Fuel Products Distribution Insight · M&A Transactions Summary of Notable Transactions in the Last...
Transcript of Fuel Products Distribution Insight · M&A Transactions Summary of Notable Transactions in the Last...
Raymond James & Associates, Inc.., member of New York Stock Exchange / SIPC
Fuel Products Distribution InsightSpring 2020
In This Issue
Recent, Notable M&A Transactions
Macroeconomic Indicators
Debt and Equity Market Conditions
Featured Raymond James Equity Research
Energy Stat: OPEC+ Record-Sized Oil Supply Cut –
Spitting in the Wind in 2Q, But Very Bullish 2021+
By John Freeman, Pavel Molchanov, et al.
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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Deal SpotlightsOffen Petroleum to Acquire Bosselman Energy and Bosselman Carriers Observations and Takeaways
To Acquire• Offen Petroleum, a Court Square
Capital Partners portfolio company, has
signed a binding agreement to acquire
the fuel distribution assets of Bosselman
Energy and the trucking assets of
Bosselman Carriers; transaction
excludes Bosselman Enterprises’ 45
Pump & Pantry c-store chain
• First announced transaction under Court
Square ownership
• Bosselman Energy has a 70-year
history distributing fuel products
throughout Nebraska, Colorado,
Kansas, and Iowa with Bosselman
Carriers licensed to distribute fuel in
over 20 states
• Post-acquisition, Offen’s footprint will
expand further into the Midwest and
span 16 states; annual fuel volumes are
expected to reach 1.3+ billion gallons
• Announced: March 11, 2020
• Expected Close: April 2020
• Transaction value undisclosed
• Bosselman Grand Island, NE
office will be a regional
operations center, and the
bulk plants will remain open
and operate as Offen
Petroleum going forward
Expansive Western Footprint
Offen Headquarters
Regional Headquarters
Grand Island Operations Center
Combined Entity Fuel & Lubricant Brand Offerings
Majors Management has Purchased the Dealer Distribution Business of McPherson Cos. Inc.
Observations and TakeawaysHas purchased the
dealer supply business of• McPherson has grown to be the largest
private distributor of fuel and lubricants in
the Southeast
• Transaction enhances Majors’ existing
presence in Alabama, Florida, Mississippi,
and Tennessee and expands relationships
with branded supply partners including
Shell, Chevron, Exxon, Conoco, and Citgo
• Continues string of successful acquisitions
in 2019 including:
– Bowden Oil Company’s fuel supply
contracts and c-store assets
– C-store assets of McDonald Oil
Company
– Retail fuel supply contracts in Texas
• Announced: February 7, 2020
• Transaction value undisclosed
• Acquisition includes 185 retail fuel supply
contracts and excludes McPherson’s bulk
fueling and lubricant business
FL
Majors’ Southeastern Footprint
Majors Headquarters
McPherson Headquarters
Branded Partners
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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Deal SpotlightsPetroChoice Acquires Commercial Distributing Inc. (CDi)
Observations and Takeaways
Has Acquired
• The lubricant business of Commercial Distributing Inc. (CDi) is
headquartered in Oklahoma City, OK and specializes in serving
automotive customers in Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas
• PetroChoice, a portfolio company of Golden Gate Capital, has
successfully completed 11 acquisitions since 2014 and is a
lubricant distribution industry leader with operations in the
Northeast, South and Midwest
• Michael Barcum, President of CDi, stated, “I am pleased that
PetroChoice is as dedicated to fostering the growth of my
business for my employees and customers as I was. I identified
technology in distribution methods as being important in my
vision for our regional distribution effort and the future of this
industry, and PetroChoice is at the forefront of these endeavors.”
• Announced: January 15, 2020
• Transaction value undisclosed
• Effective immediately, CDi will be operating as PetroChoice
• Michael Barcum, President of CDi has agreed to join the
PetroChoice CEO Strategy Council; an advisory board
providing a breadth of support to the leadership team
GPM Investments LLC (“GPMI”) to Acquire Empire Petroleum Partners (“EPP”)
Observations and TakeawaysHas Entered into an
Agreement to Purchase
• GPMI is one of the largest privately-owned
companies in the convenience store channel,
operating 1,272 c-stores and servicing 128
wholesale locations in 23 states
• EPP was founded in 1988 and is one of the
largest fuel distributors in the U.S.,
distributing ~1.1 billion gallons of fuel in 2019
and growing primarily through 22 acquisitions
completed since 2011
• GPMI will acquire EPP’s wholesale fuel
distribution operations and c-store business
totaling 1,534 sites (a majority of which are
wholesale)
• Acquisition will increase GPMI’s annual
gallons distributed to ~2.5 billion gallons and
expand its U.S. footprint into 10 new states
• Announced: December 18, 2020
• Expected Close: April 2020
• Transaction Value: ~$400 million
• "Empire has a reputation for providing superior quality and service to
its dealers, making it a logical combination with GPM, with a history of
successful execution.“ - Empire CEO Rick Golman
Geographic Overview
CDi States of
Operation
EPP Fuel Brands
GPMI Operations
GPMI Headquarters
New EPP Operations
EPP Headquarters
Geographic Overlap
Major GPMI Fuel Brands
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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M&A TransactionsSummary of Notable Transactions in the Last Twelve Months
Source: Public company filings, press releases and CapitalIQ.
Announced
Date Acquiror Target Target Description
3/27/20 Sprague Resources Holdings LLC Sprague Resources LP
Sprague Resources LP ("Sprague") announced that it received an unsolicited non-binding proposal
from Sprague Resources Holdings LLC ("Holdings") to acquire all outstanding common units of
Sprague that Holdings.
3/11/20Offen Petroleum
(Lariat Partners)
Bosselman Energy & Bosselman
Carriers
Bosselman Energy and Carriers, headquartered in Grand Island, Nebraska and owned by Fred
Bosselman for 70 years; Bosselman Energy is a fuel distributor and Carriers operates as a trucking
company serving Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas and Iowa.
3/3/20 PetroCard, Inc. Masco Petroleum, Inc.Family-owned fuel and lubricant distributor serving Western Washington since 1999 from its
headquarters in Aberdeen, Washington.
2/5/20 Majors Management, LLCRetail Fuel Distribution Business of The
McPherson Companies, Inc.
Family-owned fuel and lubricant distributor based in Birmingham, Alabama; distributes Mobil-branded
lubricants and fuel for major brands to dealers in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi, Florida,
Tennessee and Louisiana. Acquisition included 185 dealer supply contracts.
1/27/20 Stewart's Shops Corp.Fuel Distribution Business & Five Gas
Stations of Polsinello Fuels, Inc.
An independently owned and operated wholesale distributor of branded (Gulf, CITGO, and Sunoco) and
unbranded gasoline and diesel fuel to commercial, construction, and agricultural end markets in New
York.
1/16/20 PetroChoice Commercial Distributing, Inc. (CDi)Operates as a distributor of lubricants in Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas and specializes in the
automotive market.
1/16/20 Parkland Fuel Corp. Kellerstrass Oil
Based in Salt Lake City, Utah, operates as a regional retail dealer and commercial fuel business serving
Utah, Idaho and Wyoming; purchase included an 84-site dealer business and trucking & distribution
assets.
1/7/20O'Rourke Distribution Co., Inc.
(Mansfield Energy)
Marine Fuel Distribution Assets of
J.A.M. Distributing Company, LLC
A subsidiary of Brenntag North America, Inc. and headquartered in Houston, TX, J.A.M. is a physical
supplier of marine fuels and lubricants since 1982 and is active in Houston, Galveston, Texas City,
Beaumont, Port Arthur, Freeport, TX and Lake Charles, LA serving major shipping lines, dredging
companies, offshore drilling & exploration, seismic, marine construction and the inland towing industry.
12/19/19 Tyree Oil Company Colvin OilTyree Oil acquired the Colvin Oil Commercial Tankwagon Fuel and Lubricants business (division of the
Andretti Group) in an effort to expand its Southern Oregon footprint.
12/18/20 GPM Investments, LLC Empire Petroleum Partners
A portfolio company of American Infrastructure Funds based in Dallas, TX, Empire distributes major fuel
brands in the Mid-Atlantic, Southeast, Southwest and Midwest to over 1,500 wholesale fuel locations.
Its 77 retail stores were also included in the transaction.
11/30/19 ThompsonGas LLC APP Propane Inc.Headquartered in Tacoma, Washington, the company distributes propane throughout the Pacific
Northwest.
11/21/19 Joe TopperCouche-Tard's interest in
CrossAmerica Partners
CrossAmerica Partners LP is a publicly-traded distributor of branded fuel to 1,300 convenience store
locations across 34 states; Mr. Topper acquired all incentive distribution rights and 21.7% LP interest in
the transaction.
11/21/19 Parkland Fuel Corp. Mort Distributing, Inc.Family-owned and operated marketer and distributor of fuels and lubricants serving retail, commercial,
and wholesale customers in Montana.
11/5/19 RelaDyne Richard Oil and FuelRichard Oil and Fuel is a full-service oil, lubricant, gasoline and diesel fuel distributor throughout
Louisiana; the company supplies agricultural, construction, industrial, and commercial customers.
11/1/19 Empire Petroleum PartnersCertified Oil
(wholesale dealer supply)
Certified Oil operates 69 company-operated convenience stores (sold to EG Group) and runs a dealer
business in Ohio; the dealer book consists on 57 contracted dealers branded through major oil partners
such as Exxon, Marathon, Sunoco, and Valero.
10/1/19 TACenergy IPC USAHeadquartered in Santa Ana, CA., the Company is a fast-growing independent wholesale distributor of
refined products and also handles LNG and natural gas.
9/23/19 RelaDyne Circle Lubricants
Located in Bay Shore, New York, Circle Lubricants services customers throughout the Metropolitan Tri-
State area with lubricants and automotive products and services. Assets include a 40,000 sq. ft.
warehouse, over 200,000 gallons of bulk storage, and a fleet of bulk and packaged delivery vehicles.
9/9/19 Parkland Fuel Corp. Tropic Oil Company, Inc.Tropic transports, distributes, and markets fuels and lubricants in Central and South Florida; supplies /
operates nine cardlock facilities and four bulk storage plants and warehouses.
8/22/19 World Fuel ServicesUVair Fuel Business of
Universal Weather and AviationSupplies fuel for business and general aviation customers at more than 5,000 locations worldwide.
6/28/19 Brenntag AG B&M OilA regional lubricants distributor headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma involved in the sale, marketing, and
distribution of lubricants to various end markets
6/27/19 Court SquareOffen Petroleum
(Lariat Partners)
Offen Petroleum is a fuel distributor of ~1 billion gallons throughout the Mountain West; the Company
was owned by Lariat Partners, a financial sponsor.
6/27/19 Quarles PetroleumPAPCO, Inc.
(propane assets)
PAPCO serves commercial and residential customers through its network of propane distribution assets
throughout the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions of the U.S.
6/20/19 HOP Energy, LLC Kosco Heritage EnergyBased in Kingston NY, primarily distributes heating oil to 21,000 residential, commercial, and HVAC
customers along the Hudson Valley.
6/5/19 RelaDyne Legacy Fuel and LubricantsFormerly Trés Lubrication Products, founded in 2011 in Victoria, Texas, offers lubricants and related
services primarily to oilfield customers in the Eagle Ford Shale play.
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 Oct-17 Apr-18 Oct-18 Apr-19 Oct-19 Apr-20
Inflation (CPI) 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19 Sep-19 Mar-20
2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
4.6%
1.7%
4.0%
3.5%
1.4% 1.1%
4.6%
3.2%
1.8%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Q4'16
Q1'17
Q2'17
Q3'17
Q4'17
Q1'18
Q2'18
Q3'18
Q4'18
Q1'19
Q2'19
Q3'19
Q4'19
2.3% 2.2%
3.2% 3.5%
2.5%
3.5%
2.9%
1.1%
3.1%
2.0% 2.1% 2.1%
1.3%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
Q1'17
Q2'17
Q3'17
Q4'17
Q1'18
Q2'18
Q3'18
Q4'18
Q1'19
Q2'19
Q3'19
Q4'19
Q1'20
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
Mar-17 Jul-17 Nov-17 Mar-18 Jul-18 Nov-18 Mar-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, St. Louis Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor
Statistics, Institute for Supply Management and Capital IQ.
(1) Federal Reserve of Atlanta estimate 4/2/20.
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
West Texas Intermediate($ per barrel)
Inflation vs. 10-Year Treasury
Real GDP Growth(seasonally adjusted annual rates)
Consumer Spending Growth(Real PCE % change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates)
Purchasing Managers Index(annual rate)
Weekly Jobless Claims(in millions)
5
Note: PMI Index figures above 50 indicate expansion
4/9/20
0.7%
March 2020
1.5%
4/9/20
$23.51
March 2020
49.1
(1)
Industrial production fell 5.4% in
March from the month prior, the
biggest drop since World War II
Q1 / Q2 2020 data
anticipated to
deteriorate
materially; retail
sales fell 8.7% in
March from a month
earlier, biggest
decline on record
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20
Week Ended 4/11/20
5.2
22 million job losses
over the last month,
the most rapid and
severe amount of job
destruction on record
IMF estimates
that global GDP
will contract
3.0% in 2020
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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Public Company Share Price Performance
Wholesale Fuel Trailing Three-Year Stock Price Performance
+14.8%
-41.9%
+13.7%
10-Year Wholesale Fuel Historical Trading Multiples (EV/EBITDA)(1)
Source: Capital IQ.
(1) Median EV/LTM EBITDA multiple for PKI, SUN, GLP, CAPL, INT, SRLP.
-36.0%
-29.9%
-7.6%
-71.2%
-54.8%
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
160.0
180.0
200.0
Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20
Sunoco LP Global Partners LP CrossAmerica Partners LP Sprague Resources LP
Parkland Fuel Corp. World Fuel Services Corp. Alerian MLP Index S&P Total Return
Indexed S
hare
Price P
erf
orm
ance
(4/3
/2017 =
100.0
)
10.8x
13.3x
9.8x
11.5x
9.4x
13.7x
11.9x
13.6x
12.0x
14.3x
10.3x
11.9x
11.4x
13.5x
10.5x
13.1x
8.7x
9.6x
8.1x
6.2x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
4/1/10 4/1/11 4/1/12 4/1/13 4/1/14 4/1/15 4/1/16 4/1/17 4/1/18 4/1/19 4/1/20
4/16/20
6.5x
Median: 11.3x
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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20.2%
9.9%
2.9%
(5.9%)(9.0%)(11.1%)
(15.9%)(23.2%)(30.0%)
(20.0%)
(10.0%)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
CAPL UGI SRLP SPH INT SUN GLP PKI SGU
10.8x
10.0x
8.9x 8.9x 8.7x8.3x
7.9x
6.5x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
SRLP GLP UGI CAPL PKI SPH SUN INT SGU
9.7x8.7x
8.2x7.9x
6.8x 6.6x 6.4x
5.8x5.1x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
UGI SRLP CAPL SPH SUN SGU PKI GLP INT
20.7% 20.2% 19.0% 18.5% 17.9%
6.5%
4.3% 4.0%
1.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
SRLP GLP CAPL SUN SPH SGU PKI UGI INT
75.0%
62.9% 60.5% 58.2%
55.8% 54.4% 52.4% 53.8%
47.3%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
SGU SRLP PKI INT CAPL UGI SUN SPH GLP
6.5x
5.7x5.1x 4.9x 4.9x
4.6x
3.2x2.8x
1.3x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
SRLP CAPL UGI SUN SPH GLP SGU PKI INT
Public Companies: Trading Statistics
Fuel Distribution Comparables
Current Price as a % of LTM High
EV / LTM EBITDA EV / 2020E EBITDA
LTM Dividend / Distribution Yield
Source: Public company filings, Capital IQ, Wall Street equity research.
Note: Share prices current as of 4/9/20 and pre-COVID-19 medians are as of 2/3/20.
(SUN = Sunoco LP, CAPL = CrossAmerica Partners LP, GLP = Global Partners LP, PKI = Parkland Fuel Corp., INT = World Fuel Services Corp., SRLP = Sprague Resources
LP, SPH = Suburban Propane Partners, UGI = UGI Corp., and Star Group LP = SGU)
Median: 55.8%
Net Debt / EBITDA 2020 Estimated Annual EBITDA Growth
Median: 4.9x
Median: 17.9%
Median: (7.4%)
n/a
Median: 6.8x
Pre-COVID-19 Median: 90.4%
Pre-COVID-19 Median: 10.4%
Pre-COVID-19 Median: 8.4x
Median: 8.7x
n/a
Pre-COVID-19 Median: 9.2x
Pre-COVID-19 Median: 5.1%
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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Current Debt Market Outlook
Leveraged Finance Volume ($BN)
Middle Market Leverage Trends(1)
Non-Investment Grade Bond Yields
Source: LCD Research.
(1) Middle market defined as companies with less than $50 million in EBITDA.
US Companies Historical Interest Rates
4.8x5.0x 4.9x
5.1x5.4x
5.6x5.4x 5.3x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Q1
Average Leverage Ratio
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Average LBO Equity Contribution
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
4Q'16
1Q'17
2Q'17
3Q'17
4Q'17
1Q'18
2Q'18
3Q'18
4Q'18
1Q'19
2Q'19
3Q'19
4Q'19
1Q'20
BAML High Yield Index
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
Pro Rata Institutional High-Yield
S&P LCD LEVERAGE LOAN 100 INDEX YTM
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20
Yield To Maturity
4/9/20
7.6%
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
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Raymond James COVID-19 Outlook
Scenario“Stop Everything
Now”
“Procrastination” or
“Eventually We Get It”“Saved by the Summer” “Failure is an Option”
Summary
U.S. economy shuts
down all non-essential
activities for 2 weeks
Testing dramatically
increases and a
baseline number of
individuals effected is
established
By the end of the two
weeks, cases slow
down and all
individuals with the
virus are identified
Allows government to
slowly reopen activities
with active monitoring
Areas impacted by
community spread will
shut down after dragging
their feet a bit
Other communities will
fall in line, but fail to
preemptively act before
spread breaks out in
their areas
The public largely
ignores warnings until
the death rate ticks up
and public acknowledges
action is necessary
From that moment, the
“Stop Everything Now”
scenario is triggered
The government fails to
limit the spread and the
public refuses to take
meaningful action
The virus continues to
double every week, until
a slowdown in the
summer for unknown
reasons
Allows the government
and individuals time to
take real action that they
failed to initially take
We do not currently expect
this scenario to occur and
believe it has the lowest
probability
Summer does not result
in a natural buffer to slow
the virus
The virus spreads
uncontrolled and the
government fails to take
action
Catalyst
The government has
likely missed its
window to stop
everything now
Allowing individual
states to determine
their own policy is
likely to result in the
spread continuing
Additional states are
taking aggressive
enough actions showing
this type of action is
possible
Continuing without
unified policy leads to
the spread growing,
even if slowed a bit by
mitigation
White House continues
to maintain the position
that a nationwide
“lockdown” is not
necessary
This option creeps up
with each day that goes
by without significant
government actions
Gov. Actions
Public Response
Scope (#
Infected)< 500,000 < 1,000,000 > 1,000,000
> 100,000,000
~ 1,000,000 deaths
Duration Late April Late May July Fall
Economic
ImpactModerate Significant Severe Crisis
Probability 0% 40% 40% 20%
Authorized by Raymond James Healthcare Policy Analyst Chris Meekins (previously worked at the department of health
and human services in the area of public health emergency preparedness and response)
We continue to believe this will get worse before it gets better. To instill confidence in the public, either the spread of the virus needs to end or
the public's concerns over the threat of the virus must dramatically decrease. To reduce that threat, individuals need to know 1) they can get a test
when needed if they are sick; and, 2) that there is a widely available treatment for the disease that works to keep you out of the ICU and lowers the death
rate to that of season influenza (0.1%). In conversations with officials across the country, it is increasingly clear state and local governments have not
established what requirements must be met to remove the business and “shelter in place” restrictions. That makes it very difficult to see these
current restrictions lasting under 3 weeks.
Assessment of COV-19 Impact Scenarios Provided By Raymond James
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
10
Expected Effects on the M&A Market
Timing The pandemic is likely to impact the timing of negotiations and
completion of deals. Travel is curtailed and processes are delaying
launch. Social distancing efforts are additionally affecting regulatory
clearance timelines
ValuationMarket volatility increases uncertainty around valuation outcomes for
transactions currently in the market. Potential financing disruptions or
reintroduction of covenants may limit flexibility to fund deals at the same pre-
crisis levels, leading to over-equitization of transactions, or price reductions
Financing
Lenders are already more discerning around potential pandemic exposures.
Spreads have widened substantially, increasing the cost of leverage
Due DiligenceChanges to outbound sales models, call center disruptions, working capital
challenges, adequacy of insurance coverage, IT infrastructure and other aspects
will come under scrutiny
End Market EffectsCertain end markets will be negatively impacted more than others such
as retail, entertainment, travel, hospitality and energy. Duration and
severity of impact may affect valuations
Areas of Concern Expected Impact
Headlines & Recent Developments
Concerns about the breadth of the global pandemic and its impact on businesses globally, combined with an
energy fight between Saudi Arabia and Russia, presented challenges to the 11-year old bull market. In
addition to the rush out of riskier assets like equities and commodities, traditional relationships between
stocks, bonds and gold have broke down at times in the face of broad selling
The U.S. Government is taking steps to provide economic cushion during the crisis (CARES Act). Additional
steps being considered span sick-leave to infrastructure spending
The Fed has taken multiple steps recently including interest-rate cuts, liquidity injections to short-term funding
markets and bond purchases in poorly functioning markets
FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
11
What We’re Reading
“Opinion: 3 Ways COVID-19 will Shape Fuel Demand” | Joe Petrowski, CSP News
April 3, 2020 – “While current retail fuel margins are at historic high, the nagging question is: How much will retail fuel consumption be
reduced due to Americans now working from home, the canceling of major gatherings and general sheltering in place? Here are three
predictions on how COVID-19 and social distancing will affect transportation fuel.”
Read More
Note: Links are being provided for information purposes only. Raymond James is not
affiliated with and does not endorse, authorize or sponsor any of the listed web sites or
their respective sponsors. Raymond James is not responsible for the content of any web
site or the collection or use of information regarding any web site’s users and/or members.
“Oil Price War Ends With Historic OPEC+ Deal to Slash Output” | Javier Blas, Salma El Wardany, Et. al, Bloomberg
April 12, 2020 – “The world’s top oil producers pulled off a historic deal to cut global petroleum output by nearly a 10th, putting an end to a
devastating price war but not going far enough offset the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. A week-long marathon of bilateral calls and
ministerial video conferences joined the OPEC+ alliance and the Group of 20 nations in an unprecedented agreement. Together they have
helped to lift oil prices from almost 20-year lows, but the focus of the market now shifts to whether they can dent a supply glut that keeps
growing as the virus shuts down the global economy. The deal may turn out to be ‘just a plaster on an open wound,’ consultant JBC Energy
GmbH said in a note. Despite skepticism, the agreement still represents an important victory for the alliance between OPEC and allies
including Russia, which just a few weeks ago appeared to be dead. It wasn’t easy, with talks almost falling apart late last week because
of resistance from Mexico.”
Read More
“Glutted Oil Markets’ Next Worry: Subzero Prices” | Sarah Toy, WSJ
April 15, 2020 – “While U.S. crude futures have shed more than half of their value this year, prices for actual barrels of oil in some places have
fallen even further. Storage around the globe is rapidly filling and, in areas where crude is hard to transport, producers could soon be forced to
pay consumers to take it off their hands—effectively pushing prices below zero…Part of the problem, traders say, is the industry’s limited
capacity to store excess oil. Efforts to curb the spread of the virus have driven demand to record lows. Factories have shut. Cars and
airplanes are sitting immobile. So refineries are slashing activity while stores of crude rapidly accumulate.’”
Read More
“This Crushing Double Blow for the Oil Sector Could Force a Wave of Consolidation” | Barbara Kollmeyer, MarketWatch
March 30, 2020 – “Twin blows from price wars and a demand-crushing deadly virus could usher a new era of consolidation in the oil
industry, some 20 years after the last big wave of mergers, say some observers. ‘I would be gobsmacked if 18 months from now we didn’t
have fewer names in the space as a whole. I don’t think that’s really a surprise,’ James Gutman, Dolfin’s head of investment portfolios, told
MarketWatch. ‘Oil-related equities have fallen twice as far as the rest the market since the beginning of the year. It’s been a horror show for
the market, but it’s been even worse for the oil patch,’ Gutman said. U.S. CLK20, -1.01% and Brent crude BRNK20, were hovering at or
under $20 on Monday, with prices down just over 50% so far this year. The Russia-Saudi Arabia oil-price war kicked off the pain for oil
prices in early March, followed by a demand shock as global economies shut down from the coronavirus. ‘We’re probably looking at a
surplus of 10 to 12 million barrels [of oil] a day which is larger than anything we’ve seen in memory,’ Gutman said, adding that the industry
is still struggling to figure out how bad it will get. In short, all of the above presents a major headache for oil companies trying to maintain
dividends, or in some cases just keep going.”
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“World Economic Outlook Chapter 1: The Great Lockdown” | International Monetary Fund
April 2020 – “The COVID-19 pandemic is inflicting high and rising human costs worldwide, and the necessary protection measures are
severely impacting economic activity. As a result of the pandemic, the global economy is projected to contract sharply by 3 percent in
2020, much worse than during the 2008–09 financial crisis. In a baseline scenario--which assumes that the pandemic fades in the second
half of 2020 and containment efforts can be gradually unwound—the global economy is projected to grow by 5.8 percent in 2021 as
economic activity normalizes, helped by policy support. The risks for even more severe outcomes, however, are substantial. Effective
policies are essential to forestall the possibility of worse outcomes, and the necessary measures to reduce contagion and protect lives are
an important investment in long-term human and economic health. Because the economic fallout is acute in specific sectors, policymakers
will need to implement substantial targeted fiscal, monetary, and financial market measures to support affected households and
businesses domestically. And internationally, strong multilateral cooperation is essential to overcome the effects of the pandemic,
including to help financially constrained countries facing twin health and funding shocks, and for channeling aid to countries with weak
health care systems.”
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FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INSIGHT QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER
ABOUT RAYMOND JAMES CONVENIENCE STORE & FUEL PRODUCTS DISTRIBUTION INVESTMENT BANKING
• Leading full-service financial advisor to the Convenience Store and Fuel Products Distribution industries
• Experienced and seasoned transaction team
• Dedicated to providing a full range of advisory and capital-raising solutions to industry participants
• Established strong track record of working with the industry’s leading companies and delivering results
• Maintain deep relationships with key equity investors, specialty lenders, sale-leaseback providers and other capital sources
• As M&A specialists, we understand the concerns of buyers and sellers and how to drive value for our clients
• Wholesale Petroleum
Distributors
• Commercial Fuel &
Lube Distributors
• Convenience Store Retailers
• Truck Stop and Travel
Center Operators
• Propane Distributors
• Terminal Operators
• Mobile Fueling
• Alternative Fuel Providers
• Merchandise /
Foodservice Distributors
• Company Sales
• Acquisition Advisory
• Private Equity Placements
• Debt Capital Raises
• Asset Sales / Divestitures
• Restructurings
• Recapitalizations
• Public Offerings
• Master Limited Partnerships
CLIENT FOCUSADVISORY SERVICES
Convenience Store & Fuel Products Distribution Investment Banking
Convenience Store & Fuel Products Distribution Team
SCOTT GARFINKEL
Group Head
Nashville, TN // 615.645.6796
ROGER WOODMAN
Managing Director
Atlanta, GA // 404.240.6864
DAVID CORBETT
Director
Atlanta, GA // 404.279.7442
JOHN VEITH
Director
Nashville, TN // 615.645.6799
Representative Transactions
12
This material is not to be considered an offer or solicitation regarding the sale of any security. This material was prepared within Raymond James &
Associates’ Investment Banking Department and is for information purposes only. This material is not a product of Raymond James & Associates’
Research Department; recipients of this report should not interpret the information herein as sufficient grounds for an investment decision or any other
decision. The report shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any of the securities mentioned herein; past performance does
not guarantee future results. Information contained in this report was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed.
Raymond James & Associates, Inc.., member of New York Stock Exchange / SIPC
Has sold its retail convenience
store assets to
(formerly Tesoro Corp.)
Has acquired a minority
ownership position in Has sold its fuel and propane
distribution assets to
Has sold its wholesale fuel and
refined fuel terminal assets to
Has been acquired by
Has announced its sale to
$289,000,000
Has sold its convenience store
and fuel distribution assets to
Has acquired propane distribution
and rail terminal assets from
Has acquired
OklahomaHas announced its sale to