Herzog, Sergio (2005). Ethnic and immigrant residential concentration, and crime rates
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Transcript of Herzog, Sergio (2005). Ethnic and immigrant residential concentration, and crime rates
Ethnic and immigrant residential concentration,
and crime rates
Sergio Herzog
Institute of Criminology
The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Suggested Running Head: Immigrant concentration and crime
* The study was financed by a grant from the Haifa University Research Authority.
Address for correspondence:
Sergio Herzog, Ph.D.
Institute of Criminology, Faculty of Law
The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
91905 Mount Scopus, Jerusalem, Israel
Voice: (972)-2-588-3791
Fax: (972)-2-588-1725
2
Ethnic and immigrant residential concentration,
and crime rates
Abstract
One of the main arguments of social disorganization theory is that ethnic
heterogenity, influenced by immigrant residential concentration, is highly disruptive
for community organization and, therefore, highly criminogenic. The effect of
immigrant residential concentration on crime rates is, however, generally masked by
the general effect of the broader category of ethnic heterogeneity. Some recent studies
even suggested a negative relationship between immigrant residential concentration
and crime. The present study, conducted in the city of Haifa, Israel, used
neighborhood level data to test the specific relationship between immigrant residential
concentration and crime rates among recent immigrants from the former Soviet
Union. The results showed that the decomposition of ethnic heterogeneity into its two
main components – immigrant residential concentration and ethnic residential
concentration – served to qualify the predicted effects of social disorganization
theory.
3
Introduction
Sociological research on neighborhood social problems, such as high crime rates,
generally emphasizes the role of community, and social and organizational factors. In
the framework of social disorganization theory, neighborhoods characterized by
negative structural factors, such as economic disadvantage, residential instability,
ethnic heterogeneity, and family disruption, are expected to be more vulnerable to a
wide range of social problems, including elevated crime rates (e.g., Bursik, 1988;
Miethe, Hughes, & McDowall, 1991; Rountree, Land, & Miethe, 1994; Sampson &
Groves, 1989; Smith & Jarjoura, 1989).
Recent studies on neighborhood crime refined and expanded the understanding of
the role of structural factors, such as the role of poverty (Krivo & Peterson, 1996;
Warner, 1999) and residential instability (Ross, Reynolds & Geis, 2000). Empirical
research, however, has yet to focus on the specific role of ethnic and immigrant
concentration. In attempting to fill this gap, the present study extended previous
research investigating the separate role of ethnic and immigrant residential
concentration – and analyzing whether they contribute similarly or differentially to
neighborhood crime rates.
Literature review
Social disorganization theory has traditionally emphasized the geographical
distribution of crime and the structural characteristics of neighborhoods related to this
distribution. Among the latter, neighborhood ethnic (or racial) heterogeneity,
influenced by factors such as residential concentration of ethnic and foreign-born
minorities, has traditionally been perceived by social disorganization theory as
disruptive for community organization, and consequently highly criminogenic; thus a
4
positive relationship between both ethnic and immigrant residential concentrations
and neighborhood crime rates has been predictable. Within this theoretical frame, the
thesis that ethnic and immigration concentrations are linked with high crime rates is
widespread and well known. It was established by the early research of Shaw and
McKay (1969), who already in the 1930s reported that urban neighborhoods with high
concentrations of African American and immigrant families were also places with the
highest rates of urban juvenile crime.
According to social disorganization theory, areas with large proportions of
immigrants are culturally complex; they are more likely to be characterized by a
plurality of value systems, norms, and experiences, which limit the development of
effective social control structures (e.g., Smith & Jarjoura, 1989). In fact, Shaw and
McKay (1969, p. 172) argued, for example, that “… unlike children from middle-
class living in relatively homogeneous neighborhoods, who are usually insulated from
value systems that favor law violation and are more easily socialized into
conventional values and behaviors, children living in lower class areas of ethnic
heterogeneity are exposed to a variety of contradictory standards and forms of
behavior rather than to a relatively consistent and conventional pattern …” (see also
Warner, 2003, p. 74). Accordingly, ethnic heterogeneity has been thought to thwart
the ability of neighborhood residents to achieve consensus, realize common goals, and
reduce crime (e.g., Miethe et al., 1991; Sampson & Groves, 1989).
Note that the proposition that neighborhood crime is caused, at least partially, by a
great presence of immigrants seems quite logical not only to social disorganization
theory but also to other theoretical viewpoints (for a recent review, see Martinez &
Lee, 2000). Cultural models have asserted that unlike natives, immigrants face
acculturation and assimilation difficulties in the host country, which may be
5
criminogenic (Sellin, 1938). Moreover, new immigrants have tended to settle in urban
areas where co-ethnic communities have been established by past immigration.
Research revealed that this immigrant residential concentration has tended to occur in
poor inner-city neighborhoods, characterized by structural characteristics often
associated with crime, such as low socio-economic status and high unemployment
rates (e.g., Logan, Alba & Zhang, 2002; Martinez & Lee, 2000).
Recent formulations of social disorganization theory have also supported this view.
In them, the aforementioned negative community features have also traditionally been
perceived as having deleterious consequences for community social organization,
mainly weakening and limiting formal and informal networks, which in turn account
for variations in crime and delinquency (e.g., Sampson & Groves, 1989; Sampson,
Morenoff & Earls, 1999; Sampson, Raudenbush & Earls, 1997; Warner, 1999;
Warner & Pierce, 1993). In this framework, “collective efficacy” is a relatively new
concept, used to describe the differential ability of neighborhoods to realize common
values. Variations in collective efficacy has been perceived as the result of a
neighborhood’s social characteristics such as socio-economic status, residential
stability, family disruption, and also social heterogeneity (see Sampson et al., 1997).
In line with these propositions, ethnic differences among people have been also
perceived as both increasing the likelihood that neighbors would be strangers and
diminishing and restricting the development of informal community ties and
friendship networks with the other residents in their neighborhood. These
circumstances have lead to limited development of effective social control structures
and, consequently, to higher rates of crime (e.g., Ross et al, 2000; Sampson, 1991;
Sampson et al., 1997; Warner, 1999; Warner & Rountree, 1997). Although it could be
argued that various ethnic groups residing in the same neighborhood shared
6
conventional values (e.g., reducing crime), ethnic heterogeneity has also been
perceived by social disorganization theory as impeding communication and patterns
of interaction between neighborhood residents, thus obstructing the quest to solve
common problems and reach common goals (e.g., Bursik, 1988; Miethe et al., 1991;
Rose, 2000; Sampson et al., 1997). According to Sampson et al (1997, p. 920) “…
immigrant concentration describes neighborhoods of ethnic and linguistic
heterogeneity, and there is reason to believe that immigrant concentration decreases
the ability of residents to realize common values and to achieve social controls which
in turn explains an increased risk of violence.”
Inmigrant residential concentration
Conceptually, ethnic homogeneity and heterogeneity form two ends of a continuum
describing the ethnic composition of neighborhoods at a given time. Ethnic
heterogeneity has represented the probability that two randomly chosen persons have
not belonged to the same ethnic group. In concrete terms, because most studies based
on ecological theories, particularly social disorganization theory, have been conducted
in the U.S. (except for a few in England: Sampson, 1988, 1991; Sampson & Groves,
1989), neighborhood ethnic heterogeneity have referred theoretically to the existence
of considerable proportions of native-born Blacks and immigrants versus native-born
Whites in the chosen units of analysis (Ross et al., 2000; Sampson et al., 1997).
Despite these two theoretical components of ethnic heterogeneity, however, a
review of studies has revealed that most of them dealt mainly with ethnic
heterogeneity in terms of the proportion of Black in relation to White residents in the
analyzed geographical units, thus masking or even ignoring the specific, and perhaps
different effect of immigrant residential concentration on crime rates.
7
THE PRESENT STUDY
Basically, both this dichotomized conceptualization of ethnic heterogeneity between
Whites and Blacks and the lack of specific reference to immigrants should not be
problematic for social disorganization theory: both early and recent formulations of
this theory have consistently considered any combination of different ethnic groups in
a given neighborhood as disruptive for community organization (e.g., Morenoff &
Sampson, 1997; Sampson et al., 1997). A major limitation of this approach, however,
has been the tacit assumption that the effects of ethnic (or racial) and immigrant
residential concentrations were similar and in the same direction. There is reason to
question this claim, as the immigrant experience has changed in recent years and
immigrant concentration has not occured necessarily in the inner cities and has been
sometimes a choice rather than a constraint (Logan et al., 2002). Accordingly, the
separate effects of ethnic and immigrant heterogeneity in the framework of social
disorganization theory need to be reconsidered.
In this context, recent urban perspectives, such as the “ethnic community” approach,
have suggested that a high proportion of immigrants residing in a neighborhood might
not be disruptive for community organization; on the contrary, it might even
constitute a positive organizing force in many cities, for both the immigrants and the
neighborhood as a whole (e.g., Breton, 1964; Logan et al., 2002; Majka & Mullan,
2002).
THE “ETHNIC COMMUNITY” APPROACH
According to the “ethnic community” approach, immigrant residential concentration
has often provided the basis for important social functions that facilitate immigrants’
8
social and economic integration to the host society. For new immigrants recently
settled, neighborhoods with a high proportion of immigrants already living there have
provided emotional, social, and cultural support, as well as other resources including
information, housing, initial entry into the labor market, and social capital, which has
helped them adapt to the new environment (Aldrich, Cater, Jones, McEvoy &
Velleman, 1985; Bailey & Waldinger, 1991; Hagan, 1998; Logan et al., 2002). In
addition, when public attitudes to immigrants are negative, the ethnic neighborhood
provides a shelter from discrimination and abuse (Zhou & Logan, 1989). In some
cases, immigrant residential concentration is the first step in the formation of an
ethnic community, that is, areas in which members of a particular population group
congregate as a means of enhancing their social and cultural traditions (Marcuse,
1997).
Apart from these advantages for new immigrants, studies on ethnic communities
have also emphasized the positive impact of immigrant residential concentration for
the non-immigrant population in the neighborhood (e.g., Carmon, 1998; Smith,
Tarallo & Kagiwada, 1991; Winnick, 1990). For example, immigrants may serve as a
catalyst for urban revitalization, bringing new life to the streets where they live and
work. The feeling of activity and vitality generated by the presence of large numbers
of people for many hours of the day has been likely to instill a sense of security in
neighborhoods that may previously have been considered unsafe and dangerous.
Immigrant concentration has also increased the demand for housing and possibilities
for employment in the neighborhood. It has been suggested that immigrant residential
concentration facilitates collective mobilization and the achievement of collective
goals. Togeby (1999) employed the term “double integration” to denote the notion
that immigrants integrated more easily in the new country if they were well integrated
9
in their own ethnic group. Indications of the latter may be seen in the immigrants’
membership in ethnic associations and the development of an “institutional
completedness,” a formal structure containing organizations of various sorts,
including educational, political, recreational, and mutual aid organizations (Breton,
1964). These social networks have played an important role in fostering social and
political involvement in neighborhood issues.
Within a criminological context, an important implication of the ethnic community
approach has been that contrary to the propositions of social disorganization theory,
immigrant residential concentration is not necessarily related to high neighborhood
crime rates. Basically, the rationale underlying the ethnic approach is that immigrants
living in areas with high concentrations of co-ethnics are embedded in a web of social
relationships with family, friends, neighbors, and co-workers. Within these circles,
people convey expectations to others about the kinds of behaviors that are appropriate
and desirable (Ramakrishnan & Espenshade, 2001). These social networks can
identify those who comply with the social expectations and those who do not, and
they can reward the participants and withhold reward from others (Rosenstone &
Hansen, 1993).
The main aim of this study was to explore empirically the specific effects of urban
concentration of immigrants on neighborhood crime rates: in this study it was
analyzed whether the specific relationship between immigrant residential
concentration in a given neighborhood and crime rates was similar to or different
from the broader relationship between ethnic heterogeneity, usually measured only in
terms of ethnic residential concentration, and crime rates.
10
THE RESEARCH CONTEXT
The choice of Israel for the investigation of the relationship between ethnic and
immigrant residential concentrations and crime rates was particularly appropriate in
view of the existence of a large (only native-born) Arab ethnic minority (constituting
18 percent of the total population) 1 and large numbers of recent new immigrants
(arriving during the 1990s), mainly from the former Soviet Union, who since then
have formed the largest single country-of-origin group in the Jewish population of
Israel (CBS, 2004).
There has been increasing concern in Israel regarding the involvement of new
immigrants from the former Soviet Union in criminal activities. Such an increase has
been, indeed, reflected in the criminal statistics of the Israel Police with regard to both
property and violent crime (see Rattner, 1997). The police and the media have seemed
to be particularly concerned about the active involvement of immigrants from the
former Soviet Union, adults and juveniles, males and females, in organized crime,
especially blackmail, extortion, illegal and black-market trading, smuggling, and
prostitution (Horowitz, 1998; Lemish, 2000; Tartakovsky & Mirsky, 2001).
In contrast to this negative image, however, other features pertaining to new
immigrants from the former Soviet Union seem to support the assertions of the ethnic
community approach. These immigrants have developed a highly organized
community, on the local and national levels alike. This trend may be exemplified by a
number of developments. First, with the approach of the 1996 general election,
leaders of immigrants from the former Soviet Union established their own national
political party, winning seven (out of 120) parliamentary seats, entering the
government coalition, with two of their leaders becoming cabinet ministers. In 1998
the party decided to run in the local elections as well. Second, these immigrants’ large
11
numbers created a demand for mass communication media (newspapers, journals, and
a television station) in Russian, which in turn contributed to the development of the
community by supporting its economic activities and advertising immigrant
establishments. Third, a policy shift by the Israeli authorities from bureaucratic
absorption to individual absorption resulted in less governmental involvement in
absorption and reduced services for immigrants. As a result, the importance of social
networks and immigrant voluntary organizations in helping the immigrant gain access
to housing, employment, language classes, and health became more salient (Leshem
& Lissak, 2000).
The present research was conducted in Haifa, the third largest city in Israel (with a
population of about 250,000 residents). Haifa is a culturally diverse city, its urban
Jewish secular majority sharing space with both new immigrants from the former
Soviet Union and Israeli-Arabs. The Arab native population constitutes 13 percent of
the city’s population, the remnant of a much larger pre-1948 Palestinian population.
At the end of the 1948 war, almost half of the Arab population of Haifa was
concentrated in a limited geographical area (known as Wadi an-Nisnas). Over the
years, however, adjacent areas have been added to this core area, and segregation
indexes calculated for the last forty years show that residential segregation of the
Arabs from the Jewish population has increased over time. Given the high levels of
residential segregation, it is not surprising that social interaction between the two
groups is generally low. On average, the Arab population of Haifa enjoys lower
socioeconomic status than that of the Jewish population, is residentially segregated,
and faces barriers to residential mobility (Falah, 1996; Lewin-Epstein & Semyonov,
1994).
12
Since the early 1990s, about 53,000 new immigrants from the former Soviet Union
have settled in Haifa. Although new immigrants from other countries have also
reached the city, more than 90 percent of new immigrants in Haifa came from the
former Soviet Union (Israeli Ministry of Absorption, 2003). Hence, during the
nineties the immigrant sector from the former Soviet Union accounted for more than
one-fifth of the city’s population.
Similar to the situation of Arabs in the city, one of the main features of the
settlement of immigrants from the former Soviet Union in Haifa is their high
residential concentration. Their spatial distribution among Haifa’s neighborhoods is
uneven, and a large number of immigrants and immigrants’ businesses has been
located in relatively less advantaged, specific areas (see Mesch, 2002). The spatial
distribution of the immigrant population in the city is uneven. While the immigrant
population represents 20 percent of the city population, immigrants represent almost
41 percent of the population of Hadar Hacarmel, 31 percent of the population of
Western Carmel, and 28 percent of the population of Neve Shaanan. This has led to a
dramatic demographic change in the city and some of its traditional neighborhoods.
A relatively large percentage of the new immigrants are residentially concentrated
in the Hadar Hacarmel area. Before the arrival of the immigrants, Hadar Hacarmel
was an inner city area rapidly declining on every urban indicator. Between 1972 and
1983 the population declined by 17 percent, the average income and average
education were below the city average. The rate of the elderly population in the area
was higher that the proportion generally in the city, the rate of minorities groups in the
total population was increasing, housing density was higher than in other areas of the
city, and the proportion of homeowners was lower (Kipnis, 1998). In fact, not only
was Hadar Hacarmel declining before the arrival of the new immigrants, it was losing
13
its attraction as a residential area. Residents of other areas perceived the Hadar
Hacarmel as a low status area, with a poor reputation in terms of physical appearance
and social composition (Kipnis, 1998). The arrival of immigrants caused a dramatic
change in this area.
The demographic change in the city had an impact on the housing stock, in
particular during the first year after the immigrants' arrival. New immigrants occupied
a large number of empty dwellings. The increased demand for housing raised the
purchase price of apartments and monthly rents. Whereas in 1988 the price of a two-
bedroom apartment was $22-27,000, three years later in 1991, the price for the same
apartment was $70-85,000. The increase in rents was from $250 to $400 a month for a
two-bedroom apartment (Carmon, 1998).
Moreover, in line with the ethnic community approach, some studies (e.g., Carmon
1998) showed that unlike the Arab residential areas, the settlement of immigrants
from the former Soviet Union in the city has halted the deterioration of these areas
and initiated a process of social and physical revitalization. In addition, the
immigrants succeeded in establishing educational, social, and political frameworks for
negotiating with the local government over the allocation of financial as well as
political resources for the former Soviet Union's community. For example, in January
1995, a non-governmental organization (NGO) was set up whose goal was to provide
housing, employment, and educational services to the immigrant population. The
NGO has a board of directors, headed by a former immigrant, representatives of
different immigrant organizations, and representatives of local government. Only 40
percent of the operating budget comes from the local government. The NGO has
supported institutional structures, such as recreation and community centers, in which
14
cultural activities have been conducted in Russian and directed to this population
(Mesch, 2002).
METHOD
Much of the research examining the effect of structural social features on crime
rates have used neighborhoods as units of analysis (e.g., Krivo & Peterson, 1996;
Logan & Stults, 1999; Miethe et al., 1991; Peterson, Krivo & Harris, 2000; Warner,
2003; Warner & Rountree, 1997). Similar to these studies, the empirical analysis of
this research combined data on ecological characteristics of all neighborhoods in the
Haifa metropolitan area (n = seventy three) and crime rates. The ecological data,
serving as independent and control variables, were from the most recent Census of
Population and Housing conducted in Israel, in 1995. The data were published by the
Strategic Planning Unit of the Haifa Municipality. The Israeli National Police
provided geo-coded counts for reported crime statistics in this year for all tracts in the
city. These data constituted the dependent variables in this study. Thus, both census
track and crime data referred to the same year - 1995.
In this study census tracts were used as the best objective approximation of
neighborhoods. It could be argued that census tracts do not necessarily correspond to
neighborhoods in a socially meaningful sense (see Peterson et al., 2000, pp. 38).
Tracts are the smallest unit for which Haifa neighborhood and crime data are
available, however, and they have been used in many prior analyses of urban crime.2
On the other hand, the crime data in this study were for officially reported
victimizations only. As similarly stated in other studies (e.g., Bursik, 1988, pp. 533-4;
Logan & Stults, 1999, pp. 258; Miethe et al., 1991, pp. 170; Warner & Pierce, 1993,
pp. 494), the controversy over the use of reported crime data as measures of the
15
incidence of crime has been well known: the number of reported crimes has been
shown to be considerably lower that the actual number of incidents. Alternative
sources such as victimization data, however, were not available for 1995 at the
geographic level of this study (Logan & Stults, 1999, pp. 258).
DEPENDENT VARIABLES
The dependent variables of this study were given by the overall rates in the census
tract of total, violent (homicide, assault, attempted assault, rape, and threats), and
property (theft, larceny, robbery, and burglary) crime (see Krivo & Peterson, 1996;
Logan & Stults, 1999; Peterson et al., 2000) reported to the Israeli police in 1995.3
In this study violent and property crimes were examined for a variety of reasons.
First, it was decided to examine these offenses separately to determine whether the
model works differently for different categories of crime. As known, violent and
property offenses are committed by different reasons – both expressive (for express
some internal state or mood) and instrumental (for gaining a personal advantage, such
as money, valuable tools, etc.). This decision was intended to increase both the
validity and the generalization of the research findings. It could not be hypothesized
here, at least at this step of the research, which offenses would be more predicted and
which less, by the dependent variables. Second, these crimes are frequent and serious
enough to warrant empirical investigation. Third, some studies (e.g., Rountree et al.,
1994; Smith & Jarjoura, 1989; Warner & Pierce, 1993; Warner & Rountree, 1997)
have analyzed rates for specific offenses (e.g., assault, burglary). In this study, the
tract’s overall rates of burglaries (private and commercial) were analyzed separately.
This was due both to their relatively high absolute numbers, and to their relatively
reliable, formal statistics, including the fact that their formal recording generally is not
16
influenced at all by differential police activities (the police task in this context is
exclusively reactive, regardless of the characteristics of the offender involved, mostly
unknown to the victim) or by public reporting patterns (the main motivation of the
reporting concerns insurance compensation). For all crime measures the average
number of crimes per 1,000 population were calculated. Accordingly, the total
number of reported events in each crime category within each tract was divided by the
total tract population and multiplied by 1,000 to obtain an offense rate per 1,000
populations for each tract.
INDEPENDENT AND CONTROL VARIABLES
Consistent with social disorganization theory, the independent variables in this
study were given by ethnic heterogeneity, socioeconomic status, and residential
stability. As previously stated, studies on social disorganization theory have
traditionally masked immigrant residential concentration behind the broader concept
of ethnic heterogeneity. Accordingly, ethnic heterogeneity was applied in two ways in
this study: (1) in the “classic” way, as a unified variable: both Arab and former Soviet
Union immigrant residential concentrations calculated together; (2) in order to
overcome the methodological limitation of many studies on social disorganization
theory, this variable was also calculated as a decomposed variable: Arab and former
Soviet Union immigrant residential concentrations calculated separately.
Operationally, the unified variable was calculated as the percentage of (post-1989)
former Soviet Union immigrants and non-Jews (Arabs) in each census tract, and in the
decomposed variable both residential concentrations were calculated separately.
Socioeconomic status was a composite variable. Following previous work (see
Sampson, 1991; Sampson & Groves, 1989), three items were included in this
17
variable: percentage of residents employed in academic and managerial positions,
percentage of residents with college education, and percentage of residents with
graduate education. The items were subjected to a principal component factor analysis
resulting in one factor (Eigenvalue = 2.355). Internal reliability was acceptable with
Cronbach’s alpha at .852. In the multivariate analysis a regression factor score was
used. Residential stability referred to the percentage of residents living five or more
years in the same tract (see Logan & Stults, 1999; Miethe et al., 1991; Rose, 2000;
Ross et al., 2000; Warner, 2003; Warner & Rountree, 1997).
According to social disorganization theory, family disruption is viewed as
undermining traditional forms of informal control within the community. Studies
using a measure of family disruption (generally, percentage divorced/separated) have
reported a positive relationship with crime measures (see Sampson & Groves, 1989;
Warner & Pierce, 1993). Due to the fact that the Israeli Census unfortunately did not
provide measures of single-parent families, here the percentage of divorced women
was used as a proxy of family disruption by dividing their numbers by the total
number of females aged sixteen and over in each census tract. This measure was
similar to the census track divorce rate that had been used in a number of previous
studies (Martinez & Lee, 2000; Warner & Pierce, 1993). Finally, as control variables
the percentage of adolescents aged fifteen to nineteen in each tract was also calculated
(see Krivo & Peterson, 1996; Peterson et al., 2000), and density was measured as the
relationship between the number of neighborhood residents in each tract and its size
(see Smith & Jarjoura, 1989).
18
Data analysis
Multivariate data analysis was conducted using ordinary least squares multiple
regressions. Due to the fact that the number of census tracts was relatively small (n =
seventy three), special attention was paid to multicollinearity and heteroscedasticity.
Multicollinearity was tested using variance inflation factors. In the models, no
variable was found with a factor higher than three. Standardized residuals were
examined using the Breusch-Pagan global test for the possibility of high correlation
between standardized residuals and the predictor variables. No heteroscedasticity was
found.
RESULTS
The analysis was started by presenting descriptive statistics of the socioeconomic,
demographic, and crime characteristics of the city’s neighborhoods (n = seventy
three) and the correlations for all variables.
[INSERT TABLE ONE ABOUT HERE]
From Table 1 it is possible to see that the components of ethnic heterogeneity –
(post-1989) former Soviet Union's immigrant and Arab residential concentrations
(variables one and two) – shared similar means (about 20 percent), although the
dispersion of the latter was somewhat wider.
[INSERT TABLE TWO ABOUT HERE]
This finding was further investigated and in Table Two the distribution of the
immigrant and Arab Israeli population according to the concentration of the group in
neighborhoods was presented. One salient finding of the Table was that most of the
FSU immigrants and Arab Israelis lived in heterogeneous neighborhoods. As shown
53 percent of the immigrants and 57.8 percent of the Arab Israelies resided in a
19
neighborhood in which each group was less than 10 percent of the population.
Regarding residing in homogeneous neighborhoods, 10.5 percent of the city residents
were Arab Israelis, but only 5 percent of the new immigrants resided in
neighborhoods in which they were more than 50 percent of the population.
[INSERT TABLE THREE ABOUT HERE]
When inspecting the correlation matrix, the results for the three socioeconomic
measures (variables three to five) and the density variable (variable ten) were of
interest: Increased proportions of former Soviet Union new immigrants and Arabs in a
tract was associated with increased social disadvantage and density. Note, however,
that although both groups lived in economically disadvantaged neighborhoods, the
correlation coefficients were stronger for the Arab population than for the former
Soviet Union immigrants. The percentage of former Soviet Union new immigrants in
a tract was positively correlated with residential instability (variables six and seven),
family disruption (variable eight), and three measures of crime rates (variables eleven
to thirteen); the percentage of Arabs in a tract was positively correlated with
residential stability (variable six) and percentage of adolescents (variable nine).
Unlike the situation for percentage of Arab Israelis, no significant correlation was
found between the percentage of immigrants and the four crime measures.
Table four presented the results of the regression models for the four crime rates
(dependent variables), the measures of ethnic heterogeneity (analyzed as a unified
variable for former Soviet Union new immigrant and Arab residential concentrations
taken together), neighborhood socioeconomic status, residential stability, family
disruption, and two control variables: percentage of adolescents and density.
[INSERT TABLE FOUR ABOUT HERE]
20
The findings presented in Table four were largely consistent along the four crime
measures: family disruption was associated with higher crime rates; population
density was also significantly related to all crime measures. The remaining
coefficients for ethnic heterogeneity, socioeconomic status, residential stability, and
percentage of youth were not significant in any of the models.
Table five presented the same regression models analyzed in Table four but with the
ethnic heterogeneity variable separated into its two main components, former Soviet
Union new immigrant and Arab residential concentrations (i.e., the two components
were treated as separate variables).
[INSERT TABLE FIVE ABOUT HERE]
Similar to the findings of Table four, the regression findings presented in Table five
were highly consistent along the four crime measures for almost all variables. Again,
the family disruption variable showed significant, strong and positive coefficients in
the four models. Unlike Table four, however, a substantial negative relationship was
obtained between percentage of former Soviet Union new immigrant residents in the
tract and the four crime variables. For Arab residential concentration – the second
component of ethnic heterogeneity – a significant positive relationship, weaker than
the former, was found only with regard to total and violent crime rates. For property
crime and burglary taken separately, this relationship, although also positive, was not
significant.
Also unlike Table four, Table five showed significant, strong and negative
coefficients for socioeconomic status and residential stability in the four analyzed
models; the higher the population density in the tract, the higher the rates of total,
violent, and property crime. Similar to Arab residential concentration, a non-
significant coefficient was obtained in the burglary model. Note also that compared
21
with the foregoing table, Table three showed substantially increased R2s in the four
models.
DISCUSSION
The aim of the present study was to investigate the specific relationship between
neighborhood ethnic concentration and crime rates. According to social
disorganization theory, variations in crime rates among neighborhoods are the result
of neighborhood differences in social and organizational characteristics. Both earlier
and recent versions of this perspective have stipulated that high concentration of
immigrants in a neighborhood, as a component of ethnic heterogeneity, diminished
the capacity of the community to regulate its members and to mobilize them for the
achievement of collective goals (Morenoff & Sampson, 1997; Sampson et al., 1997).
A central goal of any community is to provide its members a safe and orderly
environment. Accordingly, social disorganization theory has suggested that negative
neighborhood characteristics, such as low socioeconomic status, residential
instability, family disruption, and ethnic heterogeneity, influenced by high residential
concentration of immigrants, were disruptive for social organization, leading to higher
crime rates (e.g., Bursik, 1988; Miethe et al., 1991; Sampson, 1991; Sampson et al.,
1997; Sampson & Groves, 1989; Smith & Jarjoura, 1989; Warner, 1999; Warner &
Rountree, 1997).
This research's findings are partially consistent with social disorganization theory,
as it was found that low socioeconomic status, residential instability, and family
disruption were positively related to neighborhood crime rates (Tables two and three).
Poverty and social disadvantage are usually associated with negative community
outcomes, such as higher levels of crime. Generally, poverty has impeded the ability
22
of communities to sustain basic institutional structures and various sources of social
control that normally serve to discourage and fight crime effectively (Krivo &
Peterson, 1996). In addition, long-term residents are usually acquainted with one
another, participate in local voluntary associations, develop rules that govern social
behavior, and enforce them through informal social control (e.g., Sampson, 1988;
Sampson & Groves, 1989; Smith & Jarjoura, 1989). Family disruption has been often
negatively related to social organization and positively related to crime rates. Informal
social control has been more difficult to achieve in areas in which the percentage of
single female families was high (e.g., Krivo & Peterson, 1996; Sampson et al., 1997;
Warner & Pierce, 1993).
This research's results with regard to former Soviet Union immigrant residential are
consistent with expectations from the ethnic community approach. A negative
relationship was obtained between immigrants residential concentration and the four
measures of crime, and a positive relationship was obtained between Arab residential
concentration and crime, especially total and violent crime. These findings emphasize
the importance of separating ethnic heterogeneity into its components. Research has
consistently found relatively lower crime rates for immigrants than for their native-
born counterparts (for reviews see Martinez & Lee, 2000; Yaeger, 1997).
This study's findings are consistent with the ethnic community approach (Majka &
Mullan, 2002). According to this approach, the existence of ethnic communities with
large concentrations of immigrants serves to facilitate immigrant adjustment and
neighborhood organization. Such communities have the capacity to achieve
institutional completeness, that is, the development of formal structures in which
educational, political, recreational, and mutual aid immigrant organizations operate
and control social relations within the community (Breton, 1964).
23
As stated, the pattern of settlement of immigrants from the former Soviet Union in
Haifa was mainly in inner city neighborhoods, which before their arrival were
declining in population and homeownership and increasing in Arab Israeli
concentration. The arrival of these immigrants in these areas apparently served as a
catalyst for neighborhood revitalization and stability. Their presence reduced the
percentage of unoccupied apartments, increased the rate of homeownership and
created a feeling of business and community activity that had a positive effect on
neighborhood social organization. Note that neither of these relationships are uniquely
expected by social disorganization theory, but by others theories, among them broken
windows, routine activities, and political economy.
As also stated, the former Soviet Union immigrants of the recent wave have
apparently succeeded in establishing highly organized communities based on mutual
aid and voluntary association. Previous research has revealed the existence of social
networks that facilitate the mobilization of resources in Haifa’s immigrant
neighborhoods as reflected, for instance, in the strong positive relationship between
immigrant residential concentration and voting for a Russian party in local elections
(Mesch, 2002).4
The higher exposure of the Arab population to crime can be explained in terms of
residential segregation in which the Arabs, because of discrimination in the housing
market, face barriers that constrain their residential mobility, channelling Arabs into
the worst neighborhoods and preventing them from moving out of the worst
neighborhoods; these barriers do not exist for the immigrants from the former Soviet
Union (see Falah, 1996). Furthermore, the correlation matrix indicates that while both
groups tend to be residents of disadvantaged neighborhoods, the Arab population is
concentrated in the most disadvantaged ones. This pattern of residence in
24
disadvantaged areas is very likely a possible explanation, even more plausible than
the explanation provided by social disorganization theory, for the higher exposure of
Arabs to crime.
Concerning the conclusions of this study, it would be added that other research
questions could be formulated and added with similar, but not exactly the same, future
data. For example, it will be interesting to determine whether the effect of the
percentage of FSU immigrant concentration is mediated by the percentages of both
vacant and owned apartments. Ideally these questions could be answered using panel
data, and this possibility is considered by the article's author.
In sum, the findings of this study point to the need to address the assumed effect of
ethnic heterogeneity in social disorganization theory studies with more caution. The
effects of disadvantaged minorities and immigrant residential concentration on crime
do indeed need to be analyzed separately. Consequently, it would be suggested that
further analyses of social disorganization theory would take into account other social
theories, such as the ethnic community approach, while analyzing their findings; such
expansion of the social disorganization theory would only benefit its analyses, while
analyzing whether its main findings and hypotheses would be still relevant while
applying other theoretical frames.
25
NOTES
1. For those unfamiliar with some demographic characteristics of Israel it is
important to clarify that the origin of the Arab population of Haifa is in the Arab
families that were residents of the city before the creation of the State of Israel.
2. The average population size of census tracks in Haifa is 2,770 individuals. The
smallest census track has a population of 600 and the biggest a population of 5,810.
3. It needs to be emphasized that terrorist, military, and criminal acts directly
related to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict were excluded from the study. The study
focused only on criminal acts typically committed both in Israel and abroad, hence
enhancing the opportunity to generalize this research's findings to other national
contexts.
4. In this regard another explanation for the research's findings may be related to
less significative levels of crime reporting in areas with higher concentrations of
Russian immigrants.
26
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31
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics and Correlations for all Variables for all Neighborhoods in Haifa (n = 73).
Variable
category
Variable Mea
n
SD Min. Max.
A. Ethnic 1. Percent FSU
immigrants
20.36 16.15 0.00 66.67
heterogeneity 2. Percent Arabs 18.21 25.26 0.00 96.44
B. Socioeconomic 3. Percent acad./manag.
Positions
32.95 12.66 8.1 58.5
Status 4. Percent college
education
21.40 7.58 2.9 57.2
5. Percent graduate
education
17.64 9.95 2.9 38.7
C. Residential 6. Percent 5-year
residence
59.77 13.68 5.4 89.4
Stability 7. Percent homeowners 20.62 11.20 8.8 89.4
D. Fam.
Disruption
8. Percent divorced
women
6.57 2.79 0.06 13.7
E. Control 9. Percent adolescents
15-19
6.57 11.20 0.0 52.40
Variables 10. Density 7.96 6.74 0.0 3.10
Dependent 11. Rate of total crime 46.89 38.58 3.48 49.31
Variables 12. Rate of violent crime 4.07 8.44 0.0 53.60
13. Rate of property
crime
42.82 40.48 2.61 247.8
14. Rate of burglary 12.73 19.54 0.0 26.96
+ p < .10 ; * p < .05 ; ** p < .01
32
Table 2: Concentration of FSU immigrants and Arab Population in City Neighborhoods (n = 73).
Neighborhood
composition
Percentage of
immigrants
Percentage of
Arabs
0-10 percent 53% 57.9%
11-30 percent 26% 23.7%
31-50 percent 16% 6.6%
50 or more 5% 10.5%
33
Table 3 Correlation Matrix of the Variables in the Analysis
Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
1. Percent FSU immigrants 1.00
2. Percent Arabs .068 1.00
3. Percent acad./manag. positions -.50* -.60* 1.00
4. Percent college education -.13 -.49* .59* 1.00
5. Percent graduate education -.48* -.58* .89* .54* 1.00
6. Percent 5-year residence -.53* .22* .12 -.13 .14 1.00
7. Percent homeowners -.31* .61* .37* .10 .38* .70* 1.00
8. Percent divorced women .58* -.04 -.42* -.20 -.39* -.36* -.20 1.00
9. Percent adolescents 15-19 -.14 .23** -.07 -.50* -.17 .01 .68* -.19 1.00
10. Density .43* .17 -.33* -.09 -.32* -.16 .37* .31* .39* 1.00
11. Rate of total crime .22 .26* -.29* -.31* -.28* -.48* -.52* .37* .17 -.19 1.00
12. Rate of violent crime .21 .34** -.37* -.32* -.34* -.42* -.52* .36* .14 -.11 .96* 1.00
13. Rate of property crime .22 .25* -.28* -.31* -.27* -.49* -.52* .37* .17 -.20 .97* .95* 1.00
14. Rate of burglary .01 -.04 -.02 -.001 .02 -.03 -.08* .31* -.37* .05 .39* .36* .39 1.00
34
Table 4: Typical Social Disorganization - OLS Regression Analysis
Dependent
variables
Total crime Violent crime Property crime Burglary
Independent and
control variables
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
Paramete
r estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficient
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
A. Ethnic
heterogeneity
.367
(.451)
.141 .065
(.046)
.242 .302
(.406)
.129 .002
(.119)
.031
B. Socioeconomic
status
-17.579
(16.077)
-.228 -1.947
(1.649)
-.238 -15.663
(14.462)
-.226 -4.408
(4.242)
-.223
C. Residential stability -.608
(.892)
-.096 -.079
9.092)
-.120 -.529
(.803)
-.093 -.112
(.235)
-.069
D. Family disruption 8.643
(4.111)
.309* .781
(.422)
.268* 7.861
(3.698)
.313* 2.351
(1.085)
.329*
E. Control - Percent
youth
-.193
(1.563)
-.015 .068
(.160)
.052 -.261
(1.406)
-.023 -.180
(.412)
-.057
F. Control – density .005
(.002)
.400** .004
(.001)
.377** .004
(.001)
.402** .009
(.001)
.303*
Intercept 62.422 4.182 58.240 17.304
Adj. R2 .185 .212 .183 .135
N 73 73 73 73
+ p < .10
* p < .05
** p < .01
35
Table 5: Decomposed Ethnic Heterogeneity in Social Disorganization - OLS Regression Analysis
Dependent
variables
Total crime Violent crime Property crime Burglary
Independent and
control variables
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
Paramete
r estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficient
Parameter
estimate
(S.E.)
Standard
coefficien
t
A. Percent FSU
immigrants
-3.580
(1.038)
-.711** -.295
(.109)
-.562** -3.284
(.931)
-.726** -1.158
(.264)
-.899**
A. Percent Arabs .810
(.419)
.265* .106
(.044)
.332** .704
(.376)
.257+ .153
(.107)
.195
B. Socioeconomic
status
-30.937
(14.796)
-.401* -3.137
(1.558)
-.389* -27.80
(13.275)
-.401* -8.396
(3.760)
-.425*
C. Residential stability -2.423
(.914)
-.382* -.245
(.096)
-.371** -2.177
(.820)
-.383* -.654
(.232)
-.403**
D. Family disruption 19.099
(4.477)
.684** 1.737
(.471)
.596** 17.363
(4.016)
.692** 5.473
(1.137)
.765**
E. Control - Percent
youth
-1.873
(1.462)
-.150 -.008
(.154)
-.066 -1.788
(1.311)
-.160 -.682
(.371)
-.214+
F. Control – density .034
(.001)
.271* .003
(.0001)
.264* .003
(.001)
.271* .004
(.001)
.153
Intercept 199.961 16.747 183.214 58.370
Adj. R2 .343 .330 .344 .353
N 73 73 73 73
+ p < .10 * p < .05 ** p < .01