 100

sequence similarity (%)

stru

ctur

al s

imila

rity

(ång

strö

ms)

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Page 45: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

“Look” in the PDB

• Perform sequence search against all proteins with known 3D- structure(e.g. BLAST search against PDB, or more sensitive methods like PSI-blast, HHblits or jackhmmer)

• Compare sequences using Sequence Alignment

PDBBLAST

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Page 46: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sequence Alignment

• Maximize the number of positions that are in agreement between two sequences

Sequence U

Sequence V

mismatch

match

indel

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Page 47: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Global or Local Alignment

Global Alignments: LGPSTKDFGKISESREFDN | |||| | | LNQLERSFGKINM-RLEDA Local Alignments: ----------FGKI---------- ||||

----------FGKI----------

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Similar amino acids score higher

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Page 51: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Model Building Steps in Practice

• Find template

• Align target sequence with template

• Generate model:

• add loops

• add side chains

• Refine model

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Page 52: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Modeling Overview

Evaluate the model

Identify related structures(templates)

Align target sequence totemplate structures

Build a model for thetarget sequence

using information from template structures

START

modelOK?

NO

YES

END -0.1

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

QUA

LITY

RESIDUE POSITION

protein model X

TEMPLATE STRUCTURETARGET SEQUENCE

ALIGNMENTTARGET ...SCDKLLDDELDDDIACAKKILAIKGID...TEMPLATE ...SCDKFLDDDITDDIMCAKKILDIKGID...

TARGETMODEL

QUALITYPROFILE

....A

CGHT

KILDIKGIDYWIAHKALCTEKL

FTKC

ELSQ

NLYDIDGY...

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Page 53: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Model Evaluation

• How can we tell if a model is good or bad?

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Page 54: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sometimes it is easy

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Page 55: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sometimes it is _not_ so easy

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Page 56: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sometimes it is _not_ so easy

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Page 57: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sometimes it is _not_ so easy

Native

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Page 58: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Sometimes it is _not_ so easy

Native

85% correct70% correct

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Page 59: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Assessing models in 3D

• Scoring Function

• Sequence-Structure alignment must make sense i 3D.

• Few gaps in secondary structure

• Good strand pairing

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Page 60: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Scoring Function

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Page 61: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Statistical Potentials

• Construct a database of all 20x20 or 21*20/2 amino acid pairs

• Derive a potential using:P(a,b) = exp(-E(a,b)/kT)

• E(a,b)=-kT ln P(a,b)

• Predict a given sequence using the pairwise potentials

a

b

Freq

uenc

y of

X-Y

dis

tanc

e

X-Y distance

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Page 62: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Problem: Many different parameters

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Page 63: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Neural Network Could Make the Decision

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Page 64: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Neural Network Example Output

X

XLower alignment score can be compensated by better pairwise energy

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Page 65: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Neural Network provides Confidence Scores

Low Medium(80%) ‏ High(99%)

Certain(100%)

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Page 66: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

• The structure of a protein is uniquely determined by its amino acid sequenceexcept for:

• prions

• pH, ions, cofactors, chaperones

• Structure is more conserved than sequence

• Sequence -> Structure -> Function

• Possible to infer: Sequence -> Function

Why does homology modeling work?

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Page 67: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Correlation, structure and sequence

• Chothia & Lesk (1986): Correlation between structural divergence and sequence similarity

Tim

e

Fold 1 Fold 2

Evolution Fold space

folding

function

selection

sequence

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Page 68: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

50% of all protein families can be modeled

• There are currently ~12 000 protein families according to Pfam.

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Page 69: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

or.... 50% can not be modeled...

• There are currently ~12 000 protein families according to Pfam.

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Page 70: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

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Page 71: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Finally some cutting edge research

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Page 72: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Correlated mutations carry information about distance relationships in protein structure.

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Page 73: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Problem indirect interactions

• Indirect correlations between A-C and A-D because they interact with B that interacts directly with A

• Number of indirect correlations >> direct correlation

C

A

D

B

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Page 74: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Prediction of domain-domain interactions and structural modeling

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Prediction of domain-domain interactions and structural modeling

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From Evolutionary Constraints to 3D Structures

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Page 77: Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction€¦ · Introduction to Protein Structure Prediction Björn Wallner Feb. 25, 2013 Monday, February 25, 13 1

Summary

• Protein Folding

• Intro Protein structure prediction

• How can we predict the structure of a protein

• How can we tell which part of structure that needs to be improved.

• What can bioinformatics do?

• Finally, perhaps the most significant finding in protein structure prediction research the last 10 years! - The rebirth of correlated mutations.

55Monday, February 25, 13