Identifying complexity in the control of rabies in Bali, Indonesia
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Transcript of Identifying complexity in the control of rabies in Bali, Indonesia
David C. Hall, DVM, PhD
Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, CanadaVeterinarians without Borders/Vétérinaires sans Frontières-Canada
E-mail: [email protected]
Iwan WILLYANTO: Animal Health Consultant, Surabaya, IndonesiaAnak Agung GDE PUTRA: Disease Investigation Center, Denpasar, Indonesia
Edi BASUNO: Indonesian Center for Agricultural, Socioeconomic, and Policy StudiesJeff DAVIDSON: Atlantic Veterinary College, Canada
Controlling Rabies in Bali, IndonesiaIdentifying Complexity
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
OUTLINE
1. Bali and rabies• More than just a pretty beach• Rabies free until 2008• First death from rabies Nov 2009
2. The nature of the problem• Dogs• Culture (people)• Environment
3. Identifying complexity• Cynefin framework approach
3. Conclusions• Policy influence Thanks to FAO, OIE, WSPA, and VWB/VSF-Canada
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
Population• 3.9M in 2010; (3.1M in 2005)
Hindu culture• Implications for rabies control
Rural livelihoods• Agrarian society• Poultry, rice, tourism
Acceptance of dogs• Guard dogs, pets• Strays: beaches, villages, temples
Devolution of authority• Funding and control are your problem
now!
Outbreaks• began November 2008
Cases• Humans: > 100 deaths• Dogs: > 85,000 vaccinated
Initial response• Strychnine, shooting• Culled > 100,000 dogs
Results
• No appreciable impact
• Popln control, vaccination
• Bali Animal Welfare Association (BAWA) – vaccinate and neuter
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
Contributing factors
Humans Cultural issues
• Food offerings at temples
• Tolerance of strays
• Dog markets, other markets
Animals Dogs are not sterilized
Pack, live around food source
Environment Agrarian society & periurban areas
Temples & markets
Beaches & fields
Climate
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
www.idrc.ca
Ecosystem Health Framework
Adapted from Mergler, 2001
Biophysical environment
Economicenvironment
Socio-culturalenvironment Time
www.idrc.ca
6 Methodological Pillars (revis. Hall)
Recognize complexity of systems
Transdisciplinary research
Participatory approach/ Communities
Gender and social equity research
Sustainability
Knowledge to Action
Building Ecohealth Capacity in Asia (BECA)• Cambodia, PR China, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Thailand, Vietnam
• How to build capacity in ecohealth?• Workshops, research activities, policy input
• Promote networking of ecohealth research community• Websites, meetings, document sharing
• Foster monitoring and evaluation of ecohealth research• M&E tools
• Implemented by VWB/VSF-Canada
• Funded by IDRC & AusAID
Rabies Control in Bali, Indonesia
The Cynefin Framework (David Snowden)
From complexity theory to action
Matches situation with response Distinguishes between:
• Simple
• Complicated
• Complex
• Chaos
Essential elements Systems thinking
Recognize adaptive systems
Willingness to probe and analyze
Knowledge guides action Guided response Leads to informed policy making
Kurtz and Snowden, IBM Systems Journal; 2003
Cynefin Framework applied
From complexity theory to action
4)how is the situation framed
• simple, complicated, complex, and chaotic
6)implications of this framing
• relative to situational response
8)appropriate ways to manage
• What does framing tell us
• Options for policy change
Rabies control, Bali, Indonesia• M&E
– Epidemiologic analysis, ecological assessment, policy change– Examine agricultural community practices and wildlife interaction– Cynefin Framework approach to disease management
• Evidence– Epidemiology – prelim. evidence reduction in canine cases– Ecology: dog behaviour, village & cultural factors examined– Policy
– chaos (no plan) – simple (kill the dogs)– complicated (count and vaccinate the dogs) – acceptance of complexity (interaction and thus
response changes over time)
Cynefin Framework applied
Cynefin Framework – results
Broader solutions & examples• One Health/ ecohealth & integrated agriculture
Rabies in Bali, Indonesia – Response• Understand dog ecology & Bali culture• Respect and work with community wishes, communication• Role of NGOs, government • Recommendation: One Health approach, preventing EIDs
Photos: OIE/FAO and WSPA
Rabies in Bali – Current approach to control
1. Population control with vaccination• can and does work in conjunction with
vaccination (VWB/VSF-Canada)
• Bali Animal Welfare Association (BAWA) – vaccinate and neuter (with WSPA and AusAID)
• Target is vaccinate 70% of dogs (>1M)
• Pilot areas - > 87% vaccinated
• Eradication by 2015?
2. Education & Behaviour change• Cause & prevention of rabies• Modifying environmental factors• Dog ownership/ identification
3. Reduce risk factors• As noted plus …• Offshore immigrant dogs?• Wildlife reservoirs (monkeys)? • Capacity to sustain vaccination
Conclusions
3. Complexity and systems thinking matters
5. Policy can be influenced by communities
7. Business management tools can shed light on approaches to health challenges
Rabies in Bali – Complexity matters!
Dogs first, monkeys next?!
Cynefin Framework to Rabies in Bali, Indonesia
•Iwan WILLYANTO: Animal Health Consultant, Surabaya, Indonesia
•Anak Agung GDE PUTRA: Disease Investigation Center, Denpasar, Indonesia
•Edi BASUNO: Indonesian Center for Agricultural, Socioeconomic, and Policy Studies
•Jeff DAVIDSON: Atlantic Veterinary College, Canada
BECA Project•VWB/VSF-Canada, International Development Research Institute, AusAID
Partners