First Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: One of …...The March 2018 survey also asked,...

1st Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey

SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 1 of 13

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Website: www.sws.org.ph

Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465

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pr20180627 - SWR 2018-I Federal System of Government (Special Report_FINAL).docx

First Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey:

One of four Pinoys are aware of the Federal System of Government;

37% support it, 34% are undecided, and 29% oppose it

58% don’t know the name of the “state” being promoted in their locality

Higher awareness and support for the federal system in Mindanao,

among college graduates, Muslims

Stronger support for the federal system among those with much trust in

Rodrigo Duterte, those satisfied with him as President, and those

satisfied with his administration as a whole

Stronger support for the federal system among Gainers and Optimists

Social Weather Stations

The First Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, done on March 23-27, 2018, found that one

out of four (25%) Filipino adults nationwide said they know about the federal system of

government, while 75% learned about it only during the survey [Chart 1].

The March 2018 survey found that 37% agree with the federal system of government

(consisting of 14% who strongly agree and 23% who somewhat agree), and 29% disagree with it

(consisting of 12% who somewhat disagree and 17% who strongly disagree). Thirty-four percent

were undecided about the matter.

This gives a net agreement score +7 (% agree minus % disagree, correctly rounded),

classified by SWS as neutral [Chart 2].

The SWS terminology for net agreement: +50 and above, "extremely strong"; +30 to +49,

"very strong"; +10 to +29, "moderately strong"; +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "moderately

weak"; -30 to -49, "very weak"; -50 and below, "very weak"; -50 and below, “extremely weak”.

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SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 2 of 13


58% don’t know the name of the “state” being promoted in their locality

The March 2018 survey also asked, “Halimbawang tawaging “STATE” ang mga bagong

gobyernong lokal gaya ng mga “STATE” sa United States of America, ano daw ang magiging

pangalan ng STATE ninyo dito sa lugar ninyo – ayon sa mga nagsusulong na gawing FEDERAL

ang sistema ng gobyerno? [If the new local governments will be called “STATES” like the

“STATES” in the United States of America, what will be the name of your STATE here in your

locality – according to those who are pushing to make the system of government FEDERAL?”

The survey found a majority of 58% don’t know or were not familiar about the matter, 4%

do not agree with the change, 4% say there is no name yet, and 1% say no one in their locality is

pushing federalism. Two percent did not give an answer [Table 1].

Of the 31% who were able to provide names, the top responses were Philippine State/State

of the Philippines/United States of the Philippines (2%), Dinagat State/State of Dinagat/United

States of Dinagat (2%), State of Davao/Davao State (2%), and State of Cavite/Cavite State/United

States of Cavite (2%). The rest of the names mentioned by respondents obtained 1% or less.

Higher awareness and support for the federal system in Mindanao, among college graduates,

Muslims

Awareness about the federal system of government was highest in Mindanao at 37%,

followed by Metro Manila at 28%, Visayas at 22%, and Balance Luzon at 20% [Chart 3].

It was slightly higher in rural areas at 27%, compared to urban areas at 24%.

It was highest among college graduates at 53%, followed by high school graduates at 26%,

non-elementary graduates at 17 %, and elementary graduates at 16% [Chart 4].

By religion, awareness about the federal system was highest among Muslims at 51%,

followed by Iglesia ni Cristo members at 37%, other Christians at 32%, and Catholics at 22%

[Chart 5].

Likewise, support for the federal system of government was highest in Mindanao with a

very strong net agreement score of +43 (59% agree, 16% disagree), followed by Metro Manila at

a neutral +7 (38% agree, 31% disagree), Visayas at a neutral +2 (32% agree, 30% disagree), and

Balance Luzon at a neutral –8 (27% agree, 35% disagree) [Chart 6].

Net agreement with the federal system was higher in urban areas at a moderately strong

+11 (39% agree, 28% disagree), compared to rural areas at a neutral +4 (34% agree, 30% disagree).


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 3 of 13


Support for the federal system of government was stronger among those with more years

of formal schooling: it was highest among college graduates at a moderately strong +27 (50%

agree, 23% disagree), followed by high school graduates at a neutral +5 (37% agree, 32%

disagree), non-elementary graduates at a neutral +4 (28% agree, 24% disagree), and elementary

graduates at a neutral +3 (33% agree, 30% disagree) [Chart 7].

Support for the federal system of government was highest among Muslims at a very strong

net agreement score of +47 (61% agree, 14% disagree), followed by other Christians at a neutral

+9 (35% agree, 26% disagree), Catholics at +4 (35% agree, 30% disagree, correctly rounded), and

Iglesia ni Cristo members at +2 (39% agree, 37% disagree) [Chart 8].

Stronger support for the federal system among those with much trust in Rodrigo Duterte,

those satisfied with him as President, and those satisfied with his administration as a whole

Support for the federal system of government was directly related to people’s trust in

Rodrigo Duterte, their satisfaction with his performance as President, and their satisfaction with

the overall Duterte Administration.

By trust in Rodrigo Duterte, net agreement with the federal system was a moderately strong

+17 (42% agree, 26% disagree, correctly rounded) among those with much trust in him, compared

to the moderately weak –19 (18% agree, 36% disagree, correctly rounded) among those who were

undecided, and the moderately weak –26 (20% agree, 45% disagree, correctly rounded) among

those with little trust in him [Chart 9].

By satisfaction with his performance as President, it was a moderately strong +19 (43%

agree, 24% disagree) among those who are satisfied, compared to the moderately weak –17 (20%

agree, 37% disagree) among those who are undecided, and the moderately weak –22 (23% agree,

45% disagree) among those who are dissatisfied [Chart 10].

Similarly, it was a moderately strong +20 (45% agree, 25% disagree) among those who are

satisfied with the performance of the present National Administration, compared to the moderately

weak –16 (18% agree, 33% disagree, correctly rounded) among those who are undecided, and the

moderately weak –27 (19% agree, 47% disagree, correctly rounded) among those who are

dissatisfied [Chart 11].

Stronger support for the federal system among Gainers and Optimists


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 4 of 13


Support for the federal system of government was stronger among gainers, or those whose

personal quality of life is better now compared to 12 months ago, and among optimists, or those

whose personal quality of life will be better 12 months from now.

Net agreement with the federal system was a moderately strong +17 (42% agree, 25%

disagree) among gainers, compared to the neutral +2 (34% agree, 32% disagree) among those

whose quality of life was unchanged compared to 12 months ago, and the neutral –2 (31% agree,

33% disagree) among losers, or those whose quality of life is worse now compared to 12 months

ago [Chart 12].

It was a moderately strong +16 (42% agree, 26% disagree) among optimists, compared to

the neutral +1 (33% agree minus 32% disagree) among those who believe their quality of life will

be the same 12 months from now, and the neutral +4 (34% agree minus 30% disagree) among

pessimists, or those who believe their quality of life will be worse 12 months from now [Chart

13].

The SWS March 2018 report on trends in quality of life was released on May 23, 2018.

Survey Background

The March 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from March 23-27, 2018 using

face-to-face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro

Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national

percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population

projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates.

The Social Weather Survey items about the Federal System of Government are not

commissioned. They are done on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service.

The survey questions are as follows:

1) Kung gagawing FEDERAL ang sistema ng gobyerno sa Pilipinas, magkakaroon ng

mga bagong gobyernong lokal na mas mataas kaysa sa mga probinsya, ngunit mas

mababa kaysa sa gobyernong pambansa. Dati na ba ninyong alam ito, o ngayon lang

po ba? [If the system of government in the Philippines will be made FEDERAL, there

will be new local governments that are higher than the provincial, but lower than the

national government. Did you previously know this, or did you know this only now?]


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 5 of 13


2) Halimbawang tawaging “STATE” ang mga bagong gobyernong lokal gaya ng mga

“STATE” sa United States of America, ano daw ang magiging pangalan ng STATE

ninyo dito sa lugar ninyo – ayon sa mga nagsusulong na gawing FEDERAL ang

sistema ng gobyerno? (VERBATIM RESPONSE) [If the new local governments will be

called “STATES” like the “STATES” in the United States of America, what will be the

name of your STATE here in your locality – according to those who are pushing to

make the system of government FEDERAL? (VERBATIM RESPONSE)]

3) Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon dito sa FEDERAL na sistema ng

gobyerno? (SHOWCARD: LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO SUMASANG-

AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON,

MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, o LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON] [Are

you for or against this FEDERAL system of government? (SHOWCARD: Strongly

agree; Somewhat agree; Undecided if agree or disagree; Somewhat disagree; Strongly

disagree)]

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing,

and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by

Dankarl Leon DL. Magpayo, with special tabulations by Michael Y. Laxamana.

#


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 6 of 13


Chart 1

Chart 2

First Quarter 2018 Social Weather ReportMarch 23-27, 2018 National Survey

AWARENESS OF THE FEDERAL SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT,

PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Not Aware

Aware

Q116. Kung gagawing FEDERAL ang sistema ng gobyerno sa Pilipinas, magkakaroon ng mga bagong

gobyernong lokal na mas mataas kaysa sa mga probinsya, ngunit mas mababa kaysa sa gobyernong

pambansa. Dati na ba ninyong alam ito, o ngayon lang po ba?

75

25

Note: Don’t know responses are not shown.


AGREEMENT OR DISAGREEMENT ON THE FEDERAL

SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018

Strongly AgreeStrongly Disagree

Q118. Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon dito sa FEDERAL na sistema ng gobyerno? (LUBOS

NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO SUMASANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI

SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, o LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)

Undecided

* Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) are correctly rounded.

Note: Don’t know and No answer responses are not shown.

Net* = +7

34

2312

17 14

Somewhat

Agree

Somewhat

Disagree37%

Agree

29%

Disagree


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 7 of 13


Table 1


NAME OF STATE IN ONE’S LOCALITY,

PHILIPPINES, MAR 2018 (1/3)

Philippine State/State of the Philippines/

United States of the Philippines 2%

Dinagat State/State of Dinagat/State of Dinagat Island/

United States of Dinagat 2

State of Davao/Davao State 2

State of Cavite/Cavite State/United States of Cavite 2

Laguna State/State of Laguna 1

Let the government/officials decide 1

Pampanga State/State of Pampanga 1

Bangsamoro State/State of Bangsamoro 1

Mindanao State/State of Mindanao 1

Quezon City State/State of Quezon City 1

Bacoor State/State of Bacoor 0.4

General Trias State/State of General Trias 0.4

Imus State/State of Imus 0.4

Ipil State 0.4

Mindoro State 0.4

San Fernando State/State of San Fernando 0.4




State of calamity 0.4%

Caputian State/State of Caputian 0.3

Makati State/State of Makati/United State of Makati 0.3

Albuera State/State of Albuera/United States of Albuera 0.3

Hilongos State 0.3

Mapanas State 0.3

Manila State/State of Manila 0.2

State of Taguig 0.2

State of Iligan 0.2

Islamic State/State of Islam 0.2

State of Liangan 0.2

USA/United States of America 0.2

Abuyog State/State of Abuyog 0.2

Palompon State/State of Palompon 0.2

San Roque State 0.2

Tacloban State/State of Tacloban/United State of Tacloban 0.2

Caloocan State/State of Caloocan 0.2


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 8 of 13


Chart 3




NCR State/State of NCR 0.2%

Valenzuela State/State of Valenzuela 0.1

Vergonville State/State of Vergonville 0.1

Others 12

Don't know/Not familiar/Just heard now 58

Don't want/agree to change 4

None/None yet 4

No answer 2

No one from our locality is pushing Federalism 1

Q117. Halimbawang tawaging “STATE” ang mga bagong gobyernong lokal gaya ng mga “STATE” sa United States of America, ano daw ang magiging pangalan ng STATE ninyo dito sa lugar ninyo – ayon sa mga nagsusulong na gawing FEDERAL ang sistema ng gobyerno?



BY AREA AND LOCALE, MAR 2018

Aware Not Aware

Philippines (100%)

NCR (14%)

Bal. Luzon (44%)

Visayas (19%)

Mindanao (23%)

Urban (49%)

Rural (51%)

25

28

20

22

37

24

27

75

72

80

78

63

76

73






SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 9 of 13


Chart 4

Chart 5



BY EDUCATION, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Up to some

elem. (13%)

Up to some

HS (29%)

Up to some

college (46%)

College grad/

post grad (12%)





Aware Not Aware

25

17

16

26

53

75

83

84

74

47



BY RELIGION, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Catholics

(80%)

Iglesia ni

Cristo (2%)

Other Christians

(12%)

Muslims

(6%)





Aware Not Aware

25

22

37

32

51

75

78

63

68

49


SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 10 of 13


Chart 6

Chart 7



SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT,

BY AREA AND LOCALE, MAR 2018

Agree Undecided Disagree Net*

Philippines (100%)

NCR (14%)

Bal. Luzon (44%)

Visayas (19%)

Mindanao (23%)

Urban (49%)

Rural (51%)

+ 7

+ 7

- 8

+ 2

+43

+11

+ 4




* Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) correctly rounded.


37

38

27

32

59

39

34

34

31

37

38

25

32

35

29

31

35

30

16

28

30



SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY EDUCATION, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Up to some

elem. (13%)

Up to some

HS (29%)

Up to some

college (46%)

College grad/

post grad (12%)

+ 7

+ 4

+ 3

+ 5

+27

37

28

33

37

50

34

48

37

30

26

29

24

30

32

23

Q118. Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon dito sa FEDERAL na sistema ng gobyerno? (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-

AYON, MEDYO SUMASANG-AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SUMASANG-AYON O HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI

SUMASANG-AYON, o LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON)





SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 11 of 13


Chart 8

Chart 9



SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY RELIGION, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Catholics

(80%)

Iglesia ni

Cristo (2%)

Other

Christians (12%)

Muslims

(6%)

+ 7

+ 4

+ 2

+ 9

+47






37

35

39

35

61

34

34

24

38

25

29

30

37

26

14




SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY TRUST IN RODRIGO

DUTERTE, MAR 2018

+ 7

+17

-19

-26

Philippines

(100%)

Much Trust (76%)

Undecided (14%)

Little Trust (10%)Tru

st

in R

od

rig

o D

ute

rte

37

42

18

20

34

31

46

34

29

26

36

45




* Net figures (% Agree minus % Disagree) are correctly rounded.




SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 12 of 13


Chart 10

Chart 11



SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY SATISFACTION WITH

PRES. DUTERTE, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Satisfied (70%)

Undecided (17%)

Dissatisfied

(14%)

+ 7

+19

-17

-22

Sati

sfa

cti

on

wit

h P

res. D

ute

rte

37

43

20

23

34

32

43

30

29

24

37

45









SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY SATISFACTION WITH

PRESENT NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, MAR 2018

+ 7

+20

-16

-27

Philippines

(100%)

Satisfied (69%)

Undecided (18%)

Dissatisfied

(11%)

Sati

sfa

cti

on

wit

h P

resen

t

Nati

on

al A

dm

inis

trati

on

37

45

18

19

34

30

48

34

29

25

33

47








SWS MEDIA RELEASE

27 June 2018, page 13 of 13


Chart 12

Chart 13



SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT, BY CHANGE IN QUALITY

OF LIFE, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Gainers (41%)

Unchanged

(37%)

Losers (21%)

+ 7

+17

+ 2

- 2

Ch

an

ge in

Qu

ality

of

Lif

e

37

42

34

31

34

33

33

36

29

25

32

33








AGREEMENT OR DISAGREEMENT ON THE

FEDERAL SYSTEM OF GOVERNMENT,

BY PERSONAL OPTIMISM, MAR 2018

Philippines

(100%)

Optimists (46%)

Unchanged

(37%)

Pessimists (6%)

+ 7

+16

+ 1

+ 4Pers

on

al O

pti

mis

m


37

42

33

34

34

32

35

37

29

26

32

30






First Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: One of …...The March 2018 survey also asked,...

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