Forcasting Methods for International Enrollment Management- ELS Language Centers and Ohio Dominican...
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![Page 1: Forcasting Methods for International Enrollment Management- ELS Language Centers and Ohio Dominican University](https://reader033.fdocuments.in/reader033/viewer/2022051323/547b6c0db4af9f8f0e8b475a/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Forecasting Methods for International Enrollment
Management
Daniel J. StoneFounding Director of Center Operations
ELS Language CentersOn the campus of ODU
2010-2012
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Item to be forecasted: Enrollment
Relationship between value and cost:
Historical Data Available: None at local level
Time allowed to prepare the forecast: Six weeks
International Enrollment Management
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• Naïve Forecasting• Causal Forecasting
Quantitative Forecasting
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• Manages hiring needs• Enrollment determines
teaching and administrative hours are available.
Full-Time Enrollment (FTE) technique
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• 120 hours- 1• 80 hours- .67• 60 hours- .5
Enrollment Recognition
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• =IF(Total Full Time Enrollment Count<41,( Total Full Time
Enrollment Count multiplied by 7.76+155.2),( Total Full Time
Enrollment Count multiplied by 7.76+164.9))/(Number of days of instruction per session which is
20).
FTE Formula
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Full-Time Enrollment (FTE) technique
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Unused hours are rolled over to the following sessions
Banked hours get used when the schedule can't be kept within the
financial standards.
Cumulative Standard Tracker
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Cumulative Standard Tracker
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Keeps tracking and forecasting in order. Five possible statuses of incoming students.
Five possible statuses of outgoing students. Staffing responds to enrollment.
Future Student Forecasting Enrollment technique
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Return to home country/Arrive from home country
Transfer to another school/from another school
Start/Finish temporary absence Start/Finish vacation
Start/Finish medical leave
Student’s Status
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Jury and Executive opinion- 45 students at end of first year
Spring 2011- 65 students July 2011- 140 students Fall 2011- Majority of the classes had to
be held at the LEAD building. Winter Break 2011- Entire enrollment was
housed at LEAD.
Qualitative Forecasting
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80% of FTE was Muslim in 2011 Student Visa violations Option plan was introduced in 2012 Quantitative forecasting was employed to
allow senior teachers vacation during Ramadan.
Ramadan
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ELS forecasting was used by ODU top management for the forecasting of upcoming fiscal schedules.
ELS generated $15-20K a month, $250,000 annually.
ELS forecasting was used to support sustainability for the joint venture in 2011.
Examples of Forecasting in Action
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ReferencesELS Educational Services, Inc. (2012). About
ELS. Retrieved from ELS Language Centers official website:
http://www.els.edu/en/AboutELS
Questions?