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A Technology Ranking MethodologyA Technology Ranking Methodologyfor the Costfor the Cost--Benefit Analysis Benefit Analysis

of Transmission Investments in Europeof Transmission Investments in Europe

Vafeas Athanase, Galant Serge, Pagano Tiziana, Technofi L’Abbate Angelo, ERSE (former CESI RICERCA)

Häger Ulf, Technische Universität Dortmund Fulli Gianluca, JRC – European Commission

SPECIAL SESSION: SUSPLAN & REALISEGRID10th IAEE, EUROPEAN CONFERENCE7-10 September 2009 in Vienna, Austria

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01/10/2009 2TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Challenges related to the transmission grid expansion in Europe

A collective quick scan tool to select candidate technologies

The results of the quick scan tool obtained for two specific technologies • Superconducting cables • VSC-HVDC: Voltage Source Converter-High Voltage Direct

Current

Conclusions

OutlineOutline

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01/10/2009 3TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Future critical investments for interconnected transmission systems involve several TSOs with cross border issues

For given project, many technological options are available due to the many possible promising transmission system technologies

There is a need for a preselection of options based on techno-economic criteria

It is then critical to filter out unrealistic technology optionsbefore any cost benefit analysis is processed

This work deals with the development and use of such a collective quick scan tool: It is a building block of the roadmap construction process for new transmission technologies in the electricity grids

ChallengesChallenges

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Several technology options for a given project

WP1 filtering process

WP3 filtering process:

cost / benefit analysis

A collective quick scan toolA collective quick scan tool

Collective Quick scan Qualitative

Reduced technology options

01/10/2009 4

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01/10/2009 5TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

It is a decision model based on the assessment of: i- the technical performance potential for the system ii- the technical barriers impeding their use in the transmission system

Time horizon is taken into account to support the building of a roadmap (2020 and 2030)TSOs are asked to assess a given promising technology on an individual basis (4 marks per technology per TSO for each time horizon)Once marks are collected, a collective workshop involving all TSOs allows an analysis of consensus / dissent areas for each studied technology

The collective technology quick scan tool: key featuresThe collective technology quick scan tool: key features

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01/10/2009 6TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Each selected innovative power technology has to be integrated into the specific environment of a Transmission System Operator (TSO)This integration process has several interrelated components to be taken into account: • the socio-economic integration• the socio-cultural identity of the company• the existing knowledge within the company • the know-how of its experts

Why the rating can differ from a TSO to another?Why the rating can differ from a TSO to another?

Dimensions influencing the TSO’s environment

Integration into existing knowledge

Integration into Social and cultural identity

Integration into existing know-how

Integration into therelational, social, economic

environment

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01/10/2009 7TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Technical Performance potentialfor the system

Technical barriers towardsSystem integration

5

4

3

2

1

1 2 3 4 5

accessible breakthrough

basic peripheral

2030

2010

Techno 1

Summary of Ranking for Techno 1Summary of Ranking for Techno 1

1:Limited level of barriers in term of technology maturity and accessibility

2: Low level of barriers3: Average level of barriers

4: Significant level of barriers5: Major level of barriers

1: Limited improvement broughtby the technology in terms of

security and stability 2: Low improvement

3: Average improvement 4: Significant improvement

5: Major improvement

The technology ranking methodology:The technology ranking methodology:DescriptionDescription

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01/10/2009 8TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Application in REALISEGRIDApplication in REALISEGRID

The REALISEGRID ranking of innovative power technologies by TSOs gives a first short list of promising technologies prior to an in-depth evaluation of the costs & benefits of their real-life implementation

This first circle of the 4 REALISEGRID TSOs will be enlargedto additional ones in a Stakeholder board to be held on Sept 29th

2009 in Paris

The preliminary outputs will be used during 2nd year of REALISEGRID to answer the following questions:• Which technologies show the highest potential in terms of technical

system integration and performance to be considered in CBA studies?

• What is the ideal development roadmap spanning the period 2010-2030, which will guide investments to support the grid integration of such technologies?

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01/10/2009 9TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Selected promising technologies Selected promising technologies

•Superconducting cables•High Temperature conductors

•Gas Insulated Lines (GIL) •XLPE underground cables

•Phase Shifting Transformers (PST)•Real Time Thermal Rating (RTTR)-based lines/cables

•Wide Area Monitoring Systems (WAMS)/ Phasor Measurement Units (PMU)

•Flexible Alternating Current Transmission System (FACTS):SVC (Static VAR Compensator); STATCOM (Static Compensator); TCSC (Thyristor Controlled Series

Capacitor); SSSC (Static Synchronous Series Compensator); UPFC (Unified Power Flow Controller); DFC (Dynamic Flow

Controller); TCPST (Thyristor Controlled Phase Shifting Transformer)

•High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC): Voltage Source Converter (VSC)-based HVDC (VSC-HVDC)Current Source Converter (CSC)-based HVDC (CSC-HVDC)

•Power Storage (possibly operated by TSOs): Flywheel; Supercapacitor; and Superconducting Magnetic Energy Storage (SMES)

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01/10/2009 10TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Selected promising technology families Selected promising technology families

Real-Time monitoring equipments (RT) RT1) Real Time Thermal Rating (RTTR)RT2) Wide Area Monitoring Systems (WAMS) / Phasor Measurement Units (PMU)

A1) Phase Shifting Transformers (PST)

P1) XLPE underground cables A2-3) High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC)

Voltage Source Converters (HVDC-VSC)

P2) Gas Insulated Lines (GIL) Current Source Converters (HVDC-CSC)

A4-12) Flexible Alternating Current Transmission Systems (FACTS)

P3) High Temperature Conductors SVC SSSC TCPSTTCSC UPFC IPFC

P4) Superconducting cables STATCON DFC TSSC

A13-16) Power Storage possibly operated by TSOs

Flywheel SMES Supercapacitor

Passive equipments (P) Active equipments (A)

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01/10/2009 11TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Selected promising technology families Selected promising technology families

Real-Time monitoring equipments (RT) RT1) Real Time Thermal Rating (RTTR)RT2) Wide Area Monitoring Systems (WAMS) / Phasor Measurement Units (PMU)

A1) Phase Shifting Transformers (PST)

P1) XLPE underground cables A2-3) High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC)

Voltage Source Converters (HVDC-VSC)

P2) Gas Insulated Lines (GIL) Current Source Converters (HVDC-CSC)

A4-12) Flexible Alternating Current Transmission Systems (FACTS)

P3) High Temperature Conductors SVC SSSC TCPSTTCSC UPFC IPFC

P4) Superconducting cables STATCON DFC TSSC

A13-16) Power Storage possibly operated by TSOs

Flywheel SMES Supercapacitor

MARKET

Passive equipments (P) Active equipments (A)

PLANNING

OPERATIONCore

TSO activities

Innovative Promising

Technologiesfor

transmission system

27 specific implementations in 27 Member-States in Europe

IT FR D E GR AT SE NO SI UNO FI K IT FR D E GR AT SE B NL FR D E PO H PT NO

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Technology ranking  of a Superconducting cableTechnology ranking  of a Superconducting cable

2009-07-10 12TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

This exercise involves the experience of European TSOs involved in REALISEGRID

Superconducting cable assessment

TSOa 2010

TSOa 2030

TSOb 2010

TSOb 2030

TSOc 2010

TSOc 2030

TSOd 2010

TSOd 2030

1

3

5

1 3 5

Technical barriers to system integration

Tech

nica

l per

form

ance

pot

entia

l for

the

syst

em

accessible breakthrough

basicperipheral

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Technology ranking  of a VSCTechnology ranking  of a VSC‐‐HVDCHVDC

2009-07-10 13TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

HVDC (VSC) assessment

TSOa 2010

TSOa 2030

TSOb 2010TSOb 2030

TSOc 2010

TSOc 2030

TSOd 2010

1

3

5

1 3 5

Technical barriers to system integration

Tech

nica

l per

form

ance

pot

entia

l for

the

syst

em

accessible breakthrough

basicperipheral

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Conclusions: the quick scan tool in REALISEGRIDConclusions: the quick scan tool in REALISEGRID

Collective discussionConsensus / dissent 19

Collective workshops

Techn. & scientific litt

review

TSOs: knowledge

CBA

REALISEGRID technology

experts

Supercond

HVDC VSC

RTTR

Short list for WP3

Performance (security and stability)

Barriers (maturity and accesibility)1st LIST of promisingtechnologies

2009-07-1014

SCAN criteria

Roadmap

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A methodology, validated by four TSOs, has been developed to be used for an early techno-economic assessment of innovative transmission technologies

This methodology will allow: • filtering-out the set of key technologies that have to be

further scrutinized

• developing a 2020 and 2030 roadmap for the integration of innovative transmission technologies

• performing a cost-benefit analysis, a key stage of the transmission planning process, which takes account of the candidate technologies.

2009-07-10 15TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

ConclusionsConclusions

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ADDITIONAL presentation on the two main dimensions ADDITIONAL presentation on the two main dimensions of the quick scan toolof the quick scan tool

Technical performanceTechnical performancetechnical barrierstechnical barriers

(only if needed for questions)(only if needed for questions)

SPECIAL SESSION: SUSPLAN & REALISEGRID10th IAEE, EUROPEAN CONFERENCE7-10 September 2009 in Vienna, Austria

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01/10/2009 17TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Technical Barriers towards system integrationcombine two factors :

• Maturity : it measures TSOs’ vision about the state of development of the studied technology

• Accessibility to the technology : it measures TSOs’capacity to integrate the technology within their own operations

Technical barriers towardsSystem integration

1 2 3 4 5

The technology ranking methodology:The technology ranking methodology:DescriptionDescription

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01/10/2009 18TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Accessibility to the technology

1: New daily process implementation requiring redesign of part of the system

2: Important impact on daily process implementation3: Average impact on the daily process implementation4 Limited impact on the daily process implementation5: No impact on the daily process implementation

Technology maturity1: just at the idea stage.

2 first on going technology developments3: validated prototypes exist

4: already applied in a few systems5: standard technology applied at a large scale

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

Barrier to system integration =2,5

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5

A linear combination of the two dimensions, ‘technology maturity” and “accessibility of technology”, gives a picture of the barriers to system integration

The technology ranking methodology:The technology ranking methodology:DescriptionDescription

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01/10/2009 19TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Technical Performance Potential depends on:• Security improvement• Stability improvement

These two factors contribute to the reliability of the system when integrated in the long-run

Assumptions• The improvement is defined with respect to the same

transmission system without the integration of the studied technology

• The technologies are assessed when implemented as a stand-alone solution

• This is a limitation of the present work: e.g., the maximization of transmission capacity to face wind issues in some areas of Europe requires the joint use of RTTR, PST and WAMS

Technical Performance potentialfor the system 5

4

3

2

1

The technology ranking methodology:The technology ranking methodology:DescriptionDescription

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01/10/2009 20TREN/FP7/EN/219123/REALISEGRID

Security improvement

1: Limited improvement of the security 2: Low improvement of the security 3: Average improvement of the security 4 : Significant improvement of the security 5: Major improvement of the security

Stability improvement

1: Limited improvement of stability 2: Low improvement of stability

3: Average improvement of stability 4 : Significant improvement of stability

5: Major improvement of stability

1

2

3

4

5

1

2

3

4

5

1

2

3

4

5

PP =3,5

1

2

3

4

5

1 2 3 4 5

A linear combination of the two dimensions, ‘security improvement” and “stability improvement”, gives a picture of the barriers to system integration

The technology ranking methodology:The technology ranking methodology:DescriptionDescription