ICAO Air Transport Symposium · 2012. 4. 18. · America West US Airways Delta Northwest Delta...
Transcript of ICAO Air Transport Symposium · 2012. 4. 18. · America West US Airways Delta Northwest Delta...
MERGERS, ALLIANCES & CONSOLIDATIONS,AN AIRPORT PERSPECTIVE
Ian WadsworthChief Commercial
OfficerOfficer
Houston AirportsAirports
U.S. Airline Consolidation
AmericanTWA
American
US AirwaysAmerica West
US Airways
DeltaNorthwest
Delta
United Continental
United
SouthwestAirtran
Southwest
Airline Alliances
Challenges for Airports
Airline Merger Motivations Airport Motivations
Expand network breadth
Increase market power
Grow air service options
Create competition to lowerIncrease market power
Eliminate redundancies
Leverage scale economies
Create competition to lower airfares and grow the market
Diversify airline customer Leverage scale economies base
Support long‐term investment in infrastructureinvestment in infrastructure
Houston – A Case Study
“New” United ‐ The World’s Largest Airline
$32
CY 2009 Total Operating Revenues
$28.9$28.1
$28
$30
$32
olla
rs
$24
$26
$28
ions
of D
o
$20
$22
$
Bill
i
Continental + United Delta + Northwest
Source: Airline Press Releases
The Promise of the Combined Carriers …
Two of the most complementary networks of any U.S. carriers, with minimal domestic and no international route overlaps
A global network accessible from multiple well‐placed hubs
Continued service to all of the communities served by each ycarrier
The most modern, fuel‐efficient fleet and the best new aircraft order book among major U S net ork carriersaircraft order book among major U.S. network carriers
Vast opportunities for frequent flyer customers to earn and redeem miles, including on Star Alliance partnersredeem miles, including on Star Alliance partners
Improved long‐term career opportunities and enhanced job stability for employees
“New” United After Merger
Source: April 2010 OAG
In Houston … Combination of IAH’s 1st & 5th Largest Airlines
IAH Carrier Market Share IAH + HOU Carrier Market ShareBy Total Domestic Onboard Passengers – YE 3Q 2009
USUA
1.8%
FL 0.8% B6
0.3%
By Total Domestic Onboard Passengers – YE 3Q 2009
UA2.3%
F90.7%
DL+NW
AA2.6%
2.1%
US2.7%
AA2.6%
CO67 8%WN
DL NW3.6%DL+NW
3.8%
67.8%WN 20.4%CO
87.9%
Source: U.S. DOT T-100 Database
Only 14 Overlapping Routes …
Most Are Hub To Hub And All Are DomesticMost Are Hub‐To‐Hub And All Are Domestic
Source: April 2010 OAG
Nonstop International Service At The IAH Hub
Moscow (DME)Amsterdam
ParisFrankfurtLondon Heathrow
VancouverAnchorage Edmonton
Calgary MontrealToronto
Quito SingaporeBogotaCaracas
DohaDubaiHonolulu
Tokyo Narita
Lagos
Buenos Aires
Singaporeg
Sao PauloRio de Janeiro
LuandaLima
Auckland
Source: June 2010 OAG with newly announced routes included (AKL and LOS to start in Fall 2011)
IAH Will Have 29% Of All International Services
Based On June 2010 Nonstop Schedules
Mexico/Central
Nonstop International Destinations ServedBy Hub And By Region
Hub Transatlantic Transpacific South America Mexico/Central America/Caribbean Canada All Regions
Newark (EWR) 28 4 3 22 8 65Houston Bush (IAH) 5 2 7 46 4 64
Chicago O'Hare (ORD) 7 4 1 6 12 30Washington Dulles (IAD) 13 2 2 4 5 26Washington Dulles (IAD) 13 2 2 4 5 26
San Francisco (SFO) 2 7 0 4 5 18Denver (DEN) 1 0 0 3 8 12
Los Angeles (LAX) 1 2 0 4 1 8Cleveland (CLE) 0 0 0 2 3 5
Total 57 21 13 91 46 228
Source: June 2010 OAG, Services include only the hub carrier services, no code share operations, Includes 2011 starts of Auckland and Lagos
Changes in Flow Traffic Favorable to Houston
Pre‐Merger Post‐Merger
United sells Los Angeles – Sao Paulo over Washington or Chicago
United sells that passenger over Houston
United sells Washington National – Oklahoma City over Chicago
United sells that passenger over HoustonCity over Chicago
United sells Detroit – Mexico City over Washington Dulles
United sells that passenger over Houston
United sells Orlando – Tokyo Narita over United now can sell that passenger over HoustonWashington Dulles and Chicago
Continental sells Pittsburgh – Sacramento over Houston
United sells that passenger over Denver or Chicago
Continental sells Nashville – Vancouver over Houston
United sells that passenger over Denver
New United Becomes the Largest U.S. Transpacific Airline
West coast hubs better suited than Houston for expansionWest coast hubs better suited than Houston for expansion to Asia
Source: April 2010 OAG
New United Becomes the 2nd Largest U.S. Transatlantic Airline
East coast hubs better suited than Houston for expansionEast coast hubs better suited than Houston for expansion to Europe
Source: June 2010 OAG
New United Becomes The 2nd Largest Airline In The Americas
IAH is ideally situated as United’s primary gateway to Latin America
Source: April 2010 OAG
Houston’s International Passenger Mix
Latin America is 65% of all international traffic
53 %
Mex
ico
–
53 %
Mex
ico
–
i i b k
United Market Concentration
Houston Air Carriers, Departure Seats by Market
Air Canada E i ll k t
Houston Air Carriers, Departure Seats by Market
United67%
Canada33%
Canada
Europe is a smaller market than Latin America, but has
6 competing carriers
United40%
KLM12%
Lufthansa12%
Singapore8%
Europe
Middle East
40%
Air France9%
British19%
12%
UnitedSouthwest
Other11%
USA
Emirates64%
Qatar36%
United95%
VivaAerobus1%
Latin AmericaUnited64%
25%
Aeromexico3%
TACA1%
Merger with Southwest and AirTran
Southwest has proposed international service from H bb i tHobby airport
United’s $1 Billion Terminal B Redevelopment
United to fund terminal/concourses with $700 MM of SFRBs
Houston Airports to f d d i fi ldfund ramp and airfield infrastructure with $300 MM of PFCs
Strategies for Airport Sustainability
At the local level, Airports can:Focus air service development efforts on foreign flag carriers
W k t tt t “N E t t” i h S th t J tWork to attract “New Entrant” carriers, such as: Southwest, Jet Blue, Spirit, and Virgin America in the U.S., and RyanAir, Volaris, Air Asia, and others, elsewhere
Share investment risk with airlinesShare investment risk with airlines
At the national and international levels, we need to:Strengthen government competition policies/oversight to ensure open and fair access to airport facilities
Continue progress towards liberalized international air service agreements
Thank youThank you