Simple and Phrasal Implicatives Lauri Karttunen CSLI, Stanford *SEM, June 7, 2012.
Fusion Energy – FAQ Seppo Karttunen – personal views Is fusion safe? Radioactive waste in...
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Transcript of Fusion Energy – FAQ Seppo Karttunen – personal views Is fusion safe? Radioactive waste in...
Fusion Energy – FAQSeppo Karttunen – personal views
• Is fusion safe?• Radioactive waste in fusion? • Some further remarks• Fusion versus fission• Cost of fusion energy?• Fusion energy – when?
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Is fusion safe?
Yes, fusion is inherently safe - no power runaway, low after-heat, no greenhouse gas emissions, just He but …..• Tritium issues
- T-breeding, fuel cycle & T-handling- T contamination, dust- T cleaning- neutron activation
• Magnets, power sources, …
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Radioactive waste in fusion?
Fusion process does not produce radioactivity - He is stable - Fusion neutrons may activate in-vessel materials- huge amount of waste (activated structures)
Waste issue is not inherent for fusion but rather a material question- ITER grade SS is horrible- Eurofer and ODS SS development for DEMO- SS recycling time 100 – 1000 years ???
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Some further remarks
Structural materials – a though mission- 150 dpa (ITER ~ a few dpa, DEMO ~ 50 dpa)- He production -> swelling (> 5 MeV neutrons)- low /short lived activation – recycling after 100 y
Helium is not forever!- Helium for SC magnets extracted from natural gas- Gas is not forever, but rather for next 50-100 y- Development of high temperature SC magnets needed
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Neutron loading
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Fusion versus Fission
Very much a national issue- In Germany fusion community wants to make a clear difference between fusion and fission - ”plasma” fusion rather than ”nuclear” fusion- for greens both fusion and fission are bad
- In France (Finland) we try to support fission as a good Carbon free energy option- Fusion is the ultimate form of nuclear energy which replaces fission gradually in next 100-200 years- fusion versus breeders may be an issue
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Cost of fusion energy?
• Definitely more expensive than present fossil fuels and nuclear but likely cheaper than solar electricity
• High capital cost may pose a problem• Cost of fusion energy very sensitive to availability
Energy markets after 2050 is probably very different from the current situation as fossil fuels are exhausting and getting more expensive
• Fusion may well be competative
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Fusion energy - when?”Famous 50 years”
Three scenarios: disaster, pessimistic and optimistic
• Disaster: ITER fails, fusion research returns back to Universities to look for alternative approaches• Pessimistic: ITER meets its goals but delays, DEMO
start operation late 2050s producing some electricity• Optimistic: ITER meets its objectives in schedule,
DEMO starts early 2040s with electricity late 2040s.• Commercial fusion earliest 15-20 years after DEMO
success.
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia
Lev Artsimovich:
"When the mankind needs it – or maybe a short time before that."
Seppo Karttunen, "Fusion Energy - FQA", Euratom-Tekes Annual Seminar 2012, Tartu, Estonia