GenIE Georgia National Innovation Ecosystem Istanbul, May 14, 2015.
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Transcript of GenIE Georgia National Innovation Ecosystem Istanbul, May 14, 2015.
Intervention Summary
• Objective:– Enhance the Georgian national innovation
ecosystem to fuel economic growth and jobs
• Components to be evaluated: – Regional Innovation Hubs: training and technology
to entrepreneurs and SMEs, e.g. 3-D printers– Enterprise innovation matching grants
Evaluation QuestionsRegional Innovation Hubs• How do we get people in the door?• What is the right menu of services/pricing
encouragement?• What is the impact of the treatment?
Matching grants• What is effect of MGs on innovation, profits, jobs,
firm survival?• Does proposal scoring index work?
Evaluation DesignRegional Innovation Hubs• 1-2 pilot centers (randomizing clients, not centers)• Encouragement design (RCT)
– Coupons, directed marketing (to SMEs, college students)– Services, e.g. use of fabrication machines, training on use of
equipment, business/marketing training
Matching grants• Randomization conditional on score in competition
– Certain score correspond to certain probability of being chosen.– More firms with good scores, less with low scores.– Gives indication of both whether index works and whether
impact overall.
Evaluation Design: RCT encouragement schematic
Encouragement Non-encouragement
Business trainingTechnical trainingUse of fab. machines
DM + CouponsDirect Marketing
Sample and dataRegional Innovation Hubs• Sample: List of all local firms from business
registry; STEM university students• Data: panel surveys, including baseline and annual
follow-ups
Matching grants • Sample: SME applicants that meet minimum
selection criteria• Data: firm reporting
TimelineRegional Innovation Hubs• Sampling frame: October 2015• Survey questions designed and tested: Nov 2015• Baseline survey: January 2016• Pilot Hubs open: March 2016• Send encouragements in April 2016
Matching grants• Awareness raising campaign: January 2016• Call for proposals: February 2016• TA provided to firms to help prepare proposals: Feb to March
2016• Award proposals: April 2016
Team and staffing
• WBG – IE Coordinator; Research Assistants (local and foreign)
• WBG TTL, project team• Private Firm – refine sampling frame;
conducting survey; initial data analysis; • GITA – Mngt of the Hubs, Encouragement,
Portal for Data Collection from Users • Local Hosts – Provision services, Data Collection
from Users
BudgetName of the Service Cost
Baseline Survey Cost 120 K
Researchers: baseline survey & Analysis
20-45 K
Follow up Surveys 200 K
Researchers: follow up survey & analysis
120 K
IE Coordinator 20 K
Marketing
Administrative
Applied R&D ProjectsNational Centre for Research&Development
Adam KaźmierczakPOLAND
Istanbul, May 14, 2015
Intervention SummaryApplied R&D Projects
• Objective: Increase commercialization of R&D (global novelty) by firms
• Components to be evaluated: matching grant scheme offered to consortia of firms and R&D units
1. INPUTSFunds that creates cooperation between science and business
2. OUTPUTSResearch activity&collaboration (global novelty)
3. OUTCOMESCommercialization of the product based on research results
Eligible Applicant
1 RESEAR
CH ORGANIS
ATION
CONSORTI
UMEnterprise
both SMEs and large enterprises
registered in Poland
LEADER OF THE CONSORTIUM
– to be decided by the consortium partners– officialy submits the proposal to NCBR– responsible for official correspondence with NCBR
Evaluation Questions (1)
• What is the impact of matching grant on enterprise innovation and performance?
– What is the impact on the type/quality of innovation by firms?
– What is the impact on the research institute partners: on their research productivity, quality and tendency to collaborate with firms?
Evaluation Questions (2) – additional issues
• How to design the program to maximize chances for commercialization?– Increasing the minimum financial
involvement of firms in the consortia– Changing the scoring system to highlight the
business dimension of the project
Evaluation Design
• RDD is possible because applications are scored by a panel of experts, and only applications above clear threshold are recommended to be financed.– Compare the change in the outcome for
units that scored near the cut-off.• Our previous experience with a similar
program indicates that there may be enough consortia with scores near the cut-off to make RDD feasible.
Sample and data
• Sample will be applicants (around the treshold)• Data sources:
– Information collected during application stage (baseline)
– National census of firms (we will match our applicant to this database)
– Project reports– Dedicated survey for midpoint & endline
Timeline• Program timeline
– Call opening (end of 2015)– Selection process (till March 2016)– Agreements and start of reimbursement (from March 2016)
• Lengh of projects: up to 5 years• IE time
– Design by end of 2015– Baseline data: during the application proces (ending March
2016)– Midline: around 2018/2019– Endline: around 2021
Team and staffing
• Siddharth Sharma (WB Facilitator); • Adam Kaźmierczak (NCBR)• Monika Woźniak (NCBR)• Sylwia Lepieszka (MIR)• Chiaki Yamamoto (IFC)
Intervention Summary
Intervention: External consulting services for regional incubators to improve start-up’s performance
Objective: to improve capacity of incubators to provide high value services to startup companies
Intervention Summary
“Possible” modules of external consulting to eliminate start-up constraints
– Hands on management coaching (lack of skills)
– Management of Innovation (lack of skills)– Knowledge Sharing (access to knowledge)– Network Strategies (coordination failure)– Access to finance (asymmetric information)
Evaluation Questions
General Question
What is the impact of external consulting services on incubators and entrepreneurs?
The aim is to measure different outcomes related to different aspects of the external consulting services.
Evaluation Design
• Randomized control trial• Phasing randomization of consulting services • The randomization done at start-up level
Services are provided with a one year interval
Up to three rounds of courses (TBD)
Outcome Measurement
• The aim is to measure the following outcomesAverage revenue growthEmployment creation External equity financingBank financingGrant applicationCooperation with other firms/joint projectSuccessful exit
Sample and data
• About 3000 start-ups• To be decided when the list of start-ups is
finalized• It might be possible to survey all start-ups
Timeline
• Prior to interventionList of entrepreneurs for randomization • First YearEntrepreneurs from all incubators are surveyed
but only half start the treatment• Second YearThe control group is interviewedThe short-term impact is measured
Timeline
The short-term impact to be measured is linked to the general performance of start-ups as well as related to each specific modules of the external consultancy
Challenges
• Small number of incubators• Spillover effects on non-participants• Differentiation of services provided by
incubators• Budget constraints (all incubators need to be
treated ???)
35
Intervention SummaryObjectives:
Improve the legal and regulatory framework to (i) generate new, diversified investment (domestic & foreign)(ii) reduce private sector compliance costs
Components:
1. [Retrospective] Easing of foreign investment restrictions on economic activities (since 2013)
2. Rationalizing (fiscal, non-fiscal) incentives (TBD) for domestic and foreign investors
3. Improving Investor protection and dispute settlement mechanisms
4. Streamlining investment approval process
Evaluation Questions
1. [Retrospective] Can removing foreign investment restrictions stimulate overall investment and growth? • Does FDI crowd in, displace, or crowd out domestic investment?
2. Can strategic (fiscal, non-fiscal) incentives increase investment?• Can targeted marketing and outreach activities increase awareness of
the new law and encourage take-up of investment incentives?
3. Can investor protection guarantees and mechanisms attract new foreign investment?• Are guarantees/DRMs more effective for investors with lower risk
tolerance?
4. Can lower investor compliance cost generate more investment?
Evaluation Design
1. [Retrospective] Diff-in-diff with propensity score matching– In 2013, many previously restricted Economic Activities (EAs)
reclassified as open to foreign investors– Compare local and foreign investment in EAs that changed status
(closed -> open) with those that did not
2, 3 & 4. RCT with encouragement design – New investment law (and accompanying regulation) to offer new legal
provisions, investment incentives, and investor guarantees. Assumption: awareness/take-up will be low
– Subsequently, DICA will target randomly selected (domestic and foreign) investors with awareness/messaging campaign
– Compare take-up and subsequent investment activity by investors targeted by DICA vs not
Sample and Data
Domestic: 634 firms surveyed in 2014 Enterprise SurveyMinistry of National Planning and Economic Development’s data?Domestic firms with foreign partnerships post 2013
Foreign:DICA investment proposalsMIGA insurance applicants?Participant list from previous investment fairs?Others?
E-PPD: Intervention Summary• Investment in Rwanda is 4 times less than what is expected given the business environment
reforms undertaken (WB, 2014). MSMEs claim a lack of predictability, transparency and accountability as well as feeling “alone” after the registration process among the reasons not to invest as initially planned. There seems to be issues around the openness and reach of traditional PPD.
• Objective: The overall investment climate program seeks to improve the business environment so as to increase investments, especially outside of the capital so as to contribute to create jobs throughout the country by:
1) Improving G2B services: using IT solutions to increase reach, transparency and predictability and Institution building.
2) Attracting investments into the horticulture and tourism
• Components to be evaluated
The e-PPD mechanism is a subcomponent of (1). The e-PPD is an electronic platform that allows firms to provide feedback on quality of government service delivery to businesses. Aggregated, anonymous B2G feedback and responses from government can drive meaningful reforms and increase predictability, transparency and accountability.
Evaluation Questions• What is the best variation of quantitative and/or qualitative data that would provide the most
meaningful data for motivating the government to reform? (experiment in designing the e-PPD)
• What is the impact of participating in the e-PPD in firms’ perception about government services and trust in the business environment? Is the e-PPD as effective as a traditional PPD in changing firms’ perceptions?
• Does varying the intensity of information provided back to businesses have different impacts on perceptions?
• What is the impact of the different interventions on firm-level investment (through increased confidence in the business environment)?
Evaluation Design• Randomized controlled trial among local
formal MSMEsSample of local formal
MSMEs using government services
PPD meeting(s)
e-PPD
e-PPD + regular
information to firm on
govt reforms
Control Group
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Sample and data• Population: formal MSMEs (78,000)
• Sampling and randomization when firms use government services
• Randomization stratified by location (Kigali vs outside), size (micro vs SMEs), and gender
• Initial (rough) sample size calculations indicate minimum of 2,500 firms
TimelineActivity Timeline
Pilot of interventions to design e-PPD +6 months
Qualitative data collection on current process +6m
Pilots on measurement of outcomes +6m
Concept note design +6m
Intervention +12m
Follow-ups and analysis +12m; +18m; +24m
Team and staffing
• Team: Francisco &TBD• Program Info: P600783, Ashani (TTL), Estem
(M&E), Matina (IT)• GoR: Paula Ingabire (Head of RDB IT), Innocent
Bajiji (Head of aftercare), Daniel (Head of PPD at RDB)