Grameenphone Ltd. First Quarter · Ltd. The release, publication or distribution of this...
Transcript of Grameenphone Ltd. First Quarter · Ltd. The release, publication or distribution of this...
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Grameenphone Ltd. – First Quarter
Michael Patrick Foley, CEO
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Disclaimer
The following presentation is being made only to, and is only directed at, persons to whom such
presentation may lawfully be communicated (’relevant persons’). Any person who is not a relevant person
should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. Information in the following presentation
relating to the price at which relevant investments have been bought or sold in the past or the yield on such
investments cannot be relied upon as a guide to the future performance of such investments.
This presentation does not constitute an offering of securities or otherwise constitute an invitation or
inducement to any person to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities in Grameenphone
Ltd. The release, publication or distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by
law, and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this presentation is released, published or
distributed should inform themselves about, and observe, such restrictions.
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Highlights
1.1 Mn new data
subscribers
Launch of 4G
services
67.5 Mn
subscribers
1Q 2018
Intense market
competition
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Set to offer best 4G experience in combination of
additional spectrum and neutrality
• Same data portfolio for simplicity
• 4G SIM replacement with free 1.5 GB
• D2D replacement service for convenience
• Free replacement for high value customers
• Affordable 4G handset portfolio
1Q 2018
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Robust 4G rollout to ensure seamless experience
691 sites rollout by March 2018
4800+ sites by July 2018
All district cities under coverage
1Q 2018
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Network modernization to consolidate superior position
• Up-gradation of all radio units
• Re-farming & spectrum
efficiency
• Technology neutral equipment;
Single RAN
• Capacity enhancement with
new technology
• Reduced power consumption
• Lean site design with less
footprint
Coverage and
experience
Capacity and future
readiness Efficiency and
resilience
1Q 2018
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Healthy topline growth amidst continuing competitive
environment
• Prolonged winter with lower
activity during January
• Generous data offers on 4G
SIM replacement and channel
incentives
• New subscriber acquisition offer
• ½ paisa/second on-net offer for
BDT 21 and 49
• Marginal drop in APPM
• Positive results in revenue
generating base and usage
• 3 new offers under contextual
marketing platform
• New 1.5 GB offer at BDT 104
• 4G SIM replacement, device and
service experience is key
Seasonality and
market competition
Consolidation of
voice offers Competitive pressure
on data price
1Q 2018
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Simplification journey is a strategic priority for value creation
1Q 2018
Customer processes
simplification &
digitalization
Simplest for B2B
Self-service
transformation Robust IT services
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Regulatory landscape
• BTRC audit commenced on
3 Aug’2016
• Received a summary of the
draft audit observations on
11 Dec'17
• After the submission of
feedback on 18 Jan’18, a
tri-party meeting was held
on 18 Feb’18 regarding
clarification
• Waiting for the final
outcome of the report
• On 30 Nov’17 BTRC
awarded MNP license
• BTRC published final
process on 21 Mar’18
keeping the previous
implementation deadline of
31 Mar’18 intact
• Revised deadline agreed
with BTRC in presence of
ICT adviser is 31 Jul’18
• Fiber sub-lease option was
cancelled by BTRC due to
NTTN license guideline
• GP-BR joint committee
agreed upon an
arrangement and draft
agreement was sent to
BTRC
• BR will lease and GP is
entitled to 63% of revenue
• On process of regulatory
approval
GP-Railway Fiber
Contract
Tower Co. licensing
guideline BTRC Audit
• Licensing guideline was
published on 1 Apr’18
• MNOs will not be eligible to
participate
• 4 licenses will be awarded
with application deadline of
13 May’18
• Industry holds its existing
position on legal rights to
build, maintain, operate
and co-locate towers
Mobile Number
Portability Services
(MNPS)
1Q 2018
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Grameenphone Ltd. – First Quarter
Karl Erik Broten, CFO
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Healthy topline growth with stable EBITDA
5.7% Subscription
and Traffic revenue
growth*
57.6% EBITDA
margin**
10.7%
Capex/Sales***
BDT 4.74
Earnings per share
*Revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
**As per IAS 18
**Capex excluding license fees; Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
1Q 2018
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Changes in contracts and accounting practices
Handset Revenue
• Prime consideration of principal versus
agent
• Grameenphone acts as an agent while
selling handsets
• Revenue from sale of handset is
recognized on net basis
• Prime consideration of principal versus
agent in whole arrangement
• Arrangement for branded content sale is
a joint operation
• Revenue from such joint operation is
recognized on proportionate(net) basis
VAS Revenue
1Q 2018
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7.1% normalized subscription and traffic revenue growth*
• 3.9% voice revenue growth
• BDT 1.3 Bn lower content and device revenue
*Normalized for accounting practice changes
**Daily revenues generated by own subscription (excludes interconnection)
1Q 2018
30.6
32.4 33.2
32.2 31.2
11.1%15.5%
12.8%8.0%
2.0%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
301
318 323 317 319
14.8%18.0%
15.3%12.4%
5.7%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
DSTR** (BDT Mn) and Growth (YoY) Revenue (BDT Bn) and Growth (YoY)
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28% data user and 75% volume growth 1Q 2018
Active Data Users** (Mn) and % of Sub-base Data Revenue (BDT Bn) and % of Service Revenue*
• Competitive data offers driving user growth and
customer experience
*Revenues generated by own subscription (includes interconnection)
** Minimum 150 KB usage within last 90 days
• 23.9% data revenue growth
4.7 5.1
5.7 5.6 5.8
15.9%16.5%
17.8% 17.9%18.7%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
25.2 27.030.0
31.2 32.2
42.2% 43.9% 46.9% 47.7% 47.8%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
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621 660
754 807
851
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
ARPU (BDT) AMBPU APPMB (BDT)
6.2% service ARPU and 3.0% data ARPU drop 1Q 2018
61
63 63
60 60
0.10 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.07
Data ARPU, AMBPU and APPMB Service ARPU, AMPU and APPM
• 6.0% service AMPU decline
• Improving daily voice AMPU
• 37% AMBPU growth along with 28% user growth
• 29% APPMB decline from competitive offers
165 171 170 161 155
262 261 257 247 246
0.63 0.65 0.66 0.65 0.63
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
ARPU (BDT) AMPU APPM (BDT)
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10.1 10.0
11.0 11.0 11.6
32.8% 30.9% 33.2% 34.1% 36.9%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
Stable EBITDA with higher investment in market
• One off appeal deposit fee of BDT 379Mn
• 4G related spending and higher acquisition costs
• Normalized opex growth of 11.5%***
*EBITDA before other items
**As per IAS 18
**Normalized for appeal deposit fee and IAS 18
1Q 2018
5.0%
QoQ
14.7%
YoY
• Normalized EBITDA margin of 58.8%***
17.8
19.9 19.5 19.0
18.0
58.1% 61.2% 58.7% 58.8% 57.6%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
5.0%
QoQ
1.2%
YoY
EBITDA* (BDT Bn) and Margin** Opex (BDT Bn) and Margin**
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Investment mainly for network coverage and capacity
1Q 2018
*Capex (BDT Bn) and Capex/Sales% • Regulatory capex of BDT 17.1 Bn for 4G license,
spectrum and tech-neutrality conversion fee
• 691 4G sites rollout after launch on 19 Feb’18
• 303 2G and 184 3G sites addition during Q1
• Total number of 2G and 3G sites stands at
13,297 and 12,516
• Investment to continue to provide superior
network experience
*Capex excluding license fees
Capex/sales = moving average last 4 quarters
4.5
3.3
2.1
4.7
3.8
13.9% 12.4% 12.0% 11.3% 10.7%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
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6.6
7.9
7.0
6.06.4
21.4% 24.4% 21.0% 18.5% 20.4%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
Marginal decline in earnings 1Q 2018
Earnings Per Share (BDT)* NPAT (BDT Bn) and Margin*
• Accelerated depreciation of BDT 519 Mn for core network modernization
7.0%
QoQ
2.5%
YoY
4.86
5.87
5.16
4.42 4.74
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
7.0%
QoQ
2.5%
YoY
*On reported basis
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BDT 14.1 Bn OCF and Net debt/EBITDA of 0.04 1Q 2018
Net debt (BDT Bn) and Net debt/EBITDA** *OCF (BDT Bn) and OCF/Sales%
*OCF equals EBITDA minus Capex on a reported basis
**Net Debt = Short term debt + Long term debt - Cash and Cash equivalents
12 months rolling EBITDA
13.3
16.617.5
14.3 14.1
43.4%51.2% 52.5%
44.2% 45.2%
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
7.6 7.3
12.2
1.8
3.4
0.11 0.100.16
0.020.04
Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18
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Summary
*In consideration of the local regulations, Grameenphone Ltd. does not provide any forward looking statements.
• Launch of 4G services with robust rollout
and modernization plan
• Healthy topline and subscriber growth in a
competitive quarter
• Consolidated superior network experience
and market offers to drive growth
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