Income!Inequality!and!Health!in! Washington!State …...Slide 5 of 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50...

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Slide 1 of 18 Income Inequality and Health in Washington State ** and Concluding Remarks Donald L. Patrick, Jesse Plascak, Shirley Beresford University of Washington 7 th Annual Mee,ng and Symposium Washington State Academy of Sciences September 18, 2014 Museum of Flight ** Funded in part by National Cancer Institute Biobehavioral Cancer Prevention and Control Training Grant (R25CA092408) and P50CA148143

Transcript of Income!Inequality!and!Health!in! Washington!State …...Slide 5 of 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50...

Page 1: Income!Inequality!and!Health!in! Washington!State …...Slide 5 of 18 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 % YEAR Income!Inequality(Top1%)inthe!U.S.,

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 Income  Inequality  and  Health  in  

Washington  State**  and  Concluding  Remarks  

     Donald  L.  Patrick,  Jesse  Plascak,  Shirley  Beresford  University  of  Washington  

   

7th  Annual  Mee,ng  and  Symposium  Washington  State  Academy  of  Sciences  September  18,  2014    Museum  of  Flight  

   

   

** Funded in part by National Cancer Institute Biobehavioral Cancer Prevention and Control Training Grant (R25CA092408) and P50CA148143

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       A  

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Gini  Index  and  the  Lorenz  Curve  •  “The average of

the absolute differences between all pairs of scores, divided by twice the mean”  

•  Gini  =  A/(A+B)  

Top 1%

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Income  Inequality  (Top  1%)  in  the  U.S.,  Washington,  North  Dakota,  Alaska,  New  York,  and  Delaware,  1916-­‐2012    

U.S.   WA   ND  (Lowest)   AK  (2nd  lowest)   NY  (2nd  highest)   DE  (Highest)  

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Top  1%  and  Infant  Mortality  Rate  by  Race,  1916-­‐2010,  United  States    

Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  All  Races   Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  White  Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  non-­‐White   Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  Black  Top  1%  

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Income  Inequality  1916-­‐2012,  Pre-­‐tax  Washington  State    

Gini   %  of  Income  Held  by  Top  1%  

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Top  1%  and  Infant  Mortality  Rate  1916-­‐2012,  Washington  State    

Infant  Mortality  Rate  (per  1,000)   Top  1%  

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NT  MORT

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TE  (P

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Gini  Index  and  Infant  Mortality  Rate  1916-­‐2012,  Washington  State    

Infant  Mortality  Rate  (per  1,000)   Gini  

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0.30  

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Gini  Index  and  Infant  Mortality  Rate  (Log)  by  Race,  1916-­‐2012,  Washington  State    

Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  All  Race   Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  White  Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  Black   Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  Asian  Infant  Mortality  Rate  -­‐  American  Indian   Gini  

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0.30  

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X  

%  POOR/FA

IR  HEA

LTH  

YEAR  

Gini  index  and  %  Poor/Fair  Health,  Washington  State    

%  Poor/Fair  Health   Gini  

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%  <  100%  FPL  by  County,  2007-­‐2011  

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County  Level  Washington  State  Health  Disparity  Indicators  by  SES  

%  Poor/Fair  Health  (N=39)

Low  Birth  Weight  (<2500  g)  (N=36)

Teenage  Birth  Rate  (N=39)

Corr  Coefficient  (P-­‐value)

Corr  Coefficient  (P-­‐value)

Corr  Coefficient    (P-­‐value)

%  <  100%  FPL  

0.38  (0.015)  

0.29  (0.082) 0.38  (0.017)

Median  Household  Income -­‐0.45  (0.004) -­‐0.10  (0.567) -­‐0.27  (0.101)

%  <  High  School  Diploma  

0.74  (<.001) 0.48  (0.003) 0.93  (<.001)

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AssociaOons  with  Poor/Fair  Health,  Washington  State,  2001-­‐2010  

OR  (95%  CI)   P-­‐value  

Household  Income  

       <  $15,000   1.00  

       $15,000  -­‐  $25,000     0.58  (0.54  –  0.63)   <  0.001  

       $25,001  -­‐  $35,000   0.31  (0.29  –  0.34)   <  0.001  

       $35,001  -­‐  $50,000   0.22  (0.20  –  0.24)   <  0.001  

       ≥  $50,000   0.11  (0.11  –  0.12)   <  0.001  

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AssociaOons  with  Poor/Fair  Health,  Washington  State,  2001-­‐2010  

OR  (95%  CI)   P-­‐value  

EducaOon  Alainment  

       <  High  School  Diploma   1.00  

       High  School  Diploma     0.42  (0.37  –  0.43)   <  0.001  

       Some  College  /          Associate’s  Degree  

0.30  (0.27  –  0.32)   <  0.001  

       ≥  Bachelor’s  Degree   0.14  (0.13  –  0.15)   <  0.001  

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Conclusions  •  InternaOonally,  higher  income  inequality  à  higher  infant  mortality  •  In  the  US,  income  inequality  has  steadily  risen  over  the  last  40  years  •  In  the  US,  income  inequality  is  not  consistently  associated  with  infant  

mortality  dispariOes  by  race  in  different  Ome  epochs  •  In  WASHINGTON  STATE,  income  inequality  not  consistently  associated  

health  indicators  in  mulOlevel  analyses  •  HOWEVER<  lower  SES  indicators  (poverty,    median  income,  and  

educaOon)  are  associated  with  poor/fair  health  at  both  a  county  and  individual  level  

•  MulOlevel  studies  of  income  inequality  are  difficult  or  impracOcal  yet  Income  inequality  is  important  to  our  noOons  of  equity  and  jusOce  

•  IntervenOons  at  policy  and  individual  level  may  be  best  directed  toward  reducing  poverty  and  increasing  educaOon  for  all  

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Data  Sources  •  Internal  Revenue  Service  -­‐  household  income  inequality  by  year  

–  Mark  Frank  of  Sam  Houston  State  University  (State  data)  –  Immanuel  Saez  of  University  of  California,  Berkeley  (U.S.  data)  

•  U.S.  Census  Bureau  American  Community  Survey  –  County-­‐level  %  <  100%  federal  poverty  level,  median  household  income,  %  <  high  school  

diploma,  income  Gini  –  2007-­‐2011  

•  Behavioral  Risk  Factor  Surveillance  System  –  Individual-­‐level  %  poor/fair  health,  household  income,  educaOon  alainment,  age,  sex  –  2001-­‐2010  

•  NaOonal  Center  for  Health  StaOsOcs  –  Infant  mortality  rate  by  race  and  year  (U.S.)  –  Low  birth  rate,  teenage  birth  rate  2005-­‐2011  (Washington  State)  

•  Washington  State  Department  of  Health,  Center  for  Health  StaOsOcs  –  Infant  mortality  rate  by  race  and  year  

•  The  World  Bank  (internaOonal  data)  –  Infant  mortality  and  income  Gini