IMOS Coastal Observations A National Perspective John Parslow.
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Transcript of IMOS Coastal Observations A National Perspective John Parslow.
IMOS Coastal Observations
A National Perspective
John Parslow
Outline
• Drivers of coastal research, and potential benefits from a marine observing system.
• Coastal observations in the IMOS structure
• Is coastal IMOS more than a set of regional nodes, stitched together by a national backbone?
• Ideas for a national approach to coastal observations and research.
• Future directions for IMOS – where are we going in the long-term?
Loving our coasts to death – population growth & coastal sprawl.
• More than 86% of Australians live near the coast
• We are witnessing continuous strip development away from major cities
• Coastal environmental impacts changing from concentrated to broad-scale
• Urban coastal settlements represent the lifestyle aspiration of most Australians
Coastal Industries
• Coastal industry sectors include manufacturing, shipping, petrochemicals, tourism, aquaculture, commercial fisheries
• How do we achieve sustainable economic development and meet the social and environmental aspirations of a coastal population?
Managing the interactions of catchment land use and water demand with coastal urban development
• Increasing demand for water and decreasing availability
• Degradation of waterways, estuaries and embayments
• Sediment, nutrient and pesticide loads, and changes to flow regimes
• How do we balance catchment and coastal uses and objectives?
Climate change impacts on the coast • Climate change is expected to result in:
–Sea level rise and increased storm frequency–Changes in catchment rainfall, runoff and loads–Impacts of temperature, pH on coastal ecosystems e.g. coral reefs, kelp beds
• How do we incorporate climate change (& variability) into coastal planning, decision-making?
• How do we downscale from global earth systems to the local scales relevant to coastal development?
• Current climate • Enhanced Greenhouse Climate 2050
AusIOOS marine sectoral benefits
National security – improved information for onboard tactical response, sonar, landings
Improved ship routing, oil spill prediction, ballast water and marine pest management,maritime search and rescue
Improved ocean forecasting, cost-effective engineering design and environmental assessment
Marine sectoral benefits (cont.)
Improved environmental forecasting, site location, production efficiency for aquaculture
Improved fish stock assessment and prediction, ecosystem-based fisheries management, increased fishing efficiency
Improved prediction and assessment of coastal water quality, ecosystems. Support for ecotourism.Sustainable coastal development.
Adapting to climate change will require improved monitoring, assessment, prediction
• Spotlight: Western Tasman Sea warms faster than elsewhere in southern hemisphere in CSIRO climate change simulations
Warming rate of SST (units of ºC local warmingper ºC global warming)
Coastal drivers, research & observations
• Coastal drivers and issues shared nationally
• Opportunity to develop common approaches, tools, methods, and/or to compare and contrast coastal systems & approaches
• Many of the benefits of an IOOS / IMOS apply to coastal sectors and issues
• IMOS will focus in the next 5 years on the ocean – shelf interactions.
The IOOS / IMOS Structure
Coastal Observations in IMOS
• Common tools in the national backbone:– Remote sensing;– Data management & delivery;– National reference stations
• IMOS National Facilities
• Is IMOS Coastal fundamentally about a set of regional nodes, stitched together by a national backbone?
• Is coastal research fundamentally conducted at regional and smaller scales?
BlueLink – a national approach to “coastal” ocean forecasting
Lessons from BlueLink
• A national approach to ocean modelling and prediction resolving ocean-shelf interactions.
• BlueLink II may extend this inshore, at higher resolution (Ribbon model)
• There are natural scales to Australia’s boundary currents & coastal oceans (EAC, Leeuwin, tropical shelves) which exceed regional node scales, and cross state boundaries.
Other national approaches to coastal observations
• Fisheries acoustic networks – spawning migrations & pelagics
• National approaches to catchment & estuarine modelling and monitoring – National Land and Water Resources Audit
• AGO & ICAG: National assessment of coastal vulnerability to climate change – a Coastal Geophysical Spatial (Information) System (links to IMOS?)
Underway observations can be “coastal” & national.
Benefits from national approach
• Natural systems extend beyond local / regional nodes – require integration across nodes.
• Intercomparison across systems eg east vs west coast ecosystems
• Pooling effort to achieve outcomes which are beyond resources of individual nodes
• More efficient implementation of technologies & tools
IMOS Coastal Future – Looking beyond 5 years
• IMOS expected to move inshore & incorporate more biology
• International directions – IGOS Coastal Observing Systems span terrestrial & marine – link GOOS and GTOS
• Linking IMOS, TERN, WRON, …