Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

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G.R. Wiggans Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory Agricultural Research Service, USDA Beltsville, MD [email protected] G.R. Wiggans Council meeting April 2010 (1) Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

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Improved reliability of genomic evaluations. What is reliability. Squared correlation of PTA with true breeding value Increases with amount of relevant information Initially derived from the inverse of coefficient matrix Approximation needed as number of genotyped animals got large. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

Page 1: Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

G.R. WiggansAnimal Improvement Programs LaboratoryAgricultural Research Service, USDA Beltsville, MD

[email protected]. WiggansCouncil meeting April 2010 (1)

Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

Page 2: Improved reliability of genomic evaluations

G.R. WiggansCouncil meeting April 2010 (2)

What is reliability

Squared correlation of PTA with true breeding value

Increases with amount of relevant information

Initially derived from the inverse of coefficient matrix

Approximation needed as number of genotyped animals got large

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G.R. WiggansCouncil meeting April 2010 (3)

Change implemented in April Initial approximation assumed all

animals received the same amount of information from genomics

Genomic relationship of each animal with the predictor animals routinely calculated

These relationships weighted by reliability and summed now are basis for calculating contribution of genomics to Reliability

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G.R. WiggansCouncil meeting April 2010 (4)

Reliability for young HO Bulls

0

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52 5354 55 5657 58 5960 61626364 6566 67 6869 70 7172 73 7475 76 7778 79

Milk REL

Nu

mb

er

of

Bu

lls

N = 15,226

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Reliabilities for HO born ≥ 2005No Traditional

EvaluationWith Traditional

Evaluation

Trait Male Female Male Female

N 15226 7536 752 3191

Milk (lb) 73.9 73.7 85.8 77.9

Protein (lb) 73.9 73.7 85.8 77.8

PL (mo) 64.0 63.6 70.1 67.0

SCS 69.7 69.5 78.1 73.0

DPR (%) 61.6 61.2 66.5 64.6

PTAT 70.4 70.1 78.3 74.5

Sire CE 64.9 61.7 80.8 63.5

Daughter CE 60.2 59.0 69.5 61.8

Sire SB 59.8 58.7 66.2 59.6

Daughter SB 58.3 57.6 64.9 59.6

Net Merit ($) 68.6 68.3 77.8 72.0

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Bulls First Traditional Eval. Jan., 2010

Genomic

August January

Trait N PTA REL PTA REL Diff PTA

Milk 703 533 76.3 475 83.4 -58

Protein 703 17.6 76.3 17.0 83.6 -0.6

PTAT 471 1.0 70.4 1.0 77.5 0.0

Traditional

August January

Trait N PA REL PTA REL Diff PTA

Milk 703 657 42.0 478 74.9 -179

Protein 703 22.1 42.0 17.0 74.9 -5.1

PTAT 471 1.0 40.9 0.9 65.1 -0.1

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Cows First Traditional Eval. Jan., 2010

Genomic

August January

Trait N PTA REL PTA REL Diff PTA

Milk 594 772 74.4 845 75.4 73

Protein 570 25.5 74.4 29.4 75.1 3.9

PTAT 294 1.7 69.4 1.8 71.6 0.1

Traditional

August January

Trait N PA REL PTA REL Diff PTA

Milk 594 774 35.6 943 51.1 167

Protein 570 26.2 35.2 32.9 49.8 6.7

PTAT 294 1.6 36.8 1.7 48.9 0.1

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Adapting to more genotypes

Calculating Genomic Matrix may be too time consuming with many 3K genotypes

May sum the allele content of predictor population

Reliability then based on sum of reliabilities of trad PTA and fraction of alleles in common with predictor population

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Conclusions

Contribution of genomics to reliability calculated individually

Based on relationship to predictor population and their Rel of Trad PTA

Mode Rel is 74-75 for bulls without a trad evaluation