Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders...

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Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon Trade Ltd Methane to Markets Partnership Expo Beijing , 30 th Oct 2007

Transcript of Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders...

Page 1: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret

Landfill Biogas Results

Adrian LoeningDirector

Carbon Trade Ltd

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 2: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Carbon Trade Ltd

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Landfill methane projects (New Projects)Site AssessmentsPre-feasibility studies including pump testsFeasibility studiesFull detailed system design including EIA’sFinancial modellingTender processesProject & Construction Management

Landfill methane (Existing Projects)Training & OperationTechnical Assessment and Due DiligenceTrouble shooting

Page 3: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Has studied more than 100 landfill sites in over 12 different countriesBuilt more than 20 gas systems in the U.K.Designed and managed the construction of;

Simeprodeso 7.4MW LFGTE project, Monterrey, MexicoRio Azul 3.4MW LFGTE project, San Jose, Costa RicaHarmandali 4MW LFGTE, Izmir, Turkey2 LFG projects in Guatemala CityMonterrey II 5.3MW (under development)

Full project reference list is on our web site

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Carbon Trade Ltd

Page 4: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

The familiar equation

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Basic IPCC Gas model;

Annual Gas Production = L0 .M.(1- e-k)

where:

k = reaction rate constant (Ln(2)/t1/2)L0 = methane generation potential (m3/tonne)M = mass of degradable waste available

Page 5: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - Lo

ExamplePerfectly degradable organic substratePerfect digesterIdeal conditions

Lo = around 600m3 / tonne BiogasComplete degradation in 3 months

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 6: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

But waste is not 100% degradableL0 maybe 300m3/tonne

Exploring the variable - Lo

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 7: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - Lo

But not all the organic material degrades

Particle size too bigAcid conditionsIsolated from bacteriaChemical inhibitors

Perhaps L0 should be 150m3/tonne

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 8: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - k

In a perfect digester k is very high.In our example a half life of 3 months

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 9: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - k

In a perfect digester k is very high.In our example a half life of 3 monthsLandfill is NOT a perfectbiodigesterPerhaps half life = 1 year

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 10: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - k

BUT – all waste is not easily degraded

Perhaps degradable waste is;

10% Oils, fats & sugars –Rapid (Half life = 1 year?)10%Proteins, carbohydrates, starches –Moderate (Half life = 2 years?)30% Paper & Card, green waste – Slow (Half life = 10 years?)50% Others – very slow (Half Life = 50 years?)

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 11: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Exploring the variable - k

But our 1,000 tonnes was deposited over 1 year!

Maybe we should allow 6 months to reach full gas production

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

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Are the numbers right?

Perhaps the Mass is +-10%

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 13: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are the numbers right?

Perhaps the Mass is +-10%?Perhaps the L0 is +-10%?

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 14: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are the numbers right?

Perhaps the Mass is +-10%?Perhaps the L0 is +-10%?Perhaps the k is +-10%

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 15: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are the variables right?

Perhaps the mass is +-10%?Perhaps the L0 is +-10%?Perhaps the k is +-10%Using reasonable assumptions throughoutWith a small error there is almost 100% difference in peak production

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Page 16: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Other Waste Considerations

Is there enough moisture in the waste?

Rainfall Capping layer quality

What is the waste temperature

Methanogenic bacteria need heat

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

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Is there something missing?

Our model indicates the possible baseline

But we have not yet visited the site!

So what factors should we look at on the site?

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

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Gas Recovery

Basic IPCC Gas model;

Annual Gas Production = L0 .M.(1- e-k)

Needs a collection efficiency factor;

Annual Gas Recovered=η.L0 .M.(1- e-k)

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 19: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Collection Efficiency

ηA small factor with a BIG impact

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 20: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Is the site full of leachate?

Page 21: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Is the site full of leachate?

High leachate levels affect the Radius of Influence (ROI) of extraction

If ROI is estimated at 20mA 5% error reduces collection area by 10.7%

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 22: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

How long is the waste exposed?

Page 23: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are the gradients too steep?

Page 24: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Or is the site too shallow?

Page 25: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are there site operations?

Page 26: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

And other factors?

Air leakageIs the applied vacuum limited by oxygen ingress

Are all the gas wells performing normally

APOLOGIES – I know the following slide is hard to read.

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 27: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Field Measurements

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Other issues

Volume correction for altitude and temperatureAre the gas pumps correctly rated?Are flow meters corrected?

Condensate drainageFlow restrictions can occur

Pressure drop in pipe workIs there enough suction on the site

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Page 29: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Are we collecting all the gas?

η – Collection Efficiency can’t be modelled

Reasonable assumptions are neededAdjustment based on history is required

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 30: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Carbon Expo 2007Germany

Rio Azul Gas Model

Rio Azul Landill, 6.8 Million Tonnes 70% Collection, 80% Domestic, Wet.

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1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

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Page 31: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Simeprodeso Gas Model

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Gas Models - Summary

May not adequately assess;Site ConditionsSite OperationsContractual terms

Do not replace gas pumping trials

Modelling requires actual and detailed knowledge of the site.

Take 50 gas modelsOn average they may be more or less correct .

!Any individual may be an order of magnitude wrong!

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Page 33: Garbage in Garbage Out - Global Methane Initiative...Garbage in Garbage Out Educating Stakeholders on how to Model and Interpret Landfill Biogas Results Adrian Loening Director Carbon

Gas Models - Summary

In Practice;Gas Models can be quite goodRequire to have detailed knowledge of the landfill

WasteEngineeringManagementEnvironment

CDM landfill gas projects are measured ‘ex-post’Often ‘what you get is what you get’ – and with experience that is usually pretty good!

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

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Thank you

For further information;Please visit our stand no A050e-mail: [email protected]

Methane to Markets Partnership ExpoBeijing , 30th Oct 2007

Adrian LoeningDirectorCarbon Trade LtdSchoolhouseLamingtonSouth Lanarkshire, ML12 6HWUnited Kingdom

T: +44 131 208 0760M. +44 7831 288901

Christian Siliezar MontoyaGerente GeneralCarbon Trade Ltd Latinoamerica3a Avenida y 11 calle zona 9,Edificio Alcazar Oficina 256Ciudad de Guatemala, Guatemala

T. +502 5390-1557M. +502 5206-9331