Global Trade in - VISESvises.org.au/documents/2014_Lang_Global_Trade_Mangoes.pdf19/12/2014 3 During...
Transcript of Global Trade in - VISESvises.org.au/documents/2014_Lang_Global_Trade_Mangoes.pdf19/12/2014 3 During...
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Jim Lang
Managing Director
TradeData International Pty Ltd
Global Trade in Mangoes
October 2014
COUNTRIES WITH MONTH IMPORT
STATISTICS
1. The global market is just under 1.2 million tonnes and $US 1.7 billion. Global trade is growing steadily
2. Middle East Countries do not release import statistics – imports into these countries is measured as exports from the major export countries to the Middle East
3. Values are increasing faster than quantities thus average prices are increasing
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Imports are highly seasonal with the peak season between February and September each year. The USA and Europe are far larger than other markets. The USA, Canada and the major European European countries account for well over 65% of global import trade. The USA and Canada are also large import countries.
Outside of the big import countries many other countries also import mangoes in smaller volumes.
Pakistan is able to supply during the second half of the peak season – that is between May and September. The peak months are May/June which is only the beginning of the Pakistan export season. Pakistan is currently a small supplier to the global market supplying only 3.3% of recorded imports in 2013. Average import prices are also seasonal with peak season prices increasing over the last two years to be over $US 1,400 a tonne in 2014. Off peak season average prices can be up to $US 1,800 a tonne.
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During the peak three months of the Pakistan season Pakistan has a significant share of global trade. Pakistan share of the global market has fallen somewhat in 2012 and 2013.Please Note: 2014 data is not a full allotment of countries.
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Pakistan Share of the Global Mango Market
Globally the market declines as the Pakistan supply season progresses. The largest market (by far) is the USA. However there are many other potential markets for Pakistan. Note: during the Pakistan supply season import volumes are increasing over time.
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U.S.A. Netherlands Germany U.K. Canada France Un Arab Emir Japan
Saudi Arabia Spain Belux Hong Kong Portugal Singapore Italy Yemen
Malaysia Austria South Korea Russia China Lithuania Kuwait Sweden
Denmark Poland Luxembourg Lebanon Australia Czech Rep Oman Qatar
Iran Ireland Greece Slovenia Finland Bahrain Latvia Romania
Hungary Slovakia Jordan Cyprus Croatia India Syria Estonia
Thailand Bulgaria Malta Turkmenistan Uzbekistan
$USA millionMango Imports - Importing Countries during the Pakistan
supply season
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Pakistan mangoes mostly go to UK , UAE and to a lesser extent elsewhere in Europe and the Middle East. The largest market – the USA – is not currently a major markets for Pakistan. China is also not a significant market for Pakistan.Please Note: 2014 is not a full allotment of countries.
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U.K. Un Arab Emir Saudi Arabia Germany Belux Oman Italy
Qatar Iran Sweden Canada Bahrain Netherlands Singapore
Malaysia Greece Kuwait Austria Denmark Hong Kong Spain
Russia France Ireland China South Korea Jordan U.S.A.
Czech Rep Lebanon Japan Australia Cyprus India Luxembourg
Portugal Thailand Finland Malta
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Mango Imports sourced from Pakistan
The major export countries during the Pakistan supply season are from Central and South America, India, South East Asia and Europe. Mexico is by far the largest exporter and Pakistan is relatively small exporter. Note the Netherlands as an export country – presumably they first import from elsewhere and then distribute into Europe.
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Major mango export countries during Pakistan supply season
Mexico Brazil Netherlands Peru India Philippines
Thailand Pakistan Spain Ecuador Palestine Germany
Taiwan Cote D Ivoire France Belux U.S.A.
$USA million
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• India exports of mangoes are double Pakistan exports• India’s peak season starts before the Pakistan season• India is able to export throughout the whole year whereas Pakistan exports only during its
peak season. Out of season Indian exports are mostly Mango Pulp and some dried fruit• India’s off peak season exports have declined since 2010 and its peak season has become
more pronounced
Note: 2014 is not a full data set
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Comparing Pakistan and India mango exports
Pakistan India
$USA million
• Indian exports mostly go to the Middle East whereas the major markets for Pakistan are Europe and the Middle East
• Export volumes peaked in 2009 whereas Pakistan exports are increasing over time
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Indian Exports of Mangoes
Saudi Arabia Un Arab Emir Yemen Kuwait U.K. Lebanon
Oman Bahrain Qatar Iran Jordan Syria
Singapore Malaysia U.S.A. Others
Tonnes
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India imports only small volumes of mangoes and mostly from Thailand and at prices around $US 1 per KG.
Thailand is able to supply reasonably constant volumes across the whole year.
USA mango imports are highly seasonal. Peak season imports mostly come from Mexico between March and September. Before the Mexico peak season imports arrive from Peru, Ecuador and Guatemala and after the Mexico peak season from Brazil . There were three small shipments from Pakistan in August and September 2011 and again in June 2014 before a larger shipment of 40.5 tonnes in July 2014. Imports from Pakistan are at relatively high prices. On average mangoes arrive in the USA at just over $US 1 per KG.
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During the Pakistan supply season Mangoes arrive from Mexico into the USA at two prices points from $US 0.50 to $US 0.80 per KG; and at and just over $US 1.0 per KG with the majority of fruit at prices between $US 0.60 and $US 0.80.
Brazil and Haiti sell much lower volumes to the USA around $US 1.10 per KG
China imports of mangoes are dominated by imports from Myanmar at very low prices. Myanmar is a seasonal, large and extremely low price supplier to China. Prices from Myanmar are around $US 0.15 per KG. These very low prices and high volumes suggest there may be some bi‐lateral arrangement here – maybe exchanging Mangoes for some other product – the price here is only 15% of other shipments – maybe (only guessing) just covering transport costs. However this arrangement ended in 2013 as not found in 2014 imports.
Pakistan is a small and irregular supplier at far higher prices than Myanmar and supplies during the months that Myanmar does not supply.
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The existing China import market (outside of Myanmar) is small. The competition is against Taiwan, Thailand and the Philippines. Pakistan is a tiny supplier. During the Pakistan supply season Pakistan is competing against Thailand and Taiwan.
Note: (a) The very strong growth in this market from Taiwan in 2013 and again in 2014; (b) A relatively small market of only 300 to 400 tonnes a month. However with the cessation of imports from Myanmar this market may now increase strongly.
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China Imports of mangoes ‐ excluding mangoes from Myanmar
Pakistan Quantity Thailand Philippines Australia Peru Others Taiwan
Kilograms
Hong Kong is mostly supplied by the Philippines which has the ability to supply 12 months of the year. Other important suppliers are Australia, Taiwan and Thailand. Pakistan is a tiny supplier and in the last two years has been price competitive
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During the Pakistan supply season the Philippines and Taiwan dominate the Hong Kong market and in 2013 sells at prices above the supply from Pakistan. Pakistan is a tiny supplier to this market
Please Note: This chart excludes imports of mangoes from Pakistan as these volumes (exports) are not published.
UAE imports, measured by volumes (excluding from Pakistan) are almost entirely from India and at prices around or below $US 1 per KG. Average prices are highly seasonal. Out of season imports are mostly mango pulp.
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UAE imports are dominated by imports from India and to a lesser extent Pakistan. Note that India can supply lower volumes in the off‐peak season.Pakistan supplies after the Indian peak season and Australia (a smaller supplier) after Pakistan. Imports in total are fairly stable over time.Please Note: This chart does not include exports from Pakistan in 2014.
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Un Arab Emir Imports of Mangoes by Value
India Pakistan Australia Indonesia Philippines U.K. Thailand
$USA million
Please Note: This chart excludes imports of mangoes from Pakistan as these volumes are not published.Saudi imports, measured by volumes, (excluding from Pakistan) are nearly entirely from India and at prices around $US 1 per KG. India is able to supply 12 months of the year with out of season exports comprising mostly of mango pulp. Note: No growth in this market, in fact import volumes are lower in 2013 than in 2009.
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Saudi imports are dominated by imports from India and to a lesser extent Pakistan. Please Note: This chart does not include exports from Pakistan in 2014.
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Un Arab Emir Imports of Mangoes by Value
India Pakistan Australia Indonesia Philippines U.K. Thailand
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The Singapore import market is very seasonal with many different suppliers. Taiwan is a large seasonal supplier. Indonesia, Malaysia, Australia are also major suppliers. Pakistan is a small supplier and in the last two years has supplied at price above the major suppliers.
Please Note: Singapore import data is not available after May 2014.
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During the Pakistan supply season Pakistan is small relatively high priced supplier to Singapore. Supply from Thailand dominates the market. Malaysia is a lower priced supplier and Taiwan a slightly higher priced supplier.
Note: EU countries do not separate out Mangoes, mangosteens and guavas in their import statistics
Pakistan is a small but significant exporter to Europe during its supply season and is price competitive. Average prices into Europe are 50 to 100 % higher than to the Middle EastThere is some double counting here as the Netherlands (and others) first import fruit and they re‐export the fruit elsewhere in Europe.These statistics also include Guavas and Mangosteens.
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During its supply season Pakistan is a significant mid‐priced supplier and competes against Brazil, Netherlands, Palestine, Cote D’Ivore and others.
The Japan market is mostly supplied by Mexico, Thailand, Taiwan, Peru and the Philippines. Japan is a particularly high priced market (but with stagnant volumes) with the average landed price in Japan at more than double other major markets. There was a shipment from Pakistan of 488 kilograms in July 2013 and a second shipment of 944 kilograms in August 2013. No shipments thus far in 2014.
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Japan mostly imports at particularly high prices from $US 3 up to $US 7 per kilogram. Different countries supply at different prices –Thailand at $US 5.50, Taiwan just under $US 7, Philippines at $US 3 and $US 5.50 and so on.
The Global MarketGlobally mango trade is 1.7 US$ billion and just under 1.2 million tonnes in 2013 and growing steadily.Major import markets are the USA and Western Europe.UAE, Saudi Arabia and Japan are also important markets but many other countries import mangoes.
The SeasonsGlobal Imports are highly seasonal with the peak season between February and September each year. Pakistan is able to supply during the second half of the peak season between May and September. The peak month is May which is at the beginning of the Pakistan export season. By September global imports are only at 25% of the volumes in May. Pakistan is currently a small supplier to the global market but a significant supplier for a few months when in season.
During the Pakistan season the major importing countries are from North America, Europe and countries like the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong. The major exporting countries at this time are from Central and South America, and South East Asia.
Pakistan ExportsPakistan mangoes mostly go to UK and to a lesser extent elsewhere in Europe and the Middle East. Pakistan Exports are highly seasonal. Some countries are able to export throughout the whole year by exporting Mango Pulp and dried mango. Pakistan generally does not.
Import marketsOutside of the large import countries – USA, Western Europe, Saudi Arabia and the UAE – there are dozens of smaller import markets. China is a not a major market but growing from a small base. Japan is a particularity high priced market.