First survey on scenarios potentially addressable in each study area ARPA Veneto, Lead Partner

First survey on scenarios potentially addressablein each study area

ARPA Veneto, Lead Partner

Francesca Liguori2° Partners meeting - Barcelona, 14th January 2010

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Why a survey on scenariosat this point of the Working Time

Table?

measurements modelsdata collection &

elaboration

meeting

planning policies

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• Definition (different background and terminology between modellers and planners)

• A risk: expectations on scenarios not achievable for the type of emission inventory built

• Survey’s result: no scenario already chosen

Scenarios

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The ideal flow

measurements

Source Apportionment

by Receptor models & CTMs

Update of local emissions

inventories

planning policies

Design of scenarios

Identification of the risk activities and

vulnerability systems benchmarking

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Some real examplesThe off-shore terminal for Venetian harbour (platform about 10 kms off-shore for larger ships )

Is it possible to quantify the number and the type of vessels that will arrive to this platform instead of reaching the current inner harbour?

Electrification of the quays

Is it possible to quantify the stationary emissions spared from vessels at the berth?

Are these type of emissions already considered in the emission inventory?

What data are necessary for this quantification?

Different modalities for good handling

Typology of source not considered in the current Venetian Emission Inventory

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Scenarios in ’s Application Form

Working PlanDesign of scenarios supporting coast development strategiesDesign of scenarios supporting coast development strategiesScenarios increase the territorial knowledge framework & provide indications to undertake environmental-addressed actions to identify objectives & interventions towards mitigation strategies as drivers for the sustainable eco-environmental growth of coast areas. Scenarios coming for the model will give, each territory, indication on the system sensibility with reference to a) several human & Industrial activities developed in port site areas; b) meteorological/weather conditions. Results of the model application should reveal the impact of pollution in terms of economic development, urban settlement directives, infrastructural setting, cultural heritage in those coastal areas influenced by the presence of ports, providing inter-sectorial local scenarios

5.4 Summary of deliverablesSet of scenarios of interventions (one per project area).Set of scenarios of interventions (one per project area).The scenarios will be connected with possible mitigation measures and control strategies that could be adopted allowing the urban development and economic growth and the improvement of the air quality of the port-city.

Preliminary results of CAMx simulation Estimation of Harbour effects on air quality in

Veniceelaboration by Silvia Pillon – ARPAV ORARCurrently:

- CALMET (local meteo network data and radiosoudings)- CAMX 5.1 (CB05 and Coarse-Fine Aerosol chemistry)- Regional Emission Inventory 2005 + Biogenic emissions- 4x4 km2 resolution on extent domain of 200x168 km2

without nestFor APICE simulation:- LAMI (local model)- CAMX 5.3 (CB05 and Coarse-Fine Aerosol resolution)- Regional Emission Inventory 2008 + Biogenic emissions + sea salt (Blown dust?)- 4x4 km2 resolution on extent domain of 260x240 km2, nest over study area mesh 4 (? 8)- revision of COV profile for harbour activities emissions from receptor models results?

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From analysis on previous runs:

1. Overestimation of NO2 annual mean over Venice area in

respect to other sites in the modelling domain could it

depend on inputting harbors emissions at ground level?

2. Effect of harbour on PM10 results on Venice area: about

10-20%, mainly from organic and primary aerosol

components.

3. Even if results of PSAT on RGN and SO2 show a significant

influence of harbour activities, on PM10 secondary

inorganic component we obtain a pour influence of

harbour emissions.

4. Emission scenarios based on NOx and SO2 reductions can

be scarcely visible on PM10 (PM2.5) levels

RGN Reactive gaseous nitrogen including primary NOx (NO + NO2) emissions plus nitrate radical (NO3), nitrous

acid (HONO) and dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5).

Veneto Region emission inventory 2005

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

80000

90000

100000

110000

120000

130000

140000

150000

160000

170000

180000

190000

200000

210000

220000

230000

240000

NOx NH3 SO2 VOC PM10

ton

s/y

ea

r

Residential Industry Road transport Harbour Off-Road Agricolture Waste Nature

Current emission inventory

Harbour emission

s

Venice Municipality emission inventory 2005

18%

13%

14%

48%

0

10000

20000

30000


ton

s/y

ea

r


0

10000

20000

30000



0

10000

20000

30000



0

10000

20000

30000



0

10000

20000

30000



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PM10 source apportionnment Venice - winter scenario

23%

19%

13%

9%

15%

12%

3%6%

IC/BC Road Transport Industry Agricolture Residential Harbour Off-road Residual

PM10 source apportionnment Venice - summer scenario

29%

8%

6%

0%22%

29%

3%

3%


Venice - PSAT winter scenario

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

PM2.5 PNO3 PNH4 PSO4 PM_org PM_prim


Venice - PSAT summer scenario

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

PM2.5 PNO3 PNH4 PSO4 PM_org PM_prim


PSAT results on Venice site receptor winter scenario: 15 Jan – 15 Feb; summer scenario: 15 Jul -15 Aug

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PM10 composition - Venice site

31%

5%

8%

20%

12%

6%

34%

52%

15%

18%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

win sum

ug

/m3

PNO3 PSO4 PNH4 Porg Prim

PM10 compositionIn Winter and Summer at a Venice site

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RGN source apportionmentVenice site - winter scenario

3%

32%

19%0%

15%

24%

4% 3%

IC/BC

Road Transport

Industry

Agricolture

Residential

Harbour

Off-road

Residual

SO2 source apportionment

Venice site - winter scenario

0%

51%

0%

3%

42%

0%3%

1%

IC/BC

Road Transport

Industry

Agricolture

Residential

Harbour

Off-road

Residual

SO2 source apportionment

Venice site - summer scenario

49%

0%4%

45%

0%

0%0%

2%

IC/BC

Road Transport

Industry

Agricolture

Residential

Harbour

Off-road

extra_veneto

RGN source apportionmentVenice site - summer scenario

2%

24%

6%

0%

0%

60%

5% 3%

IC/BC

Road Transport

Industry

Agricolture

Residential

Harbour

Off-road

Residual

Source Apportionment for Reactive Gaseous Nitrogen and Sulfur

dioxide

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Scenarios in ’s Application Form 2

The expected LOCAL TANGIBLE RESULTS are

-VENETO: planning guidance to drive port-district expansion (and its connection with the northeast transport poles) in the frame of the Regional Masterplan & coastal plans + promotion of agreements to mitigate emissions of docked-vessels in front of Venice

-GENOA: environmental assessment of the coal power plant in view of a future electrification of the quays & effects of an off-shore displacement of part of the oil terminal + evaluation of the design of new highway / railway links from the western part of the harbour (dedicated to the containers handling) to the Po Valley.

-MARSEILLE: application of APICE inputs & scenarios to support a new project of setting electric power ground supply terminal within the strategic Plan of the Port Authority and inclusion of APICE deliverables in atmospheric, urban and health protection plan of PACA region

-THESSALONIKI: roadmap for the improvement of the efficiency of the Region of Central Macedonia in urban development planning for eastern Thessaloniki city and implementing environmental policies in order to improve the citizens’ quality of life

- BARCELONA: guidance for reduction of 20 % of NO2 and of 10 % of PM10 emissions from the port, in the light of the Plan for Air Quality Improvement of the Port & inputs to drive train transport projects

First survey on scenarios potentially addressable in each study area ARPA Veneto, Lead Partner

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