II Bienal da Agricultura Cuiabá, 19-22/08/2009. Fonte: EIA: "International Energy Outlook 2004.
Transcript of II Bienal da Agricultura Cuiabá, 19-22/08/2009. Fonte: EIA: "International Energy Outlook 2004.
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II Bienal da AgriculturaCuiabá, 19-22/08/2009
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Fonte: EIA: "International Energy Outlook 2004”
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Source: Aspo, 2004.
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2010 2020 2030 2040 2060 2080 2100
Solar, eólica, outras
Demanda Energética
Solar, 3ª geração de biocombustíveis, eólica
2ª geração de biocombustíveis,eólica, solar
1ª geração de biocombustíveis,eólica, solar
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Etanol ebiodiesel
Mixalco, poliálcoois,butanol, DME, HTU,DMF, FT Diesel, Diesel vegetal, gasolina vegetal
Biohidrogênio e3a geração de biocombustíveis
Bio-hidrogênio e outras inovações tecnológicas
2010 2020 2030 2040 2060 2080 2100
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Cana-de-açúcar,cereais, óleos vegetais
Cana-de-açúcar dejetos, óleos e gorduras, pastagens, florestas, algas
Detritos, cana-de-açúcar, floresta, pastagens,algas, óleos e gorduras,
Matéria prima de alta densidade energética
2010 2020 2030 2040 2060 2080 2100
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Fonte: ONU
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Cenários
Mundo cresce 3-3,8% a.a (2010-2030)Brasil cresce 4,1-5,1% a.a (2010-2030)
Renda per cápita = US$5.100,00 (2010)Renda per cápita = US$12.000,00 (2030)
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Cenários
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Cenários
Fonte: EPE/MME
Incremento 1970-2000 = 3,0% a.a.Incremento 1980-2000 = 2,2% a.a.
4,2% 3,6% 3,0%
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Cenários
Fonte: EPE / MME
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Frota atual
19.420.510
9.691.235
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Fonte: ANP
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Investimento em P&D = competitividade
Expansão do estímulo à substituição do diesel
Estímulo às termoelétricas a biomassa
Reunião de Copenhagen = Agenda ambiental
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