frsbog_mim_v12_0090.pdf

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7/17/2019 frsbog_mim_v12_0090.pdf http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/frsbogmimv120090pdf 1/14 FEDERAL HESERV E BOARD ST T E ~ 4 E N T FOR THE PR SS Release for :r.10rning pApers, Janu<:cry 3, ~ 2 0 X-1791 AN ADDRESS BY Vl.P .G. HARDING,, GOVERNOR OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, DELIVERED 1\T BOSTON, TU.NSDJ.Y, JANUARY 6, lj20, BEFORE THE M.ASSACHUSETTS BANKERS 1 ASSOCIATION. 90 The historian der·ls with the past, but the active mr.n of affairs lives in the present nnd directs his vision toward the future. Yet t frequently happens t h ~ t in order to arrive nt a thorough understanding of present conditions and to interpret the significence of the shadows which coming events are said to cast before them, t is necessary for the business man to review the .past, or at least the recent past, in order to draw logical conclusions from the s e ~ u e n c e of events. We are living todi1.y in extraott.dinary times wnen lights and shadows present contrasts more marked than we have ever seen Lefore. In sume localities qnd to some individuals the scene is illuminated with the radiant intensity of a July sun t noonday, w1,ile in other· places nd to other peoples it is enveloped in t11e murk;r darkness of an arc tic midnight. We realize that such conditions nre unusual and transitory) for extremes so violent cannot continue indefinitely. In our own country we question the permanence of the lurid prosperity enJoyed by some while so raa.ny others are struggling with adverse conditions; t ~ d in our world relations there is no La.sis for the hope t h ~ t this country can prosper long vvhen other great nE\tiuns i= <re plunged intu tlle depths of deJ?rePsion, poverty and famine. More than sixty yenrs ngo Abraham Lincoln said that this natiun could not exist half slave and half free that t must be all one

Transcript of frsbog_mim_v12_0090.pdf

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F E D E R A L H E S E R V E B O A R D

ST T E ~ 4 E N T FOR

THE

PR SS

Release for :r.10rning pApers,

Janu<:cry 3, ~ 2 0

X-1791

AN ADDRESS BY Vl.P .G. HARDING,, GOVERNOR OF THE FEDERAL

RESERVE

BOARD, DELIVERED

1\T BOSTON, TU.NSDJ.Y,

JANUARY 6, l j20,

BEFORE THE

M.ASSACHUSETTS

BANKERS

1

ASSOCIATION.

90

The

his torian

der·ls

with the past , but

the

active

mr.n

of affai rs

l ives in the present nnd directs

his

vision

toward

the future. Yet

t frequently happens t h ~ t

in

order to

arr ive

nt a

thorough

understanding

of

present conditions

and

to in terpret

the significence of

the

shadows

which coming

events

are

said to cast before them, t is necessary for

the

business man

to

review the .past, or at leas t

the

recent past , in order

to

draw

logical conclusions from the s e ~ u e n c e of

events.

We

are

l iving

todi1.y in extraott.dinary t imes

wnen

l ights

and

shadows

present

contrasts

more

marked

than we have ever

seen

Lefore. In sume

local i t ies

qnd

to

some individuals

the

scene i s

illuminated with

the

radiant

in tensi ty

of

a July sun t noonday,

w1,ile

in

other·

places nd to

other

peoples i t is enveloped in t11e

murk;r

darkness of an

arc t i c midnight.

We real ize

that

such conditions nre unusual

and

transitory) for extremes

so violent cannot continue

indefin i te ly .

In

our own country we

question

the permanence

of

the lur id prosper i ty

enJoyed

by some while so

raa.ny

others

are struggling

with

adverse

conditions; t ~ d

in

our world relations

there is no La.sis

for

the hope t h ~ t

this country

can

prosper

long

vvhen

other great

nE\tiuns

i= <re

plunged intu tlle

depths of deJ?rePsion,

poverty

and

famine. More than s ix ty yenrs ngo Abraham Lincoln said that th is

nat iun

could not

exist hal f

slave and

hal f

free

that

t must

be a l l

one

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L-1791

or

the other.

So also neither this country nor

the

world can continue

to l ive half

in the

glaring s t ~ l i g h t and half

in utter

dorkness. e

91

cennot,

of

G

1

J:rse,

l t ; :k

for 1: .r.:\·-Tetsa1 S .:nshine,

but v o ~ should

undertc.ke

to

soften

the

contrast

now

existing.

taking

pains to

accomplish the

result by diffusion of light rather than by

extension

of the shadows.

To

the

superficial observer who considers only

large

figures and

volun1e

of

business, gross profits 3.nd

demmd

for services

and

goods,

i t

appears that the people

of this

country

have

never

experienced

such

exuberant

prosperity.

Prices

and wages

hi1ve never

bean

so

high,

opportunity

t

work

so abundant,

demand

for

goods

so

great

and

bank

deposits

so

large

as now; but

with

a l l the conditions present which are usually

regarded

as

concomitants of

prosperity, there is

a

wide-spread feeling of

unrest,

of dissatisfaction with the

present,

and

of

apprehensivp for the future,

There

is general

complaint

that while there has

be.;;n no

approach to uniformity

in

rE•tes of increase of

personal

incomes

there has teen

a sweeping and

uni-

versal

advance

in

prices

of

necessi t ies

as

well

as

luxuries

uffecting

a l l

and

resulting in deprivations

and

hardships to

a

very

numerous unorganized

intermediate class

whose

earnings

and incomes have remained

practically

stationary.

The high cost of l iving

therefore

has become

the

subJect of universal

proposed

interest

rnd

concern nnd

various

methods have t e ~ n · fer i t s

r e d u t i o • ~

· In

considering the

problem

i t

is

well to

review

briefly

the course

of

events

during t ~ e

past five years

in order that we may understand clearly tue causes

that

have led to

present conditions

and

ty analysis be able better

to

reach

conclusions as to

the proper

corrective¥

There

can be no

doubt

that

the

world

war

is directly

resp•nsible

for

many

of the successive

advPJ:lces which have

taken p ~ c e

.Phe

wi

tfulrawal

of

~ i l l i o n s of

men

from

productive

o p e r ~ t i o n ~

~

their

o n v ~ r s i o n

into

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-3- .

X 1791

92

f ight ing uni ts . and

the expenditure of

bi l l ions

of

dollars

in processes

of

waste end

destruction

created

an

abnormal and urgent

demand for

supplies

of

a l l kinds, not

only for the

necessit ies

which ere required

in

times

of peace and war

al ike

but

also for

arms, tounitions and a l l sor ts

of

mil i ta ry and

naval

equipment. Production could not

keep

pace

with demand

notwithstanding reduced

consumption

end r igid economies on

the

par t

of

civi l ian

populations, he

world

was drained of i t s tangible l iquid

wealth

as

represented

by raw materials and manufactured

goods;

n many

countr ies currencies were inf la ted mld

everywhere

there was credi t

expansion

on

a

vast scale.

Industry

was

diverted

into

the

r.1ost

essent ia l

channels, and bui lding operations and construction work

general ly

were

suspended except

where necessary

for the production, stor<lge rnd transpor-

ta t ion of war materie-L

When

hos t i l i t i es terminated

upon

the

signing

of the armistice nearly

fourteen

months ago

7

the

world had

teen deprived of the productive power

~ e p r e s e n t e d

by perhaps

f i f teen

mill ion

men who

had

lost

their

l ives

or

permanently

who

had become/disabled. t

was

deficient in

supplies

of fooclstuffs,

fuel

and

text i les

and i t s manufacturing capacity

and

t ransportat ion f c i ~ i t i e s

were greatly impaired. Millions of :people found

themselves homeless, not

only

in the war

s t r icken

areas but also in countries whose so i l remained

untouched ty

invooing

armies

for normal

building operations were four

years

in

arrears .

The bel l igeren t

nations

staggered

vnder

a

stupendous

burden of

debt, which

had been

inc1·eased

during the

war by

the

equivalent

of more than two

hundred

bi l l ions of dollurs ,

most

of which hau beGn

expended

in destructive energy involving

uneconomic

conswnption of

goods.

The largest country and.

great

granary

of

Europe was

torn

oy

revolut ion,

anarchy

c iv i l

war

and

the

populations

o

other European countries ,

many

of them

crippled

by

loss

of

man power,

oy la.ck

of

domestic

animals

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X l73l

,-

and

a g r i c u l ~ u r a l

implements

and

by the imp irment

of

p:.-oductive capaeity

generally

and the

loss

of their foreign markets, were una.ble to supply

their domestic requirements. They were o b l i ~ d therefore to turn appealing

eyes to the Far East,

to

Colonial possessions, and

across the

Atlantic

to

North and South America.

By

reason of

i t s stronger

financial position and greater

aLili ty

to

produce foodstuffs,

raw staples and manufactured

ar t ic les

these appeals

have been made

n

larger

part

to the United States. The

assurances

given

by

our

Government

of i t s humanitarian ~ l s s n

entering the war,

and

the

f inancia l a id extended through loans from

the

Treasur;r

amounting to

ten

bill lons

of

dollars

have

also served to

focus tb e eyes of a l l Europeans

upon tbe United States as the most

dependable

source of

suppl;r

for Europe's

wants •

UnfOI tUne.tely

the trend of events in this

co-untry

during

the

year

1 3 1 ~

93

was

not altogether

satisfactory.

Following

a

period

of

waiting

ond

hesitation

th r i f t

during the ear ly

part

of the year,

the

policies of - . and economy,

of

self-denial

and conservation which during

the war

proved

so effective were

soon discarded,

and

the pent up··energies

of

a people

which

bad subrogated

so f ine ly a l l pleasures, ambitions <;Qd impulses to the task of winning the

war were

released and

found expression

in

act ivi t ies

of

every Kind. In

many

instances these

act ivi t ies

were

commendable

for

they

were

devoted

to the

eonstructiQ work of bringing the industries of the country baek from a

war

to a J)eaee

basis,

but advantage was taken of

the

ease w

th

which

credi t

could

be obtained, to avai l of

speculatiVe

opportunities for

prof i t .

Speculation

became

rampant

n a l ~ sections of

the

country ::nd

individuals

everyNbere gave

free rein to

extravagant

tendencies

hither to

restrained

M•a.ncina

prices

served

to

stimulate

rather

thr;n

to

check

demand,

alld

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 5

X 1791

the

evident necess i ty

for conserving e-ssential

cor.m1odi

t ies

known

to

be

scarce

fa i led

to

cur ta i l

consumption.

As the

yec.:r

pro

gressed

bank loans and deposits increased, and reserves declined.

Frequent

warnings issued uy the

Federal

Reserve Board had

only

a temporary effect ;

dangero-us

tendencies developed

in to l:i.

dangerous s i tuat ion

1

and corrective measures were applied, now

conceded

to have been

n e c e s ~ r y

[ t n d salutary,

ought

but

which

at the

time

were

denounced

by

sorr.e who

tu

nave

known

t e t t e r

as

a

conspiracy

against the

prosperi ty of

the c o u n t r y ~

Meanwhile i t tecrute evident

that

those

who

had predicted

tha t

the year

wuuld

witness a marked fa l l ing off in our exports , because

of

the decline in the

cash

purchasing po.ver of European nations nd

the i r

inabi l i ty to

secure

credi ts

as indicated

by

the

spec-

tacular

drop

in

the exchanges

of most

European

countries ,

h:J.d

r ~ c h e d

preu:ature conclusions, for the to ta l value Qf exports from the

United States

during

the year ljl::J has exceeded imports l y

a t

l e s ~

four

bi l l ions of

dollars . Notwithstanding th is

fact

the movement

heavi ly

uutgu

of gold fer the year was • against us, the net having been

27&,723,000, up to Decenber 20th, or taking

into

considerat ion the

balance

of

the gold received

from

Gern. my for

fovdstuffs

nnd held n

London

for future

ship:r.::;ent to this country

or for

use

atroad., the

net

has been 147

1

40},000. In addi t icn

to

th i s there heve t e0n to

December 20th,

net exports of s i lver Dir;ounting to 145,<:'20,000.

Vi1hile the value

of

rnw

materials

arid

of

monufactu.red.

or t ic les

produced. during the

year wa5 the

greates t

in

tn.e

his tory of tho::

c

ountryr

9

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9

-6-

X-1791

the physical volume proved to te smaller

than

fo r any year since 9 S ~

During tb.e

l s t

f:cw we ~ k s i t

has

become increasingly avident tha t

active s t ~ p s

must be taken

i f our exports

are t o t e maintained,

es-

peci l ly tu European countries,

in

anything l ike the ir

:rresent

v o l ' W l ~ "

The f c t tb.a.t V e

l;l.ave

had a favorable tr'3.de balance of four t i l l i ons

uf dvl l r s

accvrnpa.nieu

by a large net

loss

of

precious

metals

shews

conclusively tb t exporters have ei ther t ~ o n payment in f c r e i ~

currencies vr that they.

have accun::ulated

credi ts

in

foreisn

tc.mks ..

Just hvw these

credi ts

ho.ve teen a.rromgeli

i t i s impussib

le to

t race

fully

or even

measuratly, but

i t

i s very

protable that

a

lar5e p r t of

the

f in nci l burd.en

has

beRn

tbrovm d.irec

t ly

or

indi rect ly

upun .AJ;;eric:m

tanks. There. i s nv reason, however,

to

-lUestion the securi ty

of bank

loans f vr t.tle:re

is

an

abundance

.. f priu:e

col l t e r l

avai lGtb le inc lu.:dng

more

than

twenty bi l l ions

of dol l rs

of

United States Governi:lent bonds

t is h i ~ h l y important, however, that e-ll long cred i t s granted in

connection with exports be kept out

vf the

banks, whose: policy

should

be to maintain

themselves

in a l iquid condition. Apart from the

locns

which the

War Finance Corporation i s authorized to :rcak ;.;

there is

nu

provisiun for

Govc:rnrr;ent aid in f i n F . ~ U C i n , ; e x p o r t s ~ T h ~ ; ; fund.

of ten

bi l l ions

of dol l rs

which

Congress authorized

to

be

advnnced to foreign

e5overn:r,ents associated

with

us

in

the

war

has been

:pra.c

i c ~ l l y

exha.usted,

·

~ r ~

barring a

poss ib i l i ty that fer hum@nitarian

reasons,

in order to

prevent

actual s tarvat ion

a

further

ad:vance

of

two or three hund.red

mil l ion

dollars mure may be

perni

t ted

1

there

seems

to be

no

r ~ s o n to

ex:pe.c

t

t1lat

any

more large lo<:llls by ~ h e

G o v e r n r : ~ m t

for f inancing ex.pcr ts

wil l

be

autborized.

Such

a

policy would rr.ean

e i ther more tn.x.ation r

rr1ore

bonds;

t

wou.ld

me£0.

a

re turn to

wartime

r.c.ethod.s

of

f i r > < J n ~ i l ' . . g

f ter

we have tUl fled

our backs

upon such

~ e t h o d s

and. are direct ing O U st-eps

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-7-

X-1791

towards the metllods

and

poJ: ,;.;ies of peace

financing;

i t would rr: ean that

funds belonging tO a l l the people would

be applied

in time

of

peace to

the more direct benef i t of

exporters

and of those who produce goods for

export

Without discussing at

th is

time the

eff3ct

of credi t

and

currency

e x p n s i o n ~ t

is

evident

that decreased physical volume

of production,

higher pr ices of

raw

materials . and higher

operating

cos ts , coupled with

increased

domestic

consumption and heavier movement of exports, have

made higher

costs

of l iv ing inevi table .

As

regards

the responsibi l i ty

of the

comn:ercial

banks of the

country, of the

Federal Reserve Banks, a J d

of

the

Federal Reserve Board for

present

conditions, and

as

to the policy

that

should

be adopted in the futt\re, much can be said.. But f i r s t

l e t

i t be understood

that

there is as wide a i f f e r e r ~ e between war

financing

and

p r o ~ e r

banking

policies

in time of peace

as

there

is

between martial

and

c iv i l

law.

The story of

our

wa r financing wil l

const i tute

a br i l l i an t chapter

in

the country ts h i s t o r y ~ wt.ile

the

Fede:a. al Reserve ]nnks and the

roomber and non-memb =lr banks are ent i t led to th

greatest

pra:i.se

for

their

most

effec t ive cooperation, nei ther they nur the Federal Reserve

13oarcl are responsible for the

pol ic ies

and

methods

adopted in

fj.nancing

the

war and deserve nei ther

:prnise

nor

blame for

thew. Respons

4

 b i l i

ty

witb

for

these methuds and policies res ts · the Pres:iclent

1

the

Congress,

and

the Secret '-rY

of the 'l'l.'easury,

who

autbu:c5.7.-ed and ~ o p t e d

them. cmd

tu

them

the

resul ts shuuld be crei i ted.

No great

war

bas

been f:i.nan-;ed ent i rely y

taxativn:

ani inva:riably

resor t has been hod to expcd.icnts such as ).rc: :lat.iun of currency

or

ab-

normal expansion of credi.ts;

and

sometimes to · b o ~ · h

Wa rs

vvi

th

us have

always caused

higher taxat iCin, nd

during

the c ivi 1

wa r recourse

was

had

also

both

to cred i t expansion through bond issues and to currency inf la t iun

96

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- ..

X-1791

Irredeemable

paper

money

was issued

to

defray current expenses

and as

this

currency

was made a legal tender for

l l

debts and dues

i t

was in

effect a

forced

popular

loan

without interest.

t t

proved

to

be a very

expensive currency

however, because of

i ts effett Upon

prices and

not

until nearly

fifteen years after the end

of

the war din

i t

circulate on

r · 97

·

a parity with gold.

The legal

tehdet notes w e ~ e a

disturbing

factor again

in

1894,

189, arid

isj6• becaUse

t

theit

repeated

redemptions

in

goid and

immediate reissue and were described as

an

endless chain.

' 'he

policy

adopted by the

Secretary

of

the

Treasury

in financing

the

.requirements of the Government during the war with Germany

excluded

the

issue

of uncovered

paper

money,

and provided

for

sales of interest-bearing

obligations

consisting

of

short

time

certificates

of

indebte4nets

and

bonds

of

various

maturities

which could

not be used

directly to

secure

circulating

notes

although indirectly through

the

Federnl Reserve

a n ~ s

they were used

to some

extent as a

basis for

circulation.

In

the

clearly

defined l i m i t ~ t i Q n s prescribed in Section 13

of the

Federal

Reserve

Act n

the description of the kinds of

paper eligible for

rediscount

by

F e d e r ~ l

Reserve Banks, a special

exception is

~ e in favor

of bonds and notes

of the

Governn:ent

of the

United

States.

During

the

period of actual war, e ~ s ~ upon the Treasury were

greatly

in

excess

of curr8nt

receipts

from

taxation.

ana the

offerings

of bonds

within a comparatively short time amounted to

far

more than the invest-

ment

capacity of

the

c o u n t r y ~

In

order to insure

the

success

of the

re-

spective

bond

issues i t

was necessary to

anticipate

the

investment capacity

i

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-9-

X-1791

of the

public as

represented by

future

incomes and

savings.

Banks,

manufacturing concerns b u s i n ~ s s houses

and

individuals

were

urged

therefore

to subscribe· for

bonds without regard

to

their immediate

abil i ty

to pay for them, and an effective appeal

was made to the·patriotic impulses of the

people

to

borrow

heavily

from bnnks upon

the security of bvnds

and

as

a

special

inducement preferential rates were established

for

such loans and

easy terms of payment were p r o m i s e d ~

The

inevitable

result was a great

expansion of credit

which

was reflected not only in

the

statements of i n d i ~ ~ u a l banks but

also

in the position of

the

Fecieral Reserve Banks.

.At the

same

t i ~ e no opportunity

was

lost

to impress

upon the

public

the

necessity. for increPsed pro-iuction

anci reducei consueytion

for

thr i f t and

rigid

economy.

fs long

'l.S

the

Wr:tr WI \S

1n progress

anci.

i t s issue

in

cloubt, appeals of

this kind

were far mox·e

effective

9

th£ .n couH be

expected

c.fter

the war hal

been brought to

a

successful

conclusion

after the tension

had been

relieved

and a

period of

reaction ~ c l

relaxation

had set . in .

·

s;mchronize

The end of

e world

war

n

a military sense

does

not

with

i t s termination from a financial point of view and abnormal

expenJitures incident to

war

cannot

be

curtailed

i f f i f f i e ~ i t e l y upon

tha suspension of hosti l i t ies . I he

armistice

was signed.

shortly after the flotation

of

the

Fwurth

Liberty

Loanr

many months in ad.vance of popular

expectation.

The

l i bi l i t ies

cf

our

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 KlO

X-1791

Government were great ly in excess of the amounts

which had

boen

raised

by

taxat ion

end

by

the

sale

of bonds;

there was· v e r ~

large

f loat ing

debt in the furro

of

Treasury cer t i f ica tes of in -

debtedness

besides

heavy unascertained l i ab i l i t ies

of

various

kinds.

t

became necessary for the Treasury to f loa t another

great

popular loan, and notwithstanding

the

fears

expressed

by

many

that an

appeal

to :patr iot ic

motives

in tiiLe of

peace

would not

meet with

an

ade-1uate

response. the

car;n:paign

£or

tbe Victory

Loan,

the

las t

appeal of the Treasury to

the generous

i r r ~ u l s e s

of

the

.Arr.ericen

people,

proved to be an un.:tualified

success

ani tb.e loan

was oversubscribed •

.As a logtcal sequence the loan

accounts

of the banks generally

were great ly increased

< md more so oecc..use currJi t::rcial dem;::.nd.s were

not

restr ic ted

as they

had b e ~ n

during

the

war period. Receipts

f r o ~ the Victury Loan, however, were nvt suff ic ient tv l i{uidate

ent i re ly the l i ab i l i t i e s

of

the Treasury.

Ril i

a large fluG ting

99

debt represented by

nearly

fuur bi l l ivns vf dol lars uf

Tra2.sury

cer t i f ica tes

s t i l l

remained to be cared

for..

t

was deen:ed necessary

to cuntinue the wartime

banking

:;::olicies

unt i l ~ u c h

time as

the

r ~ r e j s u r y had

cumple ted. i t s

p l a n ~

for

the periuc\isal rei. lUC t iun

uf

thlo in:iebteill1e::;c 1:mJ. i t s

refunJ.ing

from time tu

tirr.e

q_u.,.rterly

t lA p2-ywsnts were mac:te

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-11-

x ~ 7 9

A

few

weeks ago the Secretary of

the

Treasury advised the

F e d e r ~ l Reserve Board

that

the plans of t:1e Treasury had.

reached

a stage where they would not

1 e

ir.uperiled by

resurqption

on

.the

par t

of the Board of i t s statutory p o ; ~ r s to r e b ~ l a t e

discount

ra tes

Revisions were made iw.;.edia.tely.

t

'vould

be

vvell

therefore

for the tanks

a:nd the pu1Jlic to understand

that

financins have

defini te ly

lapsed and determined. Henceforth

especia l consideration .vill Je Given

to

the industr ia l and

coranercial r q u i r ~ n t s of

the country,

and everythin;; possible

wil l be done to restore the J.: roper balance bet·,;.rec:n the v o l u r ~ J e of

credit

and

the

volume

of

,:;oods. The

pror:ess

wil l

nP-c..essarily

~ ~ e a .;ra.du.a.l one, and

can

·Je

corrpleted.

c.nly when

··

v0ry

consid

erable redell Jtions of bonds have 'ceen made, a.r:.d ~ h e r e ~ : : a i n d e r

thorou;hly

atsorbed

by

the pulllic.

Our

~ ; a n k i n g system i s

therefore passing thl . ou.gh a

t ransi t ion

period, i n t e ~ e d i a t e

b e t v ~ e n that

of war

finance and

a s t ~ g e re -

garded

as

normal

according

to

pre-war

stando.rds.

Owin;;

to the

necessi ty in

the r.ieanv;hile of a.idtn;; in the financing of Europe,

t i s probable that

several ye<;.rs

wil l elapse

before

an

icie;:.l

re -

la t ionship

between goods and credi t

can ~ e

established and normal

condit ions restored. During th is t ransi t ion period there should

be an effect ive control of credi ts ,

100

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f ..

1_01

-12-

X-1791

gradual

liq_uidotion, and such temporary expansion

only as

rne y

be

necessary to

meet

seasonal r e ~ u i r e m e n t s

or emergencies, There

should

be

a

less

lavish but

more

efficient

use

of

capital

and

credit ,

extravagance

should

be

discouraged

in every

way

possible,

~ n d the

production

of

essential

commodities

increased. t i s important that the ~ o r l should get ba<:k

to

work,

but

in

order

to

provide steady

e m p l O Y ~ n t for

the

people of our own

country

e:ven,

i t

is necessary that there should be a

sustained delllEUld

for

the prv-

ducts

of our fields and factories) mines

and

forestsr and

in

order to ~ i ~

tain this

steady

demand

i t

is

necessary

to provide

markets

abroW.

for

our

surplus

production.

~ o r d e r for

the p o p u l a t i o ~ o f

European

countries

to

get

back

tu

wor·k and

to

produce tb.e

things

needed

for

their own

support F nd f0r

. exchP nge

with other

nations, thus restoring tran i.uillity

to

a war-torn wurld,

i t · i s

necessary·

thDt we

should

send

ther:r;

the raw materials, cuy..u,10dities and

e luipment which they

need so

urgently... In

order to

send curJl.'l10dities to

Europe

we

must have commodities

available»

for we

crum1ot

send

~ b r u a d

what

we consume here. With every appeal to aid Eurupe

nttention

should be c ~ l l e d

that we may have

n

ade•luate

exportable

surplus

The

domestic

denwnd has been competing

with expurt

demc.nds,

and

tb.e

result

has been

that prices have

been

bid up on both foreign und

Q O ~ e s t i c

consumers,

By some

means or

other

credits

have

thus

far

been arranged

which have

enabled shipments

of goods to Europe

to

be

made but

for more

· or

direct

than a year

there

has b e ~ n no

systematic/curtailment

of domestic consumption

-

in order tu provide a surplus for export.

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1.02

l} -

Tha resu.l

t

has

been tba.t to

the

extent that

our cons1Jrll)tion

has

been res t r ic-

tiiQ cit

has

b e ~ n accomplished through competition

and

constant advances

of prices .

Had

shipments to

Europe

been accompanied by corresponding

voluntary

curtailment

of const111ption a t home

1

prices

would not

have

been

forced

u p and

from

the resulting

s.;.:vings

the.re v;ould

have

been accumulat-.

ed a

c ~ p i t a 1

fund

a v ~ i l ~ b l e directly

or

indirectly

for

the purphase of

whatever

Europe may

h ~ v e

had to

sell

in order

to

finance her irr.ports.

During the vvar the popular response

to a:ppec.ls for

conservation and

saving

was

magnificent.

~ n e

reaction,

however, ~

been correspondingly

violent. :md a

systematic ca.rqpaign of

educ:J.tion may

be

necessary to

arouse our people. to

the

consciousness that vre may af te r a l l be l iv ing

in a foo l s p a : r : ~ d i s e sond

that

ha.td work,

economy

and l iberal

inve&tment

in foreign

securit ies

are necesscry

i f we

wish to

m:: ke our

present ap

parent

pr:psperity

real and perrrD.nent-

The b i l l introduced

Gmd

sponsored

several monthl ago by S8na.tor

Edge,

of Hew

Jersey,

is

novv ; l ~ w o nd

will

be known for a l l time

as the

Edge

Act . t

i s a gre;;;..t

piece

of constructive legislat ion and :Pro- ·

vides

for

the

incor-_f>oration

of

associations u n d e r ~ der:::J l charter a.nd

under

Government supervision to e n g ~ g e either in

international

or for

eign banking or in

such

f i ~ c i l ~ e r t i o n s as may be necessary

to

pro

mote exports

of goods from the United States. The E ~ g e law affords

opportunity to a l l exporters, producers and

manufacturers

to c o o p e ~ a t e

to extend

their connections

a.bro«.d, t

invest in foreign securit ies

of

v rious kinds,

and to

offer

their

own o·bligations,

specif ical ly

secil.red

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14 -

:103

by their foreign col lateral , to

.American inv0stors.

If oparm

a way

for

private

financing of exports on long t i r r ~ ,

not

by

the

b ~ n k s but

through

the

investment

market.

The

development

of

our foreign

tr<:,de

under

the

Edge Act may be

slow, and probably

will

be. At

f i rs t

perho.ps,

shipments

of only the most essent:ial

o.rticles will

be

f imnced

by cotlporations or-

gmized

under the

Act,

but this rr ay be rea l ly desiro.ble, far in view of

the present

wave of extrJ.vas::tnce which

s

sweeping

al l over

the world,

trJoughout Europe as

well as i\merica,

i t is best

that

the

stimulus for

production

be concentrJ.ted

upon

essentials and

that

s:1les on

credit be

con-

fined to

such

art icles .

The sale

of

1 o r e i ~ ; n

secUl i

t ies , ei ther

direct ly

or indirect ly,

through

corporations ope:.atine; under the new law

wil l create, of course,

addi t ioml dem::mds Ufon

c ~ p i t : : : . l and crodit .

Tlti.s demand

i s cominc:; a t

a

time \i l hen there wil l be other ur ;e 1t

d.err,ands. 1 1:le g:reo.t

ra i l road

s y s ~ e m s

of the

country

1

soon

to be retm:ned to their

owners>

1 / ~ . 1 : 1 .

require

very

large

amounts. The :problems ah.eJ.d

vf us

a.re

sC1. f 8:i trJ<Ji.L; , but the United

States

as a

~ t o n ~ s reached

the

years of maturity, ~ n d i t has never

f3.iled

even

in

i t s infancy and during the period of i ~ · S

ea.:cly

youth to

meet successfully e7iTY

issue

~

to overcome

every o b s t ~ c l e and d ~ s e r ~

As

a

sturdy s iant

i t

turned the scales to

victory

in the war in

whiCh

we

a.re s t i l l t e c h n i c . J . l l y . e n ~ ; : . g e d but

which.

l e t

us

hope,

wil l soon be a

thing of

the

pa.st. I t is necessary

only to

h:we

the people of

this

country

understa.nd·

the

n3.ture of the J?roolem; confronting

them 3Xld the

need

for the i r

:;Jro:per

solution,

for

our

n::.tion:.t1

sp i r i t

when once

aroused

i s

invincible.