India - China Diplomay

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    INDIA - CHINA DIPLOMACY

    BY - ISHITA MALHANAPRAJITA MALHAN

    BHARTI SINGH

    GAURAV BHANDARI

    BABITA

    ANKITA SIKKA

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    History

    Both countries entered the international stage at

    about the same time: India in 1947 and the

    Peoples Republic of China in 1949. Their relation

    was off to a good startNehru chose to establish

    peaceful and cooperative neighbourly relations andsupported Beijings claim for a seat in the UN & 2

    agreements were signed in 1954 one on trade, the

    other on peaceful coexistence

    However, behind the cover of the agreements Mao

    promised its people from the very beginning thathe will do everything to regain the territories along

    the Himalayan border, which once belonged to

    China

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    in 1958/59, Nehru changed his perceptions about

    China when troubles in Tibet broke out once again.

    It was at the time when the Dalai Lama fled and

    eventually got exile in India

    Thus New Delhi started strengthening its defences

    on the borders.

    For the next three decades the relation between

    the two nations became very difficult as incidents

    during the 60s and early 70s show

    1. 1962 Border War: China attacked India and seizedIndian territory

    2. 1971 during the Indian-Pakistani War, China

    supported Pakistan militarily and politically

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    From the mid 70s on, the relation improved slowly.

    Diplomatic and Trade relations were resumed and

    were stable

    Throughout the 1980s the relationship were

    difficult although not hostile. Numerous efforts to

    solve the border dispute failed. In addition China

    started its policy of encirclement India countered

    with its Look East Policy

    Rajiv Ghandis visit to China in 1988 marked a new

    era in the Sino-Indian relations. It was the first visitof an Indian Prime Minister to China after a gap of

    more than 25 years

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    Two years later, the geopolitical situation changed with the

    disintegration of the Soviet Union and a new unipolar

    world order dominated by the US. Such profound changes

    did also influence the foreign policies of China and India: China

    Sino-Russian relations improved remarkably. The Sino-US

    relations however deteriorated.

    China was strongly opposed to a unipolar world order.

    India

    The disintegration of the Soviet Union posed a serious

    challenge to Indias foreign policy: India was deprived of a

    crucial source of support although they were still allies ,

    only weaker

    Sino-Indian Relationship

    The visit of Gandhi and the end of the Cold War paved the

    way for a relatively harmonious decade in Sino-Indian

    relations. During the course of a number of high-level

    visits, important agreements in the economic, scientific

    and military fields were signed

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    Indias decision to go nuclear (Pokhran ll) marked

    another turning point in Sino-Indian relations.

    Although India had already considered nuclear tests

    before, China was taken by surprise

    From a foreign policy point of view India saw its

    interests threatened by:

    1. a strategic Sino-Pakistani alliance (China supporting

    Pakistan with nuclear equipment2. and by continuing China policy of encirclement. As

    India was not ready to acknowledge Chinas

    hegemonic position in Asia, it eventually launched

    the nuclear tests.

    Beijing demanded an immediate roll back of the

    nuclear weapons programmes of India and froze

    diplomatic relations with New Delhi for a few

    months.

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    One year after Pokhran ll, the Kargil crisis began. In

    India there was uncertainty about Chinas position in

    this Indo-Pakistani Conflict in Kashmir. Surprisingly,

    Beijing acted very cautious by not taking Pakistansside and commending both parties to return to the

    negotiating table

    2000 marked a gradual re-engagement of Indian and

    Chinese diplomacy.

    2003 ushered in a marked improvement in Sino-

    Indian relations following Indian Prime Minister Atal

    Bihari Vajpayee's landmark June 2003 visit to China.China officially recognized Indian sovereignty over

    Sikkim as the two nations moved toward resolving

    their border disputes.

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    Military Ties

    India and China have progressively stepped up

    military contacts both at the headquarters and field

    levels since resolving to improve bilateral ties in the

    1990s.

    The tempo and quality of the interactions picked upafter then Defence Minister Pranab Mukherjee

    visited China in 2006 and signed a memorandum of

    understanding on exchanges and cooperation in

    defence.

    The intention to increase military-to-military

    interaction was firmed up with the first defence

    dialogue in Beijing followed up with the first joint

    exercises in Kunming in 2005.

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    Economic Relation

    China's economic relations with India have

    shown significant improvement over the

    passage of time. Both the economies have

    emerged as economic superpowers owing to

    their rapidly-expanding consumption goods

    market, easy availability of raw materials,

    cheap labor force, and favorable economic

    infrastructure.

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    Introduction of Economic

    Wing Government has decided to set up an economic wing

    in its diplomatic mission in Beijing, signifying the

    growing financial clout of China which has become

    India's largest trading partner

    The economic wing will have eight posts, including

    one counselor, who will be appointed by the

    Department of Economic Affairs

    The objective of such a wing is to attract investments

    from China and coordinate with various ministries and

    departments in Chinese government such as Finance

    and Planning Commission .

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    The wing will also be in touch with the Chinese

    government on the issues of G-20 to have a

    coordinated approach.

    India has such economic units in its missions in the

    US, the UK and Japan among other countries and

    the fact that the wing is now being created in its

    embassy in Beijing indicates the importance itattaches to Chinese investments in the country.

    The mandate of economic wing is different from

    that of commercial wing, which was alreadyfunctional in the mission. The commercial wing

    primarily focuses on bilateral trade.

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    Bilateral Trade

    The history of bilateral relations between China and

    India dates back to mid 1980s. The process of

    dialogue initiated by the governments of the two

    countries at that point of time was quite helpful in

    identifying the common trade interests. Effortswere initiated to make the most of their economic

    strengths so as to further the economic relations

    between India and China.

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    The trade relationship between these two

    countries has historically been tenuous at best.

    They have not been trading as often and as much

    as one would expect this two giants to trade. The

    markets have opened up right now to each other.

    "There was a big influx of Chinese manufactured

    goods to the Indian markets usually consumer

    items like electric fans, batteries and such other

    items. India has also started making its presence in

    information technology markets felt withinmainland China."

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    The Evolution of India-China

    Trade

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    1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

    Exports (from India to China) Imports (from China to India)

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    TRADE DEFECIT

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    Trade Deficit

    Trade between India and China has jumped substantially from

    $1 billion in 2001 to $52 billion in 2008 and the two sides are

    targeting to reach $60 billion.

    However, Indias current annual exports to China stands at

    about $11 billion, while China exports goods worth $27 billion

    to India.

    This creates is large and growing trade deficit that India is

    experiencing in its bilateral trade with China that needed to

    be corrected.

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    China is Indias largest trade partner, while India is Chinas

    tenth largest partner.

    The government is closely monitoring the Chinese response to

    its concerns over the widening trade gap, which could reach$24-25 billion this year

    Incase, China fails to take adequate steps in the next few

    months to reduce the deficit and move towards a more

    balanced trade ties, India is prepared to take retaliatorymeasures

    Even if tariffs are lowered on manufactured products, India

    can't compete with China on manufactured products

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    Graph showing defecit

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    Reasons for deficit

    India has sought to diversify its trade basket, but raw

    materials and other low-end commodities such as iron ore still

    make up about 60 percent of its exports to China.

    In contrast, manufactured goods -- from trinkets to turbines --

    form the bulk of Chinese exports.

    In an illustration of India's dependence on Chinesemanufacturing, Shanghai Electric Group Co agreed in October

    to sell power equipment and related services worth $8.3

    billion to India's Reliance Power.

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    According to some economists, India's at a phase of capital

    expenditure that is 15 years behind China

    China also was importing a lot of capital goods in the initial

    period of growth takeoff in the 1980s with periods of trade

    deficit.

    Also there are procedural bottlenecks, including time

    consuming licensing procedures, being faced by Indian drugs

    and pharmaceuticals, which needed to be removed.

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    Indian businesses cite Chinas tariff barriers of as high as 30-

    to 35 percent for the manufactured equipment industry as a

    hindrance to market entry with the same barriers in place for

    the agriculture industry

    Custom procedures, standards, certification, regulatory

    practices and quantitative restrictions were also cited as

    problem areas in exporting goods to China by the Federationof Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry

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    Proposed steps to handle defecit

    In a joint economic group meeting with his Chinese

    counterpart Chen Deming, commerce minister Anand Sharma

    pressed for following issues

    greater import of IT and ITeS by China from India,

    removal of tariff and non-tariff barriers restricting import of

    power plant equipment from India,

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    removal of restrictions on import of Basmati rice, fruits and

    vegetables

    landing rights for Indian TV channels in China, and import of

    more Indian films by China

    Removal of procedural bottlenecks including time-consuming

    licensing procedures being faced by Indian drugs and

    pharmaceuticals

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    Effect on the relation

    Already, India and China have clashed repeatedly over a raft

    of issues including their long-disputed border, China's

    increasingly close relationship with Pakistan, and fears of

    Chinese spying.

    No other country has initiated more anti-dumping

    investigations against China at the World Trade Organisation

    than has India.

    In May, India barred its mobile phone operators from placingorders with China's Huawei Technologies and ZTE Corp

    because of national security concerns.

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    On the other hand both sides have something to gain from

    the relationship.

    The 2010 December visit of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao

    comes at a time when the Chinese are really keen that the

    Indians do not become a fully fledged member of the U.S.

    camp

    India needs Chinese backing for a permanent seat on the U.N.

    Security Council and both countries have stood together to

    resist Western demands in world trade and climate change

    talks.

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    DUMPING

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    Dumping

    They are using the big Indian market merely to dump their

    products and by doing so they are killing the Indian units.

    For example last year during Diwali, China made crackers were

    sold in the Indian market. These crackers reportedly containedSulphur. Sulphur is more harmful than Nitrate, which is used

    in India to make crackers. Since the Chinese crackers were

    cheaper than the Indian crackers, so they managed to attract

    innocent and largely illiterate Indian lot. As a result the Indiancracker industry saw a decline in the revenue.

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    Because of cheaper prices products made in China are

    becoming more popular among the Indian masses. This has

    had a very negative effect on our own manufacturing units

    and as a result many of them have had to shut shop.

    For instance, data reveals that 60 per cent of the industrial

    units in the industrial belts of Thane and Bhivandi near

    Mumbai have been closed down. ( Indian cottage industriesi.e handicraft)

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    Due to its cheap labour, China offers lowpriced imports such

    as textiles and clothing, electronic devices, machinery, etc .

    According to official data, Chinese imports stood at $3I9

    million (Rs 1,435 crore) during April-June this year ascompared to $223 million (Rs 1000) crore during the

    corresponding period of the previous year. ( data source

    www.indiamart.com/new )

    It has also affected Indian Export market,as china has replacedindian goods in the foreign market as being cheaply produced.

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    Strategy to Gain Global Market

    Share

    They are killing the economy of not only India but also the

    economy of the whole world very slowly. They are selling their

    cheap products on very cheap rates and we people are getting

    addicted of these cheap rated things and after few years there

    will come a time when you will see only the chinese goods in

    the markets because all the other manufacturers will become

    bankrupt and after that China will start to rise the rates of

    their products i.e. there will be complete monopoly of chinaon the goods market. Thats the policy on which china is

    working now a days.

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    Future Prospects

    During the 10 visit of Chinese premier Wen Jiabao to India,

    following outcomes & prospects have been highlighted

    China and India have vowed to raise bilateral trade to $100

    billion by 2015, from $60 billion in 2010

    The aim is that both the countries be able to raise the bar of

    friendship and cooperation to a high level in near future

    to be able to raise friendship and cooperation to a high level

    in the new century

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    two nations will formalize regular visits between heads of

    state and government, open a telephone hotline between the

    two premiers and their foreign ministers will meet once a

    year.

    The two sides agreed to initiate a strategic economic dialogue

    to enhance macro-economic policy coordination.

    Two-way trade is expected to reach $60 billion in 2010

    compared with a target of $40 billion, which represents a 30-

    fold increase since 2000.

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    agreed to take measures to promote greater Indian exports to

    China with a view to reducing India's trade deficit

    agreed to push forward with efforts to peacefully resolve their

    nations' lingering border disputes.

    China understands and supports India's wish for a bigger role

    in the United Nations including the UN Security Council,

    Beijing would like to strengthen consultation with India on

    political and military affairs to beef up mutual trust.

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    On cross-border rivers that India has long claimed China is

    damming, Wen has stated that any exploitation in the upper

    stream will go through scientific planning and studies and

    interests of the lower-reach nations will be taken fully intoaccount. The two nations' ministries of water resources have

    thus signed a memorandum for China to provide data to India.

    Also, it is encouraging to hear China is willing to allow theIndian service sector, pharmaceutical and agricultural

    products to enter the Chinese market to bring down India's

    trade deficit

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    THANK YOU