First quarter results 2002 29 April 2002. First quarter results 2002 2 Strong operating result......
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Transcript of First quarter results 2002 29 April 2002. First quarter results 2002 2 Strong operating result......
First quarter results 2002
29 April 2002
First quarter results 2002
2
Strong operating result ...
Revenues remain resilient (+0.4%)
Operating expenses continued to trend down (-1.5%)
Operating result up (+5.4%)
Provisions fell to EUR 390 mln, from EUR 598 mln in fourth quarter 2001
Efficiency ratio improves to 71.6%
Tier I ratio improved further to 7.13%
First quarter results 2002
3
. . . but underlying performance was mixed
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues Q1 2002
Interest (56%)
Other (12%)
Commissions (25%)
Trading (7%)
(EUR m) Q1 02 Q4 01
% change
4,744
3,396
1,348
71.6%
4,726
3,447
1,279
72.9%
0.4
(1.5)
5.4
4.7
4.4
5.3
Q1 02/Q4 01
Q1 02/ Q1 01
Revenues up in C&CC and PCAM, while WCS continued to suffer from weak markets
Expenses down in C&CC and PCAM, while WCS experienced an increase in expenses due to higher bonus accrual
Efficiency ratio down for the second consecutive quarter
First quarter results 2002
4
C&CC still the main contributor to the operating result in Q1...
C&CC (72%)
WCS (9%)
PCAM (8%)
AALH and CC (11%)
First quarter results 2002
5
Driven by a strong performance in all its franchises - notably in the US
Operating result Q1 2002
US (57%)
RoW (10%)
Brazil (19%)
Netherlands (14%)
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
2,707
1,743
964
64.4%
2,542
1,851
691
72.8%
6.5
(5.8)
39.5
10.7
9.1
13.8
(EUR m) Q1 02 Q4 01
% changeQ1 02/Q4 01
Q1 02/ Q1 01
All four business units (NL, US, Brazil and Rest of the World) have contributed to this strong performance
US: Very strong performance driven by mortgage activity
NL: Sharp decline in expenses led to improvement in efficiency ratio
Brazil: Continuation of its growth path
First quarter results 2002
6
WCS has continued to suffer due to difficult market conditions …
Revenues were affected by weak market conditions and low issue volumes
Expenses up due to higher level of bonus accrual
Risk weighted assets decreased by 5% to EUR 90.4 bn, in line with objective of bringing down the level of RWA by EUR 20 bn by the end of 2004
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues Q1 2002
Interest (43%)
Other (7%)
Commissions (33%)
Trading (17%)
(EUR m) Q1 02 Q4 01
% change
1,384
1,263
121
91.3%
1,505
1,239
266
82.3%
(8.0)
1.9
(54.5)
(8.6)
(2.9)
(43.2)
Q1 02/Q4 01
Q1 02/Q1 01
First quarter results 2002
7
Difficult steps were taken to improve profitability
In the US, WCS will be offering a slightly narrower product range
– Closure of domestic US cash equities and US M&A businesses
– In US, concentration on GFM, GTS and structured lending business
– International equity sales to US institutional client, equity derivatives and cross-border M&A advisory services will also be retained
WCS well positioned and able to create value as market picks up
– Measures taken during past year will release significant economic value
– Released resources will be used to further strengthen European Equities and Corporate Finance activities
First quarter results 2002
8
Profitability of PCAM has clearly improved
PC: Higher revenues on the back of moderate recovery in client sentiment
PC: Assets under Administration increased to EUR 107 bn (end of quarter)
AM: Revenues remained relatively stable
AM: Assets under Management increased to EUR 175 bn (end of quarter)
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Efficiency ratio
Revenues Q1 2002
Interest (26%)
Other (4%)
Commissions (68%)
Trading (2%)
(EUR m) Q1 02 Q4 01
% change
384
270
114
70.3%
370
305
65
82.4%
3.8
(11.5)
75.4
12.3
(0.7)
62.9
Q1 02/Q4 01
ytd 02/ytd 01
First quarter results 2002
9
Asset Quality and Provisioning
First quarter results 2002
10
Level of provisioning lower ...
WCS: decrease due to absence of any major corporate failures
C&CC: difficulties with the SME portfolio. The main drivers are:– Netherlands: strong increase in provisioning related to SME portfolio
(provisioning in 2001 was historical low)
– Brazil: slight increase in provisioning, partly due to increase in credit volumes and deterioration in asset quality of consumer loan portfolio
– US: decrease in provisioning, partly due to leveraged finance book
Corporate Centre: decrease due to absence of provisioning related to country risk provisioning
First quarter results 2002
11
But absolute amount continuous to be affected by economic conditions
Time lag continuous to affect provisions
Economic conditions have improved in the first quarter, but the overall state of the economy remained sluggish
With respect to the economic outlook, we remain cautious
First quarter results 2002
12
RWA have fallen, consequently provisioning as a percentage of RWA has risen
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 '00 '01 '02*
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Risk provisioning as a % of RWA (right hand scale)* Q1 2002 annualised
26bp
39bp35bp
23bp
52bp
EUR bnRWA
58bp
First quarter results 2002
13
Total assetsShareholders’ equityGroup capitalRisk-weighted assets
Total capital ratioTier 1 ratio
(EUR bn) 31 03 02
623.611.61
33.6270.7
10.957.13
31 12 01
597.411.7934.0
273.4
10.91%7.03%
31 03 02/ 31 12 01
4.4(1.5)(1.3)(1.0)
3.6(4.9)(0.3)(2.8)
% change
31 03 02/31 03 01
Tier 1 ratio has continued to improve
ANNEXES
First quarter results 2002
15
RevenuesOperating expensesOperating resultProvisioning for loan lossesOperating profit before taxExtraordinary resultNet profitNet profit excl. extraord. result
EPS (x EUR)
(EUR m) Q1 02 Q4 01
4,7443,3961,348
390973
(205)397602
0.38
4,7263,4471,279598715(95)438533
0.34
Q1 02/Q4 01
0.4(1.5)
5.4(34.8)
36.1115.8(9.4)12.9
11.8
4.74.45.3
46.1(2.8)
(41.9)(11.9)
(15.6)
% change
Q1 02/Q1 01
Key figures: profit and loss account
First quarter results 2002
16
Revenues
Expenses
Operating result
Pre-tax profit
(98)
(51)
(47)
(38)
Publishedchange
Impact ofcurrencies(EUR m)
18
(51)
69
258
Organicgrowth
(1.7%)
(3.0%)
1.7%
30.8%
Impact of currency translation on profit and loss account (Q1 2002 vs Q4 2001)
First quarter results 2002
17
C&CC (62%) WCS (27%)
PCAM (6%) AALH (4%)
CC (1%)
Capital allocation and operating result
C&CC (72%) WCS (9%)
PCAM (8%) AALH (4%)
CC (7%)
Capital Allocation Operating result
First quarter results 2002
18
Total Specific Loan Loss Provisions
Summary of total specific loan loss provisions by SBU(Including Netherlands BU; EUR million)
SBU 1Q01 YTD 01 1Q02 1Q01 YTD 01 1Q02C&CC 176 802 255 0.43% 0.51% 0.64%WCS 92 543 111 0.38% 0.55% 0.49%PCAM 3 13 1 0.20% 0.20% 0.06%Total ABN AMRO 267 1,426 390 0.38% 0.52% 0.58%
Provisions - EUR million YTD Provisions / RWA
Other6%
PCAM0%
C&CC66%
WCS28%
0.0%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.4%
1Q01 2Q01 3Q01 4Q01 1Q02
C&CC WCS ABN AMRO
YTD Provisions / RWA
First quarter results 2002
19
Limits/exposures are well diversified . . .(March 2002)
Telecom9.2% Media
3.7%
Technology6.5%
Oil & gas8.4%
Utilities11.0%
Chemical4.9%
Services 3.9%
Manufacturing (general)8.8%
Real estate1.8%
Automotive (oem+supply)
6.9%
Manuf other transport means1.5%
Tobacco1.4%
(Non) durables4.3%
Transport services7.1%
Leisure1.0%
Metals & Mining3.1%
Retail2.0%
Construction3.7%
Agri/raw materials2.1%
Health/pharma3.1%Food
5.6%
First quarter results 2002
20
Asia Pacific Advanced8% (8%)
North America29% (30%)
Africa0.6% (0.4%)
Europe 50% (50%)
Eastern Europe
0.3% (0.3%)
Middle East
1% (1%)
Asia7% (7%)
Latin America5% (5%)
( ) December 2001
... and limited exposure to non-OECD countries(by limits; March 2002)
First quarter results 2002
21
Mar-01
2%
5%
24%
69%
Wholesale C&CCPCAM Other
Private Loans in Eur's( Eur bln - by outstandings)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Dec-00 Mar-01 Jun-01 Sep-01 Dec-01 Mar-02
Wholesale C&CC Private Other
Mar-02
2%
5%
23% 70%
Wholesale C&CCPCAM Other
34%
59%
4%3%
NL USBrazil Other
Dec-01
2%
5%
23%
70%
Wholesale C&CCPCAM Other
Stable portfolio composition
First quarter results 2002
22
Telecom, Media,
Technology20%
Energy, Chemical, Pharma
27%
Automotive, Consumer, Diversif ied
53%
Public Sector
5%
NBFI17%
Commercial Banks35%
Automotive, Consumer, Diversif ied
23%
Energy, Chemical, Pharma
12%
Telecom, Media,
Technology8%
Commercial banks exposure includes commercial lines, money market and OBSI facilities.
TMT
ECP
ACD
WCS - Total Portfolio WCS - Corporate Portfolio
TMT
ECP
ACD
FIPS
FIPS
FIPS
WCS: Client BUs organised globally by sectors (by outstanding)
First quarter results 2002
23
UCR 1, 2, 3
83%
UCR >=417%
UCR 1, 2, 3
82%
UCR >=418%
UCR 1, 2, 3
78%
UCR >=422%
TMT ECP ACD
WCS Corporate: exposure by client BU (by limits; March 2002)
First quarter results 2002
24
C&CC: Strong consumer franchise
C&CC - Total Private Loans(in billions of Eur)
1Q02 Netherlands North America Brazil OtherCommercial 77.8 30.1 40.5 1.9 5.3Consumer 103.0 74.5 21.9 3.9 2.7
Total Private Loans 180.8 104.6 62.4 5.8 8.0
Consumer57%
Commercial43%
Other4%Brazil
3%
Netherlands58%
North America
35%
First quarter results 2002
25
29%
71%
Commercial Consumer
C&CC NL Total Portfolio
C&CC NL Commercial Portfolio by Product
42%
58%
Corporate Clients SME
C&CC NL Commercial Portfolio by UCR
57.7%
41.9%
0.4%
UCR 1, 2 and 3 UCR >= 4 Not rated
C&CC NL Commercial Portfolio - Outstanding(March 2002)
First quarter results 2002
26
Asset Quality
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Dec.99 Dec.00 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01 Mar.02
UCR 1, 2, and 3 UCR >= 4
UC
R P
erc
en
tag
e
Standard Federal
42%
LaSalle58%
UCR >= 4
40%
UCR 1/2/360%
Overview by legal entity UCR breakdown
C&CC US - Outstanding(March 2002)
First quarter results 2002
27
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Dec.00 Mar.01 Jun.01 Sep.01 Dec.01 Mar.02
Car financing Retail Middle Corp
BRL Mln
Car financing
44%
Retail38%
Middle Corp18%
Not rated6%
UCR >=431% UCR 1/2/3
63%
Business mix
C&CC portfolio performance - Total Outstanding
UCR breakdown
C&CC Brazil - Outstanding(March 2002)
First quarter results 2002
29
Cautionary Statement regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This announcement contains forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements arestatements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations.Any statement in this announcement that expresses or implies our intentions, beliefs,expectations or predictions (and the assumptions underlying them) is a forward-lookingstatement. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections, as they are currentlyavailable to the management of ABN AMRO. Forward-looking statements therefore speak only asof the date they are made, and we take no obligation to update publicly any of them in light ofnew information or future events.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of importantfactors could therefore cause actual future results to differ materially from those expressed orimplied in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, without limitation, the conditions inthe financial markets in Europe, the United States, Brazil and elsewhere from which we derive asubstantial portion of our trading revenues; potential defaults of borrowers or tradingcounterparties; the implementation of our restructuring including the envisaged reduction inheadcount; the reliability of our risk management policies, procedures and methods; and otherrisks referenced in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. For moreinformation on these and other factors, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 20-F filed withthe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and to any subsequent reports furnished or filedby us with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of the date hereof,and the companies assume no obligation to update any of the forward-looking statementscontained in this announcement.