HABT ICR Conference Presentation_Prerelease 1-1-16
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Transcript of HABT ICR Conference Presentation_Prerelease 1-1-16
8/20/2019 HABT ICR Conference Presentation_Prerelease 1-1-16
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January 2016
ICR Conference
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Fast casual concept specializingin burgers, sandwiches, salads,sides, shakes and more
Our Concept
• Founded in Santa Barbara in 1969
• Distinctive menu built around made-to-order burgers char-grilled over an openflame
• Named the “best tasting burger in America” in July, 2014
• 142 units located in California (117), Utah(9), Arizona (7), New Jersey (3), Florida(2), Nevada (1), Idaho (1), Virginia (1),
Washington (1)Our Differentiation
• Quality
• Environment
• Hospitality
• Value
Welcome to The Habit
Note: Unit count as 12/29/15 4
Double Charburger
with Cheese
Sweet Potato Fries
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$1.9$4.3
$6.6$10.3
$14.0
$21.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$28.1 $41.8$59.2
$84.2 $120.4
$174.6
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Units
Our Momentum• Proven history of unit, revenue
and adjusted EBITDA growth
• 47 consecutive quarters ofpositive SSS (thru Q3 2015)
• Attractive unit economics
Note: Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA $ in mm. 2013 financials include a 53 rd week throughout the presentation unless specifically noted otherwise.1) See page 22 for Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation.
Revenue
Adjusted EBITDA (1)
NewUnits 7 13 17 22 255
SSS 5.4% 8.7% 3.5% 3.6% 10.7%1.9%
% 10.3% 11.1% 12.2% 11.6%6.8% 12.0%
• Q3 2015 Company-operated AUV: $1,924
• Q3 2015 SSS: 2.9%
• Q3 YTD 2015 SSS: 7.6%
• FY 2014 SSS: 10.7%
• Q3 2015 Revenue Growth: 24.8%
• FY 2014 Revenue Growth: 45.0%
• Q3 2015 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: 16.6%
• FY 2014 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: 50.3%
6
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Broad Appeal and Balanced Mix
Dinner 49%
Lunch51%
Day Part Mix
Male55%
Female45%
Gender Mix (1)
The Habit is more than just burgers1) Based on an external research report and a third-party customer satisfaction survey.
7
Burgers62%
Salads13%
Sandwiches25%
Entrée Mix $’s
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Huge Market Share OpportunityThe Habit sits at the convergence of two large market opportunities
Source: Technomic, Inc.
Quick Service
“QSR”
$201.5B
Varied Menu
Full Service
$52.3B
Fast Casual
$39.0B
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“The Habit Difference”Our Four Pillars
Quality Environment Hospitality Value
• Char-grilled preparation
• Made-to-order
• Distinctive menu• Commitment to
freshness
• Exceed customers’expectations
• Committed to
training anddevelopment
• Culture ofexcellence
• Strong value proposition
• Longstanding
commitment tovalue
• Broad customerappeal
• Comfortable andclean environment
• Inviting
destination• High-quality
accents
• Exhibition kitchen format
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2,634 2,674 2,892 2,940
4,658 5,0585,604 5,737
PBPB NDLS ZOES WING HB PNRA CMG LOCO
$5.89$7.00 $7.30 $7.95 $8.25
$9.51 $9.98 $10.18
LOCO WING PBPB HB NDLS PNRA ZOES CMG
Traffic (Avg. Weekly Customers)
Tremendous Customer Value Proposition
Hospitality
Environment
Quality
+
+
Value= Avg. Check (Per Customer Spend)
Source: Company provided and Wall Street research.
Note: The Habit data represents the 52 weeks ended 9/29/15. All other data represents FY 2014. CMG and LOCO as of FY 2013.Note: Traffic (Avg. Weekly Customers) = AUV / Average Check / 52 weeks.1) References to HABT ‘per customer spend’ refer to the total restaurant revenue divided by the number of entrees sold.2) CMG traffic calculated by multiplying average check by 1.2x to reflect assumed per customer spend.
(1)
(2)
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Burger, Fries & Drink Combo
Cheeseburger $3.85 $5.69 $5.49 $5.29 $2.75
Fries $2.00 $3.09 $2.29 $2.99 $1.84
Drink $1.90 $2.39 $2.09 $2.30 $1.67
Total $7.75 $11.17 $9.87 $10.58 $6.26
Delivering More Bang for Your Buck
Source: Shake Shack prices from company website on 1/04/16. All other prices from select Southern California locations.11
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Significant White Space PotentialCompelling Potential Relative to Legacy QSR Burger Incumbents
Significant Expansion Opportunityin Fast Casual
Source: Wall Street research, company presentations, SEC filings and Technomic, Inc.Note: The Habit units as of 12/31/15. 137 company-operated units and 5 franchised/licensed locations.In-n-out, Five Guys, Wendy’s, Burger King, McDonalds as of FY 2014, all other data as of Q2 2015.Note: Domestic units shown.
2,000+ 1,600 2,500 2,300 4,000 3,500
Total Potential:
450
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Proven Site Identification and Development New Unit Growth Strategy Key Drivers of Growth
• Penetrate Existing Markets
• Enter New Markets
• Selective Licensed / Franchised Locations
• Diversity of Site Demographics
• “Gender Neutral” Competitive Advantage
• Format Flexibility
Traffic Generators
• Office Buildings
• Hospitals
• Health Clubs
• High Schools
• Colleges
• Movie Theaters
• Industrial Parks
• High DensityResidential
• Recreational Parks
Select Preferred Co-Tenants
Grocery Stores Drug StoresTheaters
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Strong Unit Level EconomicsExisting Units (1)
Traditional
Average Unit Volume $1.9mm
Restaurant ContributionMargin
21%+
Cash-on-Cash Return (2) 40%+
Restaurant model is designed to generate high sales volumes, strong
restaurant-level financial results and high cash-on-cash returns
New Unit Target
3rd Full Year
Square Footage 2,000 – 2,800
Average Unit Volume $1.5mm
Cash Build-Out Cost (2) $750k
Cash-on-Cash Return (2) 30%+
1) Figures are for the 52 weeks ended September 29, 2015 for restaurants that had been open for 12 periods or more.2) Excludes pre-opening expenses, net of tenant allowances.
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0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
Q 1 ' 0 4
Q 2 ' 0 4
Q 3 ' 0 4
Q 4 ' 0 4
Q 1 ' 0 5
Q 2 ' 0 5
Q 3 ' 0 5
Q 4 ' 0 5
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Q 2 ' 0 6
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Q 2 ' 0 8
Q 3 ' 0 8
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Q 1 ' 0 9
Q 2 ' 0 9
Q 3 ' 0 9
Q 4 ' 0 9
Q 1 ' 1 0
Q 2 ' 1 0
Q 3 ' 1 0
Q 4 ' 1 0
Q 1 ' 1 1
Q 2 ' 1 1
Q 3 ' 1 1
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Q 2 ' 1 2
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Q 2 ' 1 3
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Q 1 ' 1 4
Q 2 ' 1 4
Q 3 ' 1 4
Q 4 ' 1 4
Q 1 ' 1 5
Q 2 ' 1 5
Q 3 ' 1 5
Same Store Sales Momentum
Comparable Restaurant Sales History
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47 Consecutive quarters of SSS growth (thru Q3 2015)
2009-2014 AUV growth of 45.9%
$1.2M in 2009 to $1.8M in 2014
$1.9M Q3 2015
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$1.9 $4.3
$6.6
$10.3
$14.0
$21.0
$0.0
$8.0
$16.0
$24.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$28.1$41.8
$59.2
$84.2
$120.4
$174.6
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
21.6% 22.1% 21.9%22.9% 22.3%
21.3%
0.0%
15.0%
30.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Adjusted EBITDA(2)
Margin 6.8% 10.3% 11.1%
Exceptional Financial Performance
Revenue
Note: $ in mm. 2013 financials include a 53rd week throughout the presentation unless specifically noted otherwise.
1) Unit count as of 12/29/15. 137 company-operated units and 5 franchised/licensed locations.2) See page 22 for Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation.3) See page 23 for Restaurant Contribution reconciliation.
Units (1)
Restaurant Contribution (%) (3)
16
12.2% 11.6% 12.0%
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$5.8$6.8
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
Q3 '14 Q3 '15
$47.0
$58.6
$0.0
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
Q3 '14 Q3 '15
Continued Performance In Q3 2015
Revenue• 7 new company-operated units opened in Q32015 in three different states: California,Utah and Florida
• Q3 2015 comp store sales: 2.9%• Q3 2015 revenue growth: 24.8%
17 Note: $ in mm.1) See page 22 for Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation.2) See page 23 for Restaurant Contribution reconciliation.
Adjusted EBITDA (1) Restaurant Contribution (2)
Margin Margin12.3% 11.5% 21.8% 21.2%
$10.3$12.4
$0.0
$3.0
$6.0
$9.0
$12.0
$15.0
Q3 '14 Q3 '15
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Consistent Same Store Sales Growth 2-Year Stacked Same Store Sales
3-Year Stacked Same Store Sales
Note: 2013 financials include a 53rd week throughout the presentation unless specifically noted otherwise.
20.1%18.6%
22.7% 22.0%
18.6%
15.2%
19.1%16.5%
18
21.7%22.5%
13.3%12.4%
19.8%
9.7%7.5%
18.7%
Preliminary
Preliminary
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Preliminary 2015 Results and 2016 New Store Guidance
Preliminary 2015 Results
• Total Revenue of approximately $230.6M – up 32.1% from Prior Year Q4 Revenue of $60.6M up 25.4%
• Comp Store Sales of 6.4% for the Full Year 2015 Q4 2015 comp sales growth of 3.3%
• 28 new company-operated and 4 Franchise/License locations in 2015 13 company and 1 franchise opening in Q4 of 2015
• Q4 Pro-Forma EPS expected to be approximately $0.04 per fully distributedshare
2016 New Store Guidance
• Expect to open 30-32 Company operated locations for 2016• 3-5 new franchised / licensed locations for 2016
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Investors Should “Make It a Habit”
Our Investment Highlights
Fresh, custom‐made food at a
great value
Differentiated brand and
culture – becoming
everyone’s favorite Habit
Disciplined execution driving
robust, profitable growth
Multi‐pronged growth
strategy with white space
opportunities
Strong, experienced senior
management team with a
deep
bench
Attractive unit growth and
financial metrics
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Appendix
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Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation
($ in thousands)
22
39 Weeks Ended
Fiscal Year End Sept 30, Sept 29,
Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Net income 3,058$ 5,750$ 7,552$ 6,908$ 7,582$
Non-GAAP Adjustments
Provision for income taxes - - 299 - 2,089
Interest expense 548 735 909 756 342
Depreciation and amortization 3,923 6,008 8,472 5,991 8,163
EBITDA 7,529 12,492 17,232 13,655 18,176
Share-based compensation expense 301 260 515 304 852
Management fees 160 144 635 114 -
Loss on disposal of assets 3 15 141 115 58
Legal settlement 800 (9) - - -
Pre-opening costs 1,458 1,754 1,902 1,147 1,342 2013 additional operating week impact - (661) - - -
Offering Related Expenses - - 613 445 1,217
Adjusted EBITDA 10,251$ 13,996$ 21,038$ 15,780$ 21,645$
Margin 12.2% 11.6% 12.0% 12.5% 12.7%
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Restaurant Contribution Reconciliation
($ in thousands)
23
39 Weeks Ended
Fiscal Year End Sept 30, Sept 29,
Restaurant Contribution Reconciliation 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015
Restaurant Revenue 84,158$ 120,373$ 174,544$ 126,210$ 169,796$
Food and paper costs 26,396 38,789 58,260 41,928 54,754
Labor and related expenses 25,831 35,782 51,898 37,362 51,666
Occupancy and other operating expenses 12,687 18,906 27,184 19,485 25,722
Restaurant Contribution 19,243$ 26,896$ 37,202$ 27,435$ 37,654$
Margin 22.9% 22.3% 21.3% 21.7% 22.2%