Global Warming. GasMole Percent N2N2 78.08 O2O2 20.95 Ar0.934 CO 2 0.03 O3O3 1.0 x 10 -7 Composition...

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Global Warming

Transcript of Global Warming. GasMole Percent N2N2 78.08 O2O2 20.95 Ar0.934 CO 2 0.03 O3O3 1.0 x 10 -7 Composition...

Global Warming

Gas Mole PercentN2 78.08O2 20.95Ar 0.934CO2 0.03O3 1.0 x 10-7

Composition of Atmosphere:

Why CO2 is important:CO2 Levels

Eout = T4

= 5.67 x 10-8 W/m2K4

= Albedo (shinyness)Earth = 0.28Mars = 0.17Jupiter = 0.73Venus = 0.71

Es = solar energy inputEarth = 1380 W/m2

Mars = 600Venus = 2600If Ein = Eout, then

Global Energy Balance:

(1 )4s

in

EE

4(1 )4sE T

4(1 )

4s

calc

ET

= 5.67 x 10-8 W/m2K4

= AlbedoEarth = 0.28Mars = 0.17Jupiter = 0.73Venus = 0.71

Es = solar energy inputEarth = 1380 W/m2

Mars = 600Venus = 2600

Try for Earth: Calculate average temperature of Earth

Of Venus?

Greenhouse Effect:

Some energy radiated back to space is captured and re-radiated back to Earth.

f = IR transmission factor = fraction energy escaping

So: Eout = fT4

4(1 )4sE f T

= 5.67 x 10-8 W/m2K4

= AlbedoEarth = 0.28Mars = 0.17Jupiter = 0.73Venus = 0.71

Es = solar energy inputEarth = 1380 W/m2

Mars = 600Venus = 2600

Calculate IR transmission factor for Earth: Tactual = 291 K

Calculate IR transmission factor for Venus: Tactual = 750 K

Climate Modeling

Determine all the relationships.Predict amounts and rates.Feedback loops: positive and negative.

Simulate into the future by iterative method.

How do you test your model?

Element Cycles

Element Cycles: reservoirs and fluxes