INFORMATION MEETING - Colas
Transcript of INFORMATION MEETING - Colas
INFORMATION MEETING February 26, 2015
Contents
The year 2014
Business by operating sector
Financial statements
Outlook for 2015
Appendix
The year 2014
Highlights of 2014
Revenue down 3.5% at €12.4 billion euros § slump in road market in Mainland France § headway in international units helped limit drop
Current operating income at €332 M (€390 M in 2013) § in particular heavy losses in refining activity (SRD)
Strong actions to § adapt as quickly as possible to road market volumes in Mainland France § reconfigure the production unit at the Dunkirk refinery
Strategic move: sale at the beginning of 2014 of Colas’ stake in Cofiroute
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Highlights of 2014 (cont.)
Continued focus on targeted external growth, with several acquisitions that reinforce the business network
Net profit attributable to the Group is up sharply: €604 M against €312 M in 2013, including capital gain from the sale of the stake in Cofiroute
Strong commercial actions § several major contracts secured § core business developed § high level work-on-hand at end-December 2014: €7.2 billion euros
(+1% compared to end-December 2013)
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Key figures
in millions of € 2014 2013(1) Change
14/13
Revenue (in billions of €) 12.4 12.8 -3.5%
Current operating income 332 390 -€58 M
Net profit attributable to the Group 604 312 +€292 M
Net cash flow 610 667 -€57 M
Net cash / (Net debt) 682 31 +€651 M in €
Dividend per share 15.40(2) 7.26 +€8.14
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(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
(2) Proposed to the Ordinary Shareholders’ meeting on April 14, 2015
Revenue
in millions of € 2014 2013(1) Change
14/13
Revenue 12,396 12,845 -3.5%
France 6,582 7,388 -11%
International 5,814 5,457 +7%
Currency effect -97 Changes in scope of consolidation +80
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External growth which offsets unfavorable exchange effect
Good dynamics in international Roads and Railways helped strongly offset a good part of the slump in the road business and some Specialized Activities in Mainland France
Key figures for change in revenue 2014/2013
� Roads in Mainland France: -13% � Roads Int'l and Fr. Overseas: +5% � Specialized Activities excl. Railways: -9% � Railways: +18%
(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
Strategy 2014
Strategic move: sale of longstanding stake in highway concession company Cofiroute § almost perfect timing (January 31, 2014) and good financial conditions § significant net after tax capital gain of €385 M § strong boost to cash (≈ €700 M)
A plan to reconfigure production unit at Dunkirk refinery § current configuration: production of base oils, bitumen and other coproducts
(fuels, paraffin) § recurrent losses in sales of refined products due in majority to base oil market
(forecasts show no improvement in medium-term) § production of base oil halted at the end of first quarter 2015 § production refocused on bitumen and coproducts § Employment Preservation Plan in final phases of approval § additional investment in 2016 to optimize new production modes
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Strategy 2014 (cont.)
Continued focus on targeted external growth to reinforce existing network § in Denmark: acquisition of a subsidiary of Skanska
▸ production and sales of asphalt mix (2 plants) ▸ reinforcement of positions in Jutland and Seeland
§ in Ireland: acquisition of 38% stake in SIAC ▸ construction, with road works and asphalt mix division ▸ expanding range of activities for Colas in Ireland in addition to core business
(production and sales of bitumen and binders)
§ in Australia: acquisition of assets in Sunstate Roads Services in Queensland ▸ production of asphalt mix and road works ▸ reinforcement in road works in Queensland
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Business by operating sector
Roads in Mainland France
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€4.5 Revenue
billion
-13% Operating profit margin 3.3%
Brutal market slump Road subsidiaries held up well
Roads in Mainland France
Brutal collapse of road market
Decline in investments from local authorities as of March
A drop that was sharper and quicker than expected (13% against 6 to 7%), i.e., €700 M or the equivalent of a French subsidiary
Subsidiaries held up well, thanks to § anticipation of market downturn in September 2012 (merger of
three brands and reduction of number of subsidiaries from 16 to 7 as early as January 2013)
§ additional adaptation measures throughout 2014 § major projects currently under way: Nîmes-Montpellier high-speed
train bypass, L2 bypass in Marseille § PPP projects (Vichy and Troissereux bypasses)
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In this context, preserving operational profit margin at over 3% is a good performance
A complicated year
Roads in Europe
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Headway in 2014
+18.5% €1.7 billion
+16% at constant scope and exchange rates
Revenue
Roads in Europe
Strong business § in long-term MAC/ASC maintenance contracts for road
and highway networks in the United Kingdom § in Denmark with a road infrastructure development program § in Ireland with slight recovery in road maintenance budgets
Stable revenue in Switzerland
A decrease in revenue in Belgium, with sharp drop in investments from local authorities
Strong growth in revenue in central Europe thanks to major highway projects in Hungary and Slovakia secured at the end of 2013
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Northern Europe held up well Growth in central Europe
Roads in North America
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A year of progress
+3% €2.5 billion
+4% at constant scope and exchange rates
Revenue
Roads in North America United States
Revenue up 4% at constant scope and exchange rates
Traditional road market still hasn’t fully benefited from economic recovery
Improved operating performance for majority of subsidiaries
Additional losses recorded in 2014 on large-scale civil engineering projects taken on end-2012, with completion scheduled for 2015
A marked improvement in work-on-hand during last quarter
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Step towards return to satisfactory profitability
Roads in North America Canada
Particularly harsh weather during 1st half year, offset at year-end
Confirmation of infrastructure budget cuts in the province of Quebec § continued action to adapt subsidiary to market
Revenue up 4% at constant scope and exchange rates § major projects in Alberta § full year consolidation of company acquired
in Ontario in 2013
Launching of PPP project for the Iqaluit International Airport in Nunavut
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A solid year, comparable to the previous year
Roads in the Rest of the World French Overseas Departments, Africa, Indian Ocean,
Asia, Australia, Pacific
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-4% €1.3 billion
-3% at constant scope and exchange rates
Revenue down slightly Focus on profitability
Revenue
Roads in the Rest of the World French Overseas Departments
Business resisted well in French Caribbean with low volume market, thanks to § good work-on-hand § structures adapted over last two years
Launching of the new Route du Littoral Coastal Road project in Reunion § construction of causeway and interchange § contract value: €850 M, of which €482 M
for subsidiary § end of work: 2019
Completion of major project in Mayotte
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Stable activity
Roads in the Rest of the World Africa, Indian Ocean
Stability in Morocco, which benefited from expected positive impact of structural adaptation in 2013
Increased revenue in West Africa § recovery in Côte d’Ivoire, launching of North
Exit project in Brazzaville, Congo § down in Gabon, Burkina Faso and Benin
Decrease in production and sales of emulsion in southern Africa
Absence in 2014 of major projects in Indian Ocean (Madagascar, Comoros, Mauritius)
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Business down 10%
Roads in the Rest of the World Asia, Australia, Pacific
Growth of business in Asia, in particular Thailand and Vietnam
Expanded scope in Australia with the acquisition of Sunstate, specialized in asphalt mix production and road works in Queensland
Record sales volumes in bitumen products for the Thai subsidiary Tipco and the Kemaman bitumen refinery in Malaysia
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Continued development in the zone
Specialized Activities Waterproofing and Safety and Signaling
Waterproofing -10% § sluggish construction market in France § decrease in volumes (works, industries) § continued strong pressure on prices
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Safety and Signaling -8% § cutback in public investment in signaling and traffic
management as of April § increase in export sales for safety (road marking
paint, guardrails) § 1st long-term maintenance contract (22 years)
for Troissereux bypass
Sluggish markets
Specialized Activities Sales of refined products (SRD)
European base oil market has plummeted
Revenue down 12%
Current operating loss at €64 M, higher than in 2013 (€46 M), despite adaptation efforts and investments over the last three years § worsening of gap between production cost (price of
feedstock) and sales price of products § cost of strikes in November and December 2014
Decision to reconfigure refinery in Dunkirk
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Heavier operating losses
Specialized Activities Pipelines
-4%
Revenue down slightly, due to voluntary halt to certain activities
Good level of business in natural gas and oil transport
First international contract in Gabon
Improved operating performance
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Confirmed recovery
Specialized Activities Railways
+18%
Rail market is buoyant § on longstanding, recurrent markets (renovation
and maintenance in France and the United Kingdom) § in international units (activity based on major projects)
Revenue up 18% (+ 16% at constant scope and exchange rates), principally in international units § France: strong business in renovation and maintenance
of the national railway network, but a decrease in tramway projects § United Kingdom: record level of business and renewal of two
major long-term track maintenance contracts § Rest of the World: continued work on the extension of the light
metro in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia and line 1 of the Algiers, Algeria metro, launching of lines 3 and 6 for the Santiago, Chili metro
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Strong headway
Financial statements
Income statement
in millions of € 2014 2013(1)
Revenue 12,396 12,845 Net depreciation and amortization expenses (401) (407)
Net charges to provisions and impairment losses (128) (125)
Current operating income 332 390 Other non-current income and expenses (67) (11)
Operating income 265 379 Cost of net debt (18) (21)
Other financial income and expenses 10 (2)
Income tax expenses (65) (120)
Share in income from associates and joint ventures 413 78
Net profit 605 314 Net profit attributable to minority interests 1 2
Net profit attributable to the Group 604 312
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(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
2013 2014
Free cash flow
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(2) Free cash flow: cash flow (determined after cost of net debt and net income tax expense, but before changes in working capital requirements) minus net capital expenditure for the period
Net cash flow Net capital expenditure
Free cash flow(2)
in millions of €
667
289 378
610 456
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(1)
(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
Net cash position 2014
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in millions of €
(1) Including net liabilities relating to property, plant and equipment and intangible assets
Net cash flow
Other
Cash surplus from operations
Income tax expense less
income tax paid
Change in working capital
requirements
Net Capex(1)
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-413
-98
610
71 183
2013(2) 667 -3 -12 -275 177 +554
(2) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
Net cash position 2014 (cont.)
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Significant improvement in net cash: + €651 M in millions of €
Cash surplus from
operations
Changes in equity
Dividends paid out
Net sales of subsidiaries
and assets
Net cash as of 01/01/2014
Net cash as of 31/12/2014
Changes in scope
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721
-4 -9
183
-240
682
2013(1) -174 -4 +554 -104 -239 +31 -2
(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
Condensed consolidated balance sheet
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in millions of € 2014 2013(1) Change
14/13
Non-current assets 3,688 3,479 +209
Current assets 4,973 4,429 +544
Total Assets 8,661 8,266 +395
Shareholders’ equity 2,945 2,527 +418
Non-current liabilities 1,133 1,101 +32
Current liabilities 4,583 4,638 -55
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 8,661 8,266 +395
Net cash / (Net debt) 682 31 +651
(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Dividend: €15.40(1) per share for 2014
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Yield(2)
€503 million(2)
• €4.00 ordinary dividend • €11.40 extraordinary dividend
(1) If the proposed dividend of €15.40 is approved by the Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting on April 14, 2015 (2) Based on number of shares on December 31, 2014 (3) Based on share price on December 31
4.3% 7.1% 6.2% 5.9%
€7.26 per share
11.6%
206 237 237 237
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372 €11.40 per share
€4.00 per share
503(1)(2)
Dividends in millions of €
8.6%(3)
3.0%(3)
Outlook for 2015
Several major projects secured in 2014
Construction of a causeway and interchange for the New Route du Littoral Coastal Road in Reunion § order intake: €482 M (Colas share) § completion in 2018
Two long-term rail maintenance contracts in UK § order intake: €270 M § duration: 2014-2019
Construction and renovation of sections of Highway 63 in Alberta, Canada § order intake: €110 M § completion slated for 2016
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Work-on-hand is high
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Work-on-hand up 1%, maintained at high level: €7.2 B
Confirmation of trends seen during last three quarters of 2014 § work-on-hand for international units and French
Overseas: +8% § work-on-hand for Mainland France: -7%
in billions of €
At end- December
2014
Change 14/13
Mainland France 3.03 -7%
International and French Overseas Depts and Terr. 4.12 +8%
Total for the Group 7.15 +1%
Outlook 2015
Roads
The roads business could be roughly equivalent in 2015
Down in Mainland France (some 6-7%)
Up in the international units and French Overseas § in North America
▸ in the United States, the road market should benefit from progressive economic improvement
▸ in Canada, business could slow in the West (Alberta) due to the recent drop in oil prices, but will still benefit from a strong economy
§ in Europe, the market could be stable as a whole, with different situations among the countries
§ Asia, Australia, Africa, Indian Ocean (including French Overseas Departments) should be buoyant
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Outlook 2015 (cont.)
Specialized Activities
The markets will be contrasted depending on the lines of business
Railways should continue to progress in growth oriented markets both in France and in the international units
The Sales of refined products will halt the sale of base oil as of the second half year § revenue (€428 M in 2014) could be cut by some 70%
Waterproofing and Safety and Signaling will continue to operate in difficult markets
Pipelines could benefit from several international projects
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Conclusion
Action plans § cut losses in Refining in 2015
▸ Employment Preservation Plan currently under way ▸ base oil production halted at the end of the 1st quarter 2015 ▸ 1st positive impact on results only expected for 2nd half year 2015
§ continue efforts to adapt road subsidiaries in Mainland France to market volume in 2015
Continued development in strategic axes § in particular, Roads in the international units and Railways § financial means available (notably half of the cash generated by the sale
of Colas’ stake in Cofiroute)
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In light of all available data, revenue could be down slightly in 2015
Appendix
Sales of refined products 3% Railways
(Colas Rail) 7% Waterproofing (Smac) 5% Safety & Signaling
(Aximum) 3% Pipelines (Spac) 2%
Colas by business sector
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9.9 80% ROADS
2.5 20% SPECIALIZED ACTIVITIES
8.1 66% Road construction (incl. civil engineering and building)
in billions of €
1.8 14% Sales of construction materials
12.4
2013 2014
Geographic breakdown of revenue
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53% France
20% North America
19% Europe (excl. France)
8% Rest of the World
57% France
19% North America
15% Europe (excl. France)
9% Rest of the World
Revenue by operating sector
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in millions of € 2014 2013(1) Change
14/13 At constant scope
and exchange rates 14/13
Roads Mainland France 4,459 5,142 -13.3% -13.3%
Roads Europe 1,660 1,401 +18.5% +16.1%
Roads North America 2,470 2,409 +2.5% +4.3%
Roads Rest of the World 1,351 1,413 -4.4% -2.8%
Total Roads 9,940 10,365 -4.1% -3.8%
Specialized Activities 2,446 2,463 -0.7% -1.3%
Parent company 10 17 ns ns
Total 12,396 12,845 -3.5% -3.4%
(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014
Revenue for Specialized activities
in millions of € 2014 2013(1) Change
14/13
Waterproofing 608 672 -9.6%
Railways 904 764 +18.3%
Sales of refined products 428 487 -12.1%
Road Safety & Signaling 312 337 -7.5%
Pipelines 194 203 -4.5%
Total 2,446 2,463 -0.7%
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(1) All figures as at December 31, 2013 have been restated following the change in consolidation method as of January 1, 2014 (application of IFRS 11) to ensure comparability with figures as at December 31, 2014