“Into the Future”“Into the Future”

Air Transportation:

Key Infrastructure

for the

Modern Economy

Air Transportation:

Key Infrastructure

for the

Modern Economy

General Aviation General Aviation

““A community without an airport will be eliminated A community without an airport will be eliminated by the majority of firms seeking to relocate or by the majority of firms seeking to relocate or build a new facility.”build a new facility.”

Washington State University reportWashington State University report

SustainabilitySustainability

Air TransportationAir Transportation

• Not subsidized; pays taxesNot subsidized; pays taxes

• Set goals for environmental Set goals for environmental sustainabilitysustainability

• Meet the world’s expanding air service Meet the world’s expanding air service demand without increasing Greenhouse demand without increasing Greenhouse Gases (GHG)Gases (GHG)

• Be carbon neutral by 2050 Be carbon neutral by 2050

Air transportation emits 2% of Greenhouse GasesAir transportation emits 2% of Greenhouse Gases

Source: Source: London EconomistLondon Economist

Climate Change – Aviation’s Goal

Reducing Greenhouse Gases = Greater Efficiency and Lower Costs

De-Icing and Run-Off Recapture…De-Icing and Run-Off Recapture……MWAA is State-of-the-Art…MWAA is State-of-the-Art

For Washington: Air Transportation is Woven into Society’s FabricFor Washington: Air Transportation is Woven into Society’s Fabric

• For every job in the Washington region, 10 airline tickets are sold each year

• 18% of adults visit Europe at least once every three years

• 90% of adult voters visit one of the region’s airports each year

• 12% of our region’s jobs are concerned with international trade

• For every job in the Washington region, 10 airline tickets are sold each year

• 18% of adults visit Europe at least once every three years

• 90% of adult voters visit one of the region’s airports each year

• 12% of our region’s jobs are concerned with international trade

One Interdependent WorldOne Interdependent World

Tourism: Most Future Growth from OverseasTourism: Most Future Growth from Overseas

International visitors stay longer; spend more.International visitors stay longer; spend more.

Transportation is a Means not an EndTransportation is a Means not an End

• 68% of new jobs, 1980 – 2000, in 68% of new jobs, 1980 – 2000, in jurisdictions accessible to Dullesjurisdictions accessible to Dulles

• Dulles and Route 28 corridorsDulles and Route 28 corridors Miniscule share of Gross Regional Product Miniscule share of Gross Regional Product

in 1980in 1980 Now about 25%Now about 25%

Source: MWCOG statistics; Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: MWCOG statistics; Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University

Airport AccessAirport Access

GroundGround

Good air service does not help the regional economy if you cannot

easily get to the airport!

Airport AccessAirport Access

GroundGround

Good air service does not help the regional economy if you cannot

easily get to the airport!

21st Century “Main Streets”21st Century “Main Streets”

Annual Job Change – MOTYCNorthern Virginia

000s

Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University

000s

Annual Job Change – MOTYCSuburban Maryland

Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason UniversitySource: Dr. Stephen Fuller, George Mason University

Economic Value of One New Daily Transatlantic ServiceEconomic Value of One New Daily Transatlantic Service

MarketsIncrease in Markets Served 2 to 3 9 to 10

Economic GainNew High Tech Jobs 4,500 1,600Capitalized Value New Jobs $1.7 B $625

M

MarketsIncrease in Markets Served 2 to 3 9 to 10

Economic GainNew High Tech Jobs 4,500 1,600Capitalized Value New Jobs $1.7 B $625

M

Measured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years LaterMeasured Gain 2 Years Later

Source: Button/Taylor - George Mason & Monash Universities September 2000Source: Button/Taylor - George Mason & Monash Universities September 2000

Dulles: Passenger Use 1962 - 1982Dulles: Passenger Use 1962 - 1982

Source: Airport RecordsSource: Airport Records

2 million2 million

Airline Airline DeregulationDeregulation

WATF FormedWATF Formed

Dulles Today

Capacity for TomorrowCapacity for TomorrowFlight OperationsFlight Operations Passengers

IN MILLIONS

PassengersIN MILLIONS

CargoIN TONNES

CargoIN TONNES

Source: MWAA Records through September 2009 Based on a picture by Air Survey CorporationSource: MWAA Records through September 2009 Based on a picture by Air Survey Corporation

342,394342,394

750,000750,000

TodayToday

DESIGNCAPACITYDESIGNCAPACITY

23M23M

55 M+55 M+

TodayToday

333,845333,845

8 M**8 M**

TodayToday

CARGOPOTENTIALCARGOPOTENTIAL

DESIGNCAPACITYDESIGNCAPACITY

** WATF Estimate

DCA: Post September 11th

DCA: Post September 11th

• 15.9 million passengers “inconvenienced”

• 80,000 jobs threatened

• 15.9 million passengers “inconvenienced”

• 80,000 jobs threatened

The First Law of the Modern EconomyThe First Law of the Modern Economy

Runway + Demand =New Jobs and ProsperityRunway + Demand =New Jobs and Prosperity

© WATF 10/06

The First Law of the Modern EconomyThe First Law of the Modern Economy

Runway + Demand =New Jobs and ProsperityRunway + Demand =New Jobs and Prosperity

© WATF 10/06

BarriersBarriers

• Aviation’s role not widely understood

• Surface transportation implementation

• Restrictive international air service

agreements

• Cumbersome security