Inheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow

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Inheritance, Retirement, & Cash Flow Gwen Becker, CIM, CFP, FCSI Vice-President, Associate Portfolio Manager

description

Information to help you and your family manage your inheritance questions, plan your retirement and ensure you have sustainable cash flow to see you through your twilight years.

Transcript of Inheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow

Page 1: Inheritance, Retirement & Cash Flow

Inheritance, Retirement, & Cash Flow

Gwen Becker, CIM, CFP, FCSI

Vice-President, Associate Portfolio Manager

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Assumptions – Projected Net Worth

Sale of Business is reflected in cash flow over

10 year amortization taxed highest rate

Non Registered Investment $250,000

inheritance 38 years @ 8% gross of tax

Future rate of return inheritance / investible

assets 5.9%

Lifestyle Assets rate of return 2%

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Assumptions – Projected Cash Flow

Retired at age 68, live to age 90

Expenses $12,500 / month = $150,000 / year

inflated @ 2% per annum

Surplus cash flow invested back into non-

registered portfolio

All sources of income taxed at highest

marginal rate for AB

$5,500 invested into TFSA per year

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Risk Profiles & Asset Allocation Models

Exp

ecte

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Risk Profiles

The focus is long term capital appreciation with a secondary focus on wealth preservation. The majority of the portfolio will typically be invested in a blend of growth assets. The investor in this category has a higher tolerance for risk over their investment horizon.

The focus is capital preservation. The portfolio will typically be invested mainly in fixed income and other low volatility instruments. The investor in this category has a low tolerance for loss over their investment horizon.

The focus is the wealth preservation which includes an element of growth to retain the real (inflation – adjusted) value of the portfolio. The portfolio will typically include fixed income instruments as well as some exposure to growth assets. The investor in this category has some tolerance for loss over their investment horizon.

The focus is a balance between capital appreciation and wealth preservation. The portfolio may include exposure to all asset classes and carries moderate risk of loss over the investment horizon.

Very Conservative

Expected Volatility

Conservative

Balanced

Growth

Aggressive GrowthThe focus is the maximization of long term capital appreciation. The portfolio will be invested mainly in growth assets and may have a higher proportion of higher risk investments and possible concentrations. The investor in this category has a high tolerance for risk over their investment horizon.

Very Conservative

Conservative

Balanced

Growth

Aggressive Growth

Efficient Frontier

Cash

Fixed Income

Equities

Asset Allocation Profiles are based on RBC's Strategic Asset Allocation Framework and tradditional asset classes. Expected Risk & Return and the Efficient Frontier are illustrative based on long term (5-10 Year) time horizon.

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Asset Allocation - Canadian Domestic Model

Asset Class Very Conservative Conservative Balanced Growth Aggressive Growth

Cash 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Canadian Cash 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Fixed Income 75% 60% 40% 25% -

Government 40% 26% 14% 5% -

Corporate - Investment Grade 35% 26% 16% 10% -

Corporate - High Yield - 4% 5% 5% -

Emerging Markets - 4% 5% 5% -

Equities 20% 35% 55% 70% 95%

Canadian Domestic 12% 21% 33% 41% 55%

US 5% 9% 12% 15% 20%

International (EAFE) 3% 5% 5% 7% 10%

Emerging Markets - - 5% 7% 10%

For modelling purposes, the indices used to represent the indicated asset classes are described on Page 28. Reference Currency: CAD. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Historical Performance - Canadian Domestic Model

Very Conservative Conservative Balanced Growth Aggressive Growth

Annualized Return: Ending April 2014

1 Year 1.0% 6.4% 11.5% 15.5% 20.8%

3 Year 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7%

5 Year 6.3% 8.3% 10.1% 11.4% 12.7%

10 Year 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5%

20 Year 7.1% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 7.8%

Max Common History: Jan 1994 To Apr 2014 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7%

Distribution of Returns January 1994 To April 2014

Best 12 Month Rolling Return 22.2% 25.2% 29.7% 33.0% 39.9%

Median 12 Month Rolling Return 6.9% 8.0% 9.5% 10.3% 11.7%

Worst 12 Month Rolling Return -5.6% -11.6% -20.0% -25.6% -34.4%

% Positive Calendar Years 90.0% 85.0% 80.0% 80.0% 75.0%

% Negative Calendar Years 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 20.0% 25.0%

Max Consecutive Calendar Yrs (+) 13 7 7 7 6

Max Consecutive Calendar Yrs (-) 1 1 2 2 3

Risk Measures: January 1994 To April 2014

Volatility of Returns (St. Dev.) 4.4% 5.7% 8.0% 9.8% 12.7%

Average Drawdown -1.6% -2.3% -3.8% -4.5% -6.6%

Average Recovery Period (# Months) 3.0 4.3 5.0 5.9 6.7

Max Drawdown -9.5% -14.3% -23.6% -29.7% -38.9%

Max Drawdown Date Feb-94 Jun-08 Jun-08 Jun-08 Jun-08

Longest Recovery Period Length 13 34 40 53 60

Longest Recovery Period Start Date Feb-94 Sep-00 Sep-00 Sep-00 Sep-00

For modelling purposes, the indices used to represent the indicated asset classes are described on Page 28. Reference Currency: CAD. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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The information contained in this report has been compiled by RBC Dominion Securities Inc*. from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by RBC Dominion Securities Inc., its affiliates or any other person as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All charts, illustrations, examples and other demonstrative content contained in this report have been provided for illustrative purposes only as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility. Whilst efforts are made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information contained in this report at the time of publication, errors and omissions may occur.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Hypothetical historical data used in this report, including any underlying assumptions used, is not indicative of future performance or value. Any upward or downward trend presented during the Analysis Time Horizon is not an indication that the portfolio is likely to increase or decrease in value at any time. Each legal jurisdiction has its own laws regulating the types of securities and other investment products which may be offered to their residents, as well as the process for doing so. As a result, any securities or investment products discussed in this report may not be eligible for sale in some jurisdictions. This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Additionally this report is not, and under no circumstances should be construed as, a solicitation to act as a securities broker or dealer in any jurisdiction by any person or company that is not legally permitted to carry on the business of a securities broker or dealer in that jurisdiction. The contents of this report are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation to purchase a particular security or investment product. Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice and you are advised to seek independent legal, tax and accounting advice prior to acting upon anything contained in this report. Interest rates, market conditions, tax and legal rules and other important factors which will be pertinent to your circumstances are subject to change. Specific investment strategies should be considered relative to the suitability of the products contained therein, your objectives and risk tolerances. For information on any security or investment product mentioned in this report you are advised to consult the applicable offering document pertaining to such security prior to investing. To the full extent permitted by law neither RBC Dominion Securities Inc. nor any of its affiliates, nor any other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein. No matter contained in this document may be reproduced or copied by any means without the prior consent of RBC Dominion Securities Inc. Additional information available upon request.

RBC Dominion Securities Inc.* and Royal Bank of Canada are separate corporate entities which are affiliated. *Member-Canadian Investor Protection Fund. RBC Dominion Securities Inc. is a member company of RBC Wealth Management, a business segment of Royal Bank of Canada. ®Registered trademarks of Royal Bank of Canada. Used under licence. © RBC Dominion Securities Inc. 2014. All rights reserved.

General Disclaimer

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Data and Report Disclosures

Asset Allocation is the process of determining the relative weight of various asset types and strategies within a portfolio. An appropriate asset allocation model forms the basis for effective portfolio construction, and enforces investment management discipline consistent with your objectives and risk preferences. Comparing different asset allocation models can help you better understand the potential risk and return trade-off and validate that a proposed strategy is consistent with your expectations.

Base Currency. For analysis purposes, available indices are converted into a common base currency. As a result, indices denominated in a currency other that the base currency will be impacted by changes in the relative currency valuation over the Analysis Time Horizon. This will affect total portfolio returns and volatility.

Risk and Return. Unless otherwise specified, return and risk figures have been annualized. The reported risk and return figures presented in the report are indicative, based on index data, and do not represent any individual or aggregate set of actual portfolios. Actual risk and return for your portfolio may be impacted by rebalancing frequency, transaction costs, execution valuations, and additional management fees that differ from the assumptions used in this report. No assurance can be given as to the actual return on any portfolio.

Allocation (%) represents the target percentage weight of the indicated index within the asset allocation model. The report reflects the periodic rebalancing back to the target allocation weights of the model on a monthly basis; however, in between rebalancing dates, the actual portfolio weights will vary based on changes in the market value of the indices.

Asset Allocation Model represents the primary investment strategy under consideration. When selected, a Comparison Model may also be included as an alternative investment strategy, asset allocation, or blended benchmark. The Asset Allocation Profile page provides details on the specific model and indices used.

Customized Asset Allocation Your advisor may customize or tailor an asset allocation model to better meet your specific needs and preferences. In this case, the Asset Allocation Model or Comparison Model will be labelled as a “Customized Asset Allocation” and the Asset Allocation Profile page provides details on the specific model and indices used. If you have any questions about the use of a customized asset allocation model, please be sure to discuss them with your Investment Advisor or Portfolio Manager.

Rebalancing For analysis purposes, the Asset Allocation Model and the Comparison Model are rebalanced monthly back to the target allocation percentages for each index. Monthly returns are calculated on a calendar basis and rebalancing is assumed to occur at the end of each month.

Transaction Costs The analysis relies on index data and does not incorporate any transaction costs that may be incurred during the initial purchase of investment products, during the periodic rebalancing of the portfolio, or during liquidation of the investments.

Management Fees The analysis relies on index data and does not incorporate any ongoing product fees, advisory or management fees, or any other costs that may be incurred in an actual investment portfolio.

Historical Analysis. Throughout this report, the hypothetical return of the Asset Allocation Model is used to illustrate the historical performance of the strategy, the historical relationship between risk and return and, if specified, the differences between the Asset Allocation Model and the Comparison Model. Past performance does not guarantee future performance and there is no guarantee that historical relationships between risk and return will continue to hold in the future.

The information contained in this report is updated regularly; however, the report may not reflect changes recently made to source data or material and the information, data and calculations contained in the report are provided on a commercial efforts basis only. There is no assurance that the data including prices, weightings, ratios, ratings, or recommended securities will remain the same over time. None of RBC Dominion Securities Inc., its affiliates or any other person makes any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to, or accepts any responsibility for, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of this information. RBC Dominion Securities Inc. and its affiliates assume no liability for errors or omissions.

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Standard Deviation is a statistical measure of how much variability there is in observed returns. A lower standard deviation indicates that the asset class or asset allocation strategy has been more predictable historically, while a higher standard deviation indicates an increased likelihood of very high or very low returns. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.

Sharpe Ratio is a risk-adjusted performance measure that is calculated as the ratio of the portfolio’s excess return over cash to the standard deviation of returns. A higher value indicates a higher realized return per unit of risk taken within the strategy. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.

Trailing Returns are indicated as relating to a relative period of time (Year To Date/YTD, 1 Month, 1 Year, 3 Year, etc.) and are measured relative to the final date in the analysis period.

Calendar Year Returns are indicated as relating to a specific year (2009, 2010, etc.).

Comparative Indices. Certain graphs show various asset class indices to provide context and the ability to compare the asset allocation model to representative benchmarks. The most appropriate indices to include in the analysis changes with your objectives, preferences, and investment knowledge; and the specific indices used have been selected by your advisor to be appropriate and representative. If you have any questions about the specific indices included, please be sure to discuss them with your Investment Advisor or Portfolio Manager.

Rolling Returns are calculated by computing the holding period returns over a specified window (usually 12 or 36 months) and then moving this window through time over the entire analysis period in order to calculate the range of holding period returns experienced. The best and worst rolling return represents the highest or lowest cumulative 12 or 36 month return that would have resulted from following the asset allocation strategy throughout the analysis period; while the distribution of returns provides an indication of how likely achieving a target rate of return or falling below a minimum rate of return has been in the past. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.

Drawdown is calculated as the maximum loss in portfolio value from a historical high-watermark to a subsequent minimum. The drawdown measures the severity of the loss in portfolio value and extends until the initial portfolio value has been fully recovered. A related concept is the Recovery Period which measures the length of time from when the drawdown begins until the initial portfolio value is fully recovered. Maximum Drawdown represents the largest peak to trough loss that would have resulted over the analysis period while the Longest Recovery Period represents the longest time to recover the portfolio’s high-watermark value. The maximum drawdown and the longest recovery period may occur at different points in time. Both metrics are very useful and intuitive ways of measuring the historical downside risk of the strategy. Past performance does not guarantee future performance.

Data and Report Disclosures (continued)

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Investment Risks

Market Risk Any investment is subject to market fluctuations and thus there can be no assurance that an investment will return its value or that appreciation will occur.

Concentration Risk Where significant percentages of a portfolio are held in a single security or asset class or highly correlated securities, volatility may be very high relative to broader market indices. Concentrations may occur with counterparties (issuer), asset class, issuer, industry, or currency.

Credit risk This risk is typically associated with fixed income instruments, but applies to any instrument where repayment depends on the ability of an entity to settle an obligation. The risk borne is that the issuer may default on their obligation.

Counterparty Risk Conceptually the same as ‘Credit Risk’, but generally used to describe the risk of less direct exposures such as the issuer on a structured product, some Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), or the entity behind a derivatives contract.

Transparency / Complexity Risk Some products such as hedge funds, structured products, fund of funds, and private equity may not give clients full or real-time transparency on holdings or have complex underlying positions. Investors should take particular care in understanding the structure of these holdings and the nature of the product prior to investing.

Leverage Risk Where lending is either secured by a portfolio or is embedded in a product, investors may be particularly exposed to increased market risk and liquidity risk in adverse markets.

Currency Risk Currency can either directly or indirectly affect an investment. The value of a holding will be directly affected by foreign exchange movements where the investor’s reference currency is different from the investment currency. For investments such as equities, the value of the underlying investment may also be indirectly affected by currency where foreign exchange movements influence the market economy and competitiveness of companies.

Liquidity Risk There are two types of ‘liquidity risk’. Firstly, by design a structure may render funds inaccessible to the investor over certain periods of time as a result of lockups or redemptions leaving the investor open to market risk during these interim periods. Secondly, if market volumes in an investment are low, an investor may be unable to find a buyer or seller to match their position or may only be able to buy or sell at disadvantageous prices.

Political Risk Countries with political instability or where political bodies can exert a strong influence on markets and business practices may be subject to greater volatility. Political risk is present if the potential returns on an investment could be significantly affected by a political entity’s decisions rather than by predominantly economic and market factors. Political risk may include potential for currency controls, expropriation and insufficient legal or regulatory infrastructure.

Rollover Risk Rollover risk is faced by countries and companies when their debt is close to maturity and must be ‘rolled over’ into new debt. If conditions for the issuer have deteriorated since the issue to be refinanced, the costs of the new financing may be considerably higher, or it may not even be possible to find new buyers to provide refinancing for maturing debt.

Inflation Risk Erosion of real capital value relative to its future purchasing power.

The following represents some of the key portfolio risks investors should consider; however, it is not intended to be an exhaustive catalogue of all potential risks, nor is every risk listed necessarily applicable to every investment product or security.

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Meet Jane Series: Creating a

Charitable Giving Strategy

Presented by: Gena Rotstein,

Dexterity Ventures Inc.

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What is a giving plan?

A business plan focusing on achieving a specific social outcome through a combination of philanthropy, volunteerism and investment management (social capital)

Social Capital: Resources used to drive a social purpose. Resources include - people (network), intellectual (talent), and/or financial

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Creating your giving plan process

1. Identify areas of giving are most important

2. Audit past giving

3. Create a portfolio of responsible, well managed charities that will deliver impact

4. Establish a disbursement program that balances your donor interests (i.e. tax benefit) with charity need and timeline

5. Ongoing communication with organization �Accountability

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Start with Why

What are your

motivations for

giving?

What is the best

vehicle for

facilitating your

giving?

What activities

will you

undertake to

achieve your

social vision?

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Why set up a charitable giving plan?

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Why: Planning Questions - Motivators

What motivates you to give back to your

community?

How do you define legacy?

How much time do you want to dedicate to

this?

Who else will be involved?

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How: Vehicles for Giving – Time, Cost & Investments

Donor Advised Fund (DAF) – Cash, securities, insuranceo Institution Managed (i.e. RBC DAF)

o Community Foundation (i.e. Calgary Foundation)

o Online Foundation (i.e. Place2Give)

Private Foundation – Cash, securities, insurance, gifts in-kind/collectables

Corporate Foundation (Public or private companies) – Cash, securities

Public Foundation – Cash, securities, insuranceo Health Trust

Annual Giving – Cash or securitieso United Way Campaign

One-off projects/events – Cash, gifts in kindo Golf Tournaments

o Galas

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Jane’s DAF$250,000 cash investment PLUS Life Insurance policy that was purchased in 40’so Minimum disbursement of 4% - $10,000/yr

o Tax receipt for amount put in NOT on the amount disbursed

o Tax deduction on monthly premiums for insurance policy

o Invested in institution product that is balanced and lower risk;option to have some of the investments reflect the values of thefund (i.e. green tech/clean tech if the fund is supporting environmental charities)

o Instructions around use of proceeds and sunset clause to be drafted by lawyer for instruction to Fund Manager should Jane not be able to provide those instructions herself

o Granting guidelines and timeline to be established between institution and Jane

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How: Cross Border Philanthropy

Tax receipts can ONLY be used against the income in which that donation was made with a few exceptions

Funding US charities through 3rd party foundations

o Tides Foundation

o Network for Good

o Financial institutions

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What: Evaluation CriteriaLeadership

o Qualifications

o History & Connectedness

o Board engagement

Corporate Structure

o Strategic v. Operational Board

o Policies to protect donors and clients

o D&O Insurance

Program Implementation - Success rates

o Capacity to report on long term effectiveness

o What is success?

Financial Management- Solution to Social Problem

o Fundraising

o Overhead � Operational Effectiveness

Competitive Analysis

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What: Deciding where & when to give

Questions to ask before donating:

1. How long has the organization been in operations?a. How long has the Executive Director been in the role?

b. Are the client testimonials/partner reports to share?

c. Is there a “road map” for the organization – business plan for delivering on its mandate?

d. What other agencies do they collaborate with?

2. Board Governancea. Same people on the board, or is there a mechanism for

succession planning and new idea generation?

b. Is the board a strategic board or an operational board?

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3. What are the donation management terms? Are they part of the board monitoring activities?

a. How will your donation be managed and stewarded? Who will be your “contact”?

4. What is the cost of NOT solving the problem?

5. What is the operating budget? What is the program delivery budget?

6. Has the organization adopted the code of Ethical Fundraising and the Donor Bill of Rights?

What: Deciding where & when to give

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Planning: Pitfalls & Roadblocks

Charity not set up to accept donation of

securities or life insurance

Next Generation not interested/able to carry

on foundation activities

Charity ceases operations

Funding cycle and “use of funds” cycle not in

sync

Unclear expectations

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Portfolio of Charities

Manageable number of recipient organizations

o Go deep with a few or broad on an issue?

Diversified fund

o Front-line

o Systemic change

o Volunteer and site visits

o Advocacy

Timelines for disbursements to charities and investments into fund account